Neptune

Hall of Fame
Top5 matches​
Top5 per tourney​
Top10 matches​
Top10 per tourney​
Ave oppo rank​
Ave oppo Elo​
Lost to oppo rank​
Lost to oppo Elo​
1​
Lendl 17 (8-9)​
Borg 1.11​
Lendl 28 (18-10)​
Lendl 1.75​
Lendl 25​
Lendl 2036​
Borg 4​
Borg 2295​
2​
Connors 17 (8-9)​
Lendl 1.06​
Connors 26 (13-13)​
Borg 1.67​
Borg 25​
Borg 2030​
Nole 5
Nole 2280
3​
Nole 16 (8-8)
Nole 1.00
Nole 24 (16-8)
Nole 1.50
Nole 26
Nole 2027
Lendl 5​
Lendl 2245​
4​
Agassi 15 (7-8)​
Pete 0.93​
Agassi 23 (13-10)​
Pete 1.50​
McEnroe 27​
Connors 2027​
Connors 6​
Connors 2235​
5​
McEnroe 14 (8-6)​
McEnroe 0.88​
Fed 22 (16-6)
McEnroe 1.31​
Pete 28​
McEnroe 2023​
McEnroe 7​
McEnroe 2206​
6​
Pete 13 (9-4)​
Connors 0.77​
Pete 21 (16-5)​
Fed 1.21
Wawa 30​
Wawa 2006​
Agassi 8​
Fed 2185
7​
Fed 13 (9-4)
Agassi 0.71​
McEnroe 21 (15-6)​
Connors 1.18​
Connors 31​
Pete 2003​
Pete 9​
Agassi 2158​
8​
Wawa 10 (5-5)​
Fed 0.68
Wawa 15 (8-7)​
Agassi 1.10​
Fed 31
Fed 2001
Fed 10
Rafa 2138
9​
Borg 10 (4-6)​
Wawa 0.63​
Borg 15 (8-7)​
Wawa 0.94​
Agassi 31​
Agassi 1990​
Rafa 11
Wawa 2129​
10​
...​
...​
...​
...​
Rafa 37
Rafa 1989
Wawa 12​
Pete 2126​
??​
Rafa 7 (4-3)
Rafa 0.44
Rafa 12 (7-5)
Rafa 0.75
 
Last edited:

Neptune

Hall of Fame
Big3 bolded

Considering the USO competition in this thread and the USO achievements in the earlier thread, combining them provides any rational fan with a comprehensive understanding.

 
Last edited:

Pheasant

Legend
Top5 matches​
Top10 matches​
Ave oppo rank​
Ave oppo Elo​
Lost to oppo rank​
Lost to oppo Elo​
1​
Lendl 17 (8-9)​
Lendl 28 (18-10)​
Lendl 25​
Lendl 2036​
Bog 4​
Bog 2295​
2​
connors 17 (8-9)​
connors 26 (13-13)​
Bog 25​
Bog 2030​
Nole 5
Nole 2280
3​
Nole 16 (8-8)
Nole 24 (16-8)
Nole 26
Nole 2027
Lendl 5​
Lendl 2245​
4​
Agassi 15 (7-8)​
Agassi 23 (13-10)​
McEnroe 27​
connors 2027​
connors 6​
connors 2235​
5​
McEnroe 14 (8-6)​
Fed 22 (16-6)
Pete 28​
McEnroe 2023​
McEnroe 7​
McEnroe 2206​
6​
Pete 13 (9-4)​
Pete 21 (16-5)​
Wawa 30​
Wawa 2006​
Agassi 8​
Fed 2185
7​
Fed 13 (9-4)
McEnroe 21 (15-6)​
connors 31​
Pete 2003​
Pete 9​
Agassi 2158​
8​
Wawa 10 (5-5)​
Wawa 15 (8-7)​
Fed 31
Fed 2001
Fed 10
Rafa 2138
9​
Bog 10 (4-6)​
Bog 15 (8-7)​
Agassi 31​
Agassi 1990​
Rafa 11
Wawa 2129​
10​
...​
...​
Rafa 37
Rafa 1989
Wawa 12​
Pete 2126​
??​
Rafa 7 (4-3)
Rafa 12 (7-5)
This is fascinating. Borg's 15 matches against the top-10, considering that he was done playing slams by age 25 1/4, is absolutely mind-boggling. I did think about him too. He had insane competition.
 

