Australian Open 2024 Men's Odds

weakera

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
1001 Novak Djokovic +110
1002 Carlos Alcaraz +250
1003 Daniil Medvedev +550
1006 Jannik Sinner +800
1004 Rafael Nadal +2000
1005 Stefanos Tsitsipas +2500
1010 Alexander Zverev +2500
1034 Nick Kyrgios +3000
1007 Holger Rune +3000
1011 Taylor Fritz +3500
1008 Casper Ruud +3500
1024 Ben Shelton +3500
1019 Cameron Norrie +3500
1035 Sebastian Korda +4000
1025 Tommy Paul +5000
1018 Hubert Hurkacz +5000
1009 Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
1016 Andrey Rublev +6500
1013 Matteo Berrettini +8000
1020 Karen Khachanov +8000
 
Nate7-5

Nate7-5

Hall of Fame
Yeah, I dont know how many times Ive picked a runner up to Djoko and Rafa. Can't see Djoko relinquishing his fortress over 5 sets when he just showed that he wouldn't over 3 sets. Maybe in a year or 2, but not in 2024.
 
Aabye5

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
Nate7-5 said:
Yeah, I dont know how many times Ive picked a runner up to Djoko and Rafa. Can't see Djoko relinquishing his fortress over 5 sets when he just showed that he wouldn't over 3 sets. Maybe in a year or 2, but not in 2024.
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Judging by your avatar, I figure you called it right once at least?
 
C

ChrisRF

Legend
Alcaraz is way overrated here IMO. I see both Medvedev and Sinner with better chances on that type of court.

But Kyrgios on 8th place and exactly even with Rune is ridiculous.
 
clayqueen

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
DSH said:
Don't worry, the GS title record already belongs to your idol.
Maybe in 50 years we will see someone who surpasses such a legendary mark.
:notworthy:
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It's irrelevant who has the most slams. Margaret Court has never been called the GOAT of Women's tennis even though she's got the most slams in the Open Era. Some fans have never heard of her. Most fans believe that Serena is the GOAT.
 
clayqueen

clayqueen

Talk Tennis Guru
weakera said:
1001 Novak Djokovic +110
1002 Carlos Alcaraz +250
1003 Daniil Medvedev +550
1006 Jannik Sinner +800
1004 Rafael Nadal +2000
1005 Stefanos Tsitsipas +2500
1010 Alexander Zverev +2500
1034 Nick Kyrgios +3000
1007 Holger Rune +3000
1011 Taylor Fritz +3500
1008 Casper Ruud +3500
1024 Ben Shelton +3500
1019 Cameron Norrie +3500
1035 Sebastian Korda +4000
1025 Tommy Paul +5000
1018 Hubert Hurkacz +5000
1009 Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
1016 Andrey Rublev +6500
1013 Matteo Berrettini +8000
1020 Karen Khachanov +8000
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Kyrgios has pulled out of the AO.

Why do people waste their time on predictions?
 
Rosstour

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
dking68 said:
Nole will win if he’s on the opposite half to Sinner I can’t see Sinner winning his first slam final against Nole. I just can’t. Too big of an ask
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Sinner and Alcaraz will destroy each other in a SF that leaves Sinner unable to walk in the Final. 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 Novak over Sinner in the Final.

Novak's SF opponent will be someone like Sonego or Norrie, who makes it to the SF after an upset win over Zverev or Tsitsipas.
 
H

helterskelter

G.O.A.T.
ChrisRF said:
Alcaraz is way overrated here IMO. I see both Medvedev and Sinner with better chances on that type of court.

But Kyrgios on 8th place and exactly even with Rune is ridiculous.
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I disagree with the first paragraph. It’s important to note that it is often the case that one player is more likely to go deep but less likely to win the event than another. (Hence Nadal’s odds for the title being relatively short even when there was a good chance he would miss the event with injury). Medvedev and Sinner might be more likely to go deep than Alcaraz; they are probably not more likely to win the title.
 
