Bookmakers' odds update for the next Roland Garros

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2025 MEN'S FRENCH OPEN ODDS​

  • Carlos Alcaraz +150
  • Jannik Sinner +250
  • Novak Djokovic +450
  • Alexander Zverev +750
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +1000
  • Casper Ruud +1200
  • Holger Rune +2800
  • Daniil Medvedev +3300
  • Andrey Rublev +3300
  • Jack Draper +5000
  • Joao Fonseca +5000
  • Hubert Hurkacz +6600
  • Lorenzo Musetti +6600
  • Alex De Minaur +8000
  • Francisco Cerundolo +8000
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +8000
  • Tommy Paul +10000
  • Taylor Fritz +10000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +10000
  • Karen Khachanov +10000
  • Nicolas Jarry +10000
  • Felix Auger Aliassime +10000
  • Arthur Fils +10000
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry +12500
  • Tomas Machac +12500
  • Jan-Lennard Struff +12500
  • Ben Shelton +15000
  • Ugo Humbert +15000
  • Alexander Bublik +15000
  • Sebastian Baez +15000
  • Jiri Lehecka +15000
  • Alejandro Tabilo +15000
  • Richard Gasquet +20000
 
That seems fine heading into the clay season. Maybe Ruud over Tsitsipas, but even this way it looks fine.
 
The player who has only one title in the 250 category on the surface in his career so far is placed in second position as a possible winner of the next Roland Garros.

Conspiracy!
 
Djoker should have better odds, maybe +300 in my book. Other than that, the odds look about right. If I could count on Djoker’s health as much as the other guys, then I’d put Djoker was the favorite to win the title. But health and injuries are very real at 38 years old. Djoker, when healthy, is still the best clay court player in the world. He proved that at the Olympics last year while still recovering from knee surgery.

Hard courts: Sinner is the best now
Grass courts: Alcaraz squeaks by Djoker as the best on this surface
Clay: Djoker is the best

Note: let’s see how Sinner comes back from the layoff. Before his suspension, his serve + 1 was at peak Federer levels, which would have made him extremely dangerous on all surfaces. I have a feeling that he will come back a little rusty. Match play is crucial to staying sharp. But honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him win any event whatsoever.
 
Nole has to be practical. Go for practice in clay season. The grass and usopen series is very important for him now. Clay he is getting very old.
 
In just a few years, Roland Garros has literally gone from being the most closed slam in terms of predictions, monopolized by a single player, to being the slam open to more options.

A top-level surface specialist is still missing.
Alcaraz, as competitive as he may be on the surface, cannot be called a specialist, someone who currently boasts more slam titles on grass than on clay.

Perhaps the only exception is Ruud, but he is more of a pretender than a contender.
 
Pheasant said:
Djoker should have better odds, maybe +300 in my book. Other than that, the odds look about right. If I could count on Djoker’s health as much as the other guys, then I’d put Djoker was the favorite to win the title. But health and injuries are very real at 38 years old. Djoker, when healthy, is still the best clay court player in the world. He proved that at the Olympics last year while still recovering from knee surgery.

Hard courts: Sinner is the best now
Grass courts: Alcaraz squeaks by Djoker as the best on this surface
Clay: Djoker is the best

Note: let’s see how Sinner comes back from the layoff. Before his suspension, his serve + 1 was at peak Federer levels, which would have made him extremely dangerous on all surfaces. I have a feeling that he will come back a little rusty. Match play is crucial to staying sharp. But honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him win any event whatsoever.
Click to expand...
Nah, Djoker is getting old, fast! He might not get out of practice in one piece!
 
Djokovic at the last Olympics showed that he is still competitive on clay, but from here to say that that success should make him considered the favorite if he manages to maintain full integrity there is a difference.

The Olympics are a tournament structured with best-of-three-set matches.

The Roland Garros comes after three Masters 1000 on clay, the last Olympics for many required an anomalous adaptation with a sudden switch between grass and clay.

The last Olympics lacked the number 1 ranking, which made the level of competition lower than what there was at Roland Garros.

