Australian Open 2024 Draw

A

ALCARAZWON

Guest
I'm proud to say Carlos got the easiest R1 of all, Gasquet, whom Carlos beat 62 62 in 2021.
Norrie, Zverev and Ruud can all meet Carlos in the QF.
 

Neptune

Hall of Fame
SF: Sinner, hottest on HC right now, Meddy after UO looks much weaker (can he reach SF this time?).
QF: Tsitsipas actually the best among seeds 5-8 at AO by far, F last year and SF in both 21 and 22.
R4: Shelton, AO23 QF and UO23 SF, don't want to see Wawa reaching here.
R3: old friend Murray? Nonfils?

One round at a time, good luck Nole!
 
A

ALCARAZWON

Guest
Sinner lost 63 63 in his biggest hardcourt match of 2023 = ATP Finals Final.
So I wouldn't trust Sinner as far as I can throw him, and Djokovic destroyed Sinner at 2023 Wimbledon.
At least Carlos beat Djokovic in the Wimbledon Final, before injuries plagued his hardcourt season....
 

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
Just finished watching the stream of it myself and I think Rune has a pretty damn good draw if he can hold it together. On the flip side, Dimitrov (Who is currently also in-form has a pretty decent shot too) and both are in same section. Rematch potential? Djokovic has a decent draw but he's got Sinner which could be good/bad. I personally think Alcaraz has the toughest draw, he's got a few hit/miss players. Gasquet/Sonego and Evans can be scary in-form, IF in-form.

Rune getting Nishioka in the 1R is brutal dude
 

Open Stance

Professional
Another year, another puffball draw for Djokovic. All his matches will be on at night, Rod Laver as well while all the young bucks sweat it out in the heat of the day
The #1 seed is supposed to get the easier draw. That’s the way it works in all sports. That’s supposed to be the perk of getting the top seed. I don’t hear anybody complain that the Ravens or 49ers have a cakewalk draw in the NFL playoffs yet they get a first round bye and will play the lowest remaining seed after the first round. Tennis is the only sport that generally makes a draw unusually difficult for a top seed. This AO draw actually looks pretty fair.
 

mika1979

Professional
SF: Sinner, hottest on HC right now, Meddy after UO looks much weaker (can he reach SF this time?).
QF: Tsitsipas actually the best among seeds 5-8 at AO by far, F last year and SF in both 21 and 22.
R4: Shelton, AO23 QF and UO23 SF, don't want to see Wawa reaching here.
R3: old friend Murray? Nonfils?

One round at a time, good luck Nole!
It doesnt look easy on paper
 

Aussie Darcy

Bionic Poster
5th joke draw in a row for Novak at slams lol. Like us open Z ,Med on Carlos's side lol
Are you kidding lol?

Sinner is in Djokovic's half, who cares where Med is? Djokovic easily handled Med at the USO and has won 5 of their last 6 meetings, the loss being a lame 500 in Dubai.

Sinner meanwhile has beaten Novak twice in a row. Novak would have preferred Med in his half than Sinner lmao.
 

Third Serve

Talk Tennis Guru
Top half of the draw is cheeks. Literally no one even remotely good except Djokovic and Tsitsipas in the first quarter. And we can basically strike Tsitsipas off that short list since we know he can’t really do any damage to Djokovic.

Couple of decent floaters there still. Murray and Stan might have a few watchable matches but I highly doubt they win more than a couple of rounds. Berrettini is a bit of a wild card since we haven’t seen him in proper form in ages, but I don’t have high hopes. Hope he proves me wrong though.

Second quarter isn’t really much better tbh. Sinner the clear favorite to make it out here but there’s upset potential, not necessarily because the field is that good but because Sinner isn’t super trustworthy at Slams yet.

Third quarter is a little interesting with Hurkacz, Dimitrov, Medvedev, and Rune all in the mix. Possible FAA or Shapo may make a splash but not confident. Favor Med to reach quarters from here but he could get dunked out.

Fourth quarter is ahead of the first two but not the third one because Zverev’s draw makes me sick. Looks like it’ll be another QF+ run from him, unfortunately for the ABZ crew. That is, unless Ruud can surprise us.

Alcaraz landed a couple of decent floaters who can play half decent ball from time to time, those being Gasquet and Sonego/Evans. 4R might be a fun little match if Paul makes it that far.
 

NeutralFan

G.O.A.T.
Are you kidding lol?

Sinner is in Djokovic's half, who cares where Med is? Djokovic easily handled Med at the USO and has won 5 of their last 6 meetings, the loss being a lame 500 in Dubai.

