Djokovic’s Struggles: Can He Still Win a Slam in 2025?

For the first time in his career, Djokovic has lost three consecutive matches, which is something we’ve never seen before. With Alcaraz and Sinner both playing at an elite level and showing no signs of slowing down, do you think Djokovic can still win the French Open or Wimbledon this year?

Is this just a rough patch, or are we seeing the beginning of a decline? Curious to hear everyone’s thoughts!
 

Fabresque

Legend
He’s proven us wrong before he can prove us wrong again. But his decline started last year. The Olympics was just a perfect storm of peak motivation and getting healthy at the right time.
 

sortof

Professional
The stars will need to align, but the grass field is still quite weak. If he's physically fit, I think he may have a shot at Wimbledon.
If he manages to reach the final, in which the little king slayer from Spain may be waiting for him a 3rd time.
 

ChaelAZ

G.O.A.T.
Unless he goes for the secret sauce, no. He just has to weigh the ego vs. risk of further ruining what reputation some think he has. We will see.

If he does though, I see the usual career ending injury right before, and then some miraculous recovery and run at the title.
 
The bigger question is, can Djokovic win a tournament in 2025...
Because in 2024 he only won one event, and it was the event that is never won by the #1 ranked player (except for Nadal 2008).
 

ChrisJR3264

Hall of Fame
So what we saw in Australia before he tore the hammy is : if healthy, he can play at the level to do so. But bc he’s going to be seeded near 6-7-8-9-10 due to rankings and not playing many other tourneys, he’s going to have a more difficult road at 37.

I think if he didn’t get hurt at AO he was going to be in the final. Idk if he would have beaten Jannik there bc zverev was tight the whole match. Mentally i don’t think djokovic would play tight.
 

vokazu

Legend
Unless he goes for the secret sauce, no. He just has to weigh the ego vs. risk of further ruining what reputation some think he has. We will see.

If he does though, I see the usual career ending injury right before, and then some miraculous recovery and run at the title.

Saying you're a Djokovic hater without saying it

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The thing is, Djokovic was "going for broke" in that AO match vs. Alcaraz, because Djokovic was injured and couldn't do the open-stance backhand anymore.
So that is why he went for huge return of serves, to avoid playing rallies 8-B

If Djokovic is fit, he'll look to play rallies, and he's no longer better than Alcaraz or Sinner when the rallies are long.
And if Djokovic wasn't injured at the AO, the match would probably have been played like that 1st Set, which Alcaraz won.

I know Djokovic beat Alcaraz at the Olympics, but he never broke Alcaraz's serve, and Alcaraz had 8 break points on the Djokovic serve, so it wasn't clear that Djokovic was better than Alcaraz off the ground :unsure:
But Djokovic won anyway because he handled the pressure of the Olympics better... which is no surprise, because its a very different type of pressure that Alcaraz had never faced before, and was even bigger because Alcaraz told the media that he's bringing a Gold medal home to Spain.

Bottom line, i feel its unlikely that Djokovic beats Alcaraz at a Slam, especially after seeing last year's Wimbledon Final which Alcaraz was 62 62 76(4) and because the AO was not a normal match, because Djokovic played a style that he probably won't ever play unless he's injured and is forced to...
 

mental midget

Hall of Fame
probably. he just does not seem particularly motivated outside the slams...and i think he's basically said as much. of course you're playing a dangerous game to try and 'turn it on' suddenly, but...i think he's proven he can.

of course competition's only improving, and he's getting older. but his game is pretty darn good when he's engaged and fighting. hardly impossible that he wins another.
 

MeatTornado

Talk Tennis Guru
The stars will need to align, but the grass field is still quite weak. If he's physically fit, I think he may have a shot at Wimbledon.
Was basically a 3R Tiafoe tiebreak away from walking to another Wimbledon title last year.

The grass field feels like it's entirely on Alcaraz's shoulders, and it's hard to just pencil him in to the final Sunday with how erratic he can still be. You'd have to imagine Sinner might finally be able to stop him on grass by now, but I also need to see it to believe it.
 

Pheasant

Legend
I lost a 1000.00 betting on Djoker to win the AO. I really thought that he was going to do it.

I'm going to get 250.00 on Djoker to win Wimbledon. I think that he's due. If I'm right, then I will profit 1000.00 and be broken even(and done with betting on sports forever).

Current odds to win Wimbledon:
Alcaraz +137 -- bad odds
Sinner +175 -- bad odds
Djoker +400 -- good odds. I'm taking this
Draper +1600 -- interesting odds. I might throw 50.00 at this one.
Zverev +2000 -- no thanks
 

Olli Jokinen

Hall of Fame
For the first time in his career, Djokovic has lost three consecutive matches, which is something we’ve never seen before. With Alcaraz and Sinner both playing at an elite level and showing no signs of slowing down, do you think Djokovic can still win the French Open or Wimbledon this year?