The last Olympics took place between the end of July and the beginning of August in the middle of the European summer, different conditions than those that are normally present during the Roland Garros placed in a less hot phase of the season, consequently as some data also demonstrate, at the last Olympics the courts were faster.

In the last edition of Roland Garros, the Serbian, before breaking against Cerundolo, had suffered a lot with Musetti, showing a level that was not exactly that of a possible winner of the tournament.

And anyway, no, Djokovic's best chances to win another slam will be at Wimbledon, rather than at Roland Garros.
 
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Winner Sinner said:
The player who has only one title in the 250 category on the surface in his career so far is placed in second position as a possible winner of the next Roland Garros.

Conspiracy!
Click to expand...
His true potential hasn’t been shown on the surface due to injury. I do believe he should’ve won Monte Carlo and potentially even Rome last year. At Madrid, he surely would’ve defeated FAA and Rublev. I think he will win all 3 masters at some point and the RG title.
 
if I was putting money be Alcaraz as I don’t trust Sinner on clay or grass as he hasn’t proven anything.
Djokovic odds about right he can obviously do damage but with the fact he is losing more to random players I can see an upset. If he gets deep you can see him going all the way
 
Pheasant said:
Djoker should have better odds, maybe +300 in my book. Other than that, the odds look about right. If I could count on Djoker’s health as much as the other guys, then I’d put Djoker was the favorite to win the title. But health and injuries are very real at 38 years old. Djoker, when healthy, is still the best clay court player in the world. He proved that at the Olympics last year while still recovering from knee surgery.

Hard courts: Sinner is the best now
Grass courts: Alcaraz squeaks by Djoker as the best on this surface
Clay: Djoker is the best

Note: let’s see how Sinner comes back from the layoff. Before his suspension, his serve + 1 was at peak Federer levels, which would have made him extremely dangerous on all surfaces. I have a feeling that he will come back a little rusty. Match play is crucial to staying sharp. But honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him win any event whatsoever.
Click to expand...
A 38-year-old tennis player isn't going to win a GS title, much less do so in the most physical event of all.
For the Olympics he only needed to win 12 sets, at RG he will need to win 21 sets and at his age it's not going to happen, don't fool yourself.
:notworthy:
 
DSH said:
A 38-year-old tennis player isn't going to win a GS title, much less do so in the most physical event of all.
For the Olympics he only needed to win 12 sets, at RG he will need to win 21 sets and at his age it's not going to happen, don't fool yourself.
:notworthy:
Click to expand...
Where do you think his tournament ends this year? He absconded the QF last year. What do you think he'll do this year
 
DjokoLand said:
if I was putting money be Alcaraz as I don’t trust Sinner on clay or grass as he hasn’t proven anything.
Djokovic odds about right he can obviously do damage but with the fact he is losing more to random players I can see an upset. If he gets deep you can see him going all the way
Click to expand...
Djokovics legs have gone. He may win Miami but it is a pretty quick court this year and he has been serving around 80% for a number of matches which has helped him by his own admission. He visibly is gassed after long rallies and best of 5 set tennis is a bridge too far for him now sadly. Understandably at his age.
 
Pheasant said:
Djoker should have better odds, maybe +300 in my book. Other than that, the odds look about right. If I could count on Djoker’s health as much as the other guys, then I’d put Djoker was the favorite to win the title. But health and injuries are very real at 38 years old. Djoker, when healthy, is still the best clay court player in the world. He proved that at the Olympics last year while still recovering from knee surgery.

Hard courts: Sinner is the best now
Grass courts: Alcaraz squeaks by Djoker as the best on this surface
Clay: Djoker is the best

Note: let’s see how Sinner comes back from the layoff. Before his suspension, his serve + 1 was at peak Federer levels, which would have made him extremely dangerous on all surfaces. I have a feeling that he will come back a little rusty. Match play is crucial to staying sharp. But honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him win any event whatsoever.
Click to expand...
You are terribly wrong mate. He isn’t making the QF at RG this year
 
Pheasant said:
Djoker should have better odds, maybe +300 in my book. Other than that, the odds look about right. If I could count on Djoker’s health as much as the other guys, then I’d put Djoker was the favorite to win the title. But health and injuries are very real at 38 years old. Djoker, when healthy, is still the best clay court player in the world. He proved that at the Olympics last year while still recovering from knee surgery.

