At 32, both Fedal achieved their 17th...

Novak 17jokovic in 2019?

  • Yes, he will reach 17-18.

    Votes: 22 59.5%
  • No, he will stay 15-16.

    Votes: 15 40.5%

  • Total voters
    37
What difference does it make - 2005 Federer or 2015 Djokovic? They were both at their peaks. Djokovic at the age of 28 player a lot better than at the age of 25.

Both peak Federer/Djokovic beat an ATG in his mid 30s. I see no difference here in comparing level of play. Besides, Agassi was a late bloomer.

There is an enormous difference between an 11 year age differential and a 6 year age differential. What makes it worse is your crying about it when Djokovic was two steps away from 30 himself.
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
There is an enormous difference between an 11 year age differential and a 6 year age differential. What makes it worse is your crying about it when Djokovic was two steps away from 30 himself.
It's not my fault that Djokovic peaked in 2011 and then again in 2015.

You should maybe ask yourself why he underpeformed in 2012-2014 when he was 25-27 and then went on a tear when he was in his late 20s instead of the other way round.
 
Why is Federer turning 30 such a big deal? Laver won the open era Grand Slam after his 30th birthday. It's winning against baby ATGs that's the easy part. And Federer even struggled at that.

What is a "baby ATG"?

Please give examples, so that we can have some fun by requiring some examples by comparison.

:cool:
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
What difference does it make - 2005 Federer or 2015 Djokovic? They were both at their peaks. Djokovic at the age of 28 player a lot betted than at the age of 25.

Both peak Federer/Djokovic beat an ATG in his mid 30s. I see no difference here when it comes to level of play. Besides, Agassi was a late bloomer.

Djokovic built his legacy on beating an old Federer.

Agassi 2004-05

slam score: 19-6
top10 beat: 1

overall score: 75-25
top10 beat: 8

Federer 2014-15

slam score 37-8
top10 beat: 6

overall score: 136-23
top10 beat: 32
 
A baby ATG = your favorite player before he started winning

Meeeh.

The trouble is, once one puts the definition down, it has to stand up to scrutiny for the general case, and the recent onslaught of "experts", "scientific prominents", and just the general well-wishers, seem to have trouble with these things.

In fact, the last time I asked the personthat I am asking now to explain his position, it was curtains for the conversation.

Happens far too often, so let's hope that this time we get lucky.

:cool:
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
More wins tend to happen when you play more.

Federer played 159 matches in 2014/2015.
Agassi played 100 matches in 2004/2005.

But, even considering that you can't just take stats out of your a** to prove a point. It was a lot harder to be consistent in 2004 than it is in 2015 because the surfaces were different. Competition was different too, in 2015 the tour outside of Djokovic, Federer who was 57 and Murray was abysmal. In 2004 the top was Federer, Hewitt, Safin, Roddick, Nalbandian, Moya, Agassi, Henman etc. In 2015 you had people like Nishikori, Gasquet, Ferrer etc. Even Nadal himself finished 2015 in the top 5 despite sucking hard.
LOL
 

RaulRamirez

Legend
I'm always reluctant to make predictions.

Let's say Djokovic wins "only" one more major (to get to 16), wins 4 of the 10 other big tourneys, and holds onto #1 for the whole year.
That's a huge season; are his fans supposed to be disappointed with this?!
 

Sport

G.O.A.T.
With Murray:

Djokovic 12 of 15 (80%)
Nadal 10 of 17 (58.8)
Federer 8 of 20 (40)

Without Murray:

Nadal 10 of 17 (58.8)
Djokovic 7 of 15 (46.7)
Federer 5 of 20 (25)
Murray does not count as an all-time great on clay. Thus, Djokovic defeating Murray at RG 2016 does not count as strong opposition.
 

True Fanerer

G.O.A.T.
There is an enormous difference between an 11 year age differential and a 6 year age differential. What makes it worse is your crying about it when Djokovic was two steps away from 30 himself.
Agassi had less miles on him than the 11 year gap makes it sound.
 

Lew II

G.O.A.T.
Murray does not count as an all-time great on clay. Thus, Djokovic defeating Murray at RG 2016 does not count as strong opposition.
In 2015-16 he was in red hot form on clay though.

From Rome14 to RG16 on clay he lost only to Djokovic and Nadal (39-0 vs others)
 
Last edited:

Sport

G.O.A.T.
I'm always reluctant to make predictions.

