Clay gives them superpowers

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
There are many players who play well on all surfaces. But everyone has a preference. UTS gives a great breakdown of players based on their matches won. I am trying to find some pattern. Let's see.
Taking only the most accomplished players who are also active.

NameFavorite SurfaceHLD % overallHLD% on clayBRK % overallBRK% on clayTotal on all surfaceTotal on clay
DjokovicHard slightly8681.931.935.3117.9117.2
NadalClay majorly85.784.633.342.9119127.2
MurrayGrass majorly81.676.530.332.8111.9109.8
MedvedevHC majorly83.976.327.227111.1103.3
ZverevClay slightly82.478.525.129.1107.5107.6
AlcarazGrass majorly shocker81.480.330.634.6112110.9
ThiemClay majorly82.88222.926.7105.7108.7
TsitsipasClay majorly86.384.420.727.6107112
CilicGrass majorly83.881.522.626.3106.4107.8
NishikoriMixed slow79.878.426.930.7109.4109.2
RaonicMixed fast91.287.91619.4108.2107.3
DimitrovAll rounder82.579.721.924.6104.4104.5
SinnerMixed slow82.177.426.932.2 (very young and these numbers are far different in 2024.105109.6
BerrettiniGrass majorly87.886.818.121.1105.9107.9

There are 4 guys with clay as their favorite surface. Nadal Thiem Zverev and Tsitsipas. Zverev is slightly skewed on clay.

What is evident is clay amplified their return significantly.

Nadal is +9.6 absurdly. For him the return is like a groundstoke unless the server really hammers it T and Nadal can't get it.
Thiem +3.8 not as big difference but his serve also did not drop a lot because of his kicker out wide.
Tsitsipas +6.9
Zverev +4. Zverev case is serious. He lost as much on serve as he gained on return. This is a problem for him.



I would say total of 115 is elite player.
While grass courters did not suffer as much as their very weak return games got some boost with exception of Andy Murray who has amazing return but not as good a serve yet having grass as his favorite surface.

And for hard courters it was a negative as they lost too much on serve that the gain on return is negligible. I see only Medvedev from true hard specialist. His serve became mediocre, in fact he is the WORST of the list on hold % on clay but his return actually decreased as well on clay. Major bummer.
 
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nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Medvedev and Tsitsipas have played 13 matches.

Medvedev handily ahead with 7 wins to 3 on non clay surfaces. Tsitsipas has by 2 to 1 on clay.

Medvedev strengths got neutralized while Tsitsipas had huge boost when moving to clay.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
I would say total of 115 is elite player.
Djokovic is elite on clay as well as all.
Nadal is super elite on clay and numbers inflated on all due to clay.
Murray was elite overall for many years but his injuries did it in the end. He couldn't bridge the gap in brk % by improving serve.

No one else is elite.
Medvedev is downright atrocious on clay. Worst of the group. But best overall of the rest.

Alcaraz and Sinner too young.
 

Terenigma

G.O.A.T.
Medevdev won Rome last year and may win Madrid this year. What it tells us ?

That he is most dangerous at tournaments he has not won yet.

Also on topic: Cilic being grass majority suprised me a little. He has a US open and Cinci title, surely that counts for more overall than the Queens title and Wimbledon final.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Last 52 weeks on clay

Sinner 86 + 32.7 = 118.7
Djokovic 80.2 + 37 = 117.2
Alcaraz 80.7 + 35.3 = 116
Ruud 83 + 30 = 113
Tsitsipas 84.3 + 27.9 = 112.2
Zverev 79.2 + 29.7 = 108.9
Nadal 76.7 + 27.3 = 104

Djokovic is still elite on clay but Sinner has shown most consistent results. Sinner did lack a bit last year in big matches. This year he has lost 1 vs Tsitsipas and another he has withdrawn. But he belongs to the top category even on clay. Nadal has suffered huge dip which is understandable as he is not 100%.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Nadal on his own was always a freak on BRK% at RG. His lowest is at around 35%. Its no wonder its almost impossible to beat him when he can break the serve just so easily. His highest is 60% in 2008 which is telling something and 2010,2012,2014,2020 also went past 50% BRK which is phenomenal.

It seems like even when Nadal looks down he can elevate his game a lot when it comes to RG. eg. 2014, he didn't play badly for anyone else, won Madrid, reached Rome final, but for him it was bad year. Shockingly in RG he elevated the game so much, no one could compete.
 

GloW

Professional
There are many players who play well on all surfaces. But everyone has a preference. UTS gives a great breakdown of players based on their matches won. I am trying to find some pattern. Let's see.
Taking only the most accomplished players who are also active.

NameFavorite SurfaceHLD % overallHLD% on clayBRK % overallBRK% on clayTotal on all surfaceTotal on clay
DjokovicHard slightly8681.931.935.3117.9117.2
NadalClay majorly85.784.633.342.9119127.2
MurrayGrass majorly81.676.530.332.8111.9109.8
MedvedevHC majorly83.976.327.227111.1103.3
ZverevClay slightly82.478.525.129.1107.5107.6
AlcarazGrass majorly shocker81.480.330.634.6112110.9
ThiemClay majorly82.88222.926.7105.7108.7
TsitsipasClay majorly86.384.420.727.6107112
CilicGrass majorly83.881.522.626.3106.4107.8
NishikoriMixed slow79.878.426.930.7109.4109.2
RaonicMixed fast91.287.91619.4108.2107.3
DimitrovAll rounder82.579.721.924.6104.4104.5
SinnerMixed slow82.177.426.932.2 (very young and these numbers are far different in 2024.105109.6
BerrettiniGrass majorly87.886.818.121.1105.9107.9

There are 4 guys with clay as their favorite surface. Nadal Thiem Zverev and Tsitsipas. Zverev is slightly skewed on clay.

What is evident is clay amplified their return significantly.

Nadal is +9.6 absurdly. For him the return is like a groundstoke unless the server really hammers it T and Nadal can't get it.
Thiem +3.8 not as big difference but his serve also did not drop a lot because of his kicker out wide.
Tsitsipas +6.9
Zverev +4. Zverev case is serious. He lost as much on serve as he gained on return. This is a problem for him.



I would say total of 115 is elite player.
While grass courters did not suffer as much as their very weak return games got some boost with exception of Andy Murray who has amazing return but not as good a serve yet having grass as his favorite surface.

And for hard courters it was a negative as they lost too much on serve that the gain on return is negligible. I see only Medvedev from true hard specialist. His serve became mediocre, in fact he is the WORST of the list on hold % on clay but his return actually decreased as well on clay. Major bummer.
Ruud can't do anything without standing on red dirt
 
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