Crazy lopsided US Open - 3/4 win probability of a single quarter thanks to Sinner and Medvedev!

[Rovesciarete]

Never saw anything like that in the last years. Both favourites are in the same quarter! Does anybody have an idea when that happened last time?

Zverev is just short of 10% but is also a set down...

2024 US Open Men's (hElo) Draw Forecast​

Player	​	R16​	QF​	SF​	F​	W​
(1)Jannik Sinner (ITA)	​	98.1%​	90.1%​	73.9%​	70.7%​	61.5%​
Christopher Oconnell (AUS)	​	1.9%​	0.4%​	0.1%​	0.0%​	0.0%​
Gabriel Diallo (CAN)	​	11.9%​	0.2%​	0.0%​	0.0%​	0.0%​
(14)Tommy Paul (USA)	​	88.1%​	9.3%​	3.5%​	2.4%​	1.0%​
Nuno Borges (POR)	​	56.7%​	8.4%​	0.4%​	0.2%​	0.0%​
Jakub Mensik (CZE)	​	43.3%​	5.2%​	0.2%​	0.1%​	0.0%​
(31)Flavio Cobolli (ITA)	​	12.8%​	7.5%​	0.5%​	0.2%​	0.1%​
(5)Daniil Medvedev (RUS)	​	87.2%​	79.0%​	21.5%​	18.2%​	11.9%​
	​	​	​	​	​	​

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Zverev has got to believe!

 

[Lleytonstation]

Flavio is the Italian we need.

 

[Clay lover]

I'm rooting for Ruud just for the giggles and the gotcha moment if I'm proven right.. he's so forgotten no one has mentioned his name even after the draw has opened up despite being a three-time slam finalist HAHha

 

[InsideOut900]

Never saw anything like that in the last years. Both favourites are in the same quarter! Does anybody have an idea when that happened last time?

FO 22 when Djokodal played in the QF.
USO 22 when Sinner-Raz played in the QF.

 

[Rovesciarete]

FO 22 when Djokodal played in the QF.
USO 22 when Sinner-Raz played in the QF.

Right, it is very early morning. Will try to get those numbers!

 

[Technology Ruined Tennis]

Nothing tops the Wimby '13 quarter that went from Fedal to all Poland all the time. ("HOW MANY TIMES?")

2nd place is US '14 Nishi/Chilly Super Saturday.

 

[Tano]

Nothing tops the Wimby '13 quarter that went from Fedal to all Poland all the time. ("HOW MANY TIMES?")

2nd place is US '14 Nishi/Chilly Super Saturday.

Artificial intelligence ruined Grand Slam draws.

 

[Rovesciarete]

Right, it is very early morning. Will try to get those numbers!

The famous Alcaraz-Sinner quarter, thanks to Archive! Crazy to see also Musetti in it, possibly the strongest three young players right now. However hindsight did colour its weight, only a bit more than a third. Absolutely nothing compared to our present monster quarter!

2022 US Open Men's (hElo) Draw Forecast​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Player ​ R16​ QF​ SF​ F​ W​ Ilya Ivashka (BLR) ​ 62.7%​ 14.2%​ 3.1%​ 0.7%​ 0.2%​ (26)Lorenzo Musetti (ITA) ​ 37.3%​ 5.7%​ 0.9%​ 0.1%​ 0.0%​ Brandon Nakashima (USA) ​ 13.1%​ 6.2%​ 1.1%​ 0.2%​ 0.0%​ (11)Jannik Sinner (ITA) ​ 86.9%​ 74.0%​ 39.2%​ 22.4%​ 13.8%​ (15)Marin Cilic (CRO) ​ 57.2%​ 13.7%​ 4.7%​ 1.4%​ 0.5%​ (20)Daniel Evans (GBR) ​ 42.8%​ 8.2%​ 2.3%​ 0.6%​ 0.2%​ Jenson Brooksby (USA) ​ 17.1%​ 8.8%​ 2.9%​ 0.9%​ 0.3%​ (3)Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) ​ 82.9%​ 69.3%​ 45.8%​ 29.5%​ 20.3%​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​

 

[NeutralFan]

Meddy losing before qf will be nice