2026 French Open - Women's Discussion

Who will be 2026 French Open Women's singles champion?

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Justice is done. Maybe after this stunning collapse Sabalenka will start consulting a sports psychologist or someone similar. She has the power and game to win so many slams but is a serial under achiever and that is down to her mental fragility.

Unless she somehow wins Wimbledon the scars from this loss, could really hinder her career quite significantly.
 
Shnaider
Chwalinska
Kostyuk
Andreeva

We’d assume it’s one of the bottom 2 who’ll win but haha let’s watch Chwalinska eclipse Raducanu to win as a qualifier. :-D
 
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paolo2143 said:
Justice is done. Maybe after this stunning collapse Sabalenka will start consulting a sports psychologist or someone similar. She has the power and game to win so many slams but is a serial under achiever and that is down to her mental fragility.

Unless she somehow wins Wimbledon the scars from this loss, could really hinder her career quite significantly.
Click to expand...

The scars from similar losses to Gauff didn't seem to have had any negative effect on her
snatching a bunch more slams right after.
 
paolo2143 said:
Justice is done. Maybe after this stunning collapse Sabalenka will start consulting a sports psychologist or someone similar. She has the power and game to win so many slams but is a serial under achiever and that is down to her mental fragility.

Unless she somehow wins Wimbledon the scars from this loss, could really hinder her career quite significantly.
Click to expand...
She's been a top or one of the top favorites for basically every Slam for 5-6 years. It's crazy that she's only managed to win 4. And at almost 28 it's not like she has that much time on her hands to waste one opportunity after another.
 
I was only able to catch a few games here and there.
Did it get windier and windier as the match progressed?
Was that really the reason Sab lost?
 
French open and wind.. Sabalenka s curse.

Maybe stop dancing, diamonds and other things a bit and put full focus
 
abmk said:
wtf happened to Sabalenka in the final set?
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She was off it the full match, 1st set should have gone to a tie break, 2nd set she was 5-3 up and imploded, never recovered for the 3rd. Struggled majorly with the wind and Shnaider figured out a really great way to take advantage of it. Was really great stuff from Shnaider in the 2nd and the 3rd, better players would have struggled to handle the pressure and execute some of those shots vs the world no1.
 
Aussie Darcy said:
She’s not even winning them at 28 lmao. Shes losing to Keys, Rybakina, Anisimova, Shnaider. How she gonna win them up to 38?
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You're saying that it's too late for her to win many more slams and I'm saying it's not too late because it's not like she's 38 she's only 28.

She's the best hard court player on tour and she's had these results in her last 6 slams. Won, Finals, Finals, Semifinals, Won, Finals. Her demise is being ridiculously exaggerated.
 
Aussie Darcy said:
Shnaider
Chwalinska
Kostyuk
Andreeva

We’d assume it’s one of the bottom 2 who’ll win but haha let’s watch Chwalinska eclipse Raducanu to win as a qualifier. :-D
Click to expand...
Nothing will surprise me at this point, these are the odds I would give to each:
Schnaider - 25%
Chwalinska - 15%
Kostyuk - 35%
Andreeva - 25%

Haven't watched that much of Andreeva, but the other 3 have played really well from what I've seen. There are no more big upsets at this point. Chwalinska winning would obviously be the biggest surprise, but it wouldn't really be shocking at this point.
 
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The final feels like Andreeva/Kostyuk now. I can't see the other two lifting the trophy. Maybe Schnaider can but I just think the two in the bottom section will handle Schnaider better than Sabalenka did.

Starting to think Sabalenka will never win the French. The draw will never open up as wide as it did this year. Even her only decent challengers were in the other half!
 
NYTennisfan said:
You're saying that it's too late for her to win many more slams and I'm saying it's not too late because it's not like she's 38 she's only 28.

She's the best hard court player on tour and she's had these results in her last 6 slams. Won, Finals, Finals, Semifinals, Won, Finals. Her demise is being ridiculously exaggerated.
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It should have been title title title title title title.

Sabalenka has choked every single slam loss she’s had for the last 3-4 years I believe. I may be incorrect but I think every single one of her slam losses has been a 3 setter with her coughing up either a set lead or a break lead in the 3rd. She has blown every opportunity and has not shown any maturity. This is coming after the Rybakina AO choke and Anisimova Wimbledon choke and Gauff choke last year at RG and Keys choke at the AO last year. The list goes on and on and on. She is woeful.

Come on, have a look.
 
Aussie Darcy said:
It should have been title title title title title title.

Sabalenka has choked every single slam loss she’s had for the last 3-4 years I believe. I may be incorrect but I think every single one has been a 3 setter with her coughing up either a set lead or a break lead. She has blown every opportunity and has not shown any maturity. This coming after the Rybakina AO choke and Gauff choke last year at RG and Keys choke at the AO last year. She is woeful.

Come on, have a look.
Click to expand...
Keys flat out beat her. Definitely wasn't a choke.
 
shnaider-roland-garros-wta-03-06-2026.png

Omg Saba what’s happening?
 
tennis_pro said:
If she beats Sabalenka then that win alone trumps Raducanu's entire US Open run 1000x.

The odds of that happening are like 1%, so no need to give Chwalinska crap for reaching a Slam QF (or likely a SF now). The big 3 had a gazillion draws like that or easier up until the SF and then had to play 2 top 5/10 players in the last two rounds, if not members of the big 3 themselves.

