Besides a few distinct performances, Carlos has been mostly average this year.

mike danny

Bionic Poster
And since people are talking 2012, let's look at Carlitos vs. Fed from that year.

IW: Federer dropped a couple sets early, but then tore through some great players in straight sets. Alcaraz similarly beat some top players handily, but Fed's opposition was a bit better.
Miami: Alcaraz made the semis looking just as dominant as at IW before running out of steam against Sinner. Federer lost early to Roddick (in his last season, barely seeded).
MC: Neither played.
Madrid: Similar to Indian Wells. Both won, but Federer beat the better players to win.
Rome: Federer easily. Made it the semis before losing to Novak while Alcaraz crapped out early.
RG: This is where I might start to get controversial, but I'll take Alcaraz slightly. Fed dropped a set apiece to Ungur (who?), Mahut (on clay?), and Goffin (a lucky loser at the time!) before going down two sets to love against Delpo and then losing in straights to Djoker (who himself had only barely skated by Seppi and Tsonga in the previous rounds). Alcaraz was clearly better pre-semifinal than Federer, even if he didn't play anyone as good as 2012 Delpo.
Wimbledon: Lol
Canada: Federer didn't play, so no point of comparison. Carlos sucked anyway.
Cincinnati: Federer clearly, given that he won without dropping a set and even bageled Novak in the final.
US Open: Another one where I'll give the slight edge to Alcaraz. Federer won three matches in straight sets here (Verdasco the only opponent of note), then got a walkover in the round of 16 before losing to Berdych in the quarters. Alcaraz dropped a set to Evans but also beat Zverev in straights in the quarters before losing in four to Medvedev. It's close, but Fed didn't beat anyone as good as Zverev and lost to a worse player in my opinion – especially given that that semifinal was probably the single best slam match Medvedev has ever played.
Shanghai: Federer clearly here as well. Beat Wawrinka and Cilic before losing to Murray in the semis. Alcaraz of course just lost to Dimitrov.

Federer certainly the more consistent. Alcaraz, though, was at least at a similar level to Federer in two of three slams played, though Fed was far and away better at Wimbledon (the one hiccup against Benneteau aside). I'm not one who would say Alcaraz is on the level of a strong Big 3 year like this, but he's not insanely far off either – and of course he's well behind where the Big 3 were in their respective best seasons, but that's to be expected at just 20 years old.
Fed had a bad day against an in form Berdych. Don’t think he loses to tired Zverev. And if he reaches the semis, I wouldn’t dismiss his chances against Med
 

tudwell

G.O.A.T.
Fed had a bad day against an in form Berdych. Don’t think he loses to tired Zverev. And if he reaches the semis, I wouldn’t dismiss his chances against Med
No I don't think he loses to Zverev either. It's close, I just think Alcaraz actually proved a little more on court than Fed did in their respective tournaments. But I could understand someone leaning the other way. Maybe in Alcaraz's place Fed would end up doing better.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
I don’t see him winning more than 1 slam next year honestly. I think he wins one, purely because I expect Nole to lose a step next year. Maybe Sinner could do some damage but he needs to work on those legs
Nole also thinks the same. He is talking about winning 3 next year. I think the Cincy win and the. Raz's unexpected departure has given Nole a pause on Raz's future. Ofcourse the future is bright but I think Nole is confident for next year.
 

Hypo Crisis

Professional
You clearly misunderstood what dead means in this context. Djokovic clearly wasn’t feeling well physically in the Cincy final and Carlos let him off the hook when he should’ve gone for the jugular
I understand. But feeling physically gassed is totally different from mentally gassed. Novak has shown that he needs some time to adapt to his physical fatigue and he can be ok after. While if he is mentally out... it's over.
 

dking68

Legend
Nole also thinks the same. He is talking about winning 3 next year. I think the Cincy win and the. Raz's unexpected departure has given Nole a pause on Raz's future. Ofcourse the future is bright but I think Nole is confident for next year.
I don’t see Raz winning AO next year. RG he has a really good chance. I don’t see Raz defending Wimbledon. Sinner will be ready for USO.
 

duaneeo

Legend
He won Wimbledon, two Masters 1000 and three other 500's. If you think a 20 year old who had a season like that is "average," then you have an agenda.

