2023 Paris Open ATP Master's 1000 Quarterfinal matchup - Novak Djokovic [1] (SRB) v/s Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune [6] (DEN)

win prediction

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Rafa4LifeEver

Rafa4LifeEver

G.O.A.T.
So, here we go. This is perhaps the biggest clash of this tournament so far, as the defending champion and the 6 time champion go head to head in what would be their 4th meeting overall (Rune leads 2-1) and 2nd consecutive at Paris master's after their absorbing final last year (Rune won 7-5 in the 3rd).

So, here we go again. Rune seems to be regaining some lost form in the indoor season, after a long stretch of bad matches before that. On the other side of the net is the man chasing a record extending 7th Paris Master's title, 8th Year end #1 & 40th master's 1000 title overall. The Serb is riding a 14 match winning streak after the sensational 5 set defeat at the hands of Carlos Alcaraz in this year's Wimbledon final.

In the 2 previous matches, Rune coasted in straight against Thiem & Altmaier, whereas Djokovic had to go through a 2,5 hour thriller against Talon Griekspoor of Netherlands in R16 after having dispatched Etcheverry in straight sets the round before.

Who wins? How would the match progress? Vote and discuss.
 
Rafa4LifeEver said:
@dking68 @Djokovic_is_the_best#1 @The Blond Blur do you think the young brat can pull it off once again??
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Djokovic is getting a bumming again. The Becker effect cannot be underestimated here either ;)

Nah, jokes aside I do think this will be highly competitive and go 3 sets. I do think Rune has a good chance in this best of 3 format, with his better form, new coach and Novak not at his sharpest after a longer rest from playing. That said it’s Djokovic and he finds a way a lot of time even in matches he not looking great.

Let’s hope for a good one! :cool:
 
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Would be quite telling if Novak goes down 0-3 to a player that has absolutely nothing in his arsenal to even concern Nole and is so mechanical you can see ALL his shots placement before he even hits them and for Nole who is the greatest anticipatory player to ever live to lose again……scandalous.
After 2 BEYOND OBVIOUS gifts to get the Grape Smuggler where he needed to be, I don’t think Novak will have any mercy in bercy this go round.
4 and 4
 
Winners or Errors said:
Or a torn hamstring. Or a torn stomach muscle. Or... Possumovic for the win unless Rune really shows up.
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Nope, Djokovic would beat Rune in 2 sets if healthy. Last year fans brought down a commercial on Novak leg after the semis. Fedal fans cant cope with his mental reserves its not 40/15 or slow clay.
 
Rafa4LifeEver said:
@dking68 @Djokovic_is_the_best#1 @The Blond Blur do you think the young brat can pull it off once again??
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nobutinyellow.jpg
 
Djokovic wins. I know this is the type of match that he CAN lose in Best of 3, but he won't lose today. Because he wants to prove himself against this opponent after the recent loss, so he will simply refuse to lose, even if it takes an effort like in Cincinnati against Alcaraz.
 
Djokovic doesn't have Roland Garros on his mind right now. I think he will give his best. So it comes down to their match last year. I think Rune game obviously troubles Nole. But last year Djokovic was 2/12 on BP and Rune was 3/3.

This sort of stuff doesn't happen regularly in tennis. Djokovic was better in every stat except bps.

Now coming to this year, Rune has lost how many matches since Rome? Rune is 18-9 and although it was due to injury but it doesn't look great. At the same time Djokovic has gone 26-1 with the only loss being vs Alcaraz in fifth set.

Odds makers are giving Djokovic 77% chance to win and I agree. I think Djokovic will take this in straight sets even if he has to trade breaks back and forth vs rune and both sets become tight.

26-1 vs 18-9 you can compare these two.

In Rome Djokovic was still struggling physically and had just started getting back in form.

In Paris this year the tables have turned and now Rune is starting to get back in form. I think it would be too early for him to register a win. A set is possible but I would not count on it.

Rune vs Nole matches have all been competitive but this one may not be as competitive based on forms coming into the match.
 
nachiket nolefam said:
Djokovic doesn't have Roland Garros on his mind right now. I think he will give his best. So it comes down to their match last year. I think Rune game obviously troubles Nole. But last year Djokovic was 2/12 on BP and Rune was 3/3.

This sort of stuff doesn't happen regularly in tennis. Djokovic was better in every stat except bps.

Now coming to this year, Rune has lost how many matches since Rome? Rune is 18-9 and although it was due to injury but it doesn't look great. At the same time Djokovic has gone 26-1 with the only loss being vs Alcaraz in fifth set.

Odds makers are giving Djokovic 77% chance to win and I agree. I think Djokovic will take this in straight sets even if he has to trade breaks back and forth vs rune and both sets become tight.

26-1 vs 18-9 you can compare these two.

In Rome Djokovic was still struggling physically and had just started getting back in form.

In Paris this year the tables have turned and now Rune is starting to get back in form. I think it would be too early for him to register a win. A set is possible but I would not count on it.

Rune vs Nole matches have all been competitive but this one may not be as competitive based on forms coming into the match.
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It's wishful thinking to believe Rune is winning this - but people can wish. I'm tired of Djokovic winning, but unless a few of these younger guys can figure out how to step up, let him keep winning. It's not on Djokovic to make things easier for the field. I hope he continues to play until he stops winning. That could be a long time based on the last few years, but perhaps another ATG will emerge. I just have little hope it will be someone from the current group, but several of them are still young, Rune included. Glad he got Becker to sign on as coach.
 
nachiket nolefam said:
Djokovic doesn't have Roland Garros on his mind right now. I think he will give his best. So it comes down to their match last year. I think Rune game obviously troubles Nole. But last year Djokovic was 2/12 on BP and Rune was 3/3.

