I’m not predicting who will win.I don't see anyone reaching the final that is not Alcaraz, Sinner, or Djokovic.
Whoever gets Djokovic (probably Alcaraz) will have a tougher draw.
But as you know, tough draws have a way to get softened through upsets.
Since I'm rooting for Alcaraz, I hope, wish, he wins it regardless of the draw, but then winning it with a tough
draw is tastier than with a soft.
After witnessing that barn-burner of a match last week, my answer is.......yes and no.I believe we have a real chance to be witnessing the greatest tennis rivalry of all time.
After a middling start to 2025 we finally got the fireworks we were hoping for in the 11th Alcaraz-Sinner matchup (7-4 head to head). Alcaraz came out on top in Sinner’s first tournament in 3 months after a doping ban. Sinner was dominant in 2024 though, and has the upper hand on other surfaces.
Born only 16 months apart and now ranked #1 and 2 in the world, it’s clear to me that there is only one show in town. These two are head and shoulders above the field now, with the Medvedev's and Tsitsipas’ of the world now languishing outside the top 10 and Novak’s decline reaching terminal velocity.
Some equally balanced stats:
Alcaraz: 19 titles, Sinner: 19 titles (both 19-6 in Finals)
Alcaraz: 4 Slams, Sinner: 3 Slams
Alcaraz: 36 weeks at #1, Sinner: 49 weeks
Alcaraz: 1 YE #1, Sinner: 1 YE #1
Alcaraz: 7 Masters, Sinner 4 Masters
Alcaraz: 40 wins vs top 10, Sinner: 43 wins vs top 10
It really is as close to evenly matched as you’ll get in tennis, and a nice contrast of styles and approach which makes for some stimulating and compelling tennis. Both players have a chance in every match.
Importantly, this rivalry is built for the long haul. Both men are just 22 and 23, and look set to dominate for a full decade onwards. This can push them past epic but more short-lived rivalries like Borg-McEnroe, Sampras-Becker, Seles-Graf, etc. There is no significant age gap which will be important as both age.
What sets this rivalry apart from nearly every other one is the lack of a third guy. The Big 3 all had each other, with no individual rivalry elevating over the totality of the 3. Lendl-McEnroe had a similar issue with the amazing depth in their era overshadowing their individual rivalry.
The Alcaraz-Sinner setup feels more akin to Evert and Martina - an uninspiring, lacking field surrounding two true greats, which allows us to see them in as many Finals as possible. Unless someone new emerges, it’s hard to see anyone getting in the way of this incredible rivalry. Can it become the greatest ever?
YesAfter witnessing that barn-burner of a match last week, my answer is.......yes and no.
Beating the cultural impact and icon status of the Federer-Nadal and Nadal-Djokovic rivalries will be an insanely tall order. But excluding those 2, I could see it becoming the next generation-defining rivalry that people will talk about forever, as they did for Laver and Rosewall, then Borg and McEnroe, then Sampras and Agassi before them. I just think the trio before them (and the Big 4 overall) will remain the greatest generation for a long, long time, but that is absolutely no shade at these 2. They will, in all likelihood, end their career as legends just like the aforementioned names.
And although I've so far ended up with egg on my face for saying these 2 can't go too long unchallenged before someone shows up to join them at the top.....I still think it's bound to happen. We seem to be past the era of 6'6 giants with no creativity - there's a real pool of talent coming up behind these 2 guys.
I think the fact that there were 3 rather than just the two is the pathway for them to surpass the individual Fedal/Fedovic/Djokodal rivalries. They aren’t better and won’t be greater than the big 3, but their big advantage is there is only 2 of them, so every tournament will be about them specifically. It was always Federer Nadal AND Djokovic (and sometimes Murray) going into these tournaments. Nowadays I really don’t think you have to pay attention until the Final between Raz and Sinner.After witnessing that barn-burner of a match last week, my answer is.......yes and no.
Beating the cultural impact and icon status of the Federer-Nadal and Nadal-Djokovic rivalries will be an insanely tall order. But excluding those 2, I could see it becoming the next generation-defining rivalry that people will talk about forever, as they did for Laver and Rosewall, then Borg and McEnroe, then Sampras and Agassi before them. I just think the trio before them (and the Big 4 overall) will remain the greatest generation for a long, long time, but that is absolutely no shade at these 2. They will, in all likelihood, end their career as legends just like the aforementioned names.
And although I've so far ended up with egg on my face for saying these 2 can't go too long unchallenged before someone shows up to join them at the top.....I still think it's bound to happen. We seem to be past the era of 6'6 giants with no creativity - there's a real pool of talent coming up behind these 2 guys.
