ATP M1000 Monte Carlo 2024

Who wins?


  • Total voters
    47
  • Poll closed .

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
Pretty meh ending to the match, good gumption from Rune, but weak performance and admittedly some bad luck for Dimitrov.
What a joke. This was up there as the match of 2024 so far. It was entertaining, thrilling in spots and very high quality from both players in sets one and three (second set Holger semi-tanked). Grigor played lights out and at a VERY high level. Only on TTW is Grigor's play today described as "a weak performance." People who don't even watch the matches have no business wading into match threads with pithy comments which have nothing to do with reality.
 

chuckersthenut

Hall of Fame
Just one final thought. Watching the end of that Rune-Dimitrov match makes it even more baffling to me why Holger gets so passive and 'pushy' often. Who is coaching him to do that? It's very obvious to me and anyone with 2 eyeballs that when he goes for his shots and plays aggressive he could beat anybody on the planet earth.
 

bluetrain4

G.O.A.T.
Whoever wins between Dimitrov e rune is gonna be dead tired tomorrow vs sinner
I was thinking how great it will be to see Rune finally play a top player on a big stage again. But, he very well might be tired. We'll see what he can do That's one of the things about MC - only one week, so playing every day with no days off.
 

Rovesciarete

Hall of Fame
Hurkacz losing tamely to Ruud. Against an aggressive topspin clay court player like Ruud he should basically be volleying behind two out of three second serves. He had plenty of success until his brain short-circuited in the first game of the second set. Hurkacz followed a great second serve to the net, Ruud resorted to lobbing a backhand, Hurkacz backpedalled for it, hit a nice sliced overhead off the bounce which Ruud barely got back, and it needed an easy put away shot. Insted Hurkacz stopped the point, went to the mark where the lob landed, saw it was on the line, and wiped it out himself. There was no coming back from that mentally...

Hubi hugs the baseline even on clay and tries to shorten the point. A player like Ruud with his huge topspin from both wings is poison for that style on the slowest of clay.
 

Vincent-C

Legend
Wearing shorts at a certain length was considered very controversial when I played tennis at the local public courts in Pittsburgh.

Was never an issue when playing in London or Bulgaria. You just wore what was comfy and it was nobody's business.

Is this an actual US thing across most states or was I just unlucky?
I was a bit thankful when Sampras started wearing the long, baggier ones. A much better look, IMNSHO.
 

Impetus

Semi-Pro
What a joke. This was up there as the match of 2024 so far. It was entertaining, thrilling in spots and very high quality from both players in sets one and three (second set Holger semi-tanked). Grigor played lights out and at a VERY high level. Only on TTW is Grigor's play today described as "a weak performance." People who don't even watch the matches have no business wading into match threads with pithy comments which have nothing to do with reality.
It was the best match of 2024 that I have seen.

Both players played at an insane level in the first and third set.
The second set was a circus. Rune tanked and made more drop-shots than Dustin Brown.

IMO Dimitrov played at an even higher level than when he beat Alcaraz 6-2, 6-4 in Miami.

It also had a lot of drama with fake TMO, a long break taken by Rune, lots of discussions with the umpire and a crowd that went bananas.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Djokovic's path to the final :
QF ADM
SF Ruud/Sonego/Humbert

Sinner's path to the final :
QF Rune
SF Tsitsipas/Khachanov
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Sinner gonna tie the head to head on Sunday. Are you ready?
I am not ready to believe these two are meeting 100%
If that happens then I am not ready to say with gurantee that Sinner will win.

So this is where I am.

If Sinner ties what will happen and stuff, let's cross that bridge later.
 

Halfdan

Rookie
I'm getting the feeling that I need to watch a replay of the Rune-Dimitrov match later tonight.

Ruud looked good against Hubie today. The latter was punished pretty severely when he tried S&V with some pretty spectacular passing shot returns by Casper.
 

Halfdan

Rookie
Skip the second set, not worth watching. First and third sets were epic. Roddick said a few minutes ago on air, "Absolutely the match of the year. Insane hitting from both guys, Rune showing a helluva lot of composure and maturity today, that's for sure."
Good to hear. While I'm loving Dimitrov's rediscovered play in recent times, it's also good to hear that Rune is starting to show his best form again.
Very entertaining guy to watch!
 

