Current Australian Open Betting Odds

James P

Hall of Fame
Current odds. Nothing of real import, just figured I'd jot them down to compare in a month or two.

01.) +0150 Djokovic
02.) +0300 Nadal
03.) +0650 Federer
04.) +0900 Medvedev
05.) +1600 Tsitsipas
06.) +1800 Zverev
07.) +2000 Kyrgios, Murray
09.) +2500 Del Potro
10.) +3300 Nishikori, Raonic, Thiem, Anderson, Cilic, Wawrinka, Dimitrov
17.) +4000 Khachanov
18.) +5000 de Minaur, Coric, Shapovalov, Bautista-Agut
22.) +6600 Goffin, Chung, Edmund, Pouille
26.) +8000 Isner
 

victorcruz

Professional
Damn that's pretty low for Fed. Would have thought he would be even with Rafa instead of in between Rafa and nextgen.
 

UnderratedSlam

Hall of Fame
They might as well not list the rest, after the first 4 names.

Still weird they consider Rafa 2nd not 3rd, considering he hasn´t won it since 2009, whereas RF has won it twice in recent years.

Because of USO title?

Well, Rafa did a FO/USO double FOUR times (10, 13, 17, 19) and yet that never resulted in a AO win.
 

RaulRamirez

Hall of Fame
I'm not a betting man, but I guess I'm a little surprised that...
Murray's odds are that favorable, given his apparent state of health.
Also, I'm surprised that so many are ahead of RBA.
Berrettini not in the top 26, or did I miss him?
 
They might as well not list the rest, after the first 4 names.

Still weird they consider Rafa 2nd not 3rd, considering he hasn´t won it since 2009, whereas RF has won it twice in recent years.

Because of USO title?

Well, Rafa did a FO/USO double FOUR times (10, 13, 17, 19) and yet that never resulted in a AO win.
Hmm, that is interesting. I do feel a since that Rafa is a huge second favorite (favorite if Djoker is not completely healthy). Maybe it is recency bias. Wonder what the feeling was here in 2017 when Rafa won USO?

Then again, it might have been just the injury at AO18 that stopped him?
 

UnderratedSlam

Hall of Fame
Hmm, that is interesting. I do feel a since that Rafa is a huge second favorite (favorite if Djoker is not completely healthy). Maybe it is recency bias. Wonder what the feeling was here in 2017 when Rafa won USO?

Then again, it might have been just the injury at AO18 that stopped him?
Fact is that Rafa plays with much greater confidence at FO and USO than AO and Wimby where he´s had so many bad defeats in the last decade. Especially against Novak and Roger. He is simply not the same player somehow when he plays FO/USO semis/finales as when he plays AO/W semis/finales. At least vs those two. Something that betting houses don´t consider.
 
Fact is that Rafa plays with much greater confidence at FO and USO than AO and Wimby where he´s had so many bad defeats in the last decade. Especially against Novak and Roger. He is simply not the same player somehow when he plays FO/USO semis/finales as when he plays AO/W semis/finales. At least vs those two. Something that betting houses don´t consider.
Honestly see Vexing Med as the guy to bet if I wanted to place a small bet. He has a decent chance straight up, but more than likely that line will move quite a bit if he finishes the year strong and Rafa and Djoker struggle in form or health. Plus he has a good shot against Djoker regardless.
 

MugOpponent

Hall of Fame
Fact is that Rafa plays with much greater confidence at FO and USO than AO and Wimby where he´s had so many bad defeats in the last decade. Especially against Novak and Roger. He is simply not the same player somehow when he plays FO/USO semis/finales as when he plays AO/W semis/finales. At least vs those two. Something that betting houses don´t consider.
I guess that explains Rafa's 3-1 record against Roger at the Australian Open.:rolleyes: I don't understand how people can view a match against Nadal as a lock. Even when Nadal had Fed's number, I'd never consider it in the bag before the match simply because Federer is too good of a player and deserves all the respect he gets.
 
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Yugram

Hall of Fame
They might as well not list the rest, after the first 4 names.

Still weird they consider Rafa 2nd not 3rd, considering he hasn´t won it since 2009, whereas RF has won it twice in recent years.

Because of USO title?