I disagree. He won a slam and two Masters in 2022. The competition didn't get greater in 2023, and this Alcaraz fan expected much more from him. Wimbledon made up for the cramping at Roland Garros, but he's been nothing but hugely disappointing since at the big tournaments...losing to mug Paul at Canada, Oldjokic at Cincinnati, Mugvedev at the US Open, and now to the 90's-born mug poster boy at Shanghai.
 

FeroBango

Legend
I disagree. He won a slam and two Masters in 2022. The competition didn't get greater in 2023, and this Alcaraz fan expected much more from him. Wimbledon made up for the cramping at Roland Garros, but he's been nothing but hugely disappointing since at the big tournaments...losing to mug Paul at Canada, Oldjokic at Cincinnati, Mugvedev at the US Open, and now to the 90's-born mug poster boy at Shanghai.
This I somewhat resonate with. He's certainly had improvements from last year in many areas, and I think he's doing just fine given his age and experience. But it is certainly a disappointment that this wasn't the multislam season it seemed to be a while ago.

The year of Alcaraz has once again been overshadowed by a Big 3 player. It isn't his year yet even if he did have a legitimate claim to being no.1 for large parts of the year.

He needs to take a break. Seethe, grind, be smarter about scheduling and better own next year.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Just some fun stats to show how good hes been. Career numbers for the Big Three thru their age 20 Season
Alcaraz
Career Win% 78.9 (142/180)
Grand Slams 2
M1000: 4
Total Titles 12

Nadal
Career Win % 78.2 (183/234)
Grand Slams 2
M1000: 6
Total Titles 17

Djoker
Career Win % 70.3 (121/172)
Grand Slams 0
M1000: 2
Total Titles 7

Fed
Career Win% 58.5 (100/171)
Grand Slams 0
M1000: 0
Total Titles 1
Please DO expose this forum. Alcaraz has been unjustly targeted here now because for fedal fans he couldn't stop Nole.
 

JeMar

Legend
Carlos Alcaraz will not be someone that wins 20+ slams. Roger, Rafa, and Novak were an aberration. However, he is likely to win 7 slams or more, which is where the ATG line seems to be drawn by most folks.
 

McGradey

Hall of Fame
Once people have started to figure him out and rush his forehand on fast hardcourts I feel like he's in a bit of a lull.
I noticed Dimitrov doing a good job of flattening out both his forehand and his DTL backhand into the Alcaraz forehand side. Definitely seems to be a vulnerability for the youngster. He seemed to be doing a better job of shortening the stroke and protecting himself on that side during the grass season, I expect he will try to figure it out fully in the off-season.
 

Fabresque

Legend
Depends on the measuring bar though?

If we subscribe to the school of thought that this is "the greatest 20 year old in history", or "on par with/ better than Big 3", then yes this is a distinctly average season. And this is probably most of TTW, since this is what most of TTW seems to expect

For the more level headed among us, it's a phenomenal season that culminated in him dethroning the greatest player of the modern era in 5 sets, in a Slam final, on grass, on a court where he had been undefeated for 10 years.
Big 3 have ruined tennis fandom.

We think that a 1 slam season is an abject failure that should not be celebrated.

Carlos has had an objectively successful season. Lol
 

The Sinner

Semi-Pro
The only good performances I can remember from him this year are the IW final, some matches from Barcelona, the Zed demolishion in Madrid and the Musetti/Tsitsi trashings at the French.

These aside, he had his landmark tournament in Wimbledon where he straight setted Rune and Med before taking out Novak in a rather impressive showing admittedly.

He has been anywhere from average to outright poor on HCs, IW final aside, underperformed in Rome and RG semi and has been quite subpar since Wimbledon in every tournament he entered.

I know he is only 20 and has plently of time to work on consistency, but I think it's time to dial down on the expectations from him given his inability to play close to his best often, at least at this stage in his career
How would you compare Alcaraz now with Djokovic and Nadal when they were the same age?
 

