2025 US Open F: [1] Jannik Sinner vs [2] Carlos Alcaraz

[Kralingen]

The big one, folks, the Grand Salami, the last Slam match of 2025.

First HC Slam Final meeting and first USO meeting since the epic in 2022. Bigger stakes than just the Slam, as the winner will take #1 as well. Alcaraz comes into the match having dropped zero sets, but Sinner has dropped fewer games overall (52 vs 58).

Sinner should be slight favourite in betting odds, will post when available.

Hoping for another classic.

 

[Third Serve]

Hoping this tops even the RG final! It’ll be hard to do so but we’ll see.

Based on how the SFs went, neither player looks to be at their best so this will be interesting.

 

[Tomxc]

Please make the poll have a closing time before the match starts like the SF polls

 

[Jonas78]

Could go both ways. If Sinner can keep his 1st serve in > 60% he is my favourite to win.

 

[tudwell]

Sinner in a comfortable four sets, like at Wimbledon.

 

[D.Nalby12]

We have got Sinner - Alcaraz final in last 3 slams. That's big 3 level rivalry right there. I didn't think we will get next dominant champions so early after end of Big 3 era.

 

[Kralingen]

Please make the poll have a closing time before the match starts like the SF polls

Done.

 

[Carax]

TTW looking forward to this match:

https://imgur.com/I3Qvsrd

 

[D.Nalby12]

I think Sinner will win. He is better hard court player. If Alcaraz wants to win slams against Sinner - he should focus on clay and Grass.

 

[Rosstour]

Alcaraz has looked too good. Sinner looks great but not his best. Was tested twice and Carlos just hasn’t been as troubled by “mugs”

 

[TennisGrandpA]

So here we are again , can Carlos takes the revenge or Sinner will keep proving hey he’s basically a Nadal on HC ? I pick Sinner in 4

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Alcaraz has looked too good. Sinner looks great but not his best. Was tested twice and Carlos just hasn’t been as troubled by “mugs”

Carlos can definitely beat Sinner but he should stay focussed and hit his form from the get go, can’t afford mental lapses like he had at Wimbledon

 

[Kralingen]

TTW looking forward to this match:

https://imgur.com/I3Qvsrd

Just 5 years ago we had Zverev-Thiem.

The year after, we had to watch Medvedev lift the title in one of the darkest days of tennis history, then disgrace the final once more in 2023. Finally, we have two stars turning the US Open into a spectacle again.

 

[tennisjedi]

Alcaraz won in 5 at RG in 2024 and 2025.
Sinner won in 4 at Wimbledon in 2022 and 2025.
Alcaraz won in 5 at USO in 2022.

Hopefully history repeats and Alcaraz wins in another 5 set classic just like their match 3 years ago.

 

[Rosstour]

Carlos can definitely beat Sinner but he should stay focussed and hit his form from the get go, can’t afford mental lapses like he had at Wimbledon

He cannot resort to drop shots. Felix honestly might have bigger serve +1 combo than Carlos. Alcaraz will be under pressure the entire time and can’t get free serve points as easily as FAA did today. I just think Sinner is kinda at 85-88% rn and that could be enough considering Carlos looks like a Shaolin monk at the moment

 

[EddieChang]

I think Sinner will win. He is better hard court player. If Alcaraz wants to win slams against Sinner - he should focus on clay and Grass.

Loser mentality if Nadal was thinking like you he would have not won slams outside of clay and against prime djokovic and prime fed

 

[CarlitosWay]

Vamos!

 

[dking68]

The big one, folks, the Grand Salami, the last Slam match of 2025.

First HC Slam Final meeting and first USO meeting since the epic in 2022. Bigger stakes than just the Slam, as the winner will take #1 as well. Alcaraz comes into the match having dropped zero sets, but Sinner has dropped fewer games overall (52 vs 58).

Sinner should be slight favourite in betting odds, will post when available.

Hoping for another classic.

This is USO 2015 vibes honestly

 

[dking68]

Sinner in a comfortable four sets, like at Wimbledon.

Why is that your pick?

 

[Magneto89]

A lot will depend on how Jannik recovers from now until match time. His first serve % was uncharacteristically low, if he's not feeling 100%, I don't see him beating Carlos who's coming into this match without dropping a set

 

[D.Nalby12]

Loser mentality if Nadal was thinking like you he would have not won slams outside of clay and against prime djokovic and prime fed

Nadal rarely won slams against Big 3 off clay. Alcaraz may rarely beat Sinner will on HC - but not regularly. On clay and grass he stands better chance..

 

[EddieChang]

This is USO 2015 vibes honestly

I disagree djokovic owns Fed at that point except in not important tornaments

 

[TheWizardFromElPalmar]

Carlitos will crush the cheater in 3. Clostebol boy will get destroyed.

 

[EddieChang]

Nadal rarely won slams against Big 3 off clay. Alcaraz may rarely beat Sinner will on HC - but not regularly. On clay and grass he stands better chance..

Still leads 6-2

 

[dking68]

I disagree djokovic owns Fed at that point except in not important tornaments

Fed won Cincy convincingly and had a comfortable run to the final and ended up losing in 4 sets @Kralingen

 

[CarlitosWay]

I think Sinner will win. He is better hard court player. If Alcaraz wants to win slams against Sinner - he should focus on clay and Grass.

