2024 US Open 2R: [1] Jannik Sinner (ITA) vs [14] Tommy Paul (USA)

[Aabye5]

This deserves a poll. Yes, Jannik Sinner is the world number #1 for a reason. Yes, he is the heavy favorite. And yes, he won their last match fairly handily.

However, Tommy Paul does have one win over Sinner and is having a pretty good year himself. Even if you think he doesn't stand a chance at winning the match, how it goes down could have a big impact on the quarterfinals.

Remember, only one of these guys is an Olympic medalist

 

[timmyy]

2R? Again???

 

[Aabye5]

2R? Again???

Darn time loop...

 

[Rosstour]

If TP is gonna win this, he has to blitz. Has to be in 3 or 4. I'm hoping for that

 

[kevin qmto]

Thrilled to see every single vote so far is for Paul lol. It’s wishful thinking but it would make not being able to watch the rest of the us open worth it. (I have AT&T and their ESPN contract expired and apparently it could be days or weeks until they renegotiate a new one)

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Sinner in 4 sets!

 

[Spin Diesel]

I expect the fistpumping killer-carrot to win, hope I don't jinx it with that. Would also love to see another round of the octopus fighting a carrot heavyweight battle.

 

[Winners or Errors]

I will be pleasantly surprised if Paul can win this match, but I'm not holding my breath. He'll give us some hope by winning one set, and then fade in the end.

 

[buscemi]

H2H is 2-1 for Sinner, with 3 matches on 3 different surfaces: Sinner won a three setter in Madrid on clay in 2022, Paul won a three setter in Eastbourne on grass in 2022, and Sinner won a straight setter in Canada on hard courts in 2023. Should be a fun match before a raucous Labor Day crowd.

 

[Tennis Fan States63]

Darn time loop...

Jean-Claude got this.....

 

[BretH]

I'd like Paul to win but my interest in watching this ranks just below watching paint dry.

 

[jimjam]

I've put $60 on Paul. 7 to 1.

Pray for me

 

[Vincent-C]

Carrot in four, I think.

 

[Rovesciarete]

H2H is 2-1 for Sinner, with 3 matches on 3 different surfaces: Sinner won a three setter in Madrid on clay in 2022, Paul won a three setter in Eastbourne on grass in 2022, and Sinner won a straight setter in Canada on hard courts in 2023. Should be a fun match before a raucous Labor Day crowd.

No surprise that Paul got that single narrow win on grass against 2022 Sinner which had a underwhelming record on that strange surface. Tommy is surprisingly high on the overall Elo and yearly Elo ranking, although the gap to Jannik is bigger on hard court. An almost European American. Now he is in his prime, doing very well indeed in 2024.

Rank​	Player​	Age​	Elo​	​	HardRaw​	ClayRaw​	GrassRaw​	​	hElo​	cElo​	gElo​	​	Peak Match​	Peak Age​	Peak Elo​
1​	Jannik Sinner​	22.9​	2251.6​	​	2186.7​	1975.5​	1842.4​	​	2219.1​	2113.6​	2047.0​	​	2024 Monte Carlo QF​	22.6​	2271.1​
2​	Novak Djokovic​	37.1​	2200.3​	​	2103.3​	2002.3​	1911.9​	​	2151.8​	2101.3​	2056.1​	​	2016 Miami F​	28.8​	2470.3​
3​	Carlos Alcaraz​	21.2​	2194.8​	​	2017.4​	2067.9​	1980.2​	​	2106.1​	2131.3​	2087.5​	​	2023 Canada R16​	20.2​	2239.6​
4​	Daniil Medvedev​	28.5​	2074.2​	​	2015.4​	1835.7​	1762.4​	​	2044.8​	1954.9​	1918.3​	​	2022 Australian Open SF​	25.9​	2191.9​
5​	Alexander Zverev​	27.3​	2065.7​	​	1952.0​	1967.9​	1689.6​	​	2008.9​	2016.8​	1877.7​	​	2022 Atp Cup RR​	24.7​	2161.7​
6​	Grigor Dimitrov​	33.2​	2018.2​	​	1920.7​	1808.0​	1659.4​	​	1969.4​	1913.1​	1838.8​	​	2014 Canada QF​	23.2​	2090.6​
7​	Hubert Hurkacz​	27.4​	2017.7​	​	1890.2​	1824.6​	1769.5​	​	1953.9​	1921.2​	1893.6​	​	2024 Canada R16​	27.4​	2023.8​
8​	Casper Ruud​	25.6​	1982.0​	​	1832.5​	1952.2​	1437.5​	​	1907.2​	1967.1​	1709.7​	​	2022 Roland Garros SF​	23.4​	2064.0​
9​	Tommy Paul​	27.2​	1977.5​	​	1842.8​	1766.7​	1771.9​	​	1910.1​	1872.1​	1874.7​	​	2024 Paris Olympics R16​	27.2​	2010.3​
10​	Holger Rune​	21.2​	1973.3​	​	1860.9​	1875.7​	1665.9​	​	1917.1​	1924.5​	1819.6​	​	2023 Roland Garros R16​	20.0​	2070.1​