If Sinner loses the Wimbledon final next month, I don’t think it will be bullish at all… it would be another Serena Sharapova rivalryAbout 95% of the great rivalries have never even played a Slam Final that great. They did it on their first try, at age 22/23. The only historical comparison would be the Borg-McEnroe 1980 Finals, which is not bad company.
I remain bullish on this prediction.
To be fair, I do think these 2 can be better shotmakers than Nadal and Djokovic. This was as close to the 2012 AO final as you can get in terms of physicality, sustained quality, and drama, and they did it all with a shot clock.Yes
If you just want to ignore that rafole rivalry exists and say this is the rivalry of this generation, fine.
But extending rafole , even more so than fedal rivalry, it's going to be particularly difficult. Not impossible but not probable either.
To be fair, I do think these 2 can be better shotmakers than Nadal and Djokovic. This was as close to the 2012 AO final as you can get in terms of physicality, sustained quality, and drama, and they did it all with a shot clock.
Nothing tops Fedal bestieYes
If you just want to ignore that rafole rivalry exists and say this is the rivalry of this generation, fine.
But extending rafole , even more so than fedal rivalry, it's going to be particularly difficult. Not impossible but not probable either.
Yah man. I understand the foetal cord syndrome - some can't let that attachment to 1 or more of the Big 3 / other greats, go. But @Kralingen poses the question whether Carlitos / Jannik can become the greatest rivalry, and in that regard, the answer is about the future, not the past. This could possibly be a great rivalry, but who knows. It is certainly THE rivalry of the current era to date. After the Rome and FO final 2025, in particular, many pundits allude to this as a promising rivalry.Personally, this is already THE rivalry of the current era. Not quite yet as dynamic as, say, developed Agassi/Sampras, or even the early Fed/Nads, but pretty dang good and the match up everyone wants to see these days.
Well put, man. Dudes bring it, challenge each other.It definitely can.
One thing in its favour is both guys are the same age, so if neither of them get injured or go on Andre Agassi mental walkabouts for months/years at a time we should be guaranteed some fireworks for years to come.
Another thing is the contrasting play styles. You've got the calm discipline of Sinner Vs creativity and improvisation of Alcaraz.
All of which is enhanced by both guys being capable of generating enormous power from both wings, and are both whippet quick around a court, AND they can both remain standing after 5 and a half hours of ALL of the above.
"By the time they turned 30"What a joke
By the time rafole turned 30..
They had played 49 matches.
Don't rewrite history. I will be there to fact check.
"By the time they turned 30"
Arguments about youngsters not achieving were being raised before then.
Don't throw stones in glass houses when it comes to honesty.
See? That was nicer now wasn't it?Your Federer had Hewitt and roddick as competition. They achieved nothing once Federer became number 1.
Age by age. Rafole had 18 matches by the time sineraz had 11.
Same thing will happen once age increases.
Not at all. I don't understand sarcasm well.See? That was nicer now wasn't it?
What about Federer vs Nadal 2008, was that not good enough for you?About 95% of the great rivalries have never even played a Slam Final that great. They did it on their first try, at age 22/23. The only historical comparison would be the Borg-McEnroe 1980 Finals, which is not bad company.
I remain bullish on this prediction.
Neither do I, they have to win 6 matches (or WO) to be in the final and anything can happen.I’m not predicting who will win.
Or that one will be upset.
Just pointing to facts of LY where they didn’t meet in the SF’s due to medvedev pulling an upset in QF.
Just stating an upset can occur bc Carlos was pushed early and had Foe not choked, would’ve won in round 3.
That was their 5th Slam Final. Their first was RG 2006.What about Federer vs Nadal 2008, was that not good enough for you?
Is it important to appreciate greatness to be a specific time? 1st, 3rd, or 6th?That was their 5th Slam Final. Their first was RG 2006.
I made a statement about their first Slam final. They haven’t played any other Slam finals, so I was comparing it to other “first meeting” in Slam Finals and it’s clearly one of the best.It is important to appreciate greatness to be a specific time? 1st, 3rd, or 6th?
Evert and Navratilova played each other 80 times, including 22 times in slams. It will be tough to surpass that.The Alcaraz-Sinner setup feels more akin to Evert and Martina - an uninspiring, lacking field surrounding two true greats, which allows us to see them in as many Finals as possible. Unless someone new emerges, it’s hard to see anyone getting in the way of this incredible rivalry. Can it become the greatest ever?
At this rate it's doable though... and they might be mostly finals!Evert and Navratilova played each other 80 times, including 22 times in slams. It will be tough to surpass that.