Bill Lobsalot

Hall of Fame
What a joke. This was up there as the match of 2024 so far. It was entertaining, thrilling in spots and very high quality from both players in sets one and three (second set Holger semi-tanked). Grigor played lights out and at a VERY high level. Only on TTW is Grigor's play today described as "a weak performance." People who don't even watch the matches have no business wading into match threads with pithy comments which have nothing to do with reality.
You go girl! Agreed.
 

InsuranceMan

Hall of Fame
Sonego V Humbert is really enjoyable as well. I haven’t watched much clay swing aside from this and the Rune match, but this is great stuff. Two equally wiry and skinny dudes with a lot of dynamic play and a great crowd.
 

Pmasterfunk

Hall of Fame
What a joke. This was up there as the match of 2024 so far. It was entertaining, thrilling in spots and very high quality from both players in sets one and three (second set Holger semi-tanked). Grigor played lights out and at a VERY high level. Only on TTW is Grigor's play today described as "a weak performance." People who don't even watch the matches have no business wading into match threads with pithy comments which have nothing to do with reality.
Not the whole match, but in the tiebreak Grigor was pretty meh. He was doing great in the third. I know you like Holger, but let's be real, that tiebreak wasn't nearly as good as the rest of the third.
 

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
Why the he'll are you calling Rune a Na-zi? Can you answer that? Oh yeah, I forgot, you're the guy who claimed anyone who didn't love Shelton was a ra-cist. So Rune's white, thus a Na-zi.

Got it.

I just gave him an obvious nickname, calm down.

I also didn't say that other things, but you are well aware of that on both counts as you specialize in the esoteric academic discipline of creative reading
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
I know you like Holger, but let's be real, that tiebreak wasn't nearly as good as the rest of the third.
Well, the third set TB was 5 minutes out of a 3.5 hour match. Dimi played beautifully up until then, Holger hung in there. It was clearly a great, entertaining match. Dimi's BH was absolutely rock solid, very impressive hitting.
 
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Legend of Borg

G.O.A.T.
I was a bit thankful when Sampras started wearing the long, baggier ones. A much better look, IMNSHO.

Right, not a fan of short shorts Rune style, but my original comment was regarding wearing shorts that were just a few cms over the knee and quite loose.

Anything longer than that and I might as well have been wearing basketball shorts.
 

Matmac

Rookie
Hubi hugs the baseline even on clay and tries to shorten the point. A player like Ruud with his huge topspin from both wings is poison for that style on the slowest of clay.
Yes, and staying on the baseline trying to hit relatively early and flat off those loopy shots is simply hopeless. Coming to the net with Hubi's decent skills and one of a kind kick serve gets you more success, or at least gets you to the shower with more energy conserved for the next tournament. Hubi's forehand is not strong enough for a one-two punch, he needs to use his volleys in those circumstances as much as possible.
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
A player like Ruud with his huge topspin from both wings is poison for that style on the slowest of clay.
Sorry, but Monte Carlo is the fastest of the major clay court tournaments, not the slowest. It's a big reason Agassi hated to play there ("the court speed was nothing like the French Open, not even close"). These are the court index speeds of the clay events from 2023:

c.jpg
 

Rovesciarete

Hall of Fame
Sorry, but Monte Carlo is the fastest of the major clay court tournaments, not the slowest. It's a big reason Agassi hated to play there ("the court speed was nothing like the French Open, not even close"). These are the court index speeds of the clay events from 2023:

Here we have the formula:

The court pace index is calculated from the coefficient of friction (forces pressing the ball and court together), and the coefficient of restitution (how much the ball compresses on impact). The mathematical equation is as follows:

CPI=100(1-μ)+150(0.81-e)

  • Where μ is the coefficient of friction
  • e is the coefficient of restitution
In simple terms, it measures the speed of the ball right before impact with the surface and the speed at which it leaves the surface.

