Djokovic 2011 vs Sinner 2024

It's interesting that they both finished with a 70-6 W/L record given that Djokovic's 2011 seemed so much more spectacular at the time. Incredible season from Sinner all the same.
 
It's interesting that they both finished with a 70-6 W/L record given that Djokovic's 2011 seemed so much more spectacular at the time. Incredible season from Sinner all the same.
No, Sinner still has one (minimum) to three (maximum) matches available in the Davis Cup to do even better or worse than Djokovic in 2011.
The only sure thing is that they won't end up with the exact same record, barring unexpected last-minute forfeits.
 
somehow this went quite unnoticed. bunch of headline readers over here i fear

swap him with Murray or Nadal and he does!

on the one hand i don't like this particular brand of condescension but on the other hand saying this to Guru is incredibly funny, so,,,

Sinner's break pts saved % this year has been a historical outlier, especially when considering the strength of his serve relative to other usual suspects in this stat category


Regrettably may have come off a bit rude myself, but I disagree even with a lot of the finer print…it wasn’t unthinkable to me, heck even ‘16 Murray had similar match stats (much lower DR and SGW yeah, but slightly higher GW%/much higher RGW% over 13 more matches).

It’s a great season but ‘11 Djokovic is maybe the gold standard blend of match-stat/calendar/H2H over good opposition dominance. I personally don’t see much use in comparing them.
 
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on the one hand i don't like this particular brand of condescension but on the other hand saying this to Guru is incredibly funny, so,,,

I’m just waiting for the blessing from the highest spiritual authorities of tennis on steroids :)

Sinner's break pts saved % this year has been a historical outlier, especially when considering the strength of his serve relative to other usual suspects in this stat category

It has been to some extent and we should see a return to the mean. Maybe the latter might be masked by an underlining improvement.
 
Ultimately the numbers equalled 70-6 but you cannot compare sinners season to Djokovic 2011. That was an unimaginable peak. In history the only comparable ones are Mcenroe 84 and Federer 2005.

Djokovic went to FO undefeated with 41 match wins. And by US open completion, he had lost just 2 matches. Won 3 slams and many masters . And these wins have come by beating Nadal and Fed who were at their prime.

Now after US Open he was at 64-2. Then at davis cup he suffered that back injury against delpotro. He was derailed and had 6-4 record after that.

While Sinner started well to win AO and Miami. But from Miami to Wimbledon he was generally overshadowed by alcaraz. He rolled over the opposition post us open to reach 70-6.

It's definitely very good but cannot reach the impact of Djokovic 2011
 
Ultimately the numbers equalled 70-6 but you cannot compare sinners season to Djokovic 2011. That was an unimaginable peak. In history the only comparable ones are Mcenroe 84 and Federer 2005.

Djokovic went to FO undefeated with 41 match wins. And by US open completion, he had lost just 2 matches. Won 3 slams and many masters . And these wins have come by beating Nadal and Fed who were at their prime.

Now after US Open he was at 64-2. Then at davis cup he suffered that back injury against delpotro. He was derailed and had 6-4 record after that.

While Sinner started well to win AO and Miami. But from Miami to Wimbledon he was generally overshadowed by alcaraz. He rolled over the opposition post us open to reach 70-6.

It's definitely very good but cannot reach the impact of Djokovic 2011
So in the economy of Djokovic's 2011 season do we take into account the back problems that affected his season finale, while deliberately ignoring the hip problems that affected Sinner's 2024 clay season?

Before losing at Wimbledon against Medvedev, an opponent who beat 8 of the last 9 matches, Sinner had a season record of 42-3, and among those 3 defeats there was the one against Tsitsipas in Monte Carlo decided by a sensational refereeing oversight which prevented Sinner from going ahead by two breaks in the decisive third set.
Defeat against Medvedev at Wimbledon occurred after a sleepless night and an illness during the match.

All 6 of Sinner's defeats in 2024 came in the decisive set in rather evenly balanced matches.
He played 17 tournaments, winning 8 of them, or 45%, and in one of those where he didn't win he had to withdraw before playing the quarter-finals (Madrid).

Obviously Djokovic's 10-1 2011 vs Fedal 2011 is much more impressive, but Sinner 2024, as those data demonstrate, also did very well against the top 5 having an 11-4 record and 11-1 without Alcaraz.
He has never done worse than the quarter-finals in a tournament, he has always won at least one set in every match played, he has never lost against a player not ranked in the top 12.

Is all this enough to put Sinner 2024 on the same level as Djokovic 2011?
Absolutely not.

Is this a statistical comparison that makes sense?
Absolutely yes.

Sinner 2024 did not have the performance peaks of Djokovic 2011 but was more constant and his streaks demonstrate this, 7-0, 12-0, 16-1, 22-1, 25-2, 28-2, 33 -3, 38-3, 42-4, 44-5, 48-5, 55-5, 59-6, 65-6, 70-6.
 
So in the economy of Djokovic's 2011 season do we take into account the back problems that affected his season finale, while deliberately ignoring the hip problems that affected Sinner's 2024 clay season?

