2026 Australian Open Final: Carlos Alcaraz [1] vs Novak Djokovic [4]

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I didn’t say lose early, my god can you please read. I said he should have retired after Paris 2024 when he finally got the one thing that alluded him, Olympic Gold. Everything since has been losses. Bow out on top like Barty, don’t end with a bagel like Federer.
I didn't notice you were calling for Venus Williams to retire, who has been losing in the first or second rounds of tournaments for 6 years now and if it weren't for the wagon of wild cards, she wouldn't even be in the main draw of tournamets, lol. If any tennis player is ruining their legacy, it's Venus.
Nole may be an old player, but he still makes deep runs in tournaments and he is still one of the highest ranked players in ATP rankings.
 
7 GS titles at 22 and the career grand slam. Stops Djokovic from getting #25. It's soo long away it's like if silly, but at the same time it's hard not to wonder - could he himself be aiming for that milestone at some point in the future? If so, it would be quite poignant - but a lot can happen until then.

He surely has a good chance to get to 10 before the age of 25, becoming the youngest to do this also.

For now, let's see how Sinner responds! And whether a younger player steps up and disrupts the duopoly.
 
You don’t think Fed and Nadal would have been threats to the majors at 39, if they were as fit as Novak? I do.
Novak hasn't been fully fit for last 18 months. Even at this tournament his foot was covered in blisters.

Fed might have been a danger at Wimbledon due to his great serve but not on clay.

Even on hardcourts he lost at age 37 to Millman at US open and at 38 he lost to Gregor in quarter finals.

He lost to Stefanos at age 37 in the round of 2019 Aussie open and then got straight set beat down by Novak St age 38 in SF in 2020.
 
every day i see a new piece of evidence that makes me feel more confident in having Federer > Djokovic in terms of stamina/constitution/recovery
That's quite an esoteric way of diminishing Federer you've got here, impressive.
why was Nishikori giving Federer a workout? and idk about those last two. barely any 1st SPW margin despite Nadal having his peak year in terms of serve-return and Federer doing aggro returning + losing in long rallies doesn't paint a pretty picture; Djokovic only breaking Federer thrice (and needing nearly 4 full sets to get a bite in) probably wouldn't happen with any Alcaraz, which would change the whole coasting on serve complexion of the match.
Nish was not nearly good enough to have any winning chance against Federer with a pulse on grass obviously, but he was good enough to give Grandfatherer some trouble and force him to raise his level above some bar after an initial slow start - something Djokovic did not have to do in AO 26 QF because Musetti retired hurt.

Sinner was literally unable to break Djokovic over five sets and a gazillion chances unless Noel gave it away himself with subpar quality shots / errors. In that light, Ned not breaking Fred except for Fred's own dip in set 2 ain't too bad given Fred's serve game on grass > Joe's serve game on HC, yes?

Reminder Alcaraz couldn't break Joe over 12 return games on Parisian clay in the 2024 Olympic final, so why is it inconceivable that he could fail to break 2019 Wimbledon Federer over 18 straight return games? It's easy to retort that Alcaraz was better at 2026 AO than 2024 Olympics but I rather doubt that, considering Djokovic was two years older compared to '24 and his tank was lacking after the Sinner SF (whereas he reached 2024 Olympic F in straight sets) yet he was able to spank Karl for a set before youth prevailed. Put this Alcaraz against 2024 Olympic F level Djokovic in BO3 and watch him get straight-setted again, ROFLMAO.

hey now, no need for implicitly homophobic language
Miss me with that BS, such implications are in the mind of the beholder and the solution for people who see offence whenever is to change their mindset and quit seeing things. Obviously people may also pretend but that doesn't concern me, if I feel like offending someone I can do that upfront.
hmm i think it depends on how much credit you give to Nadal's non-peak AO runs ('22 for muggery, '19 for getting ROFLstomped, '14 for the injury, '07/'08 for getting GOATed against)
At any rate, it is not true that Wimbledon is unquestionably Nadal's worst major in terms of level displayed. Arguments can be made for any of the three non-RG majors.
 
Novak hasn't been fully fit for last 18 months. Even at this tournament his foot was covered in blisters.

Fed might have been a danger at Wimbledon due to his great serve but not on clay.

Even on hardcourts he lost at age 37 to Millman at US open and at 38 he lost to Gregor in quarter finals.

He lost to Stefanos at age 37 in the round of 2019 Aussie open and then got straight set beat down by Novak St age 38 in SF in 2020.

