Can Fedr get 110?

Chances of Fedr getting 110 titles?

  • >80%

  • 50-80%

  • 20-50%

  • <20%


Results are only viewable after voting.

falstaff78

Hall of Fame
#1
In the decade from 2009-2018:

avg = 4.2 titles / yr
max = 7 (2017), 6 (2015 & 2012)
min = 0 (2016), 1 (2013)
mode = 4 titles
median = 4.5 titles

4+ titles in 8 of last 10 years (and 4 / last 5)
5+ titles in 5 of last 10 years (and 3 / last 5)

It seems to me he has a reasonable chance of playing two more years for 10 more titles.

2018 - 4 titles
2017 - 7 titles
2016 - 0 titles
2015 - 6 titles
2014 - 5 titles
2013 - 1 titles
2012 - 6 titles
2011 - 4 titles
2010 - 5 titles
2009 - 4 titles
 
Last edited:

Red Rick

Talk Tennis Guru
#2
Depends a lot on scheduling, draws and how much he keeps winning when playing terrible.

If he wants it desperately I'm sure he'll get it. If he retires in 2020 I don't see how he's gonna get there at all.
 

falstaff78

Hall of Fame
#4
Depends a lot on scheduling, draws and how much he keeps winning when playing terrible.

If he wants it desperately I'm sure he'll get it. If he retires in 2020 I don't see how he's gonna get there at all.
He got 11 titles in 14-15 and 17-18. There must be some reasonable probability he can do it again in 19-20, no? (1 in the bag obviously)
 

falstaff78

Hall of Fame
#6
Father time is undefeated.

So is Djokovic vs Federer since 2015.

Fed was terrible in the first 3 matches here. He can't keep escaping in these situations forever. His stats have been steadily getting worse since Rotterdam last year.
Good post. Maybe I'm being too optimistic
 

Red Rick

Talk Tennis Guru
#7
Good post. Maybe I'm being too optimistic
It's also not like that record is that important. Everyone with half a brain knows a bunch of those Connors wins would barely be challengers today.

Basically it comes down to if he's done winning 1000s and higher, cause I don't see him filling it all up with just the 250s and 500s he plays in a year.
 
#9
I don't believe this is a possibility. Every tournament at this age is exponentially difficult.

I would say about 105 seems optimistic based on adding 3 grass titles in this year and next.

He has to add Istanbul, Geneva to give himself chances for 110 but don't believe he will do that.
 
#13
I think it’s unlikeky though the way he just crushed two guys who are both 15 years younger than he...

I think the chances would be much better had he not messed up some of those Halle finals.
 
#15
Small chance of that given Federer's further diminishing consistency and lower top level ceiling. He's really vulnerable to upsets, the opposition at the very top is likely to be too much except for a few exceptions maybe. On the positive note, I believe it's more likely he'll win 10 more titles than not win any titles at all, and that is freaking incredible considering Federer's age and the events he's playing!
 
#16
Certainly it's possible in myriad ways.

1. He could play 250s and 500s until he gets it.
2. He is able to pull one more great year out and hauls in 5 titles, combined with playing until 2021.
3. Wins a masters this year and next, on top of 3 500s both years. Then another 2 titles in 2021.

That being said, it's fairly unlikely unless he decides to go for it. He either needs to play until 2021 or 2022, or he needs to specifically start playing weaker tournaments to win the title. Time will only be more and more debilitating from here on out, and it's already starting to show.
 
#17
Fed was terrible in the first 3 matches here. He can't keep escaping in these situations forever.
Well, on his defense, it's been like that almost every tournament since 2008 and the man keeps escaping sometimes. Dude, the guy almost got straight setted in 2010 Wimbledon 1R against Falla. He's making those Houdini acts a routine for quite a while.
 
#19
If he was willing to play until his 40th birthday (I think he'll retire at Basle age 39 though for the record), that would give him 2 and a half years to get 10 titles. Not impossible even without a major but the odds are probably 1 in 10.

I think 105 is a more realistic end place. Possibly 102/103 If it goes a bit stale from here.
 

Rosstour

Professional
#22
The better question is, who can stop him?

He just got straight-set revenge on Coric and Tsits.

Aside from Djoker, who does he really have to fear at this point?
 
#25
I don't think he'll be bothered about getting to 110 until he's a few titles short of it. As things are, I reckon he'll still be prioritising his schedule around getting into shape for Wimbledon.
 
#26
Fed is now only 68 wins behind Jimmy Connors.

1256 v. 1188

Barring any health issues, he's going to surpass 1200 wins this year. After that, he may very well break Connors' mark for match wins at the tail end of 2020 or for sure in 2021.

The titles are going to be tough. He's still good enough on serve alone to make it to semis and finals in most tournaments, so that's 3-4 match wins easily. But even if he wins his sugarcake tourneys like Halle and Basel... he's going to get older so the chances of someone else winning them increase as well.
 

Tennis_Hands

Talk Tennis Guru
#31
"nearing" ridiculous achievements?
Well, both matches on tour won and official recognised by the ATP titles won are not achieved, and they might be of the more ridiculous achievements in his career.

I see them as standing the test of time (if he achieves them) much longer than most of the others.

