ghostofMecir
Legend
Going back to 1991 when we first have complete points data, nobody has played this many consecutive slam matches on hardcourts in which he has so comfortably won the dominance ratio, which for him is the result of a dominant hold game and top 2 return game. Sinner has won 20 straight slam matches on hardcourt with a dominance ratio (DR) of 1.33 or higher. A DR of 1.33 means you’re winning 33% more points when returning than you’re giving away on your own serve. Statistically speaking, this an absurdly unlikely streak (more on that below).
For those of you who are not familiar, Dominance Ratio is calculated by dividing:
(% of points won on opponents' serves) / (% of points lost on own serve)
So, it compares how effective you were when returning with how safe you were on serve.
For example, Federer defeated Djokovic in the 2012 Wimbledon SFs with a DR of 1.32 and Djokovic defeated Federer in the 2020 AO SFs with a DR of 1.31. Both matches, like most matches, had moments at which the matches could turn around, but for the most part, Federer and Djokovic control those matches.
Consecutive hardcourt slam matches won with a DR of 1.33+
20, Sinner, 2024 USO through 2025 USO (won 36 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
12, Edberg, 1991 USO + 1992 AO
9, Federer, 2007 AO+USO (won 144 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
9, Nadal, 2017 USO+ 2018 AO (won 107 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
8, Djokovic, 2023 AO+USO (won 131 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
7, Agassi, 1994 USO+1995 AO and 1999 AO + USO (won 68 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Sampras, 1997 AO+ USO (won 60 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Hewitt, 2004 USO (won 43 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Alcaraz, 2025 USO (won 27 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Del Potro, 2009 USO (won 36 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
I’m 99% certain Lendl from 1985 USO to 1987 USO also won 20 consecutive matches with a DR of 1.33+ until a competitive match with Mats Wilander in the 1987 final.
For those of you who are not familiar, Dominance Ratio is calculated by dividing:
(% of points won on opponents' serves) / (% of points lost on own serve)
So, it compares how effective you were when returning with how safe you were on serve.
- DR = 1.0 → Balance. You win as much on return as you lose on serve. The match is even.
- DR < 1.0 → You’re under pressure. You’re losing serve points more often than you’re creating pressure on return.
- DR > 1.0 → You’re holding serve more comfortably while more regularly threatening your opponent’s serve.
For example, Federer defeated Djokovic in the 2012 Wimbledon SFs with a DR of 1.32 and Djokovic defeated Federer in the 2020 AO SFs with a DR of 1.31. Both matches, like most matches, had moments at which the matches could turn around, but for the most part, Federer and Djokovic control those matches.
Consecutive hardcourt slam matches won with a DR of 1.33+
20, Sinner, 2024 USO through 2025 USO (won 36 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
12, Edberg, 1991 USO + 1992 AO
9, Federer, 2007 AO+USO (won 144 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
9, Nadal, 2017 USO+ 2018 AO (won 107 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
8, Djokovic, 2023 AO+USO (won 131 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
7, Agassi, 1994 USO+1995 AO and 1999 AO + USO (won 68 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Sampras, 1997 AO+ USO (won 60 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Hewitt, 2004 USO (won 43 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Alcaraz, 2025 USO (won 27 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
6, Del Potro, 2009 USO (won 36 career hardcourt slam matches with a DR of 1.33+)
I’m 99% certain Lendl from 1985 USO to 1987 USO also won 20 consecutive matches with a DR of 1.33+ until a competitive match with Mats Wilander in the 1987 final.