Well, Rafa did a FO/USO double FOUR times (10, 13, 17, 19) and yet that never resulted in a AO win.
Nadal is just much better against the field than Federer on all surfaces as of now.
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
01.) +0150 Djokovic
02.) +0300 Nadal
03.) +0650 Federer
04.) +0900 Medvedev
05.) +1600 Tsitsipas
06.) +1800 Zverev
07.) +2000 Kyrgios, Murray
09.) +2500 Del Potro
10.) +3300 Nishikori, Raonic, Thiem, Anderson, Cilic, Wawrinka, Dimitrov
17.) +4000 Khachanov
18.) +5000 de Minaur, Coric, Shapovalov, Bautista-Agut
22.) +6600 Goffin, Chung, Edmund, Pouille
26.) +8000 Isner
+300 on Nadal?! Is he already scheduled to play Berrettini in the SF?
 

UnderratedSlam

Hall of Fame
Nadal is just much better against the field than Federer on all surfaces as of now.
AO is not USO.

He´s had Anderson and Medvedev in USO finales recently.

AO? Djokovic and Federer.

There is very little chance he doesn´t have to face one of those two in the semis or finale.
 

oldmanfan

Hall of Fame
Nadal’s losses on grass last 2 seasons:
Djokovic
Federer

Federer’s:
Coric
Anderson
Djokovic
You're not wrong if we only look at the 'losses', but just to play devil's advocate...

Nadl's grass results last 3 season:
WB17 4R
WB18 SF
WB19 SF
(no finals)

Fedr's:
Halle17 win, WB17 win
Halle18 finals, WB18 QF (having MP while having hand issue)
Halle19 win, WB19 finals (with 2 CPs)
(3 titles, 2 finals)

Their results were a 'little' different on grass, no?
 

Yugram

Hall of Fame
You're not wrong if we only look at the 'losses', but just to play devil's advocate...

Nadl's grass results last 3 season:
WB17 4R
WB18 SF
WB19 SF
(no finals)

Fedr's:
Halle17 win, WB17 win
Halle18 finals, WB18 QF (having MP while having hand issue)
Halle19 win, WB19 finals (with 2 CPs)
(3 titles, 2 finals)

Their results were a 'little' different on grass, no?
I wasn’t talking about results. And btw all your notes about mps and injuries are not more than a moral wins.
 

oldmanfan

Hall of Fame
I wasn’t talking about results.
You were talking about how Fedal deal 'against the field' (grass in this case).

Well, Fedr has titles against the field, while his losses are a little worse than Nadl (but Coric at Basel18 and Anderson at WB18 were both injury related).
 
Nadal’s losses on grass last 2 seasons:
Djokovic
Federer

Federer’s:
Coric
Anderson
Djokovic
You're not wrong if we only look at the 'losses', but just to play devil's advocate...

Nadl's grass results last 3 season:
WB17 4R
WB18 SF
WB19 SF
(no finals)

Fedr's:
Halle17 win, WB17 win
Halle18 finals, WB18 QF (having MP while having hand issue)
Halle19 win, WB19 finals (with 2 CPs)
(3 titles, 2 finals)

Their results were a 'little' different on grass, no?
Well if we look at it this way, then Rafa has the same issue on clay. He lost to 3 people not named Djoker or Fed on clay. Fed only lost to 2 not named Djoker or Rafa...
 
A long way to go before January but at moment Nadal is favourite, Djokovic next and Medvedev 3rd.

But really its far too early to be making predictions when Shanghai the next big event.
 
Making predictions this early is too dumb for words, especially given the question marks over injuries of Novak and Rafa.
Rafas is nothing serious but a good excuse to take reat of season off should he wish. Djokovic is a bit less certain as if still troubling him it could mean playing rest of season makes it worse.

But with Shanghai Paris and wtf yet to be played seems daft talking about next season
 

James P

Hall of Fame
Newest odds:

+0150 Nole
+0300 Rafa
+0550 Med
+0700 Fed
+1400 Tsissy
+1800 Zvrv
+2000 K1ng, MuryGOAT
+2500 Delpo, Timmy
+3300 Kei, Raonic, Anderson, Cilic, Stanimal, Dimi
+4000 Kachanov
+5000 deMinaur, Coric, Shapo, RBA
+6600 Goffin, Chung, Edmund, Pouille
+8000 Isner
 
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