2026 Australian Open QF: [1] Carlos Alcaraz vs. [6] Alex de Minaur

[jimmy0slams]

Gone are the days of alcaraz struggling in early rounds. He looking good to potentially win this event and complete career slam.

Ill predict a calendar year slam this year and maybe next .... this kid will potentially win 30/35 slams...

 

[jimmy0slams]

Stop fighting folks. We have an interesting match here.

I wouldn't call 3 easy sets "interesting" ...

 

[ibbi]

De Minaur is arguably playing better in this set than the first (first serve percentage up, unforced errors down, still getting all the returns in play) and look at the difference in score.

 

[Hitman]

ADM is still trying out there, you can see the urgency, kudos to Alcaraz though, he is stepping up each time.

 

[ibbi]

What a backhand to get out of trouble.

 

[NYTennisfan]

Carlos put an end to that game.... abruptly

 

[tennis_pro]

How's my boi looking?

 

[ibbi]

How's my boi looking?

Alcaraz is slowly breaking his will.

 

[Hitman]

How's my boi looking?

He's getting outplayed by Alcaraz right now.

 

[Incognito]

How's my boi looking?

Way ahead in score despite being not at his best IMO

 

[Incognito]

He's getting outplayed by Alcaraz right now.

I don’t think the guy being outplayed is his boy lol

 

[ibbi]

Oof. Body language is telling. He will do well to avoid getting crushed from here.

 

[Sentinel]

6-2 second set .

 

[Cashman]

He is fully capable of beating everyone else but not the big 2.

It depends on how good he can get his serve

More free points on his first serve and more variety on his second serve, he would have had the first set

Easier said than done though

 

[Hitman]

I don’t think the guy being outplayed is his boy lol

Awww Shucks!

 

[Incognito]

It depends on how good he can get his serve

More free points on his first serve and more variety on his second serve, he would have had the first set

Easier said than done though

He is short like Carlos so he will never develop a super elite serve IMO.

 

[Djumhur]

I don’t think the guy being outplayed is his boy lol

lol isnt he ADM fan? he is like Berettini that has this only one fan that posts here

 

[Im(moral) Winner]

I don’t think the guy being outplayed is his boy lol

He’s everybody’s boy

 

[ibbi]

He is short like Carlos so he will never develop a super elite serve IMO.

Carlos has significantly improved his over the years though. ADM's first serve percentage average for a year hasn't hit 60% since 2021.

 

[Hitman]

You can see how Carlos has beaten the fight out of poor Alex

 

[MichaelNadal]

Alcaraz is too good! What a talent!

 

[Alcawrath]

Wow, Carlos looks like a machine right now. Scary good from the Spaniard!!

 

[TennisTurkey]

Tough matchup for De Minaur. Alcaraz can match his movement and defensive skills and he brings another level of offensive skills and variety.

 

[Jonas78]

Tuned in for the 3rd set, if Carlo plays like this the title goes to Sinner...

 

[Cashman]

He is short like Carlos so he will never develop a super elite serve IMO.

I feel like this factor is a little overrated. 6’ is short but not overly so, it’s the same height as Roscoe Tanner and even Sampras barely scraped 6’1

That’s not to say that it doesn’t hurt but I feel like 6’ is plenty tall enough to be a better server than he is right now

 

[ibbi]

Raz goes right back at him with the volley, and Demon can only dump it in the net. That's where we're at. He's Theon Greyjoy'd him.

 

[Incognito]

Carlos has significantly improved his over the years though. ADM's first serve percentage average for a year hasn't hit 60% since 2021.

Carlos serves better than he did in 2022, without a doubt. But it will never become a Sampras or Federer serve. Not even a Djokovic level serve. I don’t even think it’s better than Rafa’s.