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
Yeah I agree but I expect Novak to decline a bit. I don’t see Novak winning three next year, but I said this last year and look what happened. The new gen needs to step up
Sinner is already in his prime and needs to step up in the most important tournaments.
There is no room for excuses for "chicken legs" anymore.
:p
 

gqnelly

Rookie
Come on bruh not even you can actually believe something like this.
Go back and watch the match...see when the umpire choses to call a time violation (Novak even says "you are seriously going to call that now in a Wimbledon final")...and some of the calls that were made during that crucial end to the second set and early in the 3rd. For the record, Alcaraz was taking more than 25 seconds consistently, as well. Novak goes on to lose the tiebreaker and then the following set 6-1 instead of being 2-0 up and maybe winning in straight sets...he goes 2 to 1 down and is so angry he doesnt regain his composure until the 4th set. At one point in the semis, the chair umpire gave Novak a hindrance call for something that Alcaraz does on literally every shot of every match (grunt as loud as an F16 taking off). The crowd got into it in the tiebreak and tried to make Novak miserable, too...so all I am saying is HE HAD SOME HELP.
 

Fabresque

Legend
Go back and watch the match...see when the umpire choses to call a time violation (Novak even says "you are seriously going to call that now in a Wimbledon final")...and some of the calls that were made during that crucial end to the second set and early in the 3rd. For the record, Alcaraz was taking more than 25 seconds consistently, as well. Novak goes on to lose the tiebreaker and then the following set 6-1 instead of being 2-0 up and maybe winning in straight sets...he goes 2 to 1 down and is so angry he doesnt regain his composure until the 4th set. At one point in the semis, the chair umpire gave Novak a hindrance call for something that Alcaraz does on literally every shot of every match (grunt as loud as an F16 taking off). The crowd got into it in the tiebreak and tried to make Novak miserable, too...so all I am saying is HE HAD SOME HELP.
Djokovic is honestly the last player on the planet that is impacted by these kinds of intangibles. To him it really doesn't matter, so I don't think Alcaraz was really helped at all. I think it was two warriors putting it out there on the court and Alcaraz squeaking by in the end. It happens.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Djokovic is honestly the last player on the planet that is impacted by these kinds of intangibles. To him it really doesn't matter, so I don't think Alcaraz was really helped at all. I think it was two warriors putting it out there on the court and Alcaraz squeaking by in the end. It happens.
True. If we start taking slams away for these minor reasons, we would not be any different than Andy Murray who got distracted by feather.
 

Eureka

Professional
He won a slam because Wimbledon (the chair umpire and the fans) did their best to get him in the match...he was about to go down two sets to love. The chair umpire calls time violations at the end of the second set and Novak loses his focus for two sets leading to him being down two sets to one instead of being up two to love. Credit to Carlos for taking advantage but he had a LOT OF HELP....
I agree. He had a lot of help from his self belief and ability to break Novak and outplay him despite Novak's best efforts in the final set. Watch it again -this time without your blinkers and closed mind. To begrudge an opponent's win is the lowest form of fandom. Grow up.
 

Eureka

Professional
And must outright win everything because the era is weak and somehow he himself won't become a better player in the coming years (hint: he was 19/20 in 2023).
The hypocrisy / double standards that pass for assessment on this board are noteworthy only because of the obtuseness depicted.

That said, and given that Carlos has not / is unlikely to win everything and is as prone to being 'off-piste' as anyone else, is true. What is beyond me is who exactly has said that he will win everything / definitely amass xxxx number of slams etc. Who?

Any comments I have heard from the pundits / commentators or read about the potential that Carlos has shown, focus on that potential and do not purport to be taken as tablets of stone. There can never be certainty. It is frankly absurd to suppose that the unrealistic expectations of some fans, equate to a justification for denigrating his excellent achievements.
 
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“If you don’t count the tournaments he won, he hasn’t won anything this year.” :laughing:
And must outright win everything because the era is weak and somehow he himself won't become a better player in the coming years (hint: he was 19/20 in 2023).
Because I am not talking about the tournaments he won, but how he played levelwise, irrespective of win or loss.

This is simply a thread about how Carlos actually played compared to what he is capable of producing on the court, it's that simple. His so called great year wouldn't happen if there were more quality players to punish his average performances.

He deserves Wimbledon and IW, he was outright better than what the rest can produce, but the rest of the time his level was sketchy against good competition.

Now that most people twist and reinterpretate what I am saying it's not my fault, lol.
 

Eureka

Professional
“If you don’t count the tournaments he won, he hasn’t won anything this year.” :laughing:
Loooool! A big fat zero.
Because I am not talking about the tournaments he won, but how he played levelwise, irrespective of win or loss.

This is simply a thread about how Carlos actually played compared to what he is capable of producing on the court, it's that simple. His so called great year wouldn't happen if there were more quality players to punish his average performances.