Too funny. Beanpole fans are so desperate.

 

[RG GOD]

Alcaraz will win and will recover nº1.

 

[TennisGrandpA]

He cannot resort to drop shots. Felix honestly might have bigger serve +1 combo than Carlos. Alcaraz will be under pressure the entire time and can’t get free serve points as easily as FAA did today. I just think Sinner is kinda at 85-88% rn and that could be enough considering Carlos looks like a Shaolin monk at the moment

Tbh Carlos is serving fine this USO and Sinner himself is not serving well , Carlos has more weapons under his arsenal than MugAA. Match will be 60-40 Sinner.

 

[EddieChang]

Fed won Cincy convincingly and had a comfortable run to the final and ended up losing in 4 sets @Kralingen

Fed was years from winning his last slam or beating djokovic in bo5 people never doubted his ability in BO3

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Nadal rarely won slams against Big 3 off clay. Alcaraz may rarely beat Sinner will on HC - but not regularly. On clay and grass he stands better chance..

Really? He literally beat big 3 for all his slams till 2014 except 2 slams in 2010. You’re mistaking Fed for Nadal who dominated lesser players to win his maximum slams lol

 

[Dilexson]

Honestly i can't pick a winner here, they both look equally matched. And I LOVE that! Carlos rolled over basically everyone and Sinner did that too against all the 'mugs' except the two Canadians who were playing pretty well for multiple sets.
Looking forward.

 

[bluetrain4]

Here. We. Go!!

 

[CarlitosWay]

70% chance of rain on Sunday. Roof probably closed for final. Some will claim that favors Beanpole. Open or closed, Carlitos is the peoples favorite to win another U.S. Open.

Vamos!

 

[Murciarules]

I think Sinner played better players and Carlos results are inflated by the trash draw. Tigh game epic 5 setter coming

 

[Kralingen]

70% chance of rain on Sunday. Roof probably closed for final. Some will claim that favors Beanpole. Open or closed, Carlitos is the peoples favorite to win another U.S. Open.

Vamos!

If the roof is up, that’s a massive, massive advantage for Sinner. Potentially decisive.

The only time he can get his first serve % above 60 these days is under a roof. Would help his relatively cleaner ball striking too.

If the roof is up, mark my words, Jannik Sinner will be your US Open champion.

 

[Murciarules]

70% chance of rain on Sunday. Roof probably closed for final. Some will claim that favors Beanpole. Open or closed, Carlitos is the peoples favorite to win another U.S. Open.

Vamos!

Rain will stop way before start of the game.

 

[roysid]

If I had to take one key point of the match it's at Djokovic serving 3-1 30-30 . He had the chance to hit a clean winner with forehand. But he hit straight at carlos and the next shot he tried to pin but carlos hit an excellent slice fh to win the point.
Had Novak blasted an winner that time he would be 4-1 up and favourite to win second set

 

[dking68]

If the roof is up, that’s a massive, massive advantage for Sinner. Potentially decisive.

I feel bad though, my bet is basically gonna go to waste.

 

[flyneurologist]

I hope for a competitive 5-set with Sinner winning his first 5-set slam match against Alcaraz.

 

[Murciarules]

The NY crowd seems to like more Carlos, i expect Alcaraz to weaponize her like he did in RG to be able to comeback

 

[CarlitosWay]

Rain will stop way before start of the game.

Don't really care. I was reporting the weather forecast, obviously you think you decide the weather.

As I said, open or closed, Carlitos is the peoples favorite to win another U.S. Open title.

 

[AIMCHUTY]

Alcaraz in 4

 

[Poisoned Slice]

It's on. Blud will get the treatment.

 

[Murciarules]

Don't really care. I was reporting the weather forecast, obviously you think you decide the weather.

As I said, open or closed, Carlitos is the peoples favorite to win another U.S. Open title.

Who says is the "people" favorite?
Also radar forecast says rain stopping 2 hours before not me.

 

[KevinDouglas]

Alcaraz in 3

 

[CarlitosWay]

Who says is the "people" favorite?
Also radar forecast says rain stopping 2 hours before not me.

The people say. Go to bed Beanpole fan.

 

[Murciarules]

The people say. Go to bed Beanpole fan.

LoL another fangirl

 

[TheFifthSet]

I really dunno how to call this, too many mixed signals, but I'll stick with my pre-tourny pick, Sinner in 4.

 

[Kralingen]

Honestly think this one comes down to which coach will prepare a better gameplan. Both have been dominant yet visibly vulnerable at stages ; Alcaraz’s serve is still attackable, and rushing him still works on HC, while his decision making on touch shots has been downright shocking. Sinner’s first serve has been a discombobulated mess all tournament and while he’s been dominant, he is not in his marauding line-hitting ball striking form. There are chinks in the armour of both men, but both require risk-taking to expose, and good luck with that. Such a tactically enthralling match up. Can Ferrero match Cahill and Vagnozzi?

 

[Genie Of the Bank]

The Baldy in 4 sets, it will be a hell of a match.