2025 Wimbledon R32 - [2] Carlos Alcaraz Garfia (SPN) v/s Jan-Lennard Struff (GER)

[Rafa4LifeEver]

H2H -
Alcaraz leads 3-1

Last match -
2024 Madrid open ATP M1000 R16 - Alcaraz def. Struff 63 67(4) 76(5)

Last Grass match -
2022 Wimbledon R128 - Alcaraz def. Struff 46 75 46 76(3) 64

Who wins? How many sets?

Discuss & vote.

 

[Mark Anderson]

The path is clearing for the young man.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Raz in 4!

 

[DSH]

Raz in 4!

Will he be distracted on a set?

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Will he be distracted on a set?

I think so or the German will have an inspired set.

These dropped sets help Alcaraz though and get him battle tested for later rounds

 

[Hitman]

The path is clearing for the young man.

FAA wasn't exactly some big roadblock for him here.

 

[tudwell]

Alcaraz always goes the distance with Struff. Anything less than five sets will be a shocker!

 

[paolo2143]

Think if Struff plays the way he usually does against Carlos he will make it a tough match but I am going for Carlos in 4 sets.

 

[ibbi]

Will be interesting to see how Struff rebounds after playing a couple of sets today. If he is up for it, this could be war. When they played here in 2022, Alcaraz didn't win, he esCAPED.

 

[Poisoned Slice]

Alcaraz in 3

 

[dking68]

Alcaraz always goes the distance with Struff. Anything less than five sets will be a shocker!

I put Struff in five

 

[Winners or Errors]

Carlitos in three unless he’s on walkabout.

 

[tudwell]

I put Struff in five

Also a possibility. I think Alcaraz probably wins in a tough four or five setter. Next likeliest possibility is Struff winning. Alcaraz winning easily in straights is less likely.

 

[djokovic the conqueror]

Struff in 4. Alcaraz won't be as lucky as the last time they met on grass.

He's always been a difficult matchup for Alcaraz. This time I think he wins.

 

[dking68]

Also a possibility. I think Alcaraz probably wins in a tough four or five setter. Next likeliest possibility is Struff winning. Alcaraz winning easily in straights is less likely.

I got Sinner winning this title irregardless

 

[bullfan]

Struff in 4. Alcaraz won't be as lucky as the last time they met on grass.

He's always been a difficult matchup for Alcaraz. This time I think he wins.

isnt it a hope...

 

[ChrisJR3264]

I put Struff in five

Put or got?

 

[Third Serve]

Struff can be annoying to deal with on grass but Alcaraz will surely win this. Might mess around for a set or so, though.

 

[mightyjeditribble]

Struff can play on grass. But I count on Alcaraz to come through. Carlos in 4.

 

[DSH]

isnt it a hope...

He's afraid his idol will lose to Alcaraz again at Wimbledon.
It won't happen as Sinner will send him home one round before the final.

 

[Nappa]

Before voting, I need to know whether Ferrero is locking him up in his room or instead the young kid is free to visit his female friends during nights

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Alcaraz in 3

In 5

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

In 5

In 4

 

[TennisGrandpA]

In 4

Struff is actually a good grass courter and can get hot against magnanimous Carlos

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Struff is actually a good grass courter and can get hot against magnanimous Carlos

True. I think he could give Carlos a good game.

 

[TennisGrandpA]

True. I think he could give Carlos a good game.

Inshaallah my friend, may Struff win tonight because i don’t see Sinner beating Carlos here

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Inshaallah my friend, may Struff win tonight because i don’t see Sinner beating Carlos here

You hoping for a Carlos upset? To clear the path for the Italian maestro. I agree if Carlos went out, sinner’s eyes will light up. The pattern is when Carlos loses early sinner wins the tournament. I don’t think Carlos loses but if he does it sinner who the biggest beneficiary no doubt.

 

[speedysteve]

I voted for Raz to have woken up this morning, smelt great coffee and to put this one away in 3

 

[tudwell]

I got Sinner winning this title irregardless

I think if Alcaraz makes the final he wins. But we’ll see if he can get there or if he is indeed getting worn down by all the tennis he’s played the last couple months.

Thankfully he has a pretty favorable draw, overall. Facing Struff early before the grass is gone is honestly one of the biggest challenges lined up for him here. I don’t think he’ll lose, but I do think he’s likelier to lose tomorrow than in any other round before the final.

 

[Soul_Evisceration]

If this were a first round match, Struff would of been fresher and the grass would of been slicker/faster.

However at this point, Struff is more tired and Alcaraz seems to find his rhythm.

Alcaraz in 4 sets.

 

[dking68]

I think if Alcaraz makes the final he wins. But we’ll see if he can get there or if he is indeed getting worn down by all the tennis he’s played the last couple months.

Thankfully he has a pretty favorable draw, overall. Facing Struff early before the grass is gone is honestly one of the biggest challenges lined up for him here. I don’t think he’ll lose, but I do think he’s likelier to lose tomorrow than in any other round before the final.

I find that Alcaraz fans, they always want him to win, but don’t you think he’s due for a letdown? He won’t be always dominating his rival all the time, nor will he win in the fifth set.

