2024 Miami Open ATP Master's 1000 SF - [3] Daniil Medvedev (RUS) v/s [2] Jannik Sinner (ITA)

Win prediction


  • Total voters
    47
  • Poll closed .

Rafa4LifeEver

G.O.A.T.
This will be the 11th meeting between these two, with the lanky Italian having won the last 4 in a row, snapping the lanky Russian's 6 match wins streak against him.

Their last match at Australian open final was a 5 setter, where Sinner came back from 2-0 down to win his first ever slam title.

This Semi-final is also a rematch of the last year's Miami open Final, where Medvedev beat Sinner in straight sets to claim the title in 2023.

So far in this tournament, Sinner has only dropped one set in his tight match with Tallon Griekspoor & Medvedev is yet to drop a set so far.

So, whom would you pick as the favourite? Does Sinner maintain his momentum or will Daniil snap the streak and re-establish himself in the matchup?

Vote and discuss.
 

dking68

Legend
This will be the 11th meeting between these two, with the lanky Italian having won the last 4 in a row, snapping the lanky Russian's 6 match wins streak against him.

Their last match at Australian open final was a 5 setter, where Sinner came back from 2-0 down to win his first ever slam title.

This Semi-final is also a rematch of the last year's Miami open Final, where Medvedev beat Sinner in straight sets to claim the title in 2023.

So far in this tournament, Sinner has only dropped one set in his tight match with Tallon Griekspoor & Medvedev is yet to drop a set so far.

So, whom would you pick as the favourite? Does Sinner maintain his momentum or will Daniil snap the streak and re-establish himself in the matchup?

Vote and discuss.
Sinner is a wrecking machine on hard courts. Sinner in two.
 

tudwell

G.O.A.T.
No idea, but it should be a good one. Just eyeballing form going in, it's hard to see any major chinks from either player this week. Both have skated through their draws clinically while at the same time not really playing more than their standard B- game (strong, but nowhere close to redlining or anything). Both will probably want to bring a little greater urgency and aggression tomorrow, but who will be able to dig deeper on the day? Hard to say, honestly, given who and how they've played so far this tournament. They just haven't had to do that yet.

Sinner's obviously won the last four matches, so probably edge to him, but also those matches were all pretty darn close. He's never just demolished Medvedev and in fact won fewer return points in their last two meetings. My gut's telling me Meddy gets revenge here (maybe he builds on his AO strategy, which worked like a peach for the first two sets), but of course a Sinner win would hardly be a surprise.
 
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DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
This will be the 11th meeting between these two, with the lanky Italian having won the last 4 in a row, snapping the lanky Russian's 6 match wins streak against him.

Their last match at Australian open final was a 5 setter, where Sinner came back from 2-0 down to win his first ever slam title.

This Semi-final is also a rematch of the last year's Miami open Final, where Medvedev beat Sinner in straight sets to claim the title in 2023.

So far in this tournament, Sinner has only dropped one set in his tight match with Tallon Griekspoor & Medvedev is yet to drop a set so far.

So, whom would you pick as the favourite? Does Sinner maintain his momentum or will Daniil snap the streak and re-establish himself in the matchup?

Vote and discuss.
'Chicken legs' in 3 sets.
Revenge time for the good sinner against the mad Russian.
:)
 

