4th Annual NFL Playoffs Pool, 2019 Postseason

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Welcome to our little postseason fun and games and Happy New Year!

Same rules as 2018:

1. Pick each game winner (straight up): 1 point

2. Pick cover/no cover (1 point)

3. Pick over/under (1 point)

4. Predict total points (5 points if you nail it!)

5. Sweep the trifecta on any game and you earn 2 points extra for a total of five.

6. Assign a confidence factor (CF) from 1 to 4, most confident being 4. If your team wins straight up, that point total is added to your score. Championship weekend is reduced to 1 or 2. SB does not apply.

7. Spreads will be based each week on Thursday lines. I will round up to next .5 to avoid pushes.

Respond with your intention to play.
 

dgold44

G.O.A.T.
Bet on chargers over ravens !!
Looks like a sure bet as ravens cannot much but run and chargers are loaded
 

Feña14

Legend
Bet on chargers over ravens !!
Looks like a sure bet as ravens cannot much but run and chargers are loaded
That’s probably the hardest one to call, for me.

Everyone has struggled to stop Jackson the first time they’ve see him. The Chargers have already been through that. They might have a few more answers for him this time round.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
That’s probably the hardest one to call, for me.

Everyone has struggled to stop Jackson the first time they’ve see him. The Chargers have already been through that. They might have a few more answers for him this time round.
This, and it looks like Stephen A. Smith was just a bit premature about Hunter Henry’s return.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
This is the first time in my memory of WC Weekend with three road teams in almost pick-em mode and all four games featuring spreads of less than a TD. Also, in an “offensive era” the O/U’s are all in the 40’s.

Weather: Houston n/a (dome) but roof may be open with clear/high upper 60’s; Dallas n/a (dome) but roof may be open with clear/high mid 60’s; Baltimore partly cloudy 53F at kickoff, max winds 7mph; Chicago mostly cloudy 42F at kickoff with 20% chance of rain, max winds 12 mph.

#WhiteKnuckleWeekend
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
OK, boys and girl (I will be taking both Rafabest & Oz10s picks via email and relaying them here:

WC Weekend

Indianapolis at Houston (-1.5) O/U 48.5

Seattle at Dallas (-1.5) O/U 43.5

LAC at Baltimore (-2.5) O/U 41.5

Philadelphia at Chicago (-5.5) O/U 41.5

Make your picks in that order and use this as your template to help me keep track most easily:

Houston, covers, over, TP 51, CF 4

or (when picking the underdog):

Indy, under, TP 47, CF 1

This would signify I am most confident in Houston winning and get 4 extra points if they win

or

This would signify I am least confident in Indianapolis and will receive only one point extra if they win.

Please ask questions if you are confused before you post.

You may change anything in your picks before the Indy/Houston kickoff but you are locked in after kickoff on ALL games. Never edit your post...quote your original and then indicate your change in your “reply.”

Good luck and have fun!

Winner gets a round of applause and one hour hitting session with srshs. Cellar dweller gets a pat on the back and five hours hitting session with srshs. On your own for travel expenses.
 

hollywood9826

Hall of Fame
hopefully I did this right. Little sketchy picking against 2 home favorites but I don't think the NFC east was good and with BMore its a flat out guess that game can could go so many ways.

Houston, covers, under, TP 42, CF4
Seattle, over, TP 51, CF3
Chicago, covers, under, TP 38, CF2
Chargers, over, TP 44, CF1
 

Big_Dangerous

Talk Tennis Guru
That’s probably the hardest one to call, for me.

Everyone has struggled to stop Jackson the first time they’ve see him. The Chargers have already been through that. They might have a few more answers for him this time round.
The only problem is that their offense has been anemic the last few weeks, and have to play the league top defense on the road is not going to help matters. I'm thinking Baltimore wins.
 

