Australian Open is Djokovic's to win or lose

I was pretty sure of this already, but after seeing him this week and weekend I am now sure of it. Djokovic will only lose in Melbourne if he has a bad match somewhere along the line vs someone playing extremely well. I fully expect #8 and #17 for him, even though I am rooting for Nadal or a breakthrough new slam winner more than him, so that is not bias.
 

StrongRule

G.O.A.T.
I wonder how Federer fanboys will like it when he will officially become the weakest player between the big 3 at his best slam. (which will happen if Djokovic will win 8th AO). I guess they will still prefer that over Nadal winning a 20th slam. The hate to Nadal is the strongest. :-D :-D :-D :-D
 

Phoenix1983

G.O.A.T.
I wonder how Federer fanboys will like it when he will officially become the weakest player between the big 3 at his best slam. (which will happen if Djokovic will win 8th AO). I guess they will still prefer that over Nadal winning a 20th slam. The hate to Nadal is the strongest. :-D :-D :-D :-D
Wouldn't Federer's Wimbledon record still be superior to Novak Djokovic's AO record?
 

weakera

G.O.A.T.
IMO he is at best as much of a favorite as last season but likely somewhat less of a favorite due to NextGen advancement and what we saw Stan can do in NYC.

Still a heavy favorite but not the heaviest he has been.
 

Toronto11

New User
It’s a very important major for him given his odds of winning the French are slim at best and a lot can happen between now and Wimbledon/USO. If he hopes to catch Fed’s major record I would consider this a must win especially given that Tsits, Shapo and Medvedev will only continue to get better.
 
If both will have 8 titles then for sure most will prefer the player who is 8-0 in AO finals, not the one who is 0-3 in Wimbledon finals against his main rival.
Most will be wrong, then. They should for sure prefer a person who made 11 finals to one who only made 8 semi-finals.

But if Djokovic gets two more AO titles, then what you say would be true.
 

Zardoz7/12

Professional
Djokovic looked pretty solid throughout this week in Australia, the omens are good for Djokovic to win another Melbourne crown. Nadal vs Djokovic AO final seems extremely plausible, I'm not writing off Federer, Medvedev or Tsitsipas either to make a "deep run".
 

StrongRule

G.O.A.T.
I guess Djokovic is pretty much a lock for the title. Who realistically can stop him? On these courts I don't see it happening.
 

Goof

Semi-Pro
The last time they played, I distinctly remember there being a bagel and a dethroning of the Stanimal, as defending champion. To say Djokovic cannot beat him at AO is a little far fetched.
Most recently, Djokovic cried uncle against a far less than 100% Stan.
 

NoleFam

Talk Tennis Guru
The last time they played, I distinctly remember there being a bagel and a dethroning of the Stanimal, as defending champion. To say Djokovic cannot beat him at AO is a little far fetched.
It is. Djokovic has more confidence on Rod Laver arena than anywhere in the world and he can beat anybody on it.
 

SW1

New User
“Australian Open is Djokovic’s to win or lose”

- That’s usually how it works, isn’t it?
 

RF-18

Talk Tennis Guru
Stan is out here slugging it out with the small boys for titles in 250s and 500s for the past years. Djokovic is winning team events, slams and masters. Stan is not something to worry about.
 

Druss

Hall of Fame
If both will have 8 titles then for sure most will prefer the player who is 8-0 in AO finals, not the one who is 0-3 in Wimbledon finals against his main rival.
LOL...Federer made 12 Wimby finals, that is superior to making 8, even if it's 8-0. So if Edberg won the 1989 Wimby and went 3-0 he'd be better than Lendl at the USO who made 8 finals (winning 3)? Your comment reeks of hate towards a certain player, simple.
 

StrongRule

G.O.A.T.
LOL...Federer made 12 Wimby finals, that is superior to making 8, even if it's 8-0. So if Edberg won the 1989 Wimby and went 3-0 he'd be better than Lendl at the USO who made 8 finals (winning 3)? Your comment reeks of hate towards a certain player, simple.
I dislike Djokovic way more than I dislike Federer. I just don't think losing finals to Djokovic time after time somehow add something to Federer's Wimbledon legacy.
 

TheAssassin

Legend
He is in a good position now. If he doesn't complicate it too much in earlier rounds and avoids the most brutal draw possible, his chances are big.
 

Steve0904

Talk Tennis Guru
Making finals has to add to a legacy in a certain sense. Sure 8 titles is 8 titles whether one guy has 4 extra finals or not, but saying the extra finals mean absolutely nothing is too harsh because it discounts huge wins like the one Federer had in the Wimby SF last year. If extra finals count for anything that has to be it.
 

pico

Professional
I find Djokovic inconsistent and I am his fan. I realised he has a tougher time against more flat hitters e.g Bautista and Medvedev. He also seemed gassed against Medvedev at times in their last match. If the air quality in Melbourne is not good then that could also hold against him. I still think he can win it but it is a 50 / 50 for me.
 
It’s a very important major for him given his odds of winning the French are slim at best and a lot can happen between now and Wimbledon/USO. If he hopes to catch Fed’s major record I would consider this a must win especially given that Tsits, Shapo and Medvedev will only continue to get better.
It will probably be Nadal's major record by the time he gets there (if he does).
 
Making finals has to add to a legacy in a certain sense. Sure 8 titles is 8 titles whether one guy has 4 extra finals or not, but saying the extra finals mean absolutely nothing is too harsh because it discounts huge wins like the one Federer had in the Wimby SF last year. If extra finals count for anything that has to be it.
So for you it depends on the quality of the final runs when it is just a final?
 
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