Know it but I prefer the serve impact index. Monaco is often quite cold, which slows the game:

Tournament ServeImpact
Canada Masters 1.00
Rotterdam 0.96
Indian Wells Masters 0.95
Rome Masters 0.92
Acapulco 0.87
Barcelona 0.87
Roland Garros 0.83
Monte Carlo Masters 0.83
 

InsuranceMan

Hall of Fame
3rd set a little bit of a let down didn’t expect Sonego to not meet the level here. Ah well hard to keep it the whole match saw the same thing with Rune/Dimitrov. Great pairing though, hopefully we get the match up at big venues more in the future.
 

Rovesciarete

Hall of Fame
Repeat please, surface speeds are unequal playing conditions. Madrid slowest clay surface maybe, but never the slowest tennis tournament.

court-pace-average.jpg
 
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tennisfan223

New User
Skip the second set, not worth watching. First and third sets were epic. Roddick said a few minutes ago on air, "Absolutely the match of the year. Insane hitting from both guys, Rune showing a helluva lot of composure and maturity today, that's for sure."
Ok... Roddick himself said "the match of the year". From Roddick, sounds like Rune played VERY well. And apparently two MPs saved, wow. Definitely going to try to catch a replay of this.
In other words, after two losses to Dimitrov, Rune evens out the h2h and makes it 2-2. He is probably in good form right now.
Happy for him as a big fan.
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
Repeat please, surface speed are unequal playing conditions. Madrid slowest clay surface maybe, but never the slowest tennis tournament.
Your graphic is from 9 years ago. :unsure: I already posted the 2023 court index speed because it's the latest available. In any case, my interest in getting into a p-ssing contest with you hovers at zero, so move on to someone else.
 

Hitman

Bionic Poster
Your graphic is from 9 years ago. :unsure: I already posted the 2023 court index speed because it's the latest available. In any case, my interest in getting into a p-ssing contest with you hovers at zero, so move on to someone else.

I think Rune might be on the cusp of something special.
 

Meles

Bionic Poster
Repeat please, surface speed are unequal playing conditions. Madrid slowest clay surface maybe, but never the slowest tennis tournament.

court-pace-average.jpg
Exactly right and the differences on clay are negligible. It is all about air density which is largely controlled by temperature and altitude. Monte Carlo and sometimes Barcelona are the coldest and slowest. Madrid plays the fastest because of altitude (Zverev I believe won Madrid one year without facing a break point, no chance of that in Monte Carlo unless on court temperatures probably like the surface of Venus.:-D) Paris and London in this older graphic are indoor hard and how those courts used to be before they were sped up in 2017.
 

Meles

Bionic Poster
Pretty meh ending to the match, good gumption from Rune, but weak performance and admittedly some bad luck for Dimitrov.
This. Dimitrov certainly can play much better and did in Miami. As a diehard Holger fan his play has been abysmal at this tournament (lost 2nd set with Nagal even today which shows his level.) This is much like the Ruud Acapulco semi-final to my eyes. Against Ruud, Holger got dragged into a long 38 shot rally in the 4th game of the 2nd set. He was playing quite well up until this point and did just manage to get over the line and break, but then he was completely gassed and got destroyed the rest of the 2nd set. Come the 3rd he had recovered enough to successfully go for some shots, but was avoiding long rallies as much as possible by crushing the ball with some success (Ruud was furious.) He almost got over the line (or at least to 5-2 in the 3rd) before Ruud tightened thinks up and ground him down (Holger started missing the big shots more.) It was an incredible 3rd set by Rune simply because he almost pulled off the win despite being completely gassed. Today Holger got over the line in the first set and it was much the same story (had already played 1.5 sets just before the match). His play was not as good as Acapulco, but Dimitrov was a much weaker opponent on clay so he somehow got it over the line with his moxie.

I'll say this for Holger he must be getting quite a reputation on tour because players are folding up for him a lot:
1. Van De Quitter in the last two Munich finals.
2. Cerundolo at RG last year
3. And of course Fokina at Wimbledon (and this was after Holger gifted him the win in Madrid by foolishly antagonizing the Spanish crowd so Fokina didn't have to rev them up himself.)

