Breaking down the Round of 16

King No1e

G.O.A.T.
The 2019 Australian Open has reached its midpoint, and from each of the 8 sections stand 2 players, ready to battle for a spot in the final rounds.
australian-open-index.jpg

Here's my take:

Section 1: (1)Djokovic vs (15)Medvedev.
Medvedev is a young gun, hasn't been beaten into submission by Fedalovic that older players have gone through, so there won't be any mental blocks here. Djokovic will need to be aggressive and control rallies, but his results at Melbourne against the toughest opponents speak for themselves. The chase for a 7th piece of sporting immortality continues.
Djokovic in 4 sets.

Section 2: (23)Carreno Busta vs (8)Nishikori
Carreno Busta has been consistent over the last year and a half, and showed positive signs in his win over Fognini, but Nishikori has the added confidence, the better shotmaking, and more experience.
Nishikori in 4 sets

Section 3: (4)Zverev vs (16)Raonic
Without a doubt, the biggest blockbuster of the day. The 2018 World Champion is the favorite on paper, showing he belongs among the best in the game last year, while Raonic has struggled with his form since the beginning of 2018. However, Zverev has still not escaped his Grand Slam curse while Raonic has seen the championship match once before at Wimbledon. While Zverev's solid baseline game is designed to counter serve-volleyers like Raonic, he will have to be at his absolute best to hold off Raonic's aggression which proved too much for Kyrgios and Wawrinka. This is guaranteed to be an epic match, but the matchup and last year's results point to Sascha.
Zverev in 5 sets

Section 4: (11)Coric vs (28)Pouille
Coric has stayed solid and worked himself up quietly into the top 20 last year, taking down Federer twice to prove his prowess against the top players. He looks a comfortable favorite against Lucas Pouille.
Coric in 3 sets

Section 5: (6)Cilic vs (22)Bautista Agut
Another blockbuster looks on the cards as the 2018 finalist faces off against the red-hot Bautista Agut, who sent Andy Murray packing in the first round and defeated Djokovic, Berdych, and Wawrinka to take the Doha title. Cilic, in contrast, hasn't shown the same form of 2018, coming dangerously close to defeat against Verdasco in the 3R. The signs point to the dangerous underdog, whose flat hitting and relentless baseline attack look likely to overwhelm Cilic.
Bautista Agut in 4 sets.

Section 6: (14)Tsitsipas vs (3)Federer
In this ultimate battle of youth vs experience, the rising Greek star will face his toughest test yet against the ageless defending champ. Although 2018 saw Federer struggle in his race against time, the fact remains: he is #3 in the world and he is tennis's most iconic exponent. While Tsitsipas will surely get his day in the sun soon enough, Federer is going nowhere.
Federer in 4 sets

Section 7: Tiafoe vs (20)Dimitrov
Tiafoe has cut his way through a difficult draw, upsetting Anderson and outlasting Seppi, and is ready as ever to take another big name in 2017's World Champion Dimitrov. But Grigor has shown this tournament that he hasn't gone anywhere since ascent to #3 in the rankings, and the odds will be against the American underdog. While the outcome is not certain, one thing is: it will be a cracker of a match.
Dimitrov in 5 sets

Section 8: Berdych vs (2)Nadal
Two old rivals meet again for the 24th time. Berdych turns back the clock to beat Kyle Edmund and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in a return to top form, but he will be faced with the near-impossible task few have achieved: defeating El Matador himself. The matchup, the rankings, and the history all point toward one outcome here.
Nadal in 3 sets


What do you think? Agree? Disagree? What happens next?

Discuss
 

EasyGoing

Professional
Raonic will beat Zverev.

Berdych has a real shot against Nadal (never would’ve thought I’d say that a year ago).

Tiafoe could definitely upset Dimitrov.

Other ones I agree with.

Agree with all except for Tiafoe vs Dimi. It’s not so much I don’t think it could happen, but I really can’t fathom the idea of Tiafoe defeating anyone with his tennis from the hood ;)) Honestly, who the hell taught him those strokes?!
 