Let's say Djokovic wins "only" one more major (to get to 16), wins 4 of the 10 other big tourneys, and holds onto #1 for the whole year.
That's a huge season; are his fans supposed to be disappointed with this?!
Yes, Djokovic fans would be dissapointed. Djokovic is expected to win both Wimbledon and the US Open. Roland Garros is not a must, but it is undoubtedly another huge objective.
 

RaulRamirez

Legend
Yes, Djokovic fans would be dissapointed. Djokovic is expected to win both Wimbledon and the US Open. Roland Garros is not a must, but it is undoubtedly another huge objective.
No doubt that winning 2 of the remaining 3 - let alone all 3, which would be monumental - would be huge.
But even if he's the favorite for all three - and let's say a co-favorite with Rafa (for now) at RG - it's simply not as easy as many people make it out to be to win slams.
 

Sport

G.O.A.T.
No doubt that winning 2 of the remaining 3 - let alone all 3, which would be monumental - would be huge.
But even if he's the favorite for all three - and let's say a co-favorite with Rafa (for now) at RG - it's simply not as easy as many people make it out to be to win slams.
I don't think he is a co-favorite with Nadal at RG. Nadal leads the H2H over Djokovic 6-1 at RG, and has won 11 RG for Djokovic's 1. Even in his prime years Djokovic failed to win most matches against Nadal at RG (2012, 2013, 2014).

What I do see is that Djokovic is the second favorite for RG and will have his chances to defeat Nadal. He has beaten Nadal 7 times on clay.

When your name is Novak Djokovic is just that easy to win Grand Slams. He is gonna surpass both Nadal and Federer's Grand Slam achievements.
 

True Fanerer

G.O.A.T.
I don't think he is a co-favorite with Nadal at RG. Nadal leads the H2H over Djokovic 6-1 at RG, and has won 11 RG for Djokovic's 1. Even in his prime years Djokovic failed to win most matches against Nadal at RG (2012, 2013, 2014).

What I do see is that Djokovic is the second favorite for RG and will have his chances to defeat Nadal. He has beaten Nadal 7 times on clay.

When your name is Novak Djokovic is just that easy to win Grand Slams. He is gonna surpass both Nadal and Federer's Grand Slam achievements.
Throwing in the towel so soon? Don't let the AO make you give up.
 
Watch the tennis.

Too late for him, no?

In that period Agassi lost 3 times to Federer and once to Safin on HC, lost in the first round of RG and didn't play Wimbledon at all both years due to injuries.

Also, the correct comparison should be with Federer’s 2015/2016 seasons.

This guy's work with data and knowledge are a joke.

:cool:
 

itrium84

Hall of Fame
In 2015-16 he was in red hot form on clay though.

From Rome14 to RG16 on clay he lost only to Djokovic and Nadal (39-0 vs others)
Murray literally destroyed the clay opposition in that period, showing absolute dominance against every single tennis player (except Djokodal).

Sent from my Redmi Note 4 using Tapatalk
 
Throwing in the towel so soon? Don't let the AO make you give up.

It is funny.

Several hours ago a staunch Djokovic fan was saying that Nadal gets his 21, and he doesn't think that Djoko will even reach 20, and now this.

It seems that these guys are happy to throw themselves at each other, and share a good knee-jerk, hoping that at least one of them will "get lucky" in the end.

8-B
 

RaulRamirez

Legend
I don't think he is a co-favorite with Nadal at RG. Nadal leads the H2H over Djokovic 6-1 at RG, and has won 11 RG for Djokovic's 1. Even in his prime years Djokovic failed to win most matches against Nadal at RG (2012, 2013, 2014).

What I do see is that Djokovic is the second favorite for RG and will have his chances to defeat Nadal. He has beaten Nadal 7 times on clay.

When your name is Novak Djokovic is just that easy to win Grand Slams. He is gonna surpass both Nadal and Federer's Grand Slam achievements.

My point about Djokovic (for now) being a co-favorite w/ Rafa was part of a bigger overall point.
I'm not at all repudiating what Rafa has done on clay in general and at RG in particular, but Djokovic winning the last two big H2Hs with Rafa (albeit on grass and HC) and his present momentum may be enough to establish him as at least a co-favorite there. We'll see what the clay swing brings. My hopes (as a dual Rafa/Novak fan) for the first half of the season have already been dashed: I was hoping Rafa would take the AO, and Novak the FO. Now, with another 4-in-a-row and a double GS on the slam line for Novak, I think (for the little it's worth) I'll be rooting for Novak at RG and Rafa at Wimbledon.