T1000

Legend
The only problem is that their offense has been anemic the last few weeks, and have to play the league top defense on the road is not going to help matters. I'm thinking Baltimore wins.
Agreed. I was high on an all LA super bowl and thought the chargers were the most complete team in the afc with few weaknesses. I thought they were peaking at the right time with b2b road wins against Pittsburgh and Kansas City. Two weeks later I’m worried they won’t make it out of the first round. No idea what happened the offense is a disaster right now
 

hollywood9826

Hall of Fame
Agreed. I was high on an all LA super bowl and thought the chargers were the most complete team in the afc with few weaknesses. I thought they were peaking at the right time with b2b road wins against Pittsburgh and Kansas City. Two weeks later I’m worried they won’t make it out of the first round. No idea what happened the offense is a disaster right now
After the KC game what happened? They lost to BMore a legit top line defense and cruised to a an easy win in the finale against Denver. One bad game against a top line D on a roll shouldn't be enough call them clueless.

Now to simply think they will get manhandled by Bmore d again is fair. but I doubt they commit 3 or 4 turnovers again either which was the real reason they lost so bad. The game will be close because I don't think BMore with Lamar can blow anybody out without the D creating multiple turnovers and they really havetn been doing that this year.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
hopefully I did this right. Little sketchy picking against 2 home favorites but I don't think the NFC east was good and with BMore its a flat out guess that game can could go so many ways.

Houston, covers, under, TP 42, CF4
Seattle, over, TP 51, CF3
Chicago, covers, under, TP 38, CF2
Chargers, over, TP 44, CF1
All good except you flip flopped the order of the last two games, a very minor flaw I can deal with. Thanks!
 

Big_Dangerous

Talk Tennis Guru
Indianapolis at Houston (-1.5) O/U 48.5 Houston covers the spread and the total is under 48.5

Seattle at Dallas (-1.5) O/U 43.5 Seattle wins outright and the total is over 43.5

LAC at Baltimore (-2.5) O/U 41.5 Baltimore wins and covers the spread, the total is under 41.5

Philadelphia at Chicago (-5.5) O/U 41.5 Chicago wins and covers the spread and the total is over 41.5
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Indianapolis at Houston (-1.5) O/U 48.5 Houston covers the spread and the total is under 48.5

Seattle at Dallas (-1.5) O/U 43.5 Seattle wins outright and the total is over 43.5

LAC at Baltimore (-2.5) O/U 41.5 Baltimore wins and covers the spread, the total is under 41.5

Philadelphia at Chicago (-5.5) O/U 41.5 Chicago wins and covers the spread and the total is over 41.5
I need your total point count for each game unless you want to forfeit the 5-point bonus option on each game.

Try to follow the template next week.
 

Feña14

Legend
Indianapolis, under, TP 46 CF 3
Seattle, under, TP 30, CF1
Baltimore, covers, over, TP 44 CF 2
Chicago, covers, under, TP 34 CF4

x2 bonus for using the team colours, right?
 

Big_Dangerous

Talk Tennis Guru
Indianapolis at Houston (-1.5) O/U 48.5 Houston covers the spread and the total is under 48.5

Seattle at Dallas (-1.5) O/U 43.5 Seattle wins outright and the total is over 43.5

LAC at Baltimore (-2.5) O/U 41.5 Baltimore wins and covers the spread, the total is under 41.5

Philadelphia at Chicago (-5.5) O/U 41.5 Chicago wins and covers the spread and the total is over 41.5

Houston, covers, under, TP 45, CF2
Seattle, over, TP 47, CF1
Chicago, covers, over, TP 44 , CF4
Baltimore, covers, under, TP 39, CF3
 

RaulRamirez

Hall of Fame
Here Goes...I'm envisioning 3 upsets, so given my prognostications over the years, bet the chalk!

Indy over TP 55 CF 2
Seattle under TP 41 CF1
Balt (covers) over TP 45 CF4
EAGLES over TP 43 CF 3
 

dgold44

G.O.A.T.
OK, boys and girl (I will be taking both Rafabest & Oz10s picks via email and relaying them here:

WC Weekend

Indianapolis at Houston (-1.5) O/U 48.5

Seattle at Dallas (-1.5) O/U 43.5

LAC at Baltimore (-2.5) O/U 41.5

Philadelphia at Chicago (-5.5) O/U 41.5

Make your picks in that order and use this as your template to help me keep track most easily:

Houston, covers, over, TP 51, CF 4

or (when picking the underdog):

Indy, under, TP 47, CF 1

This would signify I am most confident in Houston winning and get 4 extra points if they win

or

This would signify I am least confident in Indianapolis and will receive only one point extra if they win.