I think he's outdoing anyone else on tour at this point and getting opponents to choke.
 

Arak

Legend
This. Dimitrov certainly can play much better and did in Miami. As a diehard Holger fan his play has been abysmal at this tournament (lost 2nd set with Nagal even today which shows his level.) This is much like the Ruud Acapulco semi-final to my eyes. Against Ruud, Holger got dragged into a long 38 shot rally in the 4th game of the 2nd set. He was playing quite well up until this point and did just manage to get over the line and break, but then he was completely gassed and got destroyed the rest of the 2nd set. Come the 3rd he had recovered enough to successfully go for some shots, but was avoiding long rallies as much as possible by crushing the ball with some success (Ruud was furious.) He almost got over the line (or at least to 5-2 in the 3rd) before Ruud tightened thinks up and ground him down (Holger started missing the big shots more.) It was an incredible 3rd set by Rune simply because he almost pulled off the win despite being completely gassed. Today Holger got over the line in the first set and it was much the same story (had already played 1.5 sets just before the match). His play was not as good as Acapulco, but Dimitrov was a much weaker opponent on clay so he somehow got it over the line with his moxie.

I'll say this for Holger he must be getting quite a reputation on tour because players are folding up for him a lot:
1. Van De Quitter in the last two Munich finals.
2. Cerundolo at RG last year
3. And of course Fokina at Wimbledon (and this was after Holger gifted him the win in Madrid by foolishly antagonizing the Spanish crowd so Fokina didn't have to rev them up himself.)

I think he's outdoing anyone else on tour at this point and getting opponents to choke.
Dimitrov has only himself to blame. He had match points at 6-5 in the third, and he was playing beautifully. How he crumbled in the tiebreak is a mystery. I agree that it’s a pattern with Rune, I saw it too and was thinking along the same lines while watching. Anyhow it was a fun match and both players played high quality tennis at times. Very entertaining.
 

chuckersthenut

Hall of Fame
Dimitrov has only himself to blame. He had match points at 6-5 in the third, and he was playing beautifully. How he crumbled in the tiebreak is a mystery. I agree that it’s a pattern with Rune, I saw it too and was thinking along the same lines while watching. Anyhow it was a fun match and both players played high quality tennis at times. Very entertaining.
Did you watch that match point? Because Holger belted a +1 forehand about 100 mph down the line right into the backhand corner. Then proceeded to do that about 6 more times to win the match.
 

Meles

Bionic Poster
Dimitrov has only himself to blame. He had match points at 6-5 in the third, and he was playing beautifully. How he crumbled in the tiebreak is a mystery. I agree that it’s a pattern with Rune, I saw it too and was thinking along the same lines while watching. Anyhow it was a fun match and both players played high quality tennis at times. Very entertaining.
I actually rewatched most of the 3rd set with a tennis friend (who'd been watching Nole) to confirm my impressions. I generally don't watch Dimitrov, but was well aware of his big jump in form down in Australia this year and then recent near peak level in Miami (watched both.)

My additional takes on this match (which has been quite popular with many):
1. Dimitrov still is not all that effective on clay
2. Dimitrov (like Holger) was conserving energy much of the time in the match which had him shy away from grinding to beat Holger (which probably would have worked really well).
3. This led to both players playing very aggressively in the match which a lot of people seemed to have enjoyed.

Holger shut down those match points very well with some nice serving and then later some big first strikes off of first serves. Rune is very dangerous if you just try to play passively against him (even Djokovic's lock down mode fails) because Holger is going to take the bull by the horns and get very creative. On the first point of the TB he broke Grigor by coming to the net on a slightly delayed move and pounced on Grigor's cross court slice. He then held the next two points for 3-0, but Grigor just a mini-break down and then the tie-break lottery came through for Rune with the net cord that leaped over Grigor's attempted volley much to his chagrin. 4-0 and it was quickly downhill from there. One of the things you won't spot right off is that Grigor down 5-1 wanted to hit a dropshot, but Rune read it and so he tried to slice and jerked it into the net which didn't look very good, but he was blown up by Rune reading it. 6-1. (On the fake drop shot front, Holger did execute one on Grigor earlier in the set, but that was very planned.)