Neptune

Hall of Fame
This is fascinating. Borg's 15 matches against the top-10, considering that he was done playing slams by age 25 1/4, is absolutely mind-boggling. I did think about him too. He had insane competition.

Yes, Borg entered USO the fewest times, almost half of Rafa's, yet has more top5/top10 matches than Rafa.
Borg, Lendl, and Nole truly stand out in this context, insane competition.
 

itrium84

Hall of Fame
This "lost to opponent's ELO" stat for Borg and Novak is mind boggling, near 2300.
Them two are kings of ELO stats overall.
 

fedfan24

Hall of Fame
Yes, Borg entered USO the fewest times, almost half of Rafa's, yet has more top5/top10 matches than Rafa.
Borg, Lendl, and Nole truly stand out in this context, insane competition.
Djokovic had some tough losses to peak Fedal but his last 3 wins were pretty mediocre or weak so it evens out.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Might be controversial, but I think Fed on average had the tougher USO competition among the Big 3. Djokovic had the toughest individual win in 2011, but his last 3 titles were all pretty easy. Federer never quite had a freebie run at the USO.

Of course, Mac, Lendl and Pete had the tougher USO competition by far.
 

Neptune

Hall of Fame
Might be controversial, but I think Fed on average had the tougher USO competition among the Big 3. Djokovic had the toughest individual win in 2011, but his last 3 titles were all pretty easy. Federer never quite had a freebie run at the USO.

Of course, Mac, Lendl and Pete had the tougher USO competition by far.

Do you lack any scientific training? o_O
 

Pheasant

Legend
Yes, Borg entered USO the fewest times, almost half of Rafa's, yet has more top5/top10 matches than Rafa.
Borg, Lendl, and Nole truly stand out in this context, insane competition.
Summing up those rankings that you listed:
Nole was 3,3,3,3,2,2
Nadal was 11+,11+,10,10,9,8
Fed was 7,5,8,8,8,6
Lendl was 1,1,1,1,2,3
Agassi was 4,4,9,9,6,7
Borg was 9,9,2,2,1,1(Borg is messed over on the first 2 numbers, due to being done at age 25 1/4).

I see that I may have overrated Agassi's competition there. But it was still good in 2 of the metrics.
 

Neptune

Hall of Fame
Summing up those rankings that you listed:
Nole was 3,3,3,3,2,2
Nadal was 11+,11+,10,10,9,8
Fed was 7,5,8,8,8,6
Lendl was 1,1,1,1,2,3
Agassi was 4,4,9,9,6,7
Borg was 9,9,2,2,1,1(Borg is messed over on the first 2 numbers, due to being done at age 25 1/4).

I see that I may have overrated Agassi's competition there. But it was still good in 2 of the metrics.

Added per tourney numbers for the top5/10, also the last 4 columns Nole's DQ was not excluded (would be higher).
 

Razer

G.O.A.T.
5 Truths of the US Open

01
. Anyone who speaks of ELOs in Tennis should not be taken seriously IMO, that person definitely is a troll.
02. Djokovic's plates are all a black mark on his resume, in the end 4=4 but 2>1, so I'm afraid Nadal is at least as good as Djokovic at the US Open. There is no argument to put Nadal below Novak and it is only recently that Nole earned the right be called an equal to Nadal in New York.
03. Sampras is the GOAT at the US Open..... Titles as a Teenager, in 20s and in 30s, really impressive. He did this without the Great Age Shift.
04. Federer > (Nadal & Djokovic) at the US Open
05. Djokovic unable to play in the wind is another black mark on the resume of the so called Hard Court GOAT.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
This tournament is a great example of how luck of the draw really makes a huge difference. Lendl really underachieved. He should have around ~5 titles at least but he had very strong opposition. Lendl is clearly a better USO player than Nadal but has less titles. Borg played a lot of top players to say he only played for a short time. I guess it speaks to strength of his era. His 1-5 record against Connors/McEnroe did him in and is why he never could win it.
 