Is this just a rough patch, or are we seeing the beginning of a decline? Curious to hear everyone’s thoughts!
He's not winning a single tournament in 2025.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
I lost a 1000.00 betting on Djoker to win the AO. I really thought that he was going to do it.

I'm going to get 250.00 on Djoker to win Wimbledon. I think that he's due. If I'm right, then I will profit 1000.00 and be broken even(and done with betting on sports forever).

Current odds to win Wimbledon:
Alcaraz +137 -- bad odds
Sinner +175 -- bad odds
Djoker +400 -- good odds. I'm taking this
Draper +1600 -- interesting odds. I might throw 50.00 at this one.
Zverev +2000 -- no thanks
Wow 1000 :oops: He was second best in the draw remaining
 
he will win RG or Wimbledon most likely. This year or next before retiring. . The only guy he can’t beat anymore is sinner (who won’t stand in His way 100 percent of the time I wouldn’t believe) . So i would never count him out to win one more slam before retiring. The field isn’t nearly good enough to prevent him from winning one more slam. He’s got 7 more chances basically. He will win at least 1 of them
 
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Hitman

Bionic Poster
The thing is, Djokovic was "going for broke" in that AO match vs. Alcaraz, because Djokovic was injured and couldn't do the open-stance backhand anymore.
So that is why he went for huge return of serves, to avoid playing rallies 8-B

If Djokovic is fit, he'll look to play rallies, and he's no longer better than Alcaraz or Sinner when the rallies are long.
And if Djokovic wasn't injured at the AO, the match would probably have been played like that 1st Set, which Alcaraz won.

I know Djokovic beat Alcaraz at the Olympics, but he never broke Alcaraz's serve, and Alcaraz had 8 break points on the Djokovic serve, so it wasn't clear that Djokovic was better than Alcaraz off the ground :unsure:
But Djokovic won anyway because he handled the pressure of the Olympics better... which is no surprise, because its a very different type of pressure that Alcaraz had never faced before, and was even bigger because Alcaraz told the media that he's bringing a Gold medal home to Spain.

Bottom line, i feel its unlikely that Djokovic beats Alcaraz at a Slam, especially after seeing last year's Wimbledon Final which Alcaraz was 62 62 76(4) and because the AO was not a normal match, because Djokovic played a style that he probably won't ever play unless he's injured and is forced to...

You're acting like Alcaraz didn't save BP on his own serve in his opening service game, and then didn't have to come back fro 0-40 in his second service game also....and that was just the start.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
he will win RG or Wimbledon most likely. This year or next before retiring. . The only guy he can’t beat anymore is sinner (who won’t stand I. His way 100 percent of the time I wouldn’t believe) . So i would never count him out to win one more slam before retiring. The field isn’t nearly good enough to prevent him from winning one more slam. He’s got 7 more chances basically. He will win at least 1 of them

On his present form I'm just not convinced.
 

socallefty

G.O.A.T.
Is it possible the GOAT will get stuck at 99 tournaments for his career? Let’s see if he can win even a smaller tournament before thinking of winning a Slam. He didn’t finish two of the Slams he was playing well in the 12 months - FO and AO. He played well at Wimbledon shortly after knee surgery but looked like he didn’t have a chance against Alcaraz in the final while the USO was a disaster.
Can he play well in a Slam from the start, go all the way without getting injured and beat Sinner or Alcaraz or both in the semi/final? Seems like a tough task considering his form since 2024 started.
 

nolefam_2024

Bionic Poster
Is it possible the GOAT will get stuck at 99 tournaments for his career? Let’s see if he can win even a smaller tournament before thinking of winning a Slam. He didn’t finish two of the Slams he was playing well in the 12 months - FO and AO. He played well at Wimbledon shortly after knee surgery but looked like he didn’t have a chance against Alcaraz in the final while the USO was a disaster.
Can he play well in a Slam from the start, go all the way without getting injured and beat Sinner or Alcaraz or both in the semi/final? Seems like a tough task considering his form since 2024 started.
It is not possible that the GOAT will be stuck at 99. He beat Raz in AO. You guys are making hyperbole
 
Yes, but generally he only needs to be about 75% for the first 6.
Novak still can fight but given how he is playing in masters he has no motivation left.
If motivated and if he remain healthy he can have one last fedrer like run in slams.
If he reaches the level fedrer produced during 2019 WIM he can give us great suprise.
His body is failing him and time is running away faster for him.
 

Wesling

Semi-Pro
His problem is mainly his body, but also running into Sinner and/or Carlos.

I think he could play through injury, but he wont beat those two guys anymore in slam second week
 
GS wise, I don't think he would get 25. Quantitatively i think the chance is less than 5%. Maybe 5% is overestimate.
ATP champion wise, he may get another one to make the number 100. But that's still hard for him, because he focus on ATP 1000 and GS. Hope he switch strategy after Wimbledon and participate some 250 events. Still ATP 250 can be hard for him.
 
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