Sinner meanwhile has beaten Novak twice in a row. Novak would have preferred Med in his half than Sinner lmao.

Sinner?doubt he will even make Semi and Z , Med back to back can tire anyone for final . It's not about getting one tough players but getting many tough players in row. Djokovic handled Med because Djokovic had a cupcake draw to finals and was fresh as Daisy. You gott be an idiot to think Z /med combination is same as Stef / Shelton and Sinner combination ( both will likely crash)
 

Aussie Darcy

Bionic Poster
Sinner?doubt he will even make Semi and Z , Med back to back can tire anyone for final . It's not about getting one tough players but getting many tough players in row. Djokovic handled Med because Djokovic had a cupcake draw to finals and was fresh as Daisy. You gott be an idiot to think Z /med combination is same as Stef / Shelton and Sinner combination ( both will likely crash)
Medvedev the guy who got routed in straight sets by Korda in the 3R here in Melbourne last year? That guy?
And Zverev the guy who got spanked by a lucky loser in the 2R last year in Melbourne? Him?

Geez... it sounds like you actually want the easy draw for Novak by wanting them in his half lol.
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
Is there any way to know what Rafa's supposed draw would have been, what is the draw for the guy who took his spot?
 

Aussie Darcy

Bionic Poster
Is there any way to know what Rafa's supposed draw would have been, what is the draw for the guy who took his spot?
No real way of knowing. Nadal would've been using a Protected Ranking (PR). There's a number of guys in the draw with a PR, Cilic, Raonic, Vesely, Shapovalov and Kwon. But it could have been any sort of draw as he would have been an extra PR so you can't base it off that.

Someone could argue the last direct entrant that got in thanks to Nadal's withdrawal may have been Rafa's draw but that's impossible to say.
 

mahesh69a

Semi-Pro
Women's draw

hoJynDE.jpg


r5Lucv2.jpg
 

aus89

Hall of Fame
lol at anyone who is mentioning Murray as a potential threat to Djokovic. I doubt he even beats Etcheverry.
hes v clearly not a threat to Djokovic though the occasion may see him raise his level, like against Tsitsipas at Wimbledon last year, Etcheverry has lost 1R in Bris and Adelaide this year, perhaps struggling with the new racquet transition so I think Murray could take it, the issue is all their matches have been long drawn out close matches, so likely another 5 setter that will exhaust him early on, he needs a couple puffballs like Thiem to start off againstif he's really going to do any damage.
 

Milanez82

Hall of Fame
Tough draw for Djokovic
Former finalist Murray in 3rd round will be fired up, young upstart Shelton looking to take it a take step further or former winner and his nemesis Stan in the 4th rd, defending finalist Tsitsipas in QF already, WTF finalist Sinner in sf and probably former finalist Medvedev in the final.

It will require another goat performance for Djokovic to pull this one off.
He might face 4 former AO finalists.
 

NeutralFan

G.O.A.T.
Medvedev the guy who got routed in straight sets by Korda in the 3R here in Melbourne last year? That guy?
And Zverev the guy who got spanked by a lucky loser in the 2R last year in Melbourne? Him?

Geez... it sounds like you actually want the easy draw for Novak by wanting them in his half lol.

Yeah just being one perfomance and ignore the consistency? Med + Z have troubled and tired Novak as we saw in USO 2021. You're an idiot if you think Sinner ( who had made zero semi in AO) is better than Med+ Z combination. Nobody said These two can beat but they can be brutal back to back and then take the gass out of Novak when he faces Carlos in the Final.
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
No real way of knowing. Nadal would've been using a Protected Ranking (PR). There's a number of guys in the draw with a PR, Cilic, Raonic, Vesely, Shapovalov and Kwon. But it could have been any sort of draw as he would have been an extra PR so you can't base it off that.

Someone could argue the last direct entrant that got in thanks to Nadal's withdrawal may have been Rafa's draw but that's impossible to say.

Who is that last direct entrant?
 

Lauren_Girl'

Hall of Fame
Good draw for Djokovic until the Semis... First 3 rounds should be a cakewalk unless Murray wakes up...
How I would love one last Wawrinka/Djokovic down under, it can happen in the 4th round like in 2013.
QF against Tsitsipas... right now I consider him more beatable than Rune or Zverev. Though I doubt Tsitsipas even makes the quarter... Much like Rublev and Rune. Dimitrov probably takes out Mededev again... My take
Djokovic-Fritz
Sinner-Deminaur
Hurkacz-Dimitrov
Alcaraz-Zverev

Medvedev the guy who got routed in straight sets by Korda in the 3R here in Melbourne last year? That guy?
And Zverev the guy who got spanked by a lucky loser in the 2R last year in Melbourne? Him?

