ATP Indian Wells 2025

Who will win the tournament?


  • Total voters
    91
Alcaraz is the current king of Indian Wells.

Given who's left in the draw I don't see any threat to a three-peat. Fils is the only player Alcaraz has never played before.

Carlos leads Cerundolo 1-0.
He leads Griekspoor 5-0.
Leads Rune 2-1 with that sole win for Rune being a retirement.
Leads Medvedev 6-2 which includes the final here last year and 4 straight wins.
Leads Shelton 2-0.
Leads Draper 3-1 including the AO this year (was a retirement but also beat him here in Indian Wells 2 years ago too)
 
#1 doubles seeds Arevalo/Pavic have the easiest run to the title if they want it.

But i'm cheering for one of the Aussies in the bottom half.

The SF's in the doubles:

(1) Arévalo/Pavić v (WC) Harrison/King
Korda/Thompson v (Alt) Romboli/Patrick-Smith

Arevalo/Pavic could win a Masters title without facing a seed.
 
Horrible architecture.
I suspect the architecture was more due to planning permissions than anything, having to blend in with the typical south west Pueblo revival designs. Or maybe an architect talked them into Puebla Architecture design to save money.
 
I'm watching this edition of Indian Wells only in the hope of seeing her;

images

images

MUCH better South African than our current alternative.
Let's see if that comment sneaks past censors.... :(
 
Alcaraz is the current king of Indian Wells.

Given who's left in the draw I don't see any threat to a three-peat. Fils is the only player Alcaraz has never played before.

Carlos leads Cerundolo 1-0.
He leads Griekspoor 5-0.
Leads Rune 2-1 with that sole win for Rune being a retirement.
Leads Medvedev 6-2 which includes the final here last year and 4 straight wins.
Leads Shelton 2-0.
Leads Draper 3-1 including the AO this year (was a retirement but also beat him here in Indian Wells 2 years ago too)
But: Rune looking good, Shelton looking good, Draper looking good. Any of these three could give him a competitive match should he meet them.
 
Alcaraz serving has improved after adding weight to racket.

Today he hit 6 aces on 30 service pts at 20% ace rate.

2025 ace rate has jumped over 8% right now from 6.3% last year. The guy keeps improving
He’s also breaking serve like nobody’s business. That’s the thing that held him back these last two seasons on hard. He was at 32% return games won in 2022, then dropped to 27-28% in 2023 and 2024. So far this year he’s winning like 35% of return games. Huge leap, on top of the steady serve improvements. (Well, we’ll see if he maintains those numbers through the end of the season, but right now he’s looking pretty dangerous on hard.)
 
He’s also breaking serve like nobody’s business. That’s the thing that held him back these last two seasons on hard. He was at 32% return games won in 2022, then dropped to 27-28% in 2023 and 2024. So far this year he’s winning like 35% of return games. Huge leap, on top of the steady serve improvements. (Well, we’ll see if he maintains those numbers through the end of the season, but right now he’s looking pretty dangerous on hard.)
He will turn 22 this year. Looking like getting into his sustained peak from this year onwards.
 
What a lesson Draper gave Fonseca in this second set, dropshot clinic, amazing volleys, he tried to move him continuously forcing him to make mistakes.
Obviously Fonseca also needs these lessons in his growth process.

In any case Draper is a player who is acquiring the solidity of a top player.
Easy prediction, if injuries leave him alone, he will be a constant top 10 in the next 5/6 years.
As already said, assuming that a player born in the early 2000s will win the first slam other than Sinneraz, I see Draper achieving the goal before both Rune and Shelton.
I wouldn't go so far as winning a slam. I think Ben has the best shot for now. Draper is for now is the next Norrie.
 
At this point, the hypothesis of a first ATP final between Alcaraz and Rune would be very intriguing.

The most positive thing about this tournament is that in the quarterfinals we have 5 out of 8 players born in the 2000s (Alcaraz, Rune, Shelton, Draper and Fils).

As easily expected, the changing of the guard is happening quickly.
 
I honestly think Fils could still win. That break isn't as bad as when he was broken earlier in the set. But, this is Med and he knows how to find a way.
 
That guy just spews hate.
But I didn't want to start a controversy, also because @Kralingen and I, after the initial clashes because of Sinner, became great friends thanks to the common passion that binds us to LeBron (and the aversion towards those who overvalue Curry).
I was simply wondering where this hatred towards Medvedev came from.
In the last 24 hours alone in the various threads I think he has mocked him a dozen times.
 
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