Apart from Big 3 who has a shot at winning Us open this year?

[Nadal_King]

I know many will laugh on this thread but Us open is most uncertain slam to predict in previous years although last 2 years familiar faces won it. I think guys like tsitsipas, thiem can do well on hardcourts and will less prone to upsets here than on grass. Also thiem played well here last year and tsitsipas reached Aus open semi.I think somewhere a break through will happen and it could start this us open or maybe next year but I think it will.

 

[jm1980]

If the USO plays like last year, Thiem will have a decent shot

 

[Standaa]

write the names on the wheel and spin it!

you get your answer

 

[Atennisone]

Thiem and Kyrgios.

 

[Deleted member 77403]

Shame Del Potro is not playing there this year.

 

[Milehigh5280]

Thiem, Nishikori, and Stan would be my first picks outside of the Big 3

 

[StrongRule]

Shame Del Potro is not playing there this year.

He wouldn't have a chance anyway.

 

[Deleted member 77403]

He wouldn't have a chance anyway.

OK, give me your percentage breakdown for this USO.

 

[StrongRule]

OK, give me your percentage breakdown for this USO.

Djokovic-90%
Federer-9% (but only if somebody else will take Djokovic out for him)

You can split the remaining percent as you wish between Nadal, Thiem, Wawrinka and others.

 

[Deleted member 77403]

Djokovic-90%
Federer-9% (but only if somebody else will take Djokovic out for him)

You can split the remaining percent as you wish between Nadal, Thiem, Wawrinka and others.

 

[ghostofMecir]

write the names on the wheel and spin it!

you get your answer

Yup. These players have the same chance thst thie wheel has of landing on the color black.

 

[StrongRule]

You mean it's too low? Yeah, probably.You would give him 95% or something?

 

[Deleted member 77403]

You mean it's too low? Yeah, probably.You would give him 95% or something?

I wouldn't give Djokovic 90% at the AO, let alone anywhere else including NYC.

 

[StrongRule]

I wouldn't give Djokovic 90% at the AO, let alone anywhere else including NYC.

Come on, you talk about him being the heavyweight champion or something like this. He is almost unbeatable, no? Especially when the younger players are so bad.

 

[Deleted member 77403]

Come on, you talk about him being the heavyweight champion or something like this. He is almost unbeatable, no? Especially when the younger players are so bad.

Yes, I call him the heavyweight champion and Earth's Mightiest Warrior, but I never ever said he is invincible.

He is the favorite for the USO, I think you should be able to tell from my discussions with others than I put him clearly above the others here, but the numbers are no where near as high as the 90 percent you are saying.

 

[StrongRule]

Yes, I call him the heavyweight champion and Earth's Mightiest Warrior, but I never ever said he is invincible.

He is the favorite for the USO, I think you should be able to tell from my discussions with others than I put him clearly above the others here, but the numbers are no where near as high as the 90 percent you are saying.

I'm just thinking who can realistically beat him and I don't see any options. Forget about Federer and Nadal, this is not happening. Players who theoretically CAN trouble him are Wawrinka and some of the younger players if they play well-Thiem, Zverev, Kyrgios, Khachanov. But in a slam I wouldn't trust any of them to even reach him, leave alone beat him.

 

[helterskelter]

Come on, you talk about him being the heavyweight champion or something like this. He is almost unbeatable, no? Especially when the younger players are so bad.

The bookmakers put Djokovic's chances for the US Open at somewhere in the range of 40%.

 

[vaillancourt]

Thiem. That is it probably. Is Del Potro even semi healthy ATM.

 

[vaillancourt]

I'm just thinking who can realistically beat him and I don't see any options. Forget about Federer and Nadal, this is not happening. Players who theoretically CAN trouble him are Wawrinka and some of the younger players if they play well-Thiem, Zverev, Kyrgios, Khachanov. But in a slam I wouldn't trust any of them to even reach him, leave alone beat him.

Yeah if Djokovic loses it will be to a dark horse. It will not be Federer or Nadal I dont think.

 

[Deleted member 77403]

I'm just thinking who can realistically beat him and I don't see any options. Forget about Federer and Nadal, this is not happening. Players who theoretically CAN trouble him are Wawrinka and some of the younger players if they play well-Thiem, Zverev, Kyrgios, Khachanov. But in a slam I wouldn't trust any of them to even reach him, leave alone beat him.

I think @helterskelter has got it right here and I would agree with the below. You also need to understand the accumulative effect of matches, you never know when you can run into a player who is playing on fire. You cannot win a slam in the first week, but you can certainly lose it if you are not efficient. Give him a Medvedev and a Thiem in succession and you can bet something will be taken out of him before a final, and that could help his opponent especially if they navigate through a better draw.

The bookmakers put Djokovic's chances for the US Open at somewhere in the range of 40%.

 

[James P]

Non Big 3 GS winner is imminent!!

 

[OhYes]

write the names on the wheel and spin it!

you get your answer

Something like this ?

We can spin it, wonder where will it land

 

[RaulRamirez]

The bookmakers put Djokovic's chances for the US Open at somewhere in the range of 40%.

Sounds about right. I'm not a betting man, but it's hard for me to ever have anyone at more than 50% at a major - except for a year or three of Rafa at RG. Possibly, 2004-06 Fed at Wimbledon.

 

[MichaelNadal]

Me

 

[Standaa]

Something like this ?

We can spin it, wonder where will it land

smart to start the time range with 2008

 

[Deleted member 77403]

Sounds about right. I'm not a betting man, but it's hard for me to ever have anyone at more than 50% at a major - except for a year or three of Rafa at RG. Possibly, 2004-06 Fed at Wimbledon.

Agree.

 

[OhYes]

smart to start the time range with 2008

Well would you like more 5 year span ?

 

[Red Rick]

Only one man could stop the Big 3

Spoiler

 

[Standaa]

Only one man could stop the Big 3

Spoiler

which match is that?

need to know who or what got Murygoat this angry

 

[Red Rick]

which match is that?

need to know who or what got Murygoat this angry

I don't know.

Knowing Murray he probably just won something

 

[Red Rick]

which match is that?

need to know who or what got Murygoat this angry

Probably the loss to Wawrinka at the 2013 USO

 

[albertobra]

Meddy

 

[MeatTornado]

Only one man could stop the Big 3

Spoiler

Spoiler

 

[Red Rick]

Spoiler

Laughs in Federer

 

[And 5 Others]

which match is that?

need to know who or what got Murygoat this angry

Surely something trivial.

 

[Red Rick]

Surely something trivial.

Kim took his Xbox

 

[MeatTornado]

Laughs in Federer

Andy has as many slam wins vs Fed as Stan does ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 

[Red Rick]

Andy has as many slam wins vs Fed as Stan does ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Andy isn't 0-5000 vs Fed on HC

 

[King No1e]

Thiem.
But things can change during this HC season. Zverev and Tsitsipas comebacks are not out of question.