Geez... it sounds like you actually want the easy draw for Novak by wanting them in his half lol.

Sinner kind of sucks in Australia though. Lost twice in a row against Tsitsipas. Wasn't he 2-0 down against Fucsovics last year? Also got routed in staight sets by Korda in Adelaïde last year. I am not certain he likes the conditions down under. But we will see. Medvedev is always a tough matchup for Djokovic, who often struggles physicslly against him. Got injured against him in Adeaïide. Almost fainted in their WTF match in 2022. Would have likely lost in Astana without Medvedev's fall. Something bad always happens. At this point I think Medvedev is still more dangerous than Sinner in Australia and in BO5 in general. jmo
 
Last edited:

Razer

Legend
A fit Djokovic will beat Sinner and Alcaraz back to back here, but the one with an injured wrist probably could lose.
 
A tougher draw wouldn't be that hard to figure out. A dangerous 25-32 floater like Korda or Lehecka in the 3R, an in form Dimitrov in the 4R instead of Shelton, Zverev in the QF instead of Tsitsipas. And honestly, gun to his head, I think he'd rather play Sinner than Medvedev or Carlos in the SF, though all 3 of them are dangerous of course.

Instead, he got Tsitsipas as the 7 seed, aka his potential QF... obviously Stef is the defending finalist, but we all know Tsitsipas has zero chance.

no one worth mentioning in the first week... Popyrin is intriguing on paper but he got a leg injury vs. Safiullin and had to pull out of Adelaide. May not even play AO. Lol at saying Murray, Murray can play with him for maybe 2 sets before dying (oh wait, so just like his prime). No one who can make him break a sweat until the semis.

Djokovic could have faced Medvedev or Sinner in the semi finals. He is set for sinner, which is tougher.

In the quarters he could have faced: Zverev, Tsitsipas, Rublev and Rune. He is set for the second most difficult of the four - tsitsipas. (at AO tsitsipas has actually been the best of those four for years).

In R16 he could have faced 8 different players. The most dangerous of those are Hurkacz and Dimitrov. In my opinion Shelton is as dangerous as all the other 5 guys.

There are no dangerous floaters with a lower seed for him. Even a guy like Lecheka would not give him any trouble, and I doubt people would have said Djokovic has a dangerous opponent if he was set to face Lecheka.

So statistically Djokovic didn’t have an easy draw and Djokovic was not lucky with the draw

I would rather say that the draw you want him to have (sinner, zverev, Dimitrov, a dangerous floater (which doesn’t exist)) is statistically extremely unlikely. Just the combination Zverev and Dimitrov would be 0.25*0.125= 3.125%
 

jl809

Hall of Fame
Seems like Djoker’s title run will come down to Sinner and Meddy B2B.

Sinner is still yet to record an impressive win in Bo5, so right now he is still a slightly better Zverev. I know he beat Djoker recently but if I’m a Novak fan here, I’m more worried about Djoker’s legs if he gets Meddy in the final than actually beating Sinner to get there in the first place, because Djoker probably won’t have had a USO 23-style cruise in the SF to keep him fresh for the F (unless Sinner does what he did in the Wim SF).

Either way #25 is almost certainly inbound

Thanks, so Rafa's draw was,

Qualifier/LL, Korda, Rublev, de Minaur, Sinner, Djokovic, Alcaraz
that is an absolutely terrible rough draw, if he’d aggravated something trying to get through it then everyone would be wishing he’d skipped anyway
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
Seems like Djoker’s title run will come down to Sinner and Meddy B2B.

Sinner is still yet to record an impressive win in Bo5, so right now he is still a slightly better Zverev. I know he beat Djoker recently but if I’m a Novak fan here, I’m more worried about Djoker’s legs if he gets Meddy in the final than actually beating Sinner to get there in the first place, because Djoker probably won’t have had a USO 23-style cruise in the SF to keep him fresh for the F (unless Sinner does what he did in the Wim SF).

Either way #25 is almost certainly inbound


that is an absolutely terrible rough draw, if he’d aggravated something trying to get through it then everyone would be wishing he’d skipped anyway

How much better could he have hoped for as an unseeded?
 

jl809

Hall of Fame
How much better could he have hoped for as an unseeded?
Not much, but certainly not getting the 5th seed as a 3R, plus AdM with home crowd as a 4th round. Then Sinner is rough for a QF as well. You’d always want to face Djoker late as possible too

Something in Meddy’s quarter or Raz’s might have been good for him. Swings and roundabouts now anyway though
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
Not much, but certainly not getting the 5th seed as a 3R, plus AdM with home crowd as a 4th round. Then Sinner is rough for a QF as well. You’d always want to face Djoker late as possible too

Something in Meddy’s quarter or might have been good for him. Swings and roundabouts now anyway though

I think at AO you're better off facing Djokovic sooner
 

Wesling

Semi-Pro
The only thing worrying me about novaks AO run is his wrist. everything else is manageable. Sinner doesnt worry me at all, Novak Crushed him in Turin
 

junior74

Talk Tennis Guru
I think the title is already Novak's, but there might be some good matches along the ride.

