TommyA8X
Hall of Fame
Clay is a major surface, but it's still barely 30% of tour. Fed-Nadal h2h doesn't have a normal match distribution. PERIOD. Almost 50% of their matches were played on clay, and that certainly isn't normal.And Davydenko is 0-4 against Nadal on clay you can't just disregard clay it's a major surface. Nadal also leads Federer on hardcourts so you can't just assume that Federer would rack up wins left and right it would be closer than their clay court matches, but history has show us Nadal still gets the better of Fed on hardcourts. Fed also barely manged to beat Nadal on grass his best surface. Davydenko gave Nadal problems, but Nadal kept it respectable. Nadal is just Federer's kryptonite.
The fact remains, Nadal only showed up to play Federer in ultra slow conditions (clay and clay like AO, IW amd Miami). They barely played any matches (9/33) in faster conditions (any tournament after FO), which nulify Nadal's matchup advantage.