I believe Holger has now won seven straight deciding set tiebreakers and is 11-2 in TBs this year (which is good since this year would have been even worse.)

Overall I'm really disappointed with Holger's clay level so far. I'd hoped the increase in power of his shots would really help him, but the impact has been more subtle. He's almost certainly out of gas after these two three setters and there is no way he'll go deep at RG this year with this kind of inefficiency. It will be really hard to surpass his 2023 clay season since that was helped by Rome being quite cold and slow. Beating Grigor will help him try to keep in the top 8 for RG, but its more likely his ranking may drop as low as 16.:cry:
 

Tshooter

G.O.A.T.
Vijay Armitraj, BOTH Krishnan family members, Paes - all better than Nagel at this point. Even Anand Armitraj - though I suspect Nagel may eclipse him in terms of highest ranking and deepest Slam runs (74 and 3rd rd). And that's just Indian players I can think of off the top of my head.
To be fair, he’s better than Prakash.
 

socallefty

G.O.A.T.
Exactly right and the differences on clay are negligible. It is all about air density which is largely controlled by temperature and altitude. Monte Carlo and sometimes Barcelona are the coldest and slowest. Madrid plays the fastest because of altitude (Zverev I believe won Madrid one year without facing a break point, no chance of that in Monte Carlo unless on court temperatures probably like the surface of Venus.:-D) Paris and London in this older graphic are indoor hard and how those courts used to be before they were sped up in 2017.
Agree. Court speed CPI, Temperature, Altitude, Humidity and the Ball used all are factors that determine how fast a player perceives a court as playing. The time of year, time of day/night of the match etc. have a lot to do with how fast the court plays. It is the same when you play yourself or if you watch the pros.
 

Rovesciarete

Hall of Fame
Exactly right and the differences on clay are negligible. It is all about air density which is largely controlled by temperature and altitude. Monte Carlo and sometimes Barcelona are the coldest and slowest. Madrid plays the fastest because of altitude (Zverev I believe won Madrid one year without facing a break point, no chance of that in Monte Carlo unless on court temperatures probably like the surface of Venus.:-D) Paris and London in this older graphic are indoor hard and how those courts used to be before they were sped up in 2017.

Stats and graphics are great tools but thankfully tennis just like life is more complex. One of the great attraction of tennis is that you face different styles and players in ever different conditions.

So far nobody has written much about the possible influence of the thin air of Sexten, 1200m or well over 3500 feet above sea level on Sinner’s game. It is crazy how fast the balls are, I was astonished how slow they become once you play down low. Easy efficient power and quick reactions become relatively more important. That he was able so much with so little training in so different conditions is a sign of great talent. Ligurian clay under the hot summer sun is almost a different sport compared to indoor hardcourt so high up the mountains.

*Sackmann’s surface speed index is a good outcome-based benchmark.
 

kunos

Rookie
Lendl wore the shortest shorts ever and did so 40+ years before Holger showed up.

Short shorts were very common in the 80s in every sport. When watching old football my wife always notices the very short shorts and asks "why don't they wear like that anymore?".. she's obviously a fan of those, and probably one of the reason she's also a Rune fan :D

Anyway.. really looking forward to today's match.. if he can recover he'll be playing one of the most important match of his career since last year's Wimbledon match with Alcaraz with the added bonus starting as clear underdog.

I am really curious how he's going to approach this strategically.. is he going to come out gun blazing slapping forehands or is he going to try to outrally Sinner? Realistically a combination of the two which seems to be Rune's style after all.. lots of variations so the opponent never knows what's coming next.
 

Rovesciarete

Hall of Fame
Short shorts were very common in the 80s in every sport. When watching old football my wife always notices the very short shorts and asks "why don't they wear like that anymore?".. she's obviously a fan of those, and probably one of the reason she's also a Rune fan :D.

Men are well advised to dress in ways appreciated by the gentle sex. In the end girls also want to have fun. Actually I understand why other guys police the look of male competitors :).

Holger’s shorts are perfectly fine for me, the lengths to which he goes with MTO and discussions not so much.
 
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