 

[Aabye5]

Need this to go 4 at least...

 

[taylor15]

Tommy Paul in 4, not even sweating in the end

 

[Vincent-C]

Tommy Paul in 4, not even sweating in the end

troll-a-matic ?

 

[taylor15]

troll-a-matic ?

Nah, I have this weird belief in Tommy Paul and Jack Draper this week. I could be absolutely wrong and he gets smoked, but not trolling. I think he’ll take the first two, drop three and take the fourth.

 

[Vincent-C]

Nah, I have this weird belief in Tommy Paul and Jack Draper this week. I could be absolutely wrong and he gets smoked, but not trolling. I think he’ll take the first two, drop three and take the fourth.

Cool. That would be fun-

 

[ACE of Hearts]

I expect paul to crap his shorts here.

 

[Oval_Solid]

who is this terrible commentator?

 

[ACE of Hearts]

Already pathetic stuff from paul lol.

 

[Vincent-C]

Can Pommie Tall give Carrot any trouble here?

edit: No.

 

[Aabye5]

Can Pommie Tall give Carrot any trouble here?

edit: No.

Looks like no. TP is about to get broken in the first game.

 

[Vincent-C]

Looks like no. TP is about to get broken in the first game.

Roll it, Carrot..

 

[ACE of Hearts]

Paul survives his first game

 

[Oval_Solid]

why isnt courier working this match?

 

[nolefam_2024]

Sinner vs Paul

True start of hard court matches

 

[NeutralFan]

Damn, Sinner is a machine , agressive Sinner is unstoppable. Medvedev has no chance if Sinner plays like this.

 

[ACE of Hearts]

Paul draws first blood and breaks.

 

[ACE of Hearts]

Damn, Sinner is a machine , agressive Sinner is unstoppable. Medvedev has no chance if Sinner plays like this.l

Lol

 

[RSJfan]

 

[nolefam_2024]

Paul strangled sinner and broke him

Good start

 

[Oval_Solid]

fast courts favoring new balance guy

 

[KingCarlitos]

Sinner broken early, Wouldn’t be surprised to Paul take the first set.

 

[NeutralFan]

Lol

That was before he got broken lol. I still see Sinner in straight

 

[NeutralFan]

Sinner needs to wake up

 

[legcramp]

Come on, who's at the US Open in the crowd? Don't do a USA chant, start a CARROT JUICE chant.

 

[nolefam_2024]

Paul is thrashing sinner

 

[SteffiGoat]

Another break. This should seal the set for Tommy

 

[nolefam_2024]

Sinner is like mr t and Paul is rocky Balboa

Sinner is getting punched out now. Paul straggling.

 

[flyingboris]

Just tuned in, kind of an unexpected scoreline!

 

[NeutralFan]

Sinner is making tons of unforced errors and playing like Carlos

 

[KingCarlitos]

Paul is beginning to sweep now.

 

[Racquet_smash]

No serve no groundstrokes no variety

What is Sinner doing?

 

[caprivi]

Sinner rope-a-doping

 

[ACE of Hearts]

Paul looks early can he keep this up? This could be a 4 or 5 setter .

 

[Trip]

Seal in Sinner's box? LOL

 

[Oval_Solid]

sinner is toast

 

[timmyy]

Well, well, well...

Even though I've seen Paul play at a very high level on 1st set before and just can't keep the same level.