Hard courts: Sinner is the best now
Grass courts: Alcaraz squeaks by Djoker as the best on this surface
Clay: Djoker is the best

Note: let’s see how Sinner comes back from the layoff. Before his suspension, his serve + 1 was at peak Federer levels, which would have made him extremely dangerous on all surfaces. I have a feeling that he will come back a little rusty. Match play is crucial to staying sharp. But honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him win any event whatsoever.
Click to expand...
Djokovic ain't the best on clay, what are you on?

Grass is his better shot for a Slam, as long as Sinner doesn't adapt to the surface.
 
Last edited:
I'll say it, I thought about it even before Miami - Djokovic is gonna win RG.

If my prediction fail, I'd be almost certain the man who will win it then is Carlos Alcaraz.​
 
AO13 said:
I'll say it, I thought about it even before Miami - Djokovic is gonna win RG.

If my prediction fail, I'd be almost certain the man who will win it then is Carlos Alcaraz.​
Click to expand...
Keep dreaming. If Nadal at 38 couldn’t win RG, Djokovic surely won’t
 
dking68 said:
He will have to worry about Sinneraz in SF or F. No way he beats two of them, much less 1 at this stage of his career
Click to expand...
Again, many are basing their claim on Djokovic's Olympic triumph, ignoring the best-of-three-sets match formula and the very different court conditions from those found in standard Roland Garros.

The final between Djokovic and Alcaraz saw 24 games out of 24 in which the serve was never broken, an unusual occurrence on the surface, contrasting with the Roland Garros semifinal between Alcaraz and Sinner where the serves fell like skittles due to a much slower surface.

If a surface is faster than what normally happens in the Djokovic-Alcaraz matchup, it obviously all goes to the Serb's advantage.
 
Winner Sinner said:
Again, many are basing their claim on Djokovic's Olympic triumph, ignoring the best-of-three-sets match formula and the very different court conditions from those found in standard Roland Garros.

The final between Djokovic and Alcaraz saw 24 games out of 24 in which the serve was never broken, an unusual occurrence on the surface, contrasting with the Roland Garros semifinal between Alcaraz and Sinner where the serves fell like skittles due to a much slower surface.

If a surface is faster than what normally happens in the Djokovic-Alcaraz matchup, it obviously all goes to the Serb's advantage.
Click to expand...
The Olympics was played at Roland Garros
 
AO13 said:
@dking68 @Winner Sinner

If Djokovic continues serving like this into clay season, it is possible he wins the RG.​
Click to expand...
No, if he keeps serving like this, it’s possible he wins W or USO, not RG, where the clay neutralizes the serve esp. if it’s cool or damp (which is usually the case).

Deep down I thjnk if Djoko’s body holds and up AND he wins efficiently and in less than 3 hours at RG leading up to second week, he just may have the best shot there. The grass suits athleticism more and djoko’s slightly diminished physicality will be more exposed on grass than clay where he’ll have more time.
 
Djokovic is the new king of clay. Winning the gold medal at the Paris Olympics last year has boosted his confidence on clay. A 4th Roland Garros is likely to happen for Djokovic this year. Now is a good time to bet big on Djokovic.
 