Before losing at Wimbledon against Medvedev, an opponent who beat 8 of the last 9 matches, Sinner had a season record of 42-3, and among those 3 defeats there was the one against Tsitsipas in Monte Carlo decided by a sensational refereeing oversight which prevented Sinner from going ahead by two breaks in the decisive third set.
Defeat against Medvedev at Wimbledon occurred after a sleepless night and an illness during the match.

All 6 of Sinner's defeats in 2024 came in the decisive set in rather evenly balanced matches.
He played 17 tournaments, winning 8 of them, or 45%, and in one of those where he didn't win he had to withdraw before playing the quarter-finals (Madrid).

Obviously Djokovic's 10-1 2011 vs Fedal 2011 is much more impressive, but Sinner 2024, as those data demonstrate, also did very well against the top 5 having an 11-4 record and 11-1 without Alcaraz.
He has never done worse than the quarter-finals in a tournament, he has always won at least one set in every match played, he has never lost against a player not ranked in the top 12.

Is all this enough to put Sinner 2024 on the same level as Djokovic 2011?
Absolutely not.

Is this a statistical comparison that makes sense?
Absolutely yes.

Sinner 2024 did not have the performance peaks of Djokovic 2011 but was more constant and his streaks demonstrate this, 7-0, 12-0, 16-1, 22-1, 25-2, 28-2, 33 -3, 38-3, 42-4, 44-5, 48-5, 55-5, 59-6, 65-6, 70-6.
You can argue in that way but from your post the absolute peaks or a stellar record like 10-1 against Fedal isnt there. Dont forget slams 3 vs 2 and titles 10 vs 8.

Djokovic 2011 was something else, a magnitude very rarely experienced and not just by numbers.
I would say Sinner 2024 was closer to federer 2007.

I know you are die hard fan of Sinner, so you may like to see in a different way, so be it.
 
You can argue in that way but from your post the absolute peaks or a stellar record like 10-1 against Fedal isnt there. Dont forget slams 3 vs 2 and titles 10 vs 8.

Djokovic 2011 was something else, a magnitude very rarely experienced and not just by numbers.
I would say Sinner 2024 was closer to federer 2007.

I know you are die hard fan of Sinner, so you may like to see in a different way, so be it.
But if I precisely said that the peaks of Djokovic 2011 were higher than those of Sinner 2024.
Just as I was the first to say that Djokovic's 2011 is indisputably superior.

I am only responding to those who maintain that it makes no sense to make comparisons, from a statistical point of view the comparison is certainly valid.
I repeat, Sinner 2024 was more consistent and would also have more mitigating factors on its side.
He will also have a 0-3 with Alcaraz, but in each of those defeats he lost in the decisive set, while for example Djokovic lost in 4 sets to Federer in the Roland Garros semi-final in 2011.
For the rest in this 2024 against the 4 strongest rivals after Alcaraz (Djokovic, Medvedev, Zverev and Fritz) his record is 11-1.

If we divide Sinner's 2024 into 4 equal segments, then 76:4= 19

First series of 19 games = 18-1

Second series of 19 games = 17-2

Third series of 19 games = 17-2

Fourth series of 19 games = 18-1

Consistency, always a constant pace.

As well as the winning streaks, one of 16, one of 15, two of 9, one of 8, plus the current one still open of 11.
In summary, Sinner's winning streaks in 2024;

16
15
11(still in progress)
9
9
8

Losing streak = 1
 
You can argue in that way but from your post the absolute peaks or a stellar record like 10-1 against Fedal isnt there. Dont forget slams 3 vs 2 and titles 10 vs 8.

Djokovic 2011 was something else, a magnitude very rarely experienced and not just by numbers.
I would say Sinner 2024 was closer to federer 2007.

I know you are die hard fan of Sinner, so you may like to see in a different way, so be it.
I would rather say Novak 2008
 
Aside from the statistical comparison, I think that the thing that should scare the competition the most from a future perspective regarding Sinner is his escalation which was even more disruptive than that of Djokovic in 2011.

Djokovic's 2011 season was better and there is no doubt about it, but the 2011 Djokovic was starting from a much higher 2007-2010 base than the 2021-2023 Sinner.
Pre 2010 Djokovic had already won a slam, plus if I'm not mistaken 5 masters 1000, plus 2 lost slam finals, to which add the victory of the 2008 ATP Finals.
While Sinner pre 2024 only had a masters 1000 plus a semi-final as his best result in the slams.

No one knows how far this escalation of Sinner will take him.
He is obsessed with perfection, in this regard I report yesterday's statements from his coach Vagnozzi in the comment below.
 
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Simone Vagnozzi held a press conference after Jannik Sinner's extraordinary success at the Nitto ATP Finals 2024. The coach's statements were interesting, on the tournament and on the growth of his client.

"It's an exceptional victory, it's as important as winning a Slam and even more so this year since we couldn't play in Italy in Rome".

"We would have signed to have results like these"

"The coach's job is to understand what needs to be changed. He is really quick to understand and put it into practice quickly. We are really happy with our journey together, it's a team effort that we do every day".

