Although it's highly unlikely that he beats Djokovic on such slick HCs, I'd still want to see them clash in BO5 on a HC.
Djokovic has won both of their BO3 HC matches so far. While the Cincinnati one was a massive stupidity by Alcaraz, he stood no chance whatsoever at Turin 2023 SF.
Charlie won't even reach the QFs. And if he does, and if he wants the CS, the least he should be expected to do is to take down a 38 yo Novak Djokovic.
Charlie won't even reach the QFs. And if he does, and if he wants the CS, the least he should be expected to do is to take down a 38 yo Novak Djokovic.
Realistically speaking, Djoko would be the favourite in a potential QF clash, because he is still the better slick HC player between the 2 of them (unless Alcaraz shows us otherwise at AO). Although it shouldn't be like this, it is what it is; and it'd definitely be shameful for Alcaraz to lose to Djokovic in a slam match at this stage, even if its a slick HC.
Zed has shown that he can beat Alcaraz very easily in last year's ATP finals, and with the current form of Djokovic, I'd say he has a really good chance. But sinner has the easiest semi of all time, I mean Fritz can only do something against Zverev, otherwise he is dead. Lol.
Definitely not a name you expect to see in the first round, but he's 1-4 in Australia and has a losing record on hard courts. First round at the French? Yeah, that'd suck. Here, I think he might be able to play Sinner close for a set or two at most, but doubt it's anything tougher than a straightforward four-set win (and probably straights).
But turned around in sets 2 and 3. Jarry played well overall, but he couldn't touch Sinner on his own serve in sets 2 and 3. Not even a single deuce on Sinner's serve after set 1. Very close set 1, but extremely predictable for the rest of the match. And even in set 1, Jarry had more UEs than winners. His risks were just paying off. Of course, that isn't to discredit Jarry. He played high level tennis, but compared to the heights Jannik can hit, it was inevitable unless Jarry played perfectly - which he didn't.
But turned around in sets 2 and 3. Jarry played well overall, but he couldn't touch Sinner on his own serve in sets 2 and 3. Not even a single deuce on Sinner's serve after set 1. Very close set 1, but extremely predictable for the rest of the match. And even in set 1, Jarry had more UEs than winners. His risks were just paying off. Of course, that isn't to discredit Jarry. He played high level tennis, but compared to the heights Jannik can hit, it was inevitable unless Jarry played perfectly - which he didn't.
He took Sinner to two TBs, the commentator said that's only happened once before (top seed facing two TBs in R1) and it was Rafa
I didn't say Jarry was gonna win but that's way closer than Sinner wanted and I don't think any of you would have tipped Jarry to force two TBs against the best player in the world
Sinner doesnt lose R1, its as simple as that . When i think of which has the tougher draw i usually think about R4/QF and out. Sinner couldnt ask for a better draw imo.
He took Sinner to two TBs, the commentator said that's only happened once before (top seed facing two TBs in R1) and it was Rafa
I didn't say Jarry was gonna win but that's way closer than Sinner wanted and I don't think any of you would have tipped Jarry to force two TBs against the best player in the world
It was closer than I thought, but in the end I can't consider anything short of a decent chance of an early exit a "nightmare draw".
Opelka v Djokovic would be a nightmare if it happens because Djokovic historically suffers against big servers and Opelka just beat him earlier this year. Decent chances of actually losing.
Jarry had the tools to get some effort out of Jannik, but I don't think he was ever going to upset him.
Hey all, 2025 Grand Slam season begins with the Aussie Open! Here's the top 6 contenders:
Jannik Sinner +150
Carlos Alcaraz +350
Novak Djokovic +450
Alexander Zverev +1200
Daniil Medvedev +1500
Taylor Fritz +3000
The most major contenders are obviously the first 3, but we'll include up the top 4 seeds (Sinner, Zverev, Alcaraz, Fritz) and the 2 contenders with rankings under Fritz but odds better than him (Djokovic and Medvedev).
Quarter 1 - Sinner
R1: Jarry
R2: Daniel
R3: Cobolli
R4: Rune/Hurkacz
QF: De Minaur/Tsitsipas
SF: Medvedev/Fritz
F: Alcaraz/Djokovic
Sinner doesnt lose R1, its as simple as that . When i think of which has the tougher draw i usually think about R4/QF and out. Sinner couldnt ask for a better draw imo.
Hey all, 2025 Grand Slam season begins with the Aussie Open! Here's the top 6 contenders:
Jannik Sinner +150
Carlos Alcaraz +350
Novak Djokovic +450
Alexander Zverev +1200
Daniil Medvedev +1500
Taylor Fritz +3000
The most major contenders are obviously the first 3, but we'll include up the top 4 seeds (Sinner, Zverev, Alcaraz, Fritz) and the 2 contenders with rankings under Fritz but odds better than him (Djokovic and Medvedev).
Quarter 1 - Sinner
R1: Jarry
R2: Daniel
R3: Cobolli
R4: Rune/Hurkacz
QF: De Minaur/Tsitsipas
SF: Medvedev/Fritz
F: Alcaraz/Djokovic
Well we've just finished R2/R3 and one of our contenders has bit the dust. Contender 6, we hardly knew ye. As for the others, I'm adjusting their draws to their actual opponents and new projected opponents.
Quarter 1 - Sinner
R1: Jarry
R2: Schoolkate
R3: Giron
R4: Rune
QF: De Minaur
SF: Fritz
F: Alcaraz/Djokovic
Sinner's draw has gotten much easier. Hurkacz as a big server can be trouble when 100%, Rune plays the game Sinner's more comfortable with. Same goes for AdM in the QFs, and with no possibility of a great Medvedev showing up, the SF is also easier.
Kyrgios R3 dropping to Fearnley was definitely a good thing for Zverev and the Ruud QF has become a Paul QF, which honestly might seem harder to deal with. Not significant changes though, Humbert made the R4 and Paul's no slouch in the projected QF.
. When i think of which has the tougher draw i usually think about R4/QF and out. Sinner couldnt ask for a better draw imo.