AO13 said:
A regular 38 year old no, I agree. This is Djokovic. AO QF against Alcaraz happened 2 months ago.​
Click to expand...
Clay is physical and involves extensive rallies. The slower conditions will force him into longer rallies. At AO he could hit through Alcaraz, at RG he will have hell doing that. I predict he loses before QF
 
dking68 said:
Clay is physical and involves extensive rallies. The slower conditions will force him into longer rallies. At AO he could hit through Alcaraz, at RG he will have hell doing that. I predict he loses before QF
Click to expand...
38 year old Djokovic, if healthy, is one of the fittest athletes on tour at the moment.​
 
dking68 said:
Clay is physical and involves extensive rallies. The slower conditions will force him into longer rallies. At AO he could hit through Alcaraz, at RG he will have hell doing that. I predict he loses before QF
Click to expand...
On clay though only Alcaraz has shown to have the game and pedigree to be better than him. Even sinner or other players haven’t proven they got the game for clay yet.

Injury took him out last French open but he still won the olympics. If he is healthy, motivated and in decent form he has his best chances at French or Wimbledon in my view.
 
djokovic the conqueror said:
Djokovic is the new king of clay. Winning the gold medal at the Paris Olympics last year has boosted his confidence on clay. A 4th Roland Garros is likely to happen for Djokovic this year. Now is a good time to bet big on Djokovic.
Click to expand...
he's the prince of Clay and Alcaraz the Duke. But there is only one King of Clay forever. Vamos Rafa!
 
Djokovic_is_the_best#1 said:
On clay though only Alcaraz has shown to have the game and pedigree to be better than him. Even sinner or other players haven’t proven they got the game for clay yet.

Injury took him out last French open but he still won the olympics. If he is healthy, motivated and in decent form he has his best chances at French or Wimbledon in my view.
Click to expand...
You realize that Sinner was a break away from defeating Alcaraz in 4 sets last year right? He played some points pretty bad in a specific point in the match last year, and also he was severely compromised by a hip injury. I placed a bet on him this year for the CYGS
 
dking68 said:
You realize that Sinner was a break away from defeating Alcaraz in 4 sets last year right? He played some points pretty bad in a specific point in the match last year, and also he was severely compromised by a hip injury. I placed a bet on him this year for the CYGS
Click to expand...
He was close and I give him credit for a great battle. He still fell short though.

My point still stands though what has he done on clay so far? He has no clay masters or French open. We can’t pencil him in as a lock or heavy favourite at tournaments he struggled at so far.
 
Djokovic_is_the_best#1 said:
He was close and I give him credit for a great battle. He still fell short though.

My point still stands though what has he done on clay so far? He has no clay masters or French open. We can’t pencil him in as a lock or heavy favourite at tournaments he struggled at so far.
Click to expand...
He struggled at AO in 2023 and 2022 losing to Tsitsipas in both editions, yet I predicted him to win the 2024 edition, and he did. Why? Because he improved a lot on hardcourts and Djokovic has a major uphill task with Father Time. Djokovic won’t even play the QF this year at RG and I ask you to bookmark this message

Point is, he is improving day in day out. I can’t say the same for Alcaraz and Djokovic is clearly declining. Don’t let this Miami tournament fool you. Wait till he has to win 21 sets to win a major
 
dking68 said:
He struggled at AO in 2023 and 2022 losing to Tsitsipas in both editions, yet I predicted him to win the 2024 edition, and he did. Why? Because he improved a lot on hardcourts and Djokovic has a major uphill task with Father Time. Djokovic won’t even play the QF this year at RG and I ask you to bookmark this message

Point is, he is improving day in day out. I can’t say the same for Alcaraz and Djokovic is clearly declining. Don’t let this Miami tournament fool you. Wait till he has to win 21 sets to win a major
Click to expand...
I agree that Djokovic isn’t the favourite at any slam. Slams are tougher than masters and Djokovic will get much tougher draws than this. I just think at same time he still has an outside shot and can’t be fully ruled out. He showing he still got a high level even at this age but it will be tougher to be consistent for longer at 38. True.

That is right I think my point is the playing field is closer on clay and grass. It harder to predict who will win out of Alcaraz, sinner, Djokovic, etc. Whereas for hard courts it clear how far sinner is ahead.

I’m looking forward to clay season as it hard to predict how things will unfold. As you questions on Alcaraz form/confidence, how will sinner return, can Djokovic stay healthy and last the pace?, who else will surprise?, etc. It will be interesting.
 
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