Based on form alone going into the QFs, Kyrgios is the clear favourite to win the men’s US Open?

jl809

Hall of Fame
I’m not saying he will win it, because no-one does meltdowns like he does and he may find the “easy” draw a curse and not a blessing.

But purely from a tennis point of view, Nick is surely the guy going in with the most pedigree, right? Serve is looking deadly on the skidding court, he can S&V, his backhand is looking fine and he was even teeing off returns against Medvedev, whose serve is not exactly weak
 

Arak

Legend
Three more matches to go. I wonder about his fitness and stamina going forward. To me, he’s the slight favourite but just by a hair.
 

canta_Brian

Professional
He has a good chance. Weirdly the lack of flair/talent of some of those remaining my derail him. Does he play well against a grinder? I think he may well get board and play stupid in a match like that.
 

Krish0608

Legend
As much as I dislike this toxic man child, he has indeed shown the highest level so far and is the favourite to go all the way. Him and Alcaraz are the only "slam-material" players left in the draw. But maybe Nadal's loss puts quite a bit of pressure on him now? Let's see what happens.
 
All about who handles the pressure now.

We saw in 2020 how thiem and Zverev both froze up when the moment came.

Only guys left who can more safely say this isn’t their best chance they will ever have to win a USO are alcaraz and sinner due to youth/talent. For the other 6 guys this is a once in a lifetime opportunity. Who is ready for that smoke?
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
All court game, better transition, arguably better movement. I agree that the serve is worrisome, but there are stretches where he is just unplayable. Never got that vibe from Sinner. Sinner is more of a ball basher in my eyes. A great one at that. But too one dimensional.


I would rather have ball bashing ability and a brain for point construction which Sinner somewhat possesses than a dropshot and no strategy. Alcaraz has zero slice also.

Not saying Sinner is clearly better but it's close.
 
It's slightly different than 2020. From what I saw from press conferences none of the players had Nadal as favourite due to his ab injury. Tiafoe himself said it was an open tournament due to that a week ago. So all the players sort of entered it thinking it was a chance to win. In 2020 Djokovic was a huge favourite as Nadal was not there and nobody could have expected what happened.
These are professional elite sportspeople. The idea that they will all choke is not accurate. Ruud Sinner Alcaraz and Matteo have all been improving steadily and building towards the big time. Kyrgios is the wild card. Matteo especially has been knocking hard on the door

Perhaps. I don’t really lump Berretini into the likely to get tight category although this is his best chance to win a slam.

Interesting question: of the guys left, who do you trust to step up to the line in the USO final and serve it out. I would say Berretini, kyrgios, and alcaraz and that’s it.
 

Krish0608

Legend
I would rather have ball bashing ability and a brain for point construction which Sinner somewhat possesses than a dropshot and no strategy. Alcaraz has zero slice also.

Not saying Sinner is clearly better but it's close.
It's definitely close. Sinner may even have the edge now. But Alcaraz will mature better than Sinner I think. Or he may end up going the way of Tsonga. You never know. :laughing:
 
Perhaps. I don’t really lump Berretini into the likely to get tight category although this is his best chance to win a slam.

Interesting question: of the guys left, who do you trust to step up to the line in the USO final and serve it out. I would say Berretini, kyrgios, and alcaraz and that’s it.
Exactly. Alcaraz, Kyrgios, and Berrettini are the only guys who can win, in that order. They can play clutch tennis and are not prone to choking. We’ve never seen Alcaraz play in a slam final, so we don’t entirely know if he can hold his nerve, but he is a very talented and offensive-minded player in general, so I think he is the slight favorite. Ruud and Sinner maybe have a slight chance to win, but it’s highly unlikely. Kachanov, Rublev, and Tiafoe have no chance IMO.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
As much as I dislike this toxic man child, he has indeed shown the highest level so far and is the favourite to go all the way. Him and Alcaraz are the only "slam-material" players left in the draw. But maybe Nadal's loss puts quite a bit of pressure on him now? Let's see what happens.

"Slam-material" my foot. You aren't Slam-material until you win a Slam, and none of these players have done that yet.

Until you have the trophy in your hand it's all just wishful thinking.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
Exactly. Alcaraz, Kyrgios, and Berrettini are the only guys who can win, in that order. They can play clutch tennis and are not prone to choking. We’ve never seen Alcaraz play in a slam final, so we don’t entirely know if he can hold his nerve, but he is a very talented and offensive-minded player in general, so I think he is the slight favorite. Ruud and Sinner maybe have a slight chance to win, but it’s highly unlikely. Kachanov, Rublev, and Tiafoe have no chance IMO.