This sort of stuff doesn't happen regularly in tennis. Djokovic was better in every stat except bps.

Now coming to this year, Rune has lost how many matches since Rome? Rune is 18-9 and although it was due to injury but it doesn't look great. At the same time Djokovic has gone 26-1 with the only loss being vs Alcaraz in fifth set.

Odds makers are giving Djokovic 77% chance to win and I agree. I think Djokovic will take this in straight sets even if he has to trade breaks back and forth vs rune and both sets become tight.

26-1 vs 18-9 you can compare these two.

In Rome Djokovic was still struggling physically and had just started getting back in form.

In Paris this year the tables have turned and now Rune is starting to get back in form. I think it would be too early for him to register a win. A set is possible but I would not count on it.

Rune vs Nole matches have all been competitive but this one may not be as competitive based on forms coming into the match.
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I honestly don’t see a high ceiling for this guy. I’m more high on Sinner’s potential. Sinner can really crush the ball and his returns is Djokovic-esque. Rune is no future number 1 IMO
 
dking68 said:
I honestly don’t see a high ceiling for this guy. I’m more high on Sinner’s potential. Sinner can really crush the ball and his returns is Djokovic-esque. Rune is no future number 1 IMO
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I agree. I mean, I don't know for certain how great Sinner will become, but very certainly I see him in front of Rune for their whole careers.
 
Djokovirus in 3.

Honestly just hoping for a good match though, he managed to get through his last match despite looking awful so maybe he's healed up by now.
 
Right now, he smells YE #1 like a vicious shark smells blood. Stomach bug or not, a vicious Djoker is still deadlier than Jaws.

Djoker in straight sets.
 
Pheasant said:
Right now, he smells YE #1 like a vicious shark smells blood. Stomach bug or not, a vicious Djoker is still deadlier than Jaws.

Djoker in straight sets.
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True. At least motivation will not be an issue for Djokovic. He is like a hungry shark or wolf.
 
Genie Of the Bank said:
Rune in 2, because Novak has a stomach virus.
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The world still is awaiting the "proof" of the abdominal tear at the AO and those scans that were supposed to be released years ago and never were.

I can't believe anyone falls for this nonsense of being injured, ill or at death's door. Boris won't fall for this tripe and neither should anyone else. The fact Djokovic resorts to mind games before facing Rune is telling.
 
Less than 1 month ago, Rune was losing 6-0 6-2 against the out-of-form Nakashima in the 1st round of Shanghaï. Now we're all here wondering if the world number #1 has a chance to beat him. Funny how quickly things change in tennis. All I'll say is if Djokovic can lose it's today... more likely than against Rublev or Tsitsipas. I just hope we can have the same match as last year but with a different winner this time. :)

BeatlesFan said:
The world still is awaiting the "proof" of the abdominal tear at the AO and those scans that were supposed to be released years ago and never were.

I can't believe anyone falls for this nonsense of being injured, ill or at death's door. Boris won't fall for this tripe and neither should anyone else.
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But Djokovic was coughing yesterday in the corridors of the stadium before the match began. And according to multiple reports in Paris, he spent half of the day in the toilet. Did he fake that too? lol. He is definitely ill, but how much it affects him is the question. Griekspoor played an excellent match yesterday, I think any player would've stuggled against him.
:)
 
BeatlesFan said:
The world still is awaiting the "proof" of the abdominal tear at the AO and those scans that were supposed to be released years ago and never were.

I can't believe anyone falls for this nonsense of being injured, ill or at death's door. Boris won't fall for this tripe and neither should anyone else. The fact Djokovic resorts to mind games before facing Rune is telling.
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I mean, Rune DID beat him exactly here, exactly one year ago so throwing in some mind games is par for the course and Rune hasn't exactly been stellar the last few months due to injury so they've both got excuses ready to go.
 
Djoker already playing mind games by winning the toss and then deferring to Rune for him to choose whether to serve or receive.
 
All black vs all blue kits and both look awful xD Rune should stick to Red and Djokovic looks better in black kits.
 
djoko feelin himself more confortable in blue kit,
 
Rune pulling out the big serves when he needs em, good hold.

Lol Crowd noise and Djokovic giving them the Djokostare. Was it that woman in the crowd?
 
Nice angle from Djokovic for that FH winner! And it was in says hawkeye!

Both are playing well right now but not much drama or big points, hope the match gets better. Been pretty run of the mill so far.
 
Snafu23 said:
Unreal FH by Nole. Wonder what his play couild be like if his strategy wasn't percentage shots based.
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If you want to watch that, go back to 2020 RG finals. Or 2021 RG semis. Or any match vs Nadal post USOpen 2013. He would not play percentages vs his chief rival.
 
BeatlesFan said:
Zedrot constantly lifts up his shirt prior to serving to show his abs. And believe me, Holger's thighs beat Zedrot's abs by 500 trillion percentage points.
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No argument there. Holger's legs are impressive. He's definitely prime candidate to develop a Rafaesque OCD serve tho, with the constant adjusting of the cap and the shorts in his pre-serve routine. Hopefully he'll leave his arse alone lol
 
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