D

Deleted member 765728

Guest
5 Truths of the US Open

01
. Anyone who speaks of ELOs in Tennis should not be taken seriously IMO, that person definitely is a troll.
02. Djokovic's plates are all a black mark on his resume, in the end 4=4 but 2>1, so I'm afraid Nadal is at least as good as Djokovic at the US Open. There is no argument to put Nadal below Novak and it is only recently that Nole earned the right be called an equal to Nadal in New York.
03.
Sampras is the GOAT at the US Open..... Titles as a Teenager, in 20s and in 30s, really impressive. He did this without the Great Age Shift.
04. Federer > (Nadal & Djokovic) at the US Open
05. Djokovic unable to play in the wind is another black mark on the resume of the so called Hard Court GOAT.
I disagree with this. While I rate Ned's wins over Djoko at the USO very high, the additional finals that Djovak had made and the overall consistency puts him a bit over Nadal imo. Now you could call Nadal a more efficient player as he managed to win the same number of titles in less attempts/less finals, but I rate the overall results (vs field in particular) more.
Had Nadal defended at least one of his USO titles, I would've had him above Novak even with less finals because I value this achievement pretty high.
 

Phoenix*

Professional
5 Truths of the US Open

01
. Anyone who speaks of ELOs in Tennis should not be taken seriously IMO, that person definitely is a troll.
02. Djokovic's plates are all a black mark on his resume, in the end 4=4 but 2>1, so I'm afraid Nadal is at least as good as Djokovic at the US Open. There is no argument to put Nadal below Novak and it is only recently that Nole earned the right be called an equal to Nadal in New York.
03. Sampras is the GOAT at the US Open..... Titles as a Teenager, in 20s and in 30s, really impressive. He did this without the Great Age Shift.
04. Federer > (Nadal & Djokovic) at the US Open
05. Djokovic unable to play in the wind is another black mark on the resume of the so called Hard Court GOAT.
Don't forget 6>1. Finals matter.
 

Third Serve

Talk Tennis Guru
Objective US Open rankings are still:

1. Pete
2. Fed
3. Connors
4. McEnroe
5. Lendl
6. Djokovic
7. Nadal
8. Agassi
9. Edberg
10. Rafter

Djokovic can be argued to be over Lendl and Fed can be argued to be over Sampras but this is pretty much it.
 

Phoenix*

Professional
Objective US Open rankings are still:

1. Pete
2. Fed
3. Connors
4. McEnroe
5. Lendl
6. Djokovic
7. Nadal
8. Agassi
9. Edberg
10. Rafter

Djokovic can be argued to be over Lendl and Fed can be argued to be over Sampras but this is pretty much it.
Not objective at all. Fed couldn't win a single USO in the strong era.
 

Neptune

Hall of Fame
Here is the USO ranking, pure ATP system, objective and transparent.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Summing up those rankings that you listed:
Nole was 3,3,3,3,2,2
Nadal was 11+,11+,10,10,9,8
Fed was 7,5,8,8,8,6
Lendl was 1,1,1,1,2,3
Agassi was 4,4,9,9,6,7
Borg was 9,9,2,2,1,1(Borg is messed over on the first 2 numbers, due to being done at age 25 1/4).

I see that I may have overrated Agassi's competition there. But it was still good in 2 of the metrics.
Borg numbers might be wrong or I don't know maybe USO had different seedings

Look at this USOpen


Seed 12 is ranked 10. Why? Borg faced this guy in R16 and getting counted as a top 10 guy.

Fair to say the entire seeding and ranking before 1980s is a dispute. Connors was ranked number 1 in 1978 but how ?
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Now let's not start overrating Borg based on faulty data. He is already rated very high at rg and Wimby as he should.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Another example of faulty data

Seed 6 but rank 5


This seems to be an issue either with ranking/seeding then or data issue with uts. In any case borgs number are not representative of real life top 5 and top 10 wins.
 

Pheasant

Legend
Borg numbers might be wrong or I don't know maybe USO had different seedings

Look at this USOpen


Seed 12 is ranked 10. Why? Borg faced this guy in R16 and getting counted as a top 10 guy.

Fair to say the entire seeding and ranking before 1980s is a dispute. Connors was ranked number 1 in 1978 but how ?
Good catch. I pulled my stats of of TennisAbstract. It looks like Ultimate Tennis Statistics has more accurate records.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Good catch. I pulled my stats of of TennisAbstract. It looks like Ultimate Tennis Statistics has more accurate records.
Yes but I don't look for stats before 1980s anywhere. I don't know it just feels wrong.

1973 is just first year where ranking is even established. It must have taken them years to perfect the rankings. So it's not really that effective.
 

Neptune

Hall of Fame
Borg numbers might be wrong or I don't know maybe USO had different seedings

Look at this USOpen


Seed 12 is ranked 10. Why? Borg faced this guy in R16 and getting counted as a top 10 guy.