Lots of finnish players in the draw... And unfortunately many of the interesting players have top seeds in R1 and R2...

Will be the same daft guys as always in the QFs. Rublev, Zverev and Norrie are the worst of those. Truly boring players.
 

Terenigma

G.O.A.T.
Wow... Rune will have to beat world #3, 2 and 1 b2b2b to win the title! That's assuming the draw pans out.

R1– Nishioka
R2– Djere
R3– Fils/Griekspoor/Safiullin
R16– Hurkacz
QF – Medvedev
SF – Alcaraz
F – Djokovic

Ok true but, A similar scenario can be said for most of the top players from QF onwards. I view draws more on early rounds because later rounds are always going to be the same players (IF they get there) and I thought Alcaraz in paticular has a much tougher first few rounds than Rune does but as I write this, I was looking up the H2H and now I'm not so sure lol

Still, These days no-one is a sure fire SF finalist and this is a pretty open field. Lots of potential winners! Probably Djokovic tho.
 

Sport

G.O.A.T.
Tough draw for Djokovic
Former finalist Murray in 3rd round will be fired up, young upstart Shelton looking to take it a take step further or former winner and his nemesis Stan in the 4th rd, defending finalist Tsitsipas in QF already, WTF finalist Sinner in sf and probably former finalist Medvedev in the final.

It will require another goat performance for Djokovic to pull this one off.
He might face 4 former AO finalists.
Why do you predict Medvedev to "probably" be in the final? Alcaraz, the young talent, two-times Slam.champion and youngest YE #1 ever, seems more likely to reach the final. As per the betting odds, I'm sure that is the case too. Yeah; Medvedev beat Alcaraz at the USO last year. So? It's like concluding that Medevedev is more favorite than Novak at the USO just because he beat him once there.
 

dr325i

G.O.A.T.
IF murray gets 2 wins under his belt he will be dangerous. Wont win the event but could effectively end his career on a high beating the AO goat in his back yard. Great legends often sign off with one last stand.
you serious??
If somehow Murray (my favorite) gets to 3R, he will be broken. There is unfortunately no word "dangerous" associated with Andy any more :(
 

Jonas78

Legend
Rune, Meddy, Alcaraz and Zverev in same half.

Not that Djoker wouldnt win regardless of the draw, but it would be more exciting if the top players were more evenly distributed.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
Rune

Rune might not even make QF yet. He is not ready. There is always something to mope about.



Rune, Meddy, Alcaraz and Zverev in same half.

Not that Djoker wouldnt win regardless of the draw, but it would be more exciting if the top players were more evenly distributed.
 

neytron

Semi-Pro
Why do you predict Medvedev to "probably" be in the final? Alcaraz, the young talent, two-times Slam.champion and youngest YE #1 ever, seems more likely to reach the final. As per the betting odds, I'm sure that is the case too. Yeah; Medvedev beat Alcaraz at the USO last year. So? It's like concluding that Medevedev is more favorite than Novak at the USO just because he beat him once there.
Medvedev is the second best player on fast hard after Djokovic. He was here 2 times in the finals. Alcaraz and Sinner are higher than him among the betting odds only because of their hype and underestimation of Medvedev, as always.
 

Jonas78

Legend
Rune

Rune might not even make QF yet. He is not ready. There is always something to mope about.
It is what it is, but it would be more fun to watch Nole play someone else than his current 1/4 no? Sinner is the only one in that half imo, but Djokovic has been pretty superior in every important match they have played.
 

nolefam_2024

Talk Tennis Guru
It is what it is, but it would be more fun to watch Nole play something else than his current 1/4 no? Sinner is the only one in that half imo, but Djokovic has been pretty superior in every important match they have played.
Yeah so? Sinner is 22. Djokovic is GOAT.

Ofcourse Djokovic will be superior in all matches they played YET. Ridiculous.

Sinner has won 2 of the last 3 matches and definitely a top 4. And not even an easy top 4. What is your problem? 7 matches with Alcaraz to make the draw tougher for the GOAT now?
 
Top