Djokovic was two sets to one down against Sinner, why should it be inconceivable for him to lose in straights against AO 2020 version of himself?
 
Alcaraz showed in 2022-2023 against a still solid Djokovic in Slam winning form that he can compete with him despite being 19-20, he's had some bad losses against him (2024 Olympics, 2025 AO), but the level is there. Sinner did absolutely nothing against Djokovic until Djokovic fell off a cliff in 2024-2025 and now the second he gets 5% of his mojo back at 39 he can't even beat him now at the AO. Also, Sinner was 1-7 against Alcaraz at some point.

Sinner is like a Murray and Alcaraz is between the level of the big 3 and Murray.
That is a pretty accurate assessment. Raz does have the benefit of the doubt, that he may not yet be in his prime. With Sinner I am not sure whether he will substantially improve further.
 
At any rate, it is not true that Wimbledon is unquestionably Nadal's worst major in terms of level displayed. Arguments can be made for any of the three non-RG majors.
It is in terms of accomplishments and as for competition: People in TTW always tell me how much harder it is to win on HC since the talent pool there is so much bigger while grass is an exotic, distinct surface. One may argue about different stages in their career (in 2007-2008 Nadal was clearly better on grass), but I think it is clear that by 2019, Nadal was clearly better on HC than on grass.
 
Gonna need two more stunning sets if another opportunity happens.

What a tournament. Couldn't be any happier that he is still out there battling the very best. This particular runner-up plate is the one I never imagined he'd end up collecting, but then again I also stopped believing he would defeat Sinner again, especially at a Slam. So all things considered, this has been a fortnight to remember.

Congratulations to Alcaraz on completing the Career Slam. A beast of a player, and a worthy successor to the throne.
 
It is in terms of accomplishments and as for competition: People in TTW always tell me how much harder it is to win on HC since the talent pool there is so much bigger while grass is an exotic, distinct surface. One may argue about different stages in their career (in 2007-2008 Nadal was clearly better on grass), but I think it is clear that by 2019, Nadal was clearly better on HC than on grass.
In Nadal's case it has everything to do with Wimbledon having strong Federer and/or Djokovic every year back then (openings in 2013/16 that Murray made use of while Nadal was physically out of it), while Fedovic both failed physically at the USO in 2017/19, which are exactly the years Oldal arrived there in good fitness and was able to collect the title as a result.
 
Congrats to Alcaraz

As for Novak, making a final at 38 and taking the first set is an incredible achievement.

His speech hinted this is last Australian Open but the way he said he’s not sure what’s happening tomorrow, I thought is he saying he’s going to go tonight?
 
Alcaraz 36 winners, 27 unforced errors, 65% first serve in
Djokovic 32 winners, 46 unforced errors, 69% first serve in

1st Set
A
lcaraz 10 winners, 9 unforced errors, 69% first serve in
Djokovic 8 winners, 4 unforced errors, 78% first serve in

2nd Set
A
lcaraz 9 winners, 5 unforced errors, 71% first serve in
Djokovic 3 winners, 11 unforced errors, 58% first serve in

3rd Set
A
lcaraz 7 winners, 5 unforced errors, 55% first serve in
Djokovic 11 winners, 14 unforced errors, 69% first serve in

4th Set
A
lcaraz 10 winners, 8 unforced errors, 66% first serve in
Djokovic 10 winners, 17 unforced errors, 71% first serve in

 
Just watched the ceremony and Novak's speech was awesome, praised Nadal and found the strength to stay positive and even joked, even though he lost what could be his last chance to win a Major. Nice scene.
Did anyone mention juan carlos? Must be bittersweet
 
Alcaraz 36 winners, 27 unforced errors, 65% first serve in
Djokovic 32 winners, 46 unforced errors, 69% first serve in

1st Set
A
lcaraz 10 winners, 9 unforced errors, 69% first serve in
Djokovic 8 winners, 4 unforced errors, 78% first serve in

2nd Set
A
lcaraz 9 winners, 5 unforced errors, 71% first serve in
Djokovic 3 winners, 11 unforced errors, 58% first serve in

3rd Set
A
lcaraz 7 winners, 5 unforced errors, 55% first serve in
Djokovic 11 winners, 14 unforced errors, 69% first serve in

4th Set
A
lcaraz 10 winners, 8 unforced errors, 66% first serve in
Djokovic 10 winners, 17 unforced errors, 71% first serve in

Stats are fine, but what a cheesy icon! Is that a real photo of him?
 