Atennisone

Hall of Fame
I'll make my own a short one

Section 1: Djokovic vs Medvedev
I don't see Medvedev having any chance, I were shocked to see Shapovalov could win a set against Djokovic, though.
Djokovic in 4

Section 2: Carreno Busta vs Nishikori
Carreno Busta has showed great form, and has a great peak level, and Nishikori can have bad days. It should be an easy one for Nishikori, but I don't think it'll be.
Nishikori in 5

Section 3: Zverev vs Raonic
This is a tough one to be I think, if Zverev can convert his best level to his GS, which he seems to very slowly be doing, he'll probably take in this in 2 tiebreaks and a 6-3 or 6-4 set. But Raonic should win this I'd say, I'll be very dissapointed if he doesn't.
Zverev in 3

Section 4: Coric vs Pouille
Pouille doesn't really have a chance I think. Coric is playing great tennis, and he has not dissapointed yet I think.
Coric in 3


Section 5: Bautista Agut vs Cilic
I don't think Agut stands a chance. He has a hard time closing matches, by winning 2 matches in a row by 3-2, after leading 2-0.
Cilic in 4

Section 6: Tsitsipas vs Federer
Tsitsipas the choker. The way he led 4-1 in the TB at Hopman Cup, with two breaks, and lost the TB anyway proves to me that he absolutely 0 chance. Probably the most predictable match of these Round of 16's
Federer in 3

Section 7: Tiafoe vs Dimitrov
I am quite sure this is Dimitrov's. It's not that Dimitrov has been spectacular good, but I think Tiafoe is too big a choker to be able to get a QF.
Dimitrov in 4

Section 8: Berdych vs Nadal
I am very afraid as a Nadal fan of this one. Berdych has showed great form, and Nadal has biggest problem against these players who are mini-servebots.
Nadal in 5
 

Federev

G.O.A.T.
The 2019 Australian Open has reached its midpoint, and from each of the 8 sections stand 2 players, ready to battle for a spot in the final rounds.
australian-open-index.jpg

Here's my take:

Section 1: (1)Djokovic vs (15)Medvedev.
Medvedev is a young gun, hasn't been beaten into submission by Fedalovic that older players have gone through, so there won't be any mental blocks here. Djokovic will need to be aggressive and control rallies, but his results at Melbourne against the toughest opponents speak for themselves. The chase for a 7th piece of sporting immortality continues.
Djokovic in 4 sets.

Section 2: (23)Carreno Busta vs (8)Nishikori
Carreno Busta has been consistent over the last year and a half, and showed positive signs in his win over Fognini, but Nishikori has the added confidence, the better shotmaking, and more experience.
Nishikori in 4 sets

Section 3: (4)Zverev vs (16)Raonic
Without a doubt, the biggest blockbuster of the day. The 2018 World Champion is the favorite on paper, showing he belongs among the best in the game last year, while Raonic has struggled with his form since the beginning of 2018. However, Zverev has still not escaped his Grand Slam curse while Raonic has seen the championship match once before at Wimbledon. While Zverev's solid baseline game is designed to counter serve-volleyers like Raonic, he will have to be at his absolute best to hold off Raonic's aggression which proved too much for Kyrgios and Wawrinka. This is guaranteed to be an epic match, but the matchup and last year's results point to Sascha.
Zverev in 5 sets

Section 4: (11)Coric vs (28)Pouille
Coric has stayed solid and worked himself up quietly into the top 20 last year, taking down Federer twice to prove his prowess against the top players. He looks a comfortable favorite against Lucas Pouille.
Coric in 3 sets

Section 5: (6)Cilic vs (22)Bautista Agut
Another blockbuster looks on the cards as the 2018 finalist faces off against the red-hot Bautista Agut, who sent Andy Murray packing in the first round and defeated Djokovic, Berdych, and Wawrinka to take the Doha title. Cilic, in contrast, hasn't shown the same form of 2018, coming dangerously close to defeat against Verdasco in the 3R. The signs point to the dangerous underdog, whose flat hitting and relentless baseline attack look likely to overwhelm Cilic.
Bautista Agut in 4 sets.

Section 6: (14)Tsitsipas vs (3)Federer
In this ultimate battle of youth vs experience, the rising Greek star will face his toughest test yet against the ageless defending champ. Although 2018 saw Federer struggle in his race against time, the fact remains: he is #3 in the world and he is tennis's most iconic exponent. While Tsitsipas will surely get his day in the sun soon enough, Federer is going nowhere.
Federer in 4 sets

Section 7: Tiafoe vs (20)Dimitrov
Tiafoe has cut his way through a difficult draw, upsetting Anderson and outlasting Seppi, and is ready as ever to take another big name in 2017's World Champion Dimitrov. But Grigor has shown this tournament that he hasn't gone anywhere since ascent to #3 in the rankings, and the odds will be against the American underdog. While the outcome is not certain, one thing is: it will be a cracker of a match.
Dimitrov in 5 sets

Section 8: Berdych vs (2)Nadal
Two old rivals meet again for the 24th time. Berdych turns back the clock to beat Kyle Edmund and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in a return to top form, but he will be faced with the near-impossible task few have achieved: defeating El Matador himself. The matchup, the rankings, and the history all point toward one outcome here.
Nadal in 3 sets


What do you think? Agree? Disagree? What happens next?