Now that most people twist and reinterpretate what I am saying it's not my fault, lol.
So who should he play / beat? Will some army of 'quality' players manifest to justify wins by the players or is this yardstick simply put forward for Carlos? And will you then agree that every no-hoper beaten by the great players wasn't a worthy win?
It is not twisting what you say, but pointing out that your premise is weak.
 
So who should he play / beat? Will some army of 'quality' players manifest to justify wins by the players or is this yardstick simply put forward for Carlos? And will you then agree that every no-hoper beaten by the great players wasn't a worthy win?
It is not twisting what you say, but pointing out that your premise is weak.
This is mostly just beating around the bush to avoid the actual point I made.

He isn't supposed to beat better players, he is supposed to do the part he can control, which is how well he can play against the players he is facing.

Any comments I have heard from the pundits / commentators or read about the potential that Carlos has shown, focus on that potential and do not purport to be taken as tablets of stone. There can never be certainty. It is frankly absurd to suppose that the unrealistic expectations of some fans, equate to a justification for denigrating his excellent achievements.
This is actually something I agree with, but only if a player is compared within the context of their own era and never escape that bubble.

Essentially what this type of thinking promotes is not using your critical thinking and just apply an uniform standard/methodology over everything, which is exactly what you did in the initial comment, applying the "you can only beat who is in front of you" without dynamically analyzing who was he actually facing and how he played himself, which is far more valuable for me at least.
 

Eureka

Professional
This is mostly just beating around the bush to avoid the actual point I made.....

Responding to all your comment -just avoiding repeating a long quote.

As to your first response - he has beaten those he beat and lost when he couldn't do so. The point is whether he has been largely average, and that assessment must take into account his achievements against the field - not in thin air. Debating in thin air is meaningless if making judgements on performance. There is no beating around the bush - your premise is weak. You propose at once that Carlos has been average AND that the quality of those he has beaten is questionable.

You say in your second point, if I understand it, that you discussed how well Carlos played / the calibre of the player faced. Not so. You said "His so called great year wouldn't happen if there were more quality players to punish his average performances." This is not analysing / discussing what happened, but what might have happened if he faced players of "quality". That old chestnut of an asterisk against his wins.

I disagree with you, because I am thinking critically, and believe that your premise is wide of the mark.
I do however appreciate your contributions, because they were thought provoking, and allowed a discussion. Thanks for that.
 

NYTennisfan

Hall of Fame
This again?

He missed a lot of the early HC season with injury.
He won arguably the 5th slam in Indian Wells, cramped at the French Open semis, won Queens leading up to Wimbledon and then Wimbledon beating Djokovic, then lost an epic final to Djokovic in arguably the most important Masters tournament then lost in the Semis of the US Open.

He made at least the Semis of every important tournament outside of Rome I guess? And won on what was previously thought of as his weakest surface. Maybe he hasn't reached the insanely high expectations of TTW posters but he's had a great season as a 20 year old. People think he's some kind of robot that should win every or most major tournaments. He's not a Djokocop, nobody is.
 

tudwell

G.O.A.T.
Because I am not talking about the tournaments he won, but how he played levelwise, irrespective of win or loss.

This is simply a thread about how Carlos actually played compared to what he is capable of producing on the court, it's that simple. His so called great year wouldn't happen if there were more quality players to punish his average performances.

He deserves Wimbledon and IW, he was outright better than what the rest can produce, but the rest of the time his level was sketchy against good competition.

Now that most people twist and reinterpretate what I am saying it's not my fault, lol.
I think his level at the slams this year was fantastic. Peak Big 3 level? Obviously not. But he demolished Musetti and Tsitsipas on clay, Zverev on hard, Med and Rune on grass. No one else on tour besides Novak could even get close to doing that across all three surfaces.

Of course, he faltered a bit in the two semis he lost. The cramping in particular was disappointing. That’s the only real let-down as far as slam performances in my opinion. He could have played better against Medvedev as well, but Med in that form at the US Open is a worthy opponent to lose to (Novak at the French is too, of course, but the manner of that first loss left something to be desired).

Outside the slams I think you’re closer to the mark. But even that is mostly post-Wimbledon hard court performances that have left something to be desired. Hope he cleans up his game soon and gets back to early 2023 form.
 
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