Please ask questions if you are confused before you post.

You may change anything in your picks before the Indy/Houston kickoff but you are locked in after kickoff on ALL games. Never edit your post...quote your original and then indicate your change in your “reply.”

Good luck and have fun!

Winner gets a round of applause and one hour hitting session with srshs. Cellar dweller gets a pat on the back and five hours hitting session with srshs. On your own for travel expenses.
Tell me Tom Tom !!
Would you place a large wager on the chargers for only minus 2.5
The ravens look like JV Team to the chargers . I vowed to never gamble but this looks too obvious!!
Even through we don’t like each other ; I want to hear your take
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Tell me Tom Tom !!
Would you place a large wager on the chargers for only minus 2.5
The ravens look like JV Team to the chargers . I vowed to never gamble but this looks too obvious!!
Even through we don’t like each other ; I want to hear your take
You’re getting 2.5 points if you bet on LAC for a few reasons:

1. East Coast road game for a west Coast team

2. Baltimore beat them rather handily in LA two weeks ago.

3. Baltimore’s defense is tops in the league, hardly JV as you smear them.

4. Since Jackson has taken over at QB, their run game has allowed them to control the clock with more than 35 minutes time of possession, tops in the league.

5. Jackson as a runner gives them a UUUGGGEEE speed advantage and he doesn’t turn the ball over in the air. He does need to concentrate more on ball security to avoid fumbles.

LAC does get Hunter Henry, a good TE, back and Rivers has significant playoff experience as an advantage.

This is an extremely tough game to call because LAC has played well on the road and won a lot of close games.

Proceed with caution.
 
D

Deleted member 754093

Guest
Indianapolis, under, TP 45, CF 2
Seattle, under, TP 34, CF 4
LAC, over, TP 49, CF 3
E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!, under, TP 41, CF 1

Just realized I picked all upsets. I NEVER trust rookie/first time QBs in the playoffs against experienced ones. Or Bill O'Brien. Go Birds
*Oh shirt. If this comes up as "edited" it's because I clarified the last statement. Didn't change any of the picks
 
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dgold44

G.O.A.T.
You’re getting 2.5 points if you bet on LAC for a few reasons:

1. East Coast road game for a west Coast team

2. Baltimore beat them rather handily in LA two weeks ago.

3. Baltimore’s defense is tops in the league, hardly JV as you smear them.

4. Since Jackson has taken over at QB, their run game has allowed them to control the clock with more than 35 minutes time of possession, tops in the league.

5. Jackson as a runner gives them a UUUGGGEEE speed advantage and he doesn’t turn the ball over in the air. He does need to concentrate more on ball security to avoid fumbles.

LAC does get Hunter Henry, a good TE, back and Rivers has significant playoff experience as an advantage.

This is an extremely tough game to call because LAC has played well on the road and won a lot of close games.

Proceed with caution.
Wow thanks !!!
Maybe this bet I better think more about??

Ravens beat them easily a few weeks ago
 
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RaulRamirez

Hall of Fame
Indianapolis, under, TP 45, CF 2
Seattle, under, TP 34, CF 4
LAC, over, TP 49, CF 3
E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!, under, TP 41, CF 1

Just realized I picked all upsets. NEVER trust rookie/first time QBs in the playoffs. Or Bill O'Brien. Go Birds
Go, Birds!
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Indianapolis, under, TP 45, CF 2
Seattle, under, TP 34, CF 4
LAC, over, TP 49, CF 3
E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!, under, TP 41, CF 1

Just realized I picked all upsets. NEVER trust rookie/first time QBs in the playoffs. Or Bill O'Brien. Go Birds
I’m going to hold you to this NEVER trust 1st-time Playoff QBs when Mahomes/Chiefs face (according to your upsets) Indy in Arrowhead next weekend.
 