Fair to say the entire seeding and ranking before 1980s is a dispute. Connors was ranked number 1 in 1978 but how ?

I believe seeding was done before the last update (8/28/1978) of the ranking, Solomon ranked 12 at that time so seeded 12.
Then right before UO starts, Harold Solomon was rank 10 at last update of ranking (but seeding doesn't change anymore), so when UO78 actually starts, Solomon is No.10 in ranking, so it is fine.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Objective US Open rankings are still:

1. Pete
2. Fed
3. Connors
4. McEnroe
5. Lendl
6. Djokovic
7. Nadal
8. Agassi
9. Edberg
10. Rafter

Djokovic can be argued to be over Lendl and Fed can be argued to be over Sampras but this is pretty much it.
Lendl has had just as much competition as Nole. He lost more and it's shown in the results. There is no way Nole is behind Lendl now.

McEnroe is an outlier for me at least. He doesn't have stats like Nole and Ivan but he does have to face huge issues with racket changes. Nole is firmly in top 4 with an asterisk to McEnroe records (which is asterisk at Wimby as well, completely washed up).

I don't think Nole is done at the USOpen right now. He is one of the favorites for this year and I trust him to win 5th before retiring.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
I believe seeding was done before the last update (8/28/1978) of the ranking, Solomon ranked 12 at that time so seeded 12.
Then right before UO starts, Harold Solomon was rank 10 at last update of ranking (but seeding doesn't change anymore), so when UO78 actually starts, Solomon is No.10 in ranking, so it is fine.
Your percentage are wrong. Lendl has negative win % vs top 5. Nole doesn't.

My bad it's the number of players faced per tournament.
 

Razer

G.O.A.T.
I disagree with this. While I rate Ned's wins over Djoko at the USO very high, the additional finals that Djovak had made and the overall consistency puts him a bit over Nadal imo. Now you could call Nadal a more efficient player as he managed to win the same number of titles in less attempts/less finals, but I rate the overall results (vs field in particular) more.
Had Nadal defended at least one of his USO titles, I would've had him above Novak even with less finals because I value this achievement pretty high.

We only know how many people who climbed Mount Everest, we have never heard of how many people failed, no? In the end only the successful summit climb matters. I mean players all aim to win the trophy, nobody aims to get the plate. 5 RUs = 3 Titles in points but in reality it is only 3 titles that count, not the RUs.

Conventional logic says that reaching a final is better than going out in 3rd rround, it gives more points, more money too, but for the GOATs these losses in finals is actually a black mark compared to a 3rd round loss which can brushed off as bad form.

Example : If Federer had lost in 3rd round of wimbledon 2008 then nobody would have rated Nadal that high, but the fact that Roger lost to Nadal in the final did give Nadal a lot of credit at the cost of Federer.

So I dare say losing earlier is better than losing at a big stage when all eyes are on you, the big players are expected to bring their best to the main event. If Djokovic has reached more finals then it only means that he needed more finals to get those 4 Titles, bad conversion rate.... In the end only titles matter for the GOATs. For me Nadal and Djokovic are tied at US open, I dont think I should rate either of them above each other but if someone puts a gun to my head then I will have to look at the 2-1 H2H which I dont want to...
 
Last edited:

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
I disagree with this. While I rate Ned's wins over Djoko at the USO very high, the additional finals that Djovak had made and the overall consistency puts him a bit over Nadal imo. Now you could call Nadal a more efficient player as he managed to win the same number of titles in less attempts/less finals, but I rate the overall results (vs field in particular) more.
Had Nadal defended at least one of his USO titles, I would've had him above Novak even with less finals because I value this achievement pretty high.
Ignore this user. He will hijack every discussion to his baser instinct. He might be an ok member but not on this topic.
 

Razer

G.O.A.T.
Djokovic can be argued to be over Lendl and Fed can be argued to be over Sampras but this is pretty much it.

Federer can never be argued over Sampras, to get "over" you need number 6, Federer failed that despite playing in an era where he enjoyed greater longevity. You can at best put Fed on par, there is no argument for being over just because he won 5 straight ones. Sampras has beaten better quality players to win his 5 titles than Federer, much better names. Also Sampras never choked at US Open, had it not been for his injury in 1994 then he would be having 6 titles.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
While ELO can be used as a factor in big 3, I don't think it is that useful across eras.
Eg. During 90s, it was almost impossible to get very high win % due to surface dissimilarity. So on average there are very low elo ratings. The rankings though top 10 then is top 10 now. Even if higher ELO rated.

