‘10 USO, ‘11 AO, ‘11 RG, ‘11 USO, ‘12 RG, ‘12 Wimby - 6 of the 11 where Djokovic had an age advantage, although Fed had a bigger one in the ‘07-‘09 matches than Djokovic in ‘10. If we’re gonna invoke surrounding form as an overriding factor for ‘10 (Djoko was slumping leading up to the tournament) then that applies to their ‘08 AO match…all in all it about evens out.
Moreover Djokovic got 4 good cracks at Fed at AO/RG, Agassi had 3 against PETE at the same slams.
Broken down by slam, there wasn’t a big difference in
meaningful success for the two against their foes at the AO (despite Fed’s win against Greenvak in ‘07), Federer clearly takes it at RG, it’s roughly a wash at Wimby just like AO was (Fed’s comprehensive win in ‘12 probably give him the slight nod, but PETE was a bit under the weather in his ‘93 underperformance) and Sampras takes it at the USO.
I think Fed in Pete’s shoes does about as well in slams against Agassi as Sampras did and better in the overall H2H…whereas ‘97-‘02 PETE ain’t going 6-5 against Djokovic in slams, and forget about winning the overall H2H.
Bolded: perhaps, but Nadal was even
more suited to it, whereas Fed was a bit of a tweener in that regard. It’s the other way around in the Sampgassi H2H - Pete’s game/concentrated dominance was tailor made for the ‘90s conditions, Agassi’s wasn’t ( though, as with Fed, he also wasn’t DISadvantaged per se).
So I don’t think tour dynamics really support your broader point here, seems like a mixed bag at best.
Fair call, but Federer
also does significantly better in this hypo so I don’t see much point of separation there. And Ned would still be a tough out for PETE in the Miami/IW matches.
Definitely the biggest point of disagreement.
With the surface distribution as it is, I suspect neither guy will dominate Ned on aggregate (just too much of a buffer) but I also don’t see much if any room for Sampras to decisively outperform Fed in a Nadal H2H here lol
You can even use the much-maligned real-life Fedal H2H (the one Fed underperformed in!) as a useful guide. In 8 matches where the conditions were “highly favourable”—as much as they can be in that era (‘06 Dubai/Wimby/YEC, ‘07 Wimby/YEC, ‘10/‘11 YEC)—Fed went
6-2. 5 of the 6 wins were comfortable, both losses squeakers. And however much poly blunts his game in absolute terms (as it would for any player) he certainly makes it up in a relative sense as Nadal suffers worse losses.
So it’s hard to fathom Fed doing worse than that on ‘90s fast courts. Is PETE
likelier to go 8-0 against Ned due to match-up/tour dynamics? Probably, yes. But both are dominating on properly “fast” surfaces with the equipment advantage. Federer already did it without one.
Left are slow/medium-pace HC’s and clay. I don’t think PETE does much better than Fed’s real-life 2-2 in the quartet of Miami/IW matches. Both likely go 2-2 or 3-1.
AO? With equipment advantages flipped Fed probably goes at least 1-1….‘99 Sampras/‘09 Nadal (granting we tweak things so he doesn’t miss the tournament) and ‘02 Sampras/‘12 Nadal on ‘99/‘02 courts…are you fully confident in a PETE win in either match? I’m definitely not, but let’s go with 1-1 there too. I’d give Fed the higher chance to go 2-0.
On clay, I would back Fed to win one or two more matches.
Doing my best to approach this comparison dispassionately, but even if you spot PETE an extra match or two to make up for my bias, I still don’t see how one can think there’d be a yawning chasm here. Sounds like two evenly-matched players to me.
And what happens to Ned’s two primary weapons, the topspin forehand and ability to turn defence into offence, with natural gut? Fed will lose way less points he’s in control of. The slice doesn’t get pounced on as hard either.
And the serve as a stand-alone? Fed doesn’t lose that much. He was always a spot-server so that doesn’t change, he played the ‘01 Wimby match against PETE with a full-gut set-up and still amassed 49% freebies, which is a top 5 mark in Slams for him. Both see their +1 fh’s suffer, but Fed won a whole-ass Major serving and volleying so his service game holds up better than Ned’s as he has more point-ending variety to supplement it with. Fed even in the 2000’s was an equal or maybe even slightly better front-foot passer while Nadal was much better on the dead run, so who declines more with gut on the pass? Probably Nadal.