T1000

Legend
Indianapolis at Houston (-1.5) O/U 48.5

Seattle at Dallas (-1.5) O/U 43.5

LAC at Baltimore (-2.5) O/U 41.5

Philadelphia at Chicago (-5.5) O/U 41.5

Indy under TP 44 CF 1
Dallas covers under TP 37 CF 3
LAC under TP 27 CF 2
Chicago covers over TP 45 CF 4
 
D

Deleted member 754093

Guest
I’m going to hold you to this NEVER trust 1st-time Playoff QBs when Mahomes/Chiefs face (according to your upsets) Indy in Arrowhead next weekend.
Well it is Andy Reid in the playoffs...
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Well it is Andy Reid in the playoffs...
Andy Reid has never had a QB like Mahomes. In his first playoff games, Reid is a respectable 8-4 and 6-3 at home in those first games. As a Philly fan, you should know Reid was unbeaten in first playoff games until McNabb’s last season and some dude named Kevin Kolb starting but replaced by the Hide Your Beagle Vick’s An Eagle experiment.
 

RaulRamirez

Hall of Fame
Andy Reid has never had a QB like Mahomes. In his first playoff games, Reid is a respectable 8-4 and 6-3 at home in those first games. As a Philly fan, you should know Reid was unbeaten in first playoff games until McNabb’s last season and some dude named Kevin Kolb starting but replaced by the Hide Your Beagle Vick’s An Eagle experiment.
I don't think Kolb ever started a playoff game -- they did have Jeff Garcia the one year, when he had a semi-magical run after Donovan's injuries. Both Reid and McNabb caught a ton of flak in Philly...they were cursed with being very good and quite successful, but never quite getting there (well, they did in 2005) or winning it all. But yes, they had a wonnign record together in the playoffs, also earning several byes before playing their first postseason game(s). I think they only did have one one-and-done in the postseason. Not great, but hardly poor...and their defense often came up small in the postseason.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
I don't think Kolb ever started a playoff game -- they did have Jeff Garcia the one year, when he had a semi-magical run after Donovan's injuries. Both Reid and McNabb caught a ton of flak in Philly...they were cursed with being very good and quite successful, but never quite getting there (well, they did in 2005) or winning it all. But yes, they had a wonnign record together in the playoffs, also earning several byes before playing their first postseason game(s). I think they only did have one one-and-done in the postseason. Not great, but hardly poor...and their defense often came up small in the postseason.
Vick replaced Kolb during the regular season and kept the starter’s job when Kolb was healthy again...guess I didn’t make that clear.
 
D

Deleted member 754093

Guest
Andy Reid has never had a QB like Mahomes. In his first playoff games, Reid is a respectable 8-4 and 6-3 at home in those first games. As a Philly fan, you should know Reid was unbeaten in first playoff games until McNabb’s last season and some dude named Kevin Kolb starting but replaced by the Hide Your Beagle Vick’s An Eagle experiment.
Recently in the playoffs. The McNabb run of NFCCGs was over 10 years ago. I should have said Andy Reid AND the Chiefs. They’re bound to screw things up
 

hollywood9826

Hall of Fame
Recently in the playoffs. The McNabb run of NFCCGs was over 10 years ago. I should have said Andy Reid AND the Chiefs. They’re bound to screw things up
Probably will screw things up, but it will probably just be the defense and nothing to do with Reid. No way they lose next week though. After a week of rest of preparation nobody will stop that offense in Arrowhead.
 
D

Deleted member 754093

Guest
@stringertom look what happened to the high powered offense of McVay and Goff last year. That said, I’m more apt to trust Mahomes than I am Trubisky, even with the Bears D

Vikings had an air tight defense last year and they got decimated
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Recently in the playoffs. The McNabb run of NFCCGs was over 10 years ago. I should have said Andy Reid AND the Chiefs. They’re bound to screw things up
I’m pretty confident Andy Reid won’t suffer this kind of bad luck again this year:


Even if a fluke play like this happens, Mahomes & Co aren’t going to be stoned for 0 points in the second half like Alex Smith. Hopefully, Butker doesn’t hook a FG try into the upright again.
 
Houston, covers, over, TP 51 CF 1
Dallas, covers, over TP 44, CF 2
Baltimore, covers, over, TP 44 CF 3
Chicago, covers, over TP 44 CF 4
 
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