After the US Open, which will be the second Grand Slam to fall out of the Grasp of the Big 3 ?

[Razer]

Big 3 have not won the US open since 2020, the last was 2019. I believe they will never win it again.

Which is the next slam to fall out of their reach and which will be the last ?

I believe the sequence will be

US Open

Then French Open

Then Australian Open

and finally Wimbledon the last to fall as the youngsters are the weakest on it.

 

[Rosstour]

Australian

Natural surfaces will be their last refuge

 

[Razer]

Australian

Natural surfaces will be their last refuge

Djokovic is arguably stronger in Australia than Nadal is at the French, at least in 2020s decade this is the case

Perhaps Djokovic will hold fort longer than the Bull.

Alcaraz/Rune/Tsistipas/Zverev/Ruud are all knocking on the doors of the French Open as we speak.

 

[Rosstour]

Djokovic is arguably stronger in Australia than Nadal is at the French, at least in 2020s decade this is the case

Perhaps Djokovic will hold fort longer than the Bull.

Alcaraz/Rune/Tsistipas/Zverev/Ruud are all knocking on the doors of the French Open as we speak.

Djoker is more successful at the Aussie but I think he's safer at Wimbledon because his biggest threats are Murray and Kyrgios

On hard courts, there's just many more players who could catch him on a bad day...Rune, Tsitsipas, Alcaraz just for starters.

But who can really challenge him on grass?

 

[Razer]

Djoker is more successful at the Aussie but I think he's safer at Wimbledon because his biggest threats are Murray and Kyrgios

On hard courts, there's just many more players who could catch him on a bad day...Rune, Tsitsipas, Alcaraz just for starters.

But who can really challenge him on grass?

To be frank these Murrays and Nadal are not threats for Novak anymore, infact they never were in the last decade or so, Roger was the only man who threatened Novak there on Grass.
Kyrgios is his pigeon now, he is all praises for Novak, he ain't threatening Novak.

Sinner and Felix can be threats, or if someone emerges as next grass great then it might be threatening, possibly someone born after 1999, I don't think anyone in 1990s gen will threaten him there.

 

[Rosstour]

To be frank these Murrays and Nadal are not threats for Novak anymore, infact they never were in the last decade or so, Roger was the only man who threatened Novak there on Grass.
Kyrgios is his pigeon now, he is all praises for Novak, he ain't threatening Novak.

Sinner and Felix can be threats, or if someone emerges as next grass great then it might be threatening, possibly someone born after 1999, I don't think anyone in 1990s gen will threaten him there.

Sinner and Felix are mugs, and you're prob right about Kyrgios

 

[Razer]

Rune's win% just before his 20th Birthday - 58.33%
Federer's win% just before his 20th birthday - 58.71%

Good news for Rune is that he has the highest win% indoors after Djokovic among all players since 01st Jan 2020.

Physiquewise Rune is still a "boy", like Roger was in 2001, so he has 2 more years to transition into what Roger became in 2003, if that happens then Alcaraz will proven to be the modern day Hewitt !!!

 

[tennis3]

Big 3

Are you thinking Federer is going to make a comeback?

It’s down to the Big 1 at this point. And Djokovic will probably win the US Open if he’s allowed to play, can avoid getting defaulted and is healthy.

 

[CoolCoolCool]

Either AO or FO, since the next gen is comfortable on HC and clay. Wimbledon is probably where they'll keep struggling the most.

But Djoker's chances at USO are pretty high, unless he noticeably declines throughout the year.

 

[Razer]

Are you thinking Federer is going to make a comeback?

It’s down to the Big 1 at this point. And Djokovic will probably win the US Open if he’s allowed to play, can avoid getting defaulted and is healthy.

Bull is still not out of picture, we need to see this year's french open. It is not a Big 1 yet, it is a Big 2.

 

[SinneGOAT]

Sinner and Felix are mugs, and you're prob right about Kyrgios

I’m going to kindly ask you retract 2/11 of your statement.

