Australian Open 2022 Final: Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev

Nadal or Med?


  • Total voters
    261
  • Poll closed .

junior74

Talk Tennis Guru
Medvedev in 4. He seems physically and mentally very confident now.

BS Russian may be re-coined BC Russian (Boa Constrictor Russian)

I think Rafa will strut from the start, but Medvedev will read in and make Rafa work more than he is able to at this stage in his career.
 

Yugram

Legend
Let's see what happens. It really is crucial for Med to win one of the first two sets though!

May the best man win!!
Nothing of what I’ve seen from Medvedev during this tournament alarms that he can take the racquet out of Nadal’s hands. But if Nadal is bound to have a slump, Medvedev surely will capitalise. Best opportunist out of the younger players, in a good sense.
 

alexio

Legend
four threads about one final match at the same time, lol probably it's the record in the history of ttw
 

aman92

Legend
Many Rafa fans were acting as a given. Look if it was US open i would have bet my house on Rafa. Make a prediction ?
Already made in other thread... Logically I think Med takes it but somehow feel that stars will align for Rafa and he takes it in 4
 

NeutralFan

Legend
Yeah but don't understand how people think its a bad matchup for Nadal? Med struggles with variety and has never dominated Nadal in any of his matches. His biggest asset would be that he has greater endurance than a 35.5 year old Nadal but no reason why Nadal’s chances are being written off
Well, he's a great defensive baseliner with no weakness , got a big serve ,good return . apart from his return position what Rafa can exploit?
 

weakera

G.O.A.T.
Yeah but don't understand how people think its a bad matchup for Nadal? Med struggles with variety and has never dominated Nadal in any of his matches. His biggest asset would be that he has greater endurance than a 35.5 year old Nadal but no reason why Nadal’s chances are being written off
Medvedev just looks like a tough puzzle to solve. But I do think Nadal has the slice, variety and potentially now big serve to pull it off.
 

NeutralFan

Legend
Medvedev just looks like a tough puzzle to solve. But I do think Nadal has the slice, variety and potentially now big serve to pull it off.
Only thing that worry me is Med serve botting and Nadal returning from deep and then Nadal will have to worry about his own service game. if he can return well, it's game on.
 

weakera

G.O.A.T.
Only thing that worry me is Med serve botting and Nadal returning from deep and then Nadal will have to worry about his own service game. if he can return well, it's game on.
For me biggest key is the Nadal serve. Other than two-set physical lapse vs. Shapovalov, there has been barely a sniff on the Nadal serve this tournament. He is averaging a faster 2nd serve this tournament than Medvedev or Berrettini. Needs to keep that up or go even bigger.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Well, I think match threads shouldn’t be created before the last point. At least I remember that RG 2020 Final thread was deleted for that.
I had to be quick. And besides Meddy was up 40-0. He wasn't losing that one. I pressed the post button seconds before Med finished the match.
 

NeutralFan

Legend
For me biggest key is the Nadal serve. Other than two-set physical lapse vs. Shapovalov, there has been barely a sniff on the Nadal serve this tournament. He is averaging a faster 2nd serve this tournament than Medvedev or Berrettini. Needs to keep that up or go even bigger.
Well, that doesn't matter since Nadal didn't face an elite baseliner who can return and frustrate Nadal. There will be break of serve and question is can Nadal get in to Dani's service game . If he returns like he did against Berettini in first two sets , Nadal will have his chances but if he goes defensive with short return , it's game over.
 

weakera

G.O.A.T.
So you disagree with Fed having the tougher draw? On what basis?
Mischa Zverev, dude. That draw was honestly mediocre to worse. And both Nadal and Federer's form in that tournament are way overrated. Nadal barely scraped by against baby Sascha, and Dimitrov, and then almost won the title anyway.
 

Kralingen

G.O.A.T.
Biggest key to the match is Rafa's serve. He will have break chances against Medvedev simply because he's Rafa, the greatest returner in history. But can he limit chances for Medvedev like he did in the beginning and end of the QF/SF when he smothered Shapo and Bert?
Is he now! This is news to me.

Basically Nadal is going to have to avoid the USO ‘21 dynamic where he has to work twice as hard to hold serve than Med who was cruising through service games does. It will have to be an aggressive and clutch Nadal who wins this, no other version is capable.
 

checkmilu

Semi-Pro
Nadal looked really tired from the 3rd set. He won because Berry keep hitting UEs o easy fh in the 4th. Nadal has to beat Med in straight sets or he will lose. The younger players can last longer physically. As strongest player in history as Nadal is showing his age. Med can just be as consistent as he can and grind out Nadal to win in 5.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Mischa Zverev, dude. That draw was honestly mediocre to worse. And both Nadal and Federer's form in that tournament are way overrated. Nadal barely scraped by against baby Sascha, and Dimitrov, and then almost won the title anyway.
That's so shallow. Fed beat 4 top 10 players at 35.5. You don't want me to mention Berrettini and Mannarino now, do you?

That draw was one of the toughest for this era, nowhere near mediocre. What would you call Nadal's current draw, then?
 

weakera

G.O.A.T.
Is he now! This is news to me.

Basically Nadal is going to have to avoid the USO ‘21 dynamic where he has to work twice as hard to hold serve than Med who was cruising through service games does. It will have to be an aggressive and clutch Nadal who wins this, no other version is capable.
It's a statistical fact. Shouldn't be news to anyone.
 

weakera

G.O.A.T.
That's so shallow. Fed beat 4 top 10 players at 35.5. You don't want me to mention Berrettini and Mannarino now, do you?

That draw was one of the toughest for this era, nowhere near mediocre. What would you call Nadal's current draw, then?
Mannarino and Berrettini is tougher than M.Zverev and Berdy in 2017 lol
 

Emily

New User
Honestly, it's not Rafa's to lose, it's Medvedev's. No one from day one predicted Rafa to win and he is still not the favorite. Call me what you want but Medvedev winning will be the most natural thing for me as a Rafan. Rafa winning would be the closest thing to a miracle and I don't believe in miracles.

Medvedev in 3.
 
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