That's why we play the game.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I’m not saying he will win it, because no-one does meltdowns like he does and he may find the “easy” draw a curse and not a blessing.

But purely from a tennis point of view, Nick is surely the guy going in with the most pedigree, right? Serve is looking deadly on the skidding court, he can S&V, his backhand is looking fine and he was even teeing off returns against Medvedev, whose serve is not exactly weak
I'm sure he'll give it everything he has to try and win it and then not play tennis ever again.
 

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
Why do you rank Alcaraz so much higher than Sinner?

For the sake of fairness, it is true Alcaraz has played better in this tournament than Sinner so far. However, Alcaraz fans tend to take Sinner too lightly given that he has just beaten him twice in the past four months.
 
It’s hard for me to pull for the guy who just decided to put in the work yesterday versus the guys who have put in the hard miles year after year after year
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
For the sake of fairness, it is true Alcaraz has played better in this tournament than Sinner so far. However, Alcaraz fans tend to take Sinner too lightly given that he has just beaten him twice in the past four months.
Sinner-Alcaraz will probably be a war since they're both smelling the opportunity and won't be rewarded with a big 3 match-up next.
 

paolo2143

Semi-Pro
I think Q/F look pretty good match ups.

I will go for Kyrgios to win in 4 sets, Rublev to likewise beat Tiafoe in 4 sets, Berrettini to win in 5 set thriller and Alcaraz to win a tough hard 4 setter with couple of tiebreaks through in for good measure.

So that probably means the above will all lose as i have given them the kiss of death lol
 

Chairman3

Hall of Fame
I'm pulling for Sinner, das my guy

But Kyrgios has the most "complete" game to beat the others.
Big serve, big forehand, ok-decent backhand, great touch and not afraid to attack or come to net.
The rest of the field, except maybe Tiafoe, just stands at the baseline trying to bash every ball
Alcaraz never has a gameplan, he just bashes balls and then gets tired and tries to hit a dropper.
...5 sets against Cilic, really, and Cilic couldn't hit a first serve to save his life
 

Tshooter

G.O.A.T.
News Alert: Nick is not winning a slam.

Though it’s hard to see who beats him someone will.:confused:
 
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TearTheRoofOff

G.O.A.T.
Yes, that's true. It's better than having one dominant player in a weak era.
Depends what kind of seximasterclasses they put on. A very beatable looking dominant player of course can encourage one to reevaluate the prospects of watching paint become less moist over time.
 

puppybutts

Hall of Fame
Medvedev is of course a great defender, but he has definitely fallen off after the AO final. I think Kyrgios will be a little shell shocked at the sheer youth and mobility of Sinner or Alcaraz, should he face one of them.
 

FeroBango

Rookie
He has a good chance. Weirdly the lack of flair/talent of some of those remaining my derail him. Does he play well against a grinder? I think he may well get board and play stupid in a match like that.
He did exceptionally well against a top class grinder in Meddy. Great chances for Nick tbh.
 

Tennis Fan States63

Hall of Fame
Going to be an interesting final three rounds. Can Nick Kyrgios hold it together? I like the Alcaraz/Sinner winner as the likely next challenger for the title, but I wouldn't be totally surprised with any of the eight remaining. Who can raise their game? It's the biggest opportunity for them yet - and may the best man win.......looking forward to some compelling matches.
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
On form alone, I agree it's Nick. But I also know better, so I wouldn't bet on him.
Form isn't the most important thing in many slam finals, mentality is. Nick has already said he's feeling the pressure and the weight of expectations. He played fabulous against Med but I wouldn't expect that level in a slam final.
 
Form isn't the most important thing in many slam finals, mentality is. Nick has already said he's feeling the pressure and the weight of expectations. He played fabulous against Med but I wouldn't expect that level in a slam final.

yes this next 5 days will all be about who handles the moment and pressure the best. The Big 3 have been so successful and so good under pressure overall we take for granted that it’s easy. Let’s not forget that pre Big 3 era we had the USO 2003 where Nalbandian blew a 2-0 set lead in SF and FO 2004 with that ridiculous final.
 

Nate7-5

Hall of Fame
Current QF Odds:

Kyrgios +165
Alcaraz +225
Sinner +500
Berretinni +1100
Ruud +1200
Tiafoe +1200
Rublev +1400
Khachanov +2500
 

canta_Brian

Professional
Form isn't the most important thing in many slam finals, mentality is. Nick has already said he's feeling the pressure and the weight of expectations. He played fabulous against Med but I wouldn't expect that level in a slam final.
Psychologically, acknowledging the pressure may be a smart move for someone who is an extreme extrovert like Kyrgios.
 
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