bluetrain4

G.O.A.T.
Sinner got over the Med hump in a big way, taking the last 4. But, the matches continue to be close and intriguing. Expecting a good battle. Hard courts, best of 3, I think Med could pull the upset. Flip side, this is a different Sinner than last year's Miami, obviously, and Sinner could just as easily take down Med. I think Sinner has more "scoreboard range" than Med - i.e., if Med wins, I'd think it would be relatively close, as where Sinner could win a close match or win in a more routine fashion (like 6-3, 6-4). I never discount Med's ability, which I think some people still do
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Sinner got over the Med hump in a big way, taking the last 4. But, the matches continue to be close and intriguing. Expecting a good battle. Hard courts, best of 3, I think Med could pull the upset. Flip side, this is a different Sinner than last year's Miami, obviously, and Sinner could just as easily take down Med. I think Sinner has more "scoreboard range" than Med - i.e., if Med wins, I'd think it would be relatively close, as where Sinner could win a close match or win in a more routine fashion (like 6-3, 6-4). I never discount Med's ability, which I think some people still do
It's not an upset. It's world number 4 vs 3.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Sinners B game is better than Medvedev’s A game and Medvedev is in his peak. Sinner isn’t. Sinner in straights
I am not sure if the first sentence is true. All 4 top players can beat each other. Long term Sinner will be better than Meddy as he gets stronger. Meddy is at his absolute peak.
 

neytron

Semi-Pro
Meddy took advantage of Sinner being a late bloomer winning the first six H2H. From now on it's one way traffic.
It's one way traffic, because Medvedev's serve has declined a lot over the past year, while Sinner's has improved greatly. That's the difference. In serving leaderboard over the last 52 weeks Sinner in 7th place, Medvedev in 29th. In 2022 Sinner was in 37th place, Medvedev in 14th. In 2021 Sinner was in 34th place, Medvedev in 9th.
 
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NYTennisfan

Professional
Sinner got over the Med hump in a big way, taking the last 4. But, the matches continue to be close and intriguing. Expecting a good battle. Hard courts, best of 3, I think Med could pull the upset. Flip side, this is a different Sinner than last year's Miami, obviously, and Sinner could just as easily take down Med. I think Sinner has more "scoreboard range" than Med - i.e., if Med wins, I'd think it would be relatively close, as where Sinner could win a close match or win in a more routine fashion (like 6-3, 6-4). I never discount Med's ability, which I think some people still do
Agreed, especially the last sentence. Meddy being underestimated again by some in this thread. He's an elite hard court player, never count him out against ANYBODY even the newly GOATed lanky Italian.
 
It's not an upset. It's world number 4 vs 3.

It wouldn’t surprise me at all if Medvedev won, but it would be a small upset as Sinner is a -190 to -200 favorite just about everywhere which implies a solid favorite.

Both Medvedev and Alexander Zverev are playing well enough to beat anybody and they could ruin the the final, most of us want to see (unless Grigor Dimitrov does it first).
 

mental midget

Hall of Fame
tough call...sinner should win, but i have a high degree of respect for what meddy does out there. he finds the holes if they're there, and always asks the question at the very least. if he's hitting those precise 125mph first serves in the corners, we could certainly be in for some tiebreakers.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Meddy has really become Sinner's pigeon right now. Hopefully that doesn't become a complete 1 way matchup from here onwards. He is the one who can consistently be in slam semis and finals. If he stops winning even 1 match vs Sinner, Sinner is going to dominate like anything.
Hopefully today is the day.
 

hades11

New User
7/10 odds for over 11.5 games. You’d need him to win a set. Similar bet Medvedev to win a set or over 21.5/22.5 games. I honesty can’t call it. If had to bet I’d say it goes 3 sets.
Yeah thinking it goes to 3 as well. As for Zverev don't know he didn't look that great yesterday just solid. Can go either way here.
 
Anyone got any good bets for this? Over 22.5 games for 4/6 or Sinner win at 1/2 looks tempting,

As for Zverev-Dimitrov, Zverev win at 8/13 is decent considering their h2h.
Moneyline is a tricky bet in either match. Sinner has become a solid favorite, so betting on him straight up doesn’t have much value. You would think Zverev would be a bigger favorite considering the h-t-h and the way Zverev is playing, but Chainz can play a terrible match out of nowhere and Dimitrov has nothing to lose out there these days, and is playing some of his best tennis. I also get paranoid when a player has won so many matches in a row vs. another as it seems bound to break up soon or later.
 
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