:cool:
 
#33
You people do realize that Federer's confidence is going to be through the roof after winning this title and beating these two guys like he did back to back. The pressure for title #100 has been MONUMENTAL for quite some time, but now that he's reached that milestone the flood gates could open one last time for Federer. If he keeps up the level he just played against Coric and Tsitsipas (2017 level in my opinion) he's got a great shot at 4 or 5 more titles this year. That would put him at 104-105 titles at the end of 2019. I'm going to say if Federer does in fact reach 105 titles by years end then he is going to break the Connors record.
 
#34
Father time is undefeated.

So is Djokovic vs Federer since 2015.

Fed was terrible in the first 3 matches here. He can't keep escaping in these situations forever. His stats have been steadily getting worse since Rotterdam last year.
Let's be real here.
2016 other than AO semi, Fed was injured all year. Novak's weird 2 year hiatus began that summer.
2017 Fred and Ralph were dominant, Novak was missing mostly every tourney.
2018 as Novak started rising again, Fred started falling again. They played a very tight match in Bercy.
 

Zhilady

Professional
#35
Really depends on if he wants it. If he wants it and prioritizes it, only injuries can stop him. He can win 250s into his early 40s.
 
#38
Seem to recall he said in his interview on court that he is not out to break all records, so looks like he's gonna "let" Jimmy keep his record, :)
 
#39
I don't believe this is a possibility. Every tournament at this age is exponentially difficult.

I would say about 105 seems optimistic based on adding 3 grass titles in this year and next.

He has to add Istanbul, Geneva to give himself chances for 110 but don't believe he will do that.
He won’t add Istanbul unless he becomes Rogerina...WTA only in 2019. The ATP has dropped their 250 there.

He’s not adding a 250 on clay the week before RG so Geneva and Lyon are out. If he was hell bent on Jimbo’s record, the 250 on clay should be in place of Madrid at either Estoril or Munich the week before. Then skip Madrid and play Rome. He’s not doing that so it’s a pretty good sign he’s not concerned with another milestone.
 
#41
I don't think he will. I'm already amazed with his 100 trophies won, and reaching 109+ would be even more incredible, but I just don't see it happening. This CEENTUR100N day belongs to tennis history, we're all witnessing dome GOAT stuff here.

Sent from my Redmi Note 4 using Tapatalk
 
#43
10 more titles. If we keep it real, he could hope for 1 more Slam title. Masters are tricky, given his schedule - 1-3 Master titles are possible. He needs to win around 7 smaller titles from Dubai(being 38,39,40), Halle(being 37,38,39), Basel(Being 38,39,40). There arent just enough tournaments for him to chase the record unless he goes on a run like in 2017. I mean if gets to 108 he could probably try Gastaad, Geneva or Stokholm
 
#44
I think it's within reach. Two main ways it happens -

1. He recaptures the 2017 magic again and has another 7 title season.

2. He continues playing decently but not great for another 5 years.
 

ChrisRF

Professional
#47
Fed was terrible in the first 3 matches here. He can't keep escaping in these situations forever. His stats have been steadily getting worse since Rotterdam last year.
I partly agree with you about his bad form in too many matches these days. But still he has this ability to suddenly steamroll exactly these opponents who seem to be the most difficult of the week (like Coric and Tsitsipas).

Also with a few weeks gone I think Tsitsipas at the Australian Open played a match he unlikely won’t repeat too often and Federer wasn’t as bad as I thought apart from the usual BP squandering. Tsitsipas just hit hard for the whole match and seemingly couldn’t miss, in contrast to Dubai.

I admit I was skeptical after Melbourne, but now I’m more confident again that Roger will still be a factor everywhere for some while. If I have to name one single reason: His forehand is back!
 

Red Rick

Talk Tennis Guru
#48
I partly agree with you about his bad form in too many matches these days. But still he has this ability to suddenly steamroll exactly these opponents who seem to be the most difficult of the week (like Coric and Tsitsipas).

Also with a few weeks gone I think Tsitsipas at the Australian Open played a match he unlikely won’t repeat too often and Federer wasn’t as bad as I thought apart from the usual BP squandering. Tsitsipas just hit hard for the whole match and seemingly couldn’t miss, in contrast to Dubai.

I admit I was skeptical after Melbourne, but now I’m more confident again that Roger will still be a factor everywhere for some while. If I have to name one single reason: His forehand is back!
Tsitsipas' win over Fed was definitely a huge outlier. Tsits won only 51% of games in Melbourne and in general I think he relies too much on winning close matches.

Fed's form is up and down quite a bit. By all means he should've made the semi in Melbourne where with his play there he probably would've been beaten soundly by Nadal.
 

ChrisRF

Professional
#49
Fed's form is up and down quite a bit. By all means he should've made the semi in Melbourne where with his play there he probably would've been beaten soundly by Nadal.
I’m not even sure about that because of the late matchup change against Nadal (at least on faster surfaces), but we don’t need to talk about his chances against Djokovic. So I’m not that disappointed with the Tsitsipas loss as it most likely didn’t cost him the trophy.
 

vex

Hall of Fame
#50
Unlikely. But never doubt Fed. No one expected him to catch fire in 2017 either. If he gets close to that level and plays 2 more years he’s have a chance: Halle/Queens, IW/Miami, Cincy, Toronto, Dubai, Wimbledon, USO, AO. He’s a top contender at all those events. He just needs to play at a high level and not face an in form Djokovic. He can still beat (or lose to) anyone else.
 
Top