Discuss
Excellent analysis! Well done.
 

BGod

G.O.A.T.
I got:
Novak
Nishikori
Raonic
Pouille
Agut
Federer
Dimitrov
Berdych

And from there a Raonic/Novak & Federer/Berdych semifinal tilt to give us the first Rovak Final in Australia.
 

Atennisone

Hall of Fame
Just got an idea what is going to happen. Nadal wins a 5 setter agsint Berdych, with 7-5 in 5th set, and retires to injury after being 1-2 down against Federer in SF
 

Sport

G.O.A.T.
I'll make my own a short one

Section 1: Djokovic vs Medvedev
I don't see Medvedev having any chance, I were shocked to see Shapovalov could win a set against Djokovic, though.
Djokovic in 4

Section 2: Carreno Busta vs Nishikori
Carreno Busta has showed great form, and has a great peak level, and Nishikori can have bad days. It should be an easy one for Nishikori, but I don't think it'll be.
Nishikori in 5

Section 3: Zverev vs Raonic
This is a tough one to be I think, if Zverev can convert his best level to his GS, which he seems to very slowly be doing, he'll probably take in this in 2 tiebreaks and a 6-3 or 6-4 set. But Raonic should win this I'd say, I'll be very dissapointed if he doesn't.
Zverev in 3

Section 4: Coric vs Pouille
Pouille doesn't really have a chance I think. Coric is playing great tennis, and he has not dissapointed yet I think.
Coric in 3


Section 5: Bautista Agut vs Cilic
I don't think Agut stands a chance. He has a hard time closing matches, by winning 2 matches in a row by 3-2, after leading 2-0.
Cilic in 4

Section 6: Tsitsipas vs Federer
Tsitsipas the choker. The way he led 4-1 in the TB at Hopman Cup, with two breaks, and lost the TB anyway proves to me that he absolutely 0 chance. Probably the most predictable match of these Round of 16's
Federer in 3

Section 7: Tiafoe vs Dimitrov
I am quite sure this is Dimitrov's. It's not that Dimitrov has been spectacular good, but I think Tiafoe is too big a choker to be able to get a QF.
Dimitrov in 4

Section 8: Berdych vs Nadal
I am very afraid as a Nadal fan of this one. Berdych has showed great form, and Nadal has biggest problem against these players who are mini-servebots.
Nadal in 5
Berdych is not a servebot, don't worry his serve is not that huge. It is good, but not as good as Raonic, Kyrgios, Müller and the likes.
 

Yugram

Legend
Just got an idea what is going to happen. Nadal wins a 5 setter agsint Berdych, with 7-5 in 5th set, and retires to injury after being 1-2 down against Federer in SF
Berdych didn’t play great against Diego. Many short hits, easy to hit winners. Great hype around him, but Nadal will take it in 3.
 

smoledman

G.O.A.T.
He is a mini-one. If he had Schwartzman serve, he'd be ranked #1002

Where would Federer be with a crap serve? I hate these "if player didn't have X ability they'd be ranked Y" statements. Utterly ridiculous pap that I've grown accustomed to on this forum.
 

upchuck

Hall of Fame
I'm picking Raonic for the upset over Zverev.

I have Djokovic on upset watch. He is not playing well.
 

Atennisone

Hall of Fame
Where would Federer be with a crap serve? I hate these "if player didn't have X ability they'd be ranked Y" statements. Utterly ridiculous pap that I've grown accustomed to on this forum.
Well what I said was very fair. I'm just saying that Berych is a mini-servebot because if he had Schwartzman serve he'd be ranked #1002. The same counts for Nadal if he had Isner's forehand.
 

MugOpponent

Hall of Fame
Djokovic vs. Medvedev
I think Djokovic wins in three with one tiebreak. I doubt Novak is ever threatened in this match.

PCB vs. Nishikori
Kei in 5.

Zverev vs. Raonic
Raonic in 4. Milos is playing well. I thought Stan looked pretty good the other day but Raonic was a little too much in the tiebreaks. I don't see Zverev breaking much and he'll have a lapse or two that'll get him beat.

