Cumulative stats - Federer [2] vs. Berdych [19] - AO 2017 QF

[falstaff78]

Here are cumulative stats for the first 4 rounds of AO 18 for Federer and Berdych.

Head to head, Federer leads 19-6, 11-5 on hard courts, 7-2 in majors. Berdych has not defeated Federer in 5 years, although he came close last year in Miami, and gave him a tough match at Wimbledon.

Stats-wise:
Federer has been stronger on serve:

• been broken far less (3% vs. 15%)
• outperformed the tour by 11 p.p. vs. his opponents, whereas Berdych has outperformed the tour by only 2 p.p.
• higher % of serves unreturned (39% vs. 36% for Berdych)

Berdych has been stronger on return:

• Broken more (45% vs. 25%)
• outperformed the tour by 13 p.p. vs. his opponents, compared to 2 p.p. for Federer
• Returned more opponents' serves (73% vs. 70%)

Enjoy

@Meles @Gary Duane @Chanwan

 

[falstaff78]

@Sysyphus@Red Rick

 

[falstaff78]

@stringertom @Sentinel @73west

 

[FHtennisman]

Thanks for the stats - so this match is Federer's serve vs Berdych's return.

I know who I'm backing.

 

[ArcspacE]

Fed in 3

Birdman's false dawn exposed

 

[mightyjeditribble]

Interesting stats. Doesn't look as though there is much in it. Fed is the one who should be capable of raising his game more than Berdych, but if he doesn't, this could be the time when Berdych finally breaks his streak. I'm a bit worried for some reason ...

Roger should have a bit of a psychological advantage though playing Berdych here after last year. If he can come out of the blocks fast, he could potentially end Berdych's challenge early. If Berdych wins the first set, it could be a long night for Federer fans ...

 

[Chanwan]

Thanks, great as always. Do you have winners / unforced errors too? Normally, they are a part of this ;-).
Astounding return numbers from Berdych!

 

[Sysyphus]

Stats have me slightly worried; Birdy Birdy has played well indeed, and Rog has been a bit serve dependent, innit?

Still, how many h2h wins is it in a row now for Fed, a few of them rather dominant (AO 17, AO 15, IW 15), so gotta have faith. It's a good sign that Rog is putting up nice serve numbers – when he's got that base covered he can be more confident about waiting for his chances on return.

 

[NuBas]

This is a different Berdych, Federer must not hold back.

 

[Otacon]

Fed's second serve is really underrated.

 

[falstaff78]

Thanks, great as always. Do you have winners / unforced errors too? Normally, they are a part of this ;-).
Astounding return numbers from Berdych!

This year's travesty of an AO website no longer consistently reports unforced errors, net points or distance run.

If anyone has access to the data I am more than happy to include!!

 

[SinjinCooper]

Didn't read. Federer owns Berdych, mind, body, and soul. No need to look into it any deeper than that.

 

[falstaff78]

Stats have me slightly worried; Birdy Birdy has played well indeed, and Rog has been a bit serve dependent, innit?

Still, how many h2h wins is it in a row now for Fed, a few of them rather dominant (AO 17, AO 15, IW 15), so gotta have faith. It's a good sign that Rog is putting up nice serve numbers – when he's got that base covered he can be more confident about waiting for his chances on return.

Having watched a couple of rodgy's matches, i have a feeling his return is understated in these numbers.

he is deploying effort strategically, with an algorithm like:

• Defend serve at all costs (made easier when 40% of your serves don't make it back over the net - compare to nadal at 28%)
• Early in the set, play the first two points of a return game hard
• From 4-4 go hell for leather on return

I'm not worried about berdy at all. Call me foolhardy.

 

[Freddy Cat]

Berdych has been looking scary from the baseline -- I don't think anyone can challenge him in that department at the moment. However, Berdych isn't going to get the joy of baseline-to-baseline rallies with thread. This could be an interesting match, and I don't think it'll be easy for Federer by any means.

 

[Poisoned Slice]

Wrong thread. Sorry.

 

[D.Nalby12]

Berdych has won 45% return games? Unbelievable.

 

[Unforced Terror]

Berdych is playing the highest-level tennis out of anyone in this tournament from what I've seen, though Federer's been pretty good himself. He has learned from his past mistakes playing Berdych, judging from 2017 matches where he precisely exploited Berdych's movement and just jerked him around the court with all-court play. If he gets in too many conventional baseline rallies Berdych will likely win, but I definitely think Federer will go full on "variety mode". This match will likely be excellent, Fed in 4.

 

[Pouet156]

Berdych has won 45% return games? Unbelievable.

And yet he lost one or two sets...