In winning the 2026 Australian Open, Alcaraz has:

1. Become the youngest male player in tennis history to complete the CGS.
2. Become just the 6th player in the Open Era to complete the CGS (along with Laver, Agassi, Federer, Nadal and Djokovic).
3. Won his 7th Slam singles title (placing him on a par with McEnroe and Wilander in the Open Era and along with 8 other men in the history of tennis).
4. Won his 25th singles title (moving him ahead of Sinner and into sole 2nd place behind Djokovic on the leaderboard of active players with titles) and 1st of the season.
5. Become just the 2nd Spanish player to win the Australian Open (after Nadal).
6. Become the only player ever to beat Djokovic in an Australian Open final.
7. Wins his 15th Big Title (now 7 Slams and 8 Masters).
 
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In winning the 2026 Australian Open, Alcaraz has:

1. Become the youngest male player in tennis history to complete the CGS.
2. Become just the 6th player in tennis history to complete the CGS (along with Laver, Agassi, Federer, Nadal and Djokovic).
3. Won his 7th Slam singles title (placing him on a par with McEnroe and Wilander in the Open Era and along with 8 other men in the history of tennis).
4. Won his 25th singles title (moving him ahead of Sinner and into sole 2nd place behind Djokovic on the leaderboard of active players with titles) and 1st of the season.
5. Become just the 2nd Spanish player to win the Australian Open (after Nadal).
6. Become the only player ever to beat Djokovic in an Australian Open final.
7. Wins his 15th Big Title (now 7 Slams and 8 Masters).
also, it's the 9th consecutive grand slam shared between alcaraz and sinner, surpassing nadal's and djokovic's shared 8 in 2018-19, tying nadal-djokovic's 2010-2012, and two away from federer-nadal's 11 in 2005-07, which i think is the record
 
In winning the 2026 Australian Open, Alcaraz has:

1. Become the youngest male player in tennis history to complete the CGS.
2. Become just the 6th player in tennis history to complete the CGS (along with Laver, Agassi, Federer, Nadal and Djokovic).
3. Won his 7th Slam singles title (placing him on a par with McEnroe and Wilander in the Open Era and along with 8 other men in the history of tennis).
4. Won his 25th singles title (moving him ahead of Sinner and into sole 2nd place behind Djokovic on the leaderboard of active players with titles) and 1st of the season.
5. Become just the 2nd Spanish player to win the Australian Open (after Nadal).
6. Become the only player ever to beat Djokovic in an Australian Open final.
7. Wins his 15th Big Title (now 7 Slams and 8 Masters).
Considering he just took the youngest cgs record of Don Budge should we not add Budge to the list of cgs winners?

Edit: Oprn era? I tend to forget if Laver did or didn’t win all of the in the open era as well
 
The stars aligned for Djokovic to make the final. If he would have broken at 4-4, maybe he even wins the match. But going forward, he's likely closer to an early round exit than another semi at a major, except on grass where he plays very well and the play is less physically demanding. He had a dream draw in Australia: three rounds without facing a quality opponent, followed by two rounds with winning a set, but still advancing to the semis, then one match where be brought his A game against Sinner's C game. That almost certainly won't happen again. He still has a 10% to win Wimbledon, which is remarkable at his age. Great win against Sinner, but if he faces him again at a major this year, he still won't be the favorite.
 
The stars aligned for Djokovic to make the final. If he would have broken at 4-4, maybe he even wins the match. But going forward, he's likely closer to an early round exit than another semi at a major, except on grass where he plays very well and the play is less physically demanding. He had a dream draw in Australia: three rounds without facing a quality opponent, followed by two rounds with winning a set, but still advancing to the semis, then one match where be brought his A game against Sinner's C game. That almost certainly won't happen again. He still has a 10% to win Wimbledon, which is remarkable at his age. Great win against Sinner, but if he faces him again at a major this year, he still won't be the favorite.
very on point
 
Novak hasn't been fully fit for last 18 months. Even at this tournament his foot was covered in blisters.

Fed might have been a danger at Wimbledon due to his great serve but not on clay.

Even on hardcourts he lost at age 37 to Millman at US open and at 38 he lost to Gregor in quarter finals.

He lost to Stefanos at age 37 in the round of 2019 Aussie open and then got straight set beat down by Novak St age 38 in SF in 2020.


Fred had knee issues starting around early 30s and back issues much earlier. His physical decline was more in line with the norm. He had a second wind mid 30s and was propped up by exceptional talent and cie late 30s, but the physical issues still proved insurmountable.