WayneBretsky

WayneBretsky

Rookie
weakera said:
1001 Novak Djokovic +110
1002 Carlos Alcaraz +250
1003 Daniil Medvedev +550
1006 Jannik Sinner +800
1004 Rafael Nadal +2000
1005 Stefanos Tsitsipas +2500
1010 Alexander Zverev +2500
1034 Nick Kyrgios +3000
1007 Holger Rune +3000
1011 Taylor Fritz +3500
1008 Casper Ruud +3500
1024 Ben Shelton +3500
1019 Cameron Norrie +3500
1035 Sebastian Korda +4000
1025 Tommy Paul +5000
1018 Hubert Hurkacz +5000
1009 Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
1016 Andrey Rublev +6500
1013 Matteo Berrettini +8000
1020 Karen Khachanov +8000
Click to expand...
BEN SHELTON LMAOOOOOOOO
 
C

ChrisRF

Legend
helterskelter said:
I disagree with the first paragraph. It’s important to note that it is often the case that one player is more likely to go deep but less likely to win the event than another. (Hence Nadal’s odds for the title being relatively short even when there was a good chance he would miss the event with injury). Medvedev and Sinner might be more likely to go deep than Alcaraz; they are probably not more likely to win the title.
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I understand your concept, but IMO it doesn't fit with those names. IMO Sinner is always more likely to lose to a random player compared to Alcaraz, but also more likely to beat Djokovic on a hardcourt.
 
Nate7-5

Nate7-5

Hall of Fame
And just like that, Nadal already has an injury concern. If you think he's gonna hold up for seven 3+ set matches, good luck to ya.
 
nolefam_2024

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
dking68 said:
Check the betting odds again, last time I checked Sinner was third favorite
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Yeah they keep changing. No reason to change post ATP finals though. The fact is these odds are one thing but the history is another.


Medvedev has history on his side. What does Sinner have? 1 semifinal ever on the back of the worst draw in the year?
 
dking68

dking68

Legend
nolefam_2024 said:
Yeah they keep changing. No reason to change post ATP finals though. The fact is these odds are one thing but the history is another.


Medvedev has history on his side. What does Sinner have? 1 semifinal ever on the back of the worst draw in the year?
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Sinners game is bigger and is the 2nd best player right now. Probably will reach top three by March.

Defeated Djokovic twice in a year - Only person to do so in the last 4 years
 
socallefty

socallefty

G.O.A.T.
Sinner has to prove he has the physicality to endure 7 Best-of-5 matches over the course of a Slam particularly on clay or hard courts. Until then, I would put a healthy Djokovic, Alcaraz, Medvedev and Nadal as AO contenders above Sinner as they all have won Slams.

Sinner has had the hard-hitting game already for more than two years to do well at Slams and it is the lack of physicality that has prevented him from even making a Slam semifinal on either hard courts or clay - he has done so only on grass which is easier on the body. Unless he shows that, I am not buying into Sinner hype at Slams. He is a good kid and I hope he can do it soon.
 
Rosstour

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
Nate7-5 said:
And just like that, Nadal already has an injury concern. If you think he's gonna hold up for seven 3+ set matches, good luck to ya.
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It's already mind games between him and Djokovic to see who is more injured and who will be the bigger hero when they miraculously make the Final.

I'm so tired of hearing this. I want to like Rafa but he keeps doing this and it's so annoying. Just once, shut the **** up about your body and stop pretending that you're not sure if you're gonna play the upcoming Slam. Shut up. Learn a new song, this is the oldest one in the book now.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1743285131924951340
 
Rosstour

Rosstour

G.O.A.T.
dking68 said:
Sinners game is bigger and is the 2nd best player right now. Probably will reach top three by March.

Defeated Djokovic twice in a year - Only person to do so in the last 4 years
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Sinner is being credited for doing something he has never done

It's reminiscent of when people called Thiem the next "King of Clay" and guaranteed he would win multiple French Opens after Rafa couldn't anymore. He has a trophy case full of moral Coupe d'Mouscataires
 
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