As for Novak surpassing both Rafa and Fed by the time they all hang it up, he has a shot at it, and he may truly be the best of essentially 3 GOATs, as I see it. But, I'm always reluctant to make such predictions, and I'm not writing off all of the Next Gen guys (let alone Roger and Rafa) so easily.
 

True Fanerer

G.O.A.T.
It is funny.

Several hours ago a staunch Djokovic fan was saying that Nadal gets his 21, and he doesn't think that Djoko will even reach 20, and now this.

It seems that these guys are happy to throw themselves at each other, and share a good knee-jerk, hoping that at least one of them will "get lucky" in the end.

8-B
As long as Federer gets passed by someone right? ;)
 

BGod

G.O.A.T.
Title is misleading. Federer got his 17th at age 30, shortly before turning 31. Nadal yes, captured his 17th shortly after 32.

Novak now is 31 going on 32. But he'll be 32 until next year's RG. So he actually has 4 Slams to get 2.
 
If not CYGS, then he will hit 17 for sure! I can't see any other case scenario tbh...its either he wins an exhausting Roland Garros and doesn't have enough time to recover for WC and loses there, but then resurfaces again to defend USO or he loses at RG, but goes all gun blazing at both WC and USO...or neither happens he gets easy draws at both RG (avoids playing Nadal in finals for some reason!) and WC and blitzes all four!...one of these three cases scenarios! I don't even consider a two slam option! Given the form Novak is in, its just ridiculous...

He's got a good chance of a great year. But you're getting way ahead of yourself in this post. He looked in just as good shape in 2012 and 2013, and didn't win another Slam in either year, and 2016, when he only won one further Slam. There's definitely a very good chance that he'll win two Slams in 2019, not more, and there's a realistic chance that he won't win another at all.
 
Title is misleading. Federer got his 17th at age 30, shortly before turning 31. Nadal yes, captured his 17th shortly after 32.

Novak now is 31 going on 32. But he'll be 32 until next year's RG. So he actually has 4 Slams to get 2.

In age-related Slam terms, the case for Federer looks good because Djokovic is behind where Federer was at the same age, Nadal is tied, and Federer won three Slams after turning 35. However, Federer won no Slams between 31 and 34 inclusive. For Djokovic and Nadal to make hay, their best chance is in the space between turning 31 and turning 35. Both won multiple Slams at 31 - they are the first men to do so since Laver in 1969, so they are already breaking "precedent." It's just a question of whether they'll keep doing so at 32/33/34.
 

SeeingDusk

Hall of Fame
not only will djokovic reach 17 this year, i think he will win all 4 slams in this calendar year; yes that includes the french open.
 

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
I believe Novak Djokovic shall win one more slam this year, to get him to 16 by the end of the year in which he turns 32.

Btw, Federer won his 17th slam at age 30 (Wimbledon 2012).

30 AND 11 MONTHS TO SAY EXACTLY.
 

Sport

G.O.A.T.
My point about Djokovic (for now) being a co-favorite w/ Rafa was part of a bigger overall point.
I'm not at all repudiating what Rafa has done on clay in general and at RG in particular, but Djokovic winning the last two big H2Hs with Rafa (albeit on grass and HC) and his present momentum may be enough to establish him as at least a co-favorite there. We'll see what the clay swing brings. My hopes (as a dual Rafa/Novak fan) for the first half of the season have already been dashed: I was hoping Rafa would take the AO, and Novak the FO. Now, with another 4-in-a-row and a double GS on the slam line for Novak, I think (for the little it's worth) I'll be rooting for Novak at RG and Rafa at Wimbledon.

As for Novak surpassing both Rafa and Fed by the time they all hang it up, he has a shot at it, and he may truly be the best of essentially 3 GOATs, as I see it. But, I'm always reluctant to make such predictions, and I'm not writing off all of the Next Gen guys (let alone Roger and Rafa) so easily.

We have a historical antecedent which (I think) refutes that argument. Djokovic had won 3 Grand Slam matches in a row againt Nadal (WB 2011, USO 2011 and AO 2012), yet Nadal defeated him in 4 sets in the RG 2012 final.