I actually think, and many other analysts believe Sinner is going to break the duck somewhere and I think here is the best place to do it.

 

[Rafa.the.Magnificent]

I’m calling for Struff in 5, because I’ve always liked him, he plays great tennis, and I want a tense, exciting, cliffhanging match!

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

I find that Alcaraz fans, they always want him to win, but don’t you think he’s due for a letdown? He won’t be always dominating his rival all the time, nor will he win in the fifth set.

I actually think, and many other analysts believe Sinner is going to break the duck somewhere and I think here is the best place to do it.

Wouldn’t hard courts not be the best place to do it?

 

[tudwell]

I find that Alcaraz fans, they always want him to win, but don’t you think he’s due for a letdown? He won’t be always dominating his rival all the time, nor will he win in the fifth set.

I actually think, and many other analysts believe Sinner is going to break the duck somewhere and I think here is the best place to do it.

Well, hard court is obviously the best place to do it. It’s true, he won’t win every slam final, every fifth set, and he has to lose sometime, but until he does I remain fairly confident. The business end of Wimbledon in particular seems to bring out his best tennis, so as long as he manages his early hurdles, I like his chances.

 

[dking68]

Wouldn’t hard courts not be the best place to do it?

Thing about Alcaraz is that Sinner has really closed down on his turf. Sinner may have lost 5 in a row, but four of them were played on his most favorable surface, and he's not even outplaying Sinner. Hes barely getting by. And I just think that as good as a player, Sinner is, I can't see him losing 6 in a row. That's why I picked him to win because I think he will get a real test from the Old wolf in the semifinals and when he beats him, its gonna give him a major confidence boost to perform in the final.

Also here are my thoughts:

-Sinner hasn't won a title in 6 months
- Will prevent the win streak from 6-0
-Prevents Alcaraz from winning 6 slams

It's written in the stars @tudwell @Djokovic_is_the_best#1

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Thing about Alcaraz is that Sinner has really closed down on his turf. Sinner may have lost 5 in a row, but four of them were played on his most favorable surface, and he's not even outplaying Sinner. Hes barely getting by. And I just think that as good as a player, Sinner is, I can't see him losing 6 in a row. That's why I picked him to win because I think he will get a real test from the Old wolf in the semifinals and when he beats him, its gonna give him a major confidence boost to perform in the final.

I agree that sinner could do with a long match before the final. If say he beats Djokovic in 5 sets it probably prepares him better for alcaraz. He needs more longer matches under his belt to prove he can last distance especially against raz.

 

[ACE of Hearts]

Alcaraz better bring his game. Struff can be dangerous. Took him to 5 sets at Wimbledon years ago.

 

[dking68]

I agree that sinner could do with a long match before the final. If say he beats Djokovic in 5 sets it probably prepares him better for alcaraz. He needs more longer matches under his belt to prove he can last distance especially against raz.

I actually like Sinners draw. It’s going to get him warm before the final. Djokovic isn’t gonna be easy but he will succeed IMO. And that will battle prep him for the final

 

[Kralingen]

JLS vs JCF.

 

[dking68]

JLS vs JCF.

I’m actually scared for Carlos for this match. This could actually go 5 again

 

[TennisGrandpA]

I’m actually scared for Carlos for this match. This could actually go 5 again

Would be lovely if it goes to 5

 

[Kralingen]

I’m actually scared for Carlos for this match. This could actually go 5 again

I have Struff in straights if Alcaraz showed up with his Fognini form. It would be incredibly tough to win playing like that.

Good news is he’s more rested and should be better prepared. Struff has lost a step since their tussles in ‘22/23… he’s beatable.

 

[TennisGrandpA]

I have Struff in straights if Alcaraz showed up with his Fognini form. It would be incredibly tough to win playing like that.

Good news is he’s more rested and should be better prepared. Struff has lost a step since their tussles in ‘22/23… he’s beatable.

Problem is Carlos usually play to the level of his opponents, so he will not lose in straights

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

JLS vs JCF.

JCF wins

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

I’m actually scared for Carlos for this match. This could actually go 5 again

Carlos wins! He only drops 1 set at most.

 

[Vincent-C]

Go. Struff!

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Go. Struff!

Man , I am tired of Carlos winning matches by sheer luck , his fans are mocking us as if he destroyed Sinner in straights while in reality he was getting dominated and should have lost to 4 to Sinner.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Man , I am tired of Carlos winning matches by sheer luck , his fans are mocking us as if he destroyed Sinner in straights while in reality he was getting dominated and should have lost to 4 to Sinner.

Alcaraz is so clutch though under pressure. He thrives most when his back against the wall.

 

[RF-18]

This easily can be one of those moments where the upsets happen ala Sam Querrey style in 2016 or Muller 2017. He nearly beat Alcaraz on clay some year ago. I wouldn't write Struff out at all considering how Alcaraz has looked.

 

[Vincent-C]

Man , I am tired of Carlos winning matches by sheer luck , his fans are mocking us as if he destroyed Sinner in straights while in reality he was getting dominated and should have lost to 4 to Sinner.

Somehow, I think Sinner will be/ is taking that FO loss as big motivation, rather than crumpling. We'll see.