Coric vs. Pouille
Coric in three. Part of me hopes Zverev wins against Raonic so Borna can soul-crush him again.

Cilic vs. RBA
RBA in five.

Tsitsipas vs. Federer
I'm very interested in this match as Tsi reminds me of Federer stylistically. This is the first opponent that could conceivably defeat Roger. I think Federer has more than enough in the tank but I don't think it'll be easy. Experience wins and matters.
Federer in four.

Tiafoe vs. Dimitrov
Interesting match as you never know what you'll get from Dimitrov. I think it goes five sets and Grigor narrowly wins.

Berdych vs. Nadal
Just judging from line movement and odds I think this will be a tough match but Rafa will win in four tight sets.
 

jackdaw

Rookie
Nadal will win this tournament without dropping a set - maybe one or two max ... but that's it.

Serious serious questions need to be asked how he can come back so STRONG ... after injury.
He has done it multiple times in his career, and be all accounts with the stress he put his knees under he should have the knees of a 60 year old by now ....
But he keeps getting stronger and stronger and stronger .... he'll be 33 in June.



madness.
 

King No1e

G.O.A.T.
Nadal will win this tournament without dropping a set - maybe one or two max ... but that's it.

Serious serious questions need to be asked how he can come back so STRONG ... after injury.
He has done it multiple times in his career, and be all accounts with the stress he put his knees under he should have the knees of a 60 year old by now ....
But he keeps getting stronger and stronger and stronger .... he'll be 33 in June.



madness.
Without dropping a set? Djokovic is not going down like that.
 

Yugram

Legend
Well I sure do have my eye on it, more for the opponent than for Cilic, because Bautista is playing really well this year
RBA can make a lot of noise throughout this year, I think the reason he plays so good is highest motivation ever after sad things happened to him last year.
 

jackdaw

Rookie
Without dropping a set? Djokovic is not going down like that.
If they meet in the final maybe he'll drop one , maybe 2 sets, but he will at worst win the 5th.

Have a look at Nadals and Djokovic's matches so far ... who looks better ?
 

duaneeo

Legend
Don't like making predictions, so will simply root for an outcome of ABSAUs (anyone but same-as-usuals):

Medvedev
Carreno Busta
Zverev
Coric
Bautista Agut
Ts...(Can't do it)
Tiafoe
Berdych
 

acintya

Legend
Agree with all except for Tiafoe vs Dimi. It’s not so much I don’t think it could happen, but I really can’t fathom the idea of Tiafoe defeating anyone with his tennis from the hood ;)) Honestly, who the hell taught him those strokes?!
besides Nadal curently my favorite player to watch.
 

Dilexson

Hall of Fame
Oh my god I'm literally so hyped for Raonic vs Zverev.
No matter who loses this match, tennis wins big-time!
So true. A bot will go out or Zed Slam comedies will come out, a win win.

On topic , i don't see Fed losing a set. His test will be against Clic.
Novak i think has learned a lesson today and will be ready to takedown Med in straights.
Rafa-Berdych will be the toughest , Berd-man might take a set and i definitely expect him to push Rafa a lot.
 

True Fanerer

G.O.A.T.
I'm in line with OP for the most part except:

Cilic vs RBA

Cilic is 4-1 vs RBA. I don't see him closing the door on Cilic in four sets. I'm thinking Cilic in 4 maybe 5 sets. Cilic should have some confidence coming off a big comeback vs Verdasco as well.

Nadal vs Berdych


Nadal could straight set Berdych sure. But, I don't think so. Nadal hasn't been tested yet and Berdych is the perfect guy for a wake up call. Nadal in 4 tight sets. Should be a good match.
 
Bautista is being hilariously overrated on this forum right now. He's still the same guy who is 1-18 in sets vs Federer.

He’s not playing Federer, though.

But, yeah—he’s not a threat to win anything, but he is a solid player who’ll beat talented but erratic players. He’s kind of like a gatekeeper like a lesser Ferrer (not the same style of play but as in, “solid player who’ll beat more talented, taller players with ‘bigger’ games who aren’t consistent.”
 
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Druss

Hall of Fame
I pretty much agree with OP except Zverev-Raonic could go either way 50/50, also Cilic-RBA.

I like how the average age of last 16 has come down a fair bit from last few years. The Big 3 and old dog Berdych still hanging around and keeping that avg age higher than it should be.
 
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