Nadal with 11 RG, a 6-1 H2H over Djokovic at RG, and being the winner of the last 2 editions is still the favorite for the title.
 

TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
Please do everyone a favor and stop posting...your pessimism does Nolefam huge disservice!
First, I hope you realized I was just listing off a small portion of the infinite reasons Djokovic's level could drop and half of them were jokes.

Second, notice how what you call pessimism was correct last year. Djokovic did not sweep the last 3 events of the year, although he seemed like he would. It isn't pessimistic to temper your expectations. My feet are grounded. You're expecting too much of Nole and you'll be sad when he isn't able to do it. On the other hand, I'll be ecstatic if Novak is able to win 3 or more slams this year.

It's your blind faith and quick-to-judge attitude that makes people on this board think Novak fans can't see reason.
 

ForehandRF

Legend
Nadal should be the favorite at RG, but it looks like he developed lately a mental block when playing against Djokovic similar to Federer when he faced him on clay.If this is the case, I expect a Djokovic victory at the French.Novak was also in Rafa's head in 2011, but this time things might be even more serious. Maybe I'm wrong or maybe not, we will see :)
 

Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
If I recall correctly, at the end of last year you predicted Nole would win Shanghai, Paris, and WTF. I predicted only 1 or 2 of those. Nole won only one.

It might seem ridiculous now, but no one sees a decrease in form coming. All it takes is a bad day. A CYGS will not happen this year. If it does, I will eat a sock.

[Everyone can quote me on this: @TripleATeam will eat a sock if Djokovic wins a CYGS in 2019.]

If I recall correctly, RG was his goal for years and he only got it in 2016. I can guarantee you that going into 2013 RG SF, Djokovic wasn't planning on losing. Nadal stopped him, and no matter how he seemed in the AO, Nadal is the favorite for RG. 65-35 Nadal.
Poor Jack
 

CYGS

Legend
Federer was 30(nearly 31) not 32 when he got to 17
Federer did at 31 (almost) while Fedal as a pair did at 32.

However, Federer stayed 17 at 32 also. So if Djokovic reaches 17 at 32, then all of Big 3 are back to square one and Djokodal will have the upper hand over Federer.
 
Federer did at 31 (almost) while Fedal as a pair did at 32.

However, Federer stayed 17 at 32 also. So if Djokovic reaches 17 at 32, then all of Big 3 are back to square one and Djokodal will have the upper hand over Federer.

CIearly, what you say is completely different thing than what you said in your OP.

Also, that is IF Djokovic reaches 17 till he is 32, which he probably won't, so your premature cockiness based on the anticipated Djokovic's "advantage" over Federer is just that. Premature.

:cool:
 

CYGS

Legend
CIearly, what you say is completely different thing than what you said in your OP.

Also, that is IF Djokovic reaches 17 till he is 32, which he probably won't, so your premature cockiness based on the anticipated Djokovic's "advantage" over Federer is just that. Premature.

:cool:
I said Fedal in the OP, and that Djokovic probably won't is your opinion and mine differs. If there's anyone who's cocky, then it's definitely you who always feel the need to jump in conversations that do not involve you and correct other people.
 
I said Fedal in the OP, and that Djokovic probably won't is your opinion and mine differs. If there's anyone who's cocky, then it's definitely you who always feel the need to jump in conversations that do not involve you and correct other people.

The conversation revolves around topics, not people.

As far a I remember Fedal still means Federer and Nadal, and there is a considerable difference between their achievement in that regard.

"Cocky" refers to the assuredness with which you "predict" the supposed achievement, when Djokovic is so far from it.

:cool:
 

CYGS

Legend
The conversation revolves around topics, not people.

As far a I remember Fedal still means Federer and Nadal, and there is a considerable difference between their achievement in that regard.

"Cocky" refers to the assuredness with which you "predict" the supposed achievement, when Djokovic is so far from it.

:cool:
You're correct. Fedal does mean Federer AND Nadal, so my explanation to the statement in the OP still stands. I don't care about any other petty nonsense. Think what you will.
 
You're correct. Fedal does mean Federer AND Nadal, so my explanation to the statement in the OP still stands. I don't care about any other petty nonsense. Think what you will.

So, if I say that Fedal is the legendary clay court duo, because of their 12 RG titles, I will be correct, and you will not have a thing to say about that?

Noted.

:cool:
 
Top