Nole as he clearly stated is just following Fed footsteps in longevity. But Nole's lack of any injuries and the way he's able to compete with sincaraz in long physically draining 5 setters is extremely unusual. Tennis requires and rewards athleticism, reaction times and stamina that loads the odds in favor of youth. It's not golf.
 
They bowed out on top. They didn’t add all the excess losses.

Anyway, not going to argue anymore with you. If you want Djokovic to end his career on a bagel like Federer or end with a 1R loss at a slam like Nadal then ok.

I just think there’s something in knowing when to bow out. :)

Enjoy your night
Graf retired after losing to Amy Frazier, if I remember right. She played one more tournament after 1999 Wimbledon.
 
The only thing that will retire Novak is a career ending injury like it happened to Fedal. Nothing else
Results are bound to decline over time, probably by the spring/summer.

Beating Sinner at this tournament, Djokovic was certainly helped a lot physically by a walkover win against Mensik, and then a retirement win when 2 sets down against Musetti.
 
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Magnificent achievement from Carlos to win all the Slams so early. Couldn't be happier that Spain already has a new star immediately after Rafa's retirement. That fifth set comeback against Zverev shall be revisited many times.

Best of luck to Novak in his remaining attempts. I hope he has enough in himself and some good fortune to win another Slam A legend like him would deserve it.
 
Pretty much went how I expected it to. Doff the cap to Charles. See ya in clay season
Nadal looked super jealous that Novak was still playing and he wasn't ... he was in the audience watching and was envious all the way


untitled-design-2026-02-01t151324-1769939102.webp
 
Alcaraz 36 winners, 27 unforced errors, 65% first serve in
Djokovic 32 winners, 46 unforced errors, 69% first serve in
This is exactly it. Djokovic must find something effective to fight his energy and concentration laps during which all these UEs occurred.
 
Anyone else notice how muted Nadal's applause was after Carlos won? He had one of those smiles where he's baring his teeth but his eyes tell the real story Chico - the eyes never lie. He's salty.
 
I didn't notice you were calling for Venus Williams to retire, who has been losing in the first or second rounds of tournaments for 6 years now and if it weren't for the wagon of wild cards, she wouldn't even be in the main draw of tournamets, lol. If any tennis player is ruining their legacy, it's Venus.
Nole may be an old player, but he still makes deep runs in tournaments and he is still one of the highest ranked players in ATP rankings.

Honestly, luck is the only reason Novak made it past the AO 2026 4th round. Better than Venus for sure, but I'm not an apologist for Venus getting wildcards when she should be getting comped for a decent seat.
 
I thought Sinner at the last two slams had been somewhat underwhelming. I haven't seen him add new upgrades to his game in some time. Not that it matters 99 percent of the time. He's like a finely tuned exotic race car that is amazing when running on all cylinders, but prone to break down or a misfire. His game is so mechanical and dare I say "one dimensional" in that he plays one way all the time. Hit the forehand and backhand the same pace, hard. He's not a slicer or a defensive minded person in any way possible. He's all offense all the time. I feel that if you can withstand the barrage like Carlos and Novak have shown they can do he's there for the taking. Hence the bad record in post 3 hours and 50 minute matches. Reminds me of Mike Tyson, if you can last and hang with him he becomes very vulnerable. He doesn't seem to have that extra gear or x factor to win past his A game. Carlos can be outplayed and he can still gut out a victory or level himself up at the right moments of tension. Carlos can fall on his variety, creativity or physicality to pull off a victory. Sinner needs a clear road ahead and just hit the gas.

As for this match, I feel that Alcaraz's speed in the corners rushed Novak a bit and he would spray some shots as a result. Also, the defensive slice when stretched was an absolute nightmare for Novak today. He had to hit from below the knees and "reset" the rally or just go for outright winners when the occasion wasn't right for it. I also saw Carlos was lifting his shots from both wings to keep Novak from attacking right away and just hitting a normal rally ball to prolong the rallies and then Carlos would just let it rip on the next ball to throw him off. He plays his game with a lot of thought and variety that people don't pick up on. They just see some kid who is fast and hits the ball hard. I see a kid who has Nadal's physical freakness with Federer's creativity. He doesn't seem to have a reliance (Fed, grass, Nadal, clay) on one specific surface. He grows when he is allowed to bring all of his tools to the court, you literally see him smiling. He wants to show off his arsenal of tricks. Like a kid who has an entire Transformers collection. An absolute phenomenon.
 
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