 

[pablotix]

Carlos serves better than he did in 2022, without a doubt. But it will never become a Sampras or Federer serve. Not even a Djokovic level serve. I don’t even think it’s better than Rafa’s.

hot take: alcaraz's serve is underrated

 

[CarlitosWay]

I love when casual tennis fans call a performance "scratchy" if Carlos doesn't win every point.

 

[pablotix]

and yea, he will not have fed's serve but almost no one has had a serve like fed

 

[Alcawrath]

I'm seeing a much greater shot tolerance from Alcaraz than I've ever seen at the AO before. It's what I've been waiting to see out of him!!

 

[ForehandCross]

De Minaur is the new Ferrer in a way that he makes a player good at offense and good defense play even better than his usual level.

 

[ibbi]

Carlos serves better than he did in 2022, without a doubt. But it will never become a Sampras or Federer serve. Not even a Djokovic level serve. I don’t even think it’s better than Rafa’s.

I dunno, I think he is at least trying to turn it into more of a weapon than Rafa's was. I don't think he's doing too badly at it so far. I agree that it'll never reach the level of the other three, but that's not saying much!

 

[ibbi]

I'm seeing a much greater shot tolerance from Alcaraz than I've ever seen at the AO before. It's what I've been waiting to see out of him!!

Impressive against Paul and Hanfmann, not sure how much we can celebrate how good your shot tolerance looks against ADM and Moutet!

 

[Incognito]

I dunno, I think he is at least trying to turn it into more of a weapon than Rafa's was. I don't think he's doing too badly at it so far. I agree that it'll never reach the level of the other three, but that's not saying much!

Grosjean was short with a very good serve. So maybe ADM and Carlos can improve their serve as well.

 

[pablotix]

federesque by alc

 

[ibbi]

I like how ADM speaks to his coach in Spanish so Lleyton is just sitting there clueless

 

[tennis_pro]

This was a foregone conclusion from the start.

Let's talk about Alcaraz-Zverev - before the tournament started I'd give Alcaraz a 90% chance to go through to the final, right now I'm at 70-75%.

 

[Djumhur]

ADM's biggest weapon is him moving better when playing big guys but now he is playing against 5'9 guy that moves just as fast as him

 

[Terenigma]

This has been an absolute beatdown, like when he produces one of those huge hits or winners or passing shots It's like an entirely different league.

 

[weakera]

I now believe Alcaraz will win the title, this is the kind of traditional demoralizing beatdown Djokovic used to deliver to ADM en route to the trophy.

 

[Djumhur]

I like how ADM speaks to his coach in Spanish so Lleyton is just sitting there clueless

how does ADM speak spanish?

 

[ibbi]

how does ADM speak spanish?

His dad is Uruguayan and his mother is Spanish!

 

[Aussie Darcy]

Can’t believe Courier just said this is as good as we’ve ever seen Alex play.

Lmao he’s down 5-7 2-6 1-4.

Shutup Jim. You’re embarrassing yourself.

 

[TennisTurkey]

how does ADM speak spanish?

By moving his lips and using his vocal cords

 

[Aussie Darcy]

how does ADM speak spanish?

He’s half Spanish and he also spent most of his life in Spain.

 

[FeroBango]

This was a foregone conclusion from the start.

Let's talk about Alcaraz-Zverev - before the tournament started I'd give Alcaraz a 90% chance to go through to the final, right now I'm at 70-75%.

Yeah the SF isn't a given. May Alc prevail

 

[Aussie Darcy]

Alcaraz breaks again.

Will serve for his first Aus Open SF.

 

[ibbi]

This was a foregone conclusion from the start.

Let's talk about Alcaraz-Zverev - before the tournament started I'd give Alcaraz a 90% chance to go through to the final, right now I'm at 70-75%.

Zverev is just an uglier Hanfmann, and Raz handled him, so fingers crossed.

 

[Jonas78]

I love when casual tennis fans call a performance "scratchy" if Carlos doesn't win every point.

Carlos has more UEs than winners in a match like this, thats scratchy.