So again, if Chwalinska beats Sabalenka in the SF then her draw is tougher than Raducanu's by default. Also, who the hell did Raducanu beat of worth in that run? Bencic and Sakkari? Raducanu had ZERO top 10 wins in that tournament (or at all until 2024 LMAO), what are we even talking about here?
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Well, Chwalinska is not going to beat Sabalenka in the semis. For what it's worth, Chwalinska lost a set to #49 Sakkari here, and Raducanu straight-setted a far better #17 Sakkari in 2021. That #17 Sakkari had just beaten seeds #10 Kvitova, #6 Andreescu, and #4 Pliskova, not to mention Siniakova and Kostyuk, before going down to Raducanu 1-6, 4-6. Raducanu has not done much since, but she played better at that USO, when no one could take more than 4 games off of her in any set in 10 matches, than Chwalinska is playing now.
 
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Aussie Darcy said:
Too late for her to get 10+ slams. Time has come and gone. Shes not winning 6 slams.
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Yes, Sabalenka's chances of a Djokovic-like surge of slams in the second half of her career are very slim. There are too many young players on the WTA tour who will become major obstacles. 1-3 more for Sabs? It's possible, sure. But a double-digit career total? No.
 
ScottleeSV said:
The final feels like Andreeva/Kostyuk now. I can't see the other two lifting the trophy. Maybe Schnaider can but I just think the two in the bottom section will handle Schnaider better than Sabalenka did.

Starting to think Sabalenka will never win the French. The draw will never open up as wide as it did this year. Even her only decent challengers were in the other half!
Click to expand...
Watch Andreeva/Kostyuk have an almighty battle while either Shnaider or Chwalinski have an easy SF and win the Final.

Would put the icing of the cake of this messy ass tournament.

Hoping Kostyuk pulls through but. That would be some story.
 
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Aussie Darcy said:
It should have been title title title title title title.

Sabalenka has choked every single slam loss she’s had for the last 3-4 years I believe. I may be incorrect but I think every single one of her slam losses has been a 3 setter with her coughing up either a set lead or a break lead in the 3rd. She has blown every opportunity and has not shown any maturity. This is coming after the Rybakina AO choke and Anisimova Wimbledon choke and Gauff choke last year at RG and Keys choke at the AO last year. The list goes on and on and on. She is woeful.

Come on, have a look.
Click to expand...
She's also won 4 slams. Woeful is a laughable comment to make about somebody who is already an ATG at 28. Yeah she's choked on more than a few occasions but tennis is a hard sport, chokes are bound to happen even to the best of them. She's still been wildly successful regardless and has lots of career left.

I'll bet anything that she wins 6+. 10 might be ambitious but it's doable IMO. Tennis careers go well into their 30s nowadays.
 
Aussie Darcy said:
Sabalenka was 2 points from victory on Keys serve and then the next game got broken to lose yet another slam final. Please
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Because she was 2 points away on Keys' serve it was a choke? Keys played out her mind that tournament and took it from Sabalenka, and didn't win because Sabalenka choked. She beat 5 top 10 seeds that tournament and the top 2 players in the world, not to mention also beating Rybakina who won it a year later.
 
NYTennisfan said:
She's also won 4 slams. Woeful is a laughable comment to make about somebody who is already an ATG at 28. Yeah she's choked on more than a few occasions but tennis is a hard sport, chokes are bound to happen even to the best of them. She's still been wildly successful regardless and has lots of career left.

I'll bet anything that she wins 6+. 10 might be ambitious but it's doable IMO. Tennis careers go well into their 30s nowadays.
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I don't think she can be classed as ATG with only 4 slams and especially when considering her mental fragility

Sure, she is a great player with a very good record bur definitely not an ATG in my view.
 
paolo2143 said:
For a world No1 and several time GS winner Sabalenka is a mental midget at times. When you compare her mentality, to likes of Evert, Navratilova, Graf, Seles pre stabbing, the Williams sisters and even likes of Justine Henin , then she is just so mentally weak
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Yep, and while people mention the wind, Sabalenka was dealing with it well enough to go up 4-1 in the second set and then 5-3 and then lost both leads.

Aussie Darcy said:
And the last time Sabalenka won the first set and lost the 2nd set in a slam was the SF of RG last year against Swiatek.

She won the first, lost the 2nd and then bagelled Swiatek in the 3rd set to make the final... where she choked to Gauff..
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The irony then is that Sabalenka lost the 2nd set and then got bagelled by Shnaider this year.
 
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paolo2143 said:
I don't think she can be classed as ATG with only 4 slams and especially when considering her mental fragility

Sure, she is a great player with a very good record bur definitely not an ATG in my view.
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It depends on your criteria for ATG.
I'd place her over Swiatek due to overall consistency of going deep into slams and more of an all surface player in terms of consistency even though Iga has won on all three and I think most would consider her an ATG.
I'll say borderline ATG just to compromise.
 
NYTennisfan said:
She's also won 4 slams. Woeful is a laughable comment to make about somebody who is already an ATG at 28. Yeah she's choked on more than a few occasions but tennis is a hard sport, chokes are bound to happen even to the best of them. She's still been wildly successful regardless and has lots of career left.

I'll bet anything that she wins 6+. 10 might be ambitious but it's doable IMO. Tennis careers go well into their 30s nowadays.
Click to expand...
Aryna is still 2 Grand Slam titles away from ATG status. ;)
 
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