While i agree that draper is a better player, i think its fair to say that neither player has been really pushed, then again, Carlos let a confortable 5-2 turn into a 5-5 without draper doing anything crazy while novak let lehechka get to the tie break in the 3rd without the cezch playing anything special either, thats why i think that given every variable involved, i feel this is a pretty equal match on paper, then anything can happen, Carlos could win in 3 and wouldnt really be surprising, or novak could win in 4 and wouldnt be crazy either, this said, its easier that Carlos can show his best self than novak at 37 shows his best level from 2 years ago, he has won just by experience and playing good the important moments but against Alcaraz, on top of that, he has to elevate his shot quality a couple of notches to go toe to toe with him, if he is able to do that is the question, but impossible to write him off when hes motivated.