Across eras, I do think top 5 and top 10 are good indicators. So based on only first 4 indicators. We get.

Lendl 1,2,1,1
Nole 3,3,3,3 (MASSIVE ISSUE due to pandemic and default but he will be number 1 or 2 by end of his career easily)
Pete 6,47,4
McEnroe 5,5,7,5
These 4 had highest competition at USOpen. Among them, Pete beat everyone he faced. He is the best. Nole is on same level as McEnroe and Lendl is clearly below Nole.

Connors 2,6,2,7
Agassi 4,7,4,8
These 2 have had numbers skewed due to longetivity. But they have had too many bad losses. Both are Americans and heavily focused on USOpen series their entire career.
Connors got a GIMME USOpen in 1974. The draw is absolute joke. It might be worse than Nadal's 2017. But its countered by 4 very heavy wins.
While Agassi has 1 good USOpen run.


Federer problem is his competition. He has massively dominated in 2000s decade (2004 to 2010) but has not faced serious competition for almost all of it.

Nadal seems to be exactly opposite of Lendl and Nole. He is right man at the right time.

To rank these 6 by level I would go with

Pete
Rog
Jimmy
Nole
John
Ivan
Rafael

Far below, at the bottom Andre.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Pete has just ruled over competition, without showing mercy, at the USOpen.




There has never come a time where a player is so strong, he doesn't care about an OLD great, a current great who plays every year in the final and a future number 1 who is a few years elder. That's what Pete did. And there will never be.
 
D

Deleted member 765728

Guest
We only know how many people who climbed Mount Everest, we have never heard of how many people failed, no? In the end only the successful summit climb matters. I mean players all aim to win the trophy, nobody aims to get the plate. 5 RUs = 3 Titles in points but in reality it is only 3 titles that count, not the RUs.

Conventional logic says that reaching a final is better than going out in 3rd rround, it gives more points, more money too, but for the GOATs these losses in finals is actually a black mark compared to a 3rd round loss which can brushed off as bad form.

Example : If Federer had lost in 3rd round of wimbledon 2008 then nobody would have rated Nadal that high, but the fact that Roger lost to Nadal in the final did give Nadal a lot of credit at the cost of Federer.

So I dare say losing earlier is better than losing at a big stage when all eyes are on you, the big players are expected to bring their best to the main event. If Djokovic has reached more finals then it only means that he needed more finals to get those 4 finals, bad conversion rate.... In the end only titles matter for the GOATs. For me Nadal and Djokovic are tied at US open, I dont think I should rate either of them above each other but if someone puts a gun to my head then I will have to look at the 2-1 H2H which I dont want to...
All I disagreed with was your claim that there are no arguments to put Djoko above Nadal, where I believe you can find them (additional finals, for example). It's just a matter of preferences and what you value more. I also think it's a bit disappointing that neither of these guys have ever defended a title, even though they are four-time champions. For that very same reason, I tend to put McEnroe above them, he was a dominant champion.
 

Phoenix*

Professional
Seeing as you regularly and affectionately refer to Nadal as 'pigeon', I can't see the issue with Federer's competition. Nice to have that finally settled. Ta.
Federer dominated 2004-7 but was sidelined in Djo's era, therefore, him and his era are weaker.
 

fedfan24

Hall of Fame
Federer dominated 2004-7 but was sidelined in Djo's era, therefore, him and his era are weaker.
Djokovic failed to dominate the weaker 10s era, losing matches there to Nishikori, Murray and Wawrinka. He also failed to win a single title in the stronger 00s era, losing 3 consecutive times to Federer.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
The hardest USO title wins since 1978 according to UTS:

1. McEnroe - 1980
2. Wawrinka - 2016
3. Del Potro - 2009
4. Lendl - 1985
5. McEnroe - 1979
6. Connors - 1978
7. Sampras - 1990
8. Djokovic - 2011
9. McEnroe - 1984
10. Murray - 2012

Interesting list but I have no idea how Wawrinka 2016 is that high. Beating Djokovic should not account for that much of a high rating when his next best opponents were Nishikori and 100+ ranked Del Potro. McEnroe 1979 is another one that is too high imo. A lot of these were very high level wins though.
 
Top