 

[Nadal_King]

I will say Wimbledon since Djokovic is most accomplished there so only he needs to he beaten to get new winners whereas Ao and Rg both Rafa and Novak have won titles recently

 

[BauerAlmeida]

RG
AO
Wimbleodn

 

[weakera]

Djokovic is far more vulnerable at Wimbledon than his recent titles suggest. The competition there has just been amateur level for a few years. Once a contender emerges, that person will dominate. I mean, even Sinner took Djokovic to 5 lol

 

[CoolCoolCool]

Djokovic is far more vulnerable at Wimbledon than his recent titles suggest. The competition there has just been amateur level for a few years. Once a contender emerges, that person will dominate. I mean, even Sinner took Djokovic to 5 lol

FAA took Rafa to 5 at RG.

 

[weakera]

FAA took Rafa to 5 at RG.

I think everyone knows Rafa is on the precipice

 

[Bartelby]

Nadal will not be crossing over, but falling off the Pyrenees?

I think everyone knows Rafa is on the precipice

 

[CoolCoolCool]

I think everyone knows Rafa is on the precipice

Which is why I think next gen has a better shot at RG. I wouldn't say Djoker is a lock for Wimbledon but his chances are higher (not to say Rafa's chances aren't high).

 

[Rosstour]

I’m going to kindly ask you retract 2/11 of your statement.

Wimbledon match v Djokovic last year?

 

[Kralingen]

I think the answer essentially comes down to how good Raz is. Would be hard pressed to see another NextGen truly dethroning them

 

[SinneGOAT]

Wimbledon match v Djokovic last year?

Hehe what match?

 

[MichaelNadal]

Big 3 have not won the US open since 2020, the last was 2019. I believe they will never win it again.

Which is the next slam to fall out of their reach and which will be the last ?

I believe the sequence will be

US Open

Then French Open

Then Australian Open

and finally Wimbledon the last to fall as the youngsters are the weakest on it.

In an epic kit

 

[Federev]

Big 3 have not won the US open since 2020, the last was 2019. I believe they will never win it again.

Which is the next slam to fall out of their reach and which will be the last ?

I believe the sequence will be

US Open

Then French Open

Then Australian Open

and finally Wimbledon the last to fall as the youngsters are the weakest on it.

Great thread in a desert of terrible ones.

I think it will be the next hard court slam - Australia.

As good as Novak is relative to the field there, I think the gap is greater between him and the rest of the field at Wimbledon.

But it’s a great question and I’m not entirely sure.

 

[Federev]

Djokovic is arguably stronger in Australia than Nadal is at the French, at least in 2020s decade this is the case

Perhaps Djokovic will hold fort longer than the Bull.

Alcaraz/Rune/Tsistipas/Zverev/Ruud are all knocking on the doors of the French Open as we speak.

Very true.

Again - great thread.

 

[Federev]

Djokovic is far more vulnerable at Wimbledon than his recent titles suggest. The competition there has just been amateur level for a few years. Once a contender emerges, that person will dominate. I mean, even Sinner took Djokovic to 5 lol

But who can challenge him? Like - is there a realistic contender even on the horizon?

As far as Sinner, Novak often plays to the relative strength of his opponent. He will play “one step ahead” tennis, but you’ll hardly ever catch him. He’s efficient and just turns it up when he needs to.

So I don’t think his close matches there are all that close.

 

[Hitman]

The next one to fall is more than likely the French Open.

Think Wimbledon will be the last one to fall....seriously no one outside the big 4 has won that title in over 20 years....

 

[Enceladus]

Djokovic is far more vulnerable at Wimbledon than his recent titles suggest. The competition there has just been amateur level for a few years. Once a contender emerges, that person will dominate. I mean, even Sinner took Djokovic to 5 lol

Sinner even took Alcaraz at USO to 5 sets, he had MP. Sinner can push the best players.

 

[mahatma]

Djokovic is arguably stronger in Australia than Nadal is at the French, at least in 2020s decade this is the case

Perhaps Djokovic will hold fort longer than the Bull.

Alcaraz/Rune/Tsistipas/Zverev/Ruud are all knocking on the doors of the French Open as we speak.

A different opinion - Djokovic is stronger currently in Wimbledon as compared to AO