"Darren and I are very calm during the matches, Jannik is not someone who likes to hear too many words during matches, just small pieces of advice. This year we've had many great days, but usually he is very calm because he works well during training, he is confident and knows he can play great matches. Taylor is doing very well, but we had confidence that he could play a great match".

"The serve? We arrived and he had his feet separated, but we thought with Darren that the foot up (feet close together) was the best movement. We lowered the ball toss and we worked a lot since that loss in Paris. He has more torsion on his shoulders, he pushes more, his percentages have improved a lot, already in Shanghai he had very good percentages. His first serve can still stabilize”.

“If he surprises us? He arrives home, with everyone's eyes on him, and he plays these matches. Since day one he has had an excellent level. As you progress the details to improve are smaller and smaller.
With Medvedev for example he used the backhand well, he can do more serve and volley, and he understands the game better. He changed position a lot on the return today, he is starting to be a very strong tennis player also tactically, not just a great hitter”.

“Sinner is exceptional in what you don't see... outside the tournament. How he warms up, how he pays attention to the trainers, he has a desire inside to get as high as possible and he doesn't want regrets, he's never satisfied, he's always on the ball, his exceptionality is his dedication to the sport".

"I don't even want to think about the possibility of a disqualification. He doesn't deserve any of this, he doesn't deserve to be stopped because he hasn't done anything wrong. We're focusing on the next tournament, Malaga is coming soon and we'll have to recharge our batteries to be at our best in 2025".

"Before the match we prepare tactical plans, with scenarios of how the match can go. Against Fritz it's difficult because he can change his serve so it's his feeling on the court that makes the difference. Coming into the tournament with so many victories, he's confident. He's improved a lot from a tactical point of view and he can still improve from this point of view".
 
Serve rating
Djokovic 2011= 284,1
Sinner 2024= 294,9

% service game won
Djokovic 2011= 86,4%
Sinner 2024= 91,2%

Return rating
Djokovic 2011= 180,3
Sinner 2024= 157,1

% return games won
Djokovic 2011= 38,8%
Sinner 2024= 27,9%

Under pressure rating
Djokovic 2011= 252,4
Sinner 2024= 258,8
The ATP website has updated the new data with the Turin tournament;

Serve rating
Djokovic 2011= 284,1
Sinner 2024= 295,7

% service game won
Djokovic 2011= 86,4%
Sinner 2024= 91,3%

Return rating
Djokovic 2011= 180,3
Sinner 2024= 156,9

% return games won
Djokovic 2011= 38,8%
Sinner 2024= 27,8%

Under pressure rating
Djokovic 2011= 252,4
Sinner 2024= 258,6
 
There is a strong correlation between guys loving flashy players and unable to weigh basic stats, thus unable to understand the rise of guys like Sinner, Medvedev and Fritz.*

Some constructed a nice little trap for themselves by thinking that Sinner must have doped to reach his AO level and postulated that now his level must drop. Obviously ignoring the original sources and the timelines.

Now he is stronger than ever and instead to revisiting their ideas they become broken records and are even proud of that. Somewhat fascinating.

*Reminds me of my first reactions to Djokovic, how does this boring guy win so much? Thankfully I was soon able to appreciate the many qualities of his tennis.
First of all I'm a Novak fan and was very early on calling him the best of the Big 3 so clearly you're wrong about me not being able to appreciate "boring tennis" and only appreciating flashy players.

Second of all are you implying that Sinner's continued success after his documented steroid use is evidence that his improved level is uncorrelated to his steroid use? Ok...
 
First of all I'm a Novak fan and was very early on calling him the best of the Big 3 so clearly you're wrong about me not being able to appreciate "boring tennis" and only appreciating flashy players.

Very glad that you saw the light there, thanks also to Hewitt I suppose. In tennis there is tendency to get bamboozled by players blasting backhands.

Second of all are you implying that Sinner's continued success after his documented steroid use is evidence that his improved level is uncorrelated to his steroid use? Ok...

So you truly think that? Maybe the traces of many moons ago are still working their magic in secret in his body?
 
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Very glad that you saw the light there, thanks also to Hewitt I suppose. In tennis there is tendency to get bamboozled by players blasting backhands.



So you truly think that? Maybe the traces of many moons ago are still working their magic in secret in his body?
Or and this is a tough logical line to follow so hear me out here. He used steroids to build up his severely lacking muscles and stamina and to aid his recovery. This has had lasting benefits for him assuming he did stop taking steroids which let's be real is far from guaranteed.
 
Or and this is a tough logical line to follow so hear me out here. He used steroids to build up his severely lacking muscles and stamina and to aid his recovery. This has had lasting benefits for him assuming he did stop taking steroids which let's be real is far from guaranteed.

I think this whole issue demonstrates how easily one can get wedded to his own emotions and quick judgements which I find fascinating.

So you say that he doped despite all the expert evidence in the report, the scientific studies cited and even the appeal of WADA which is only about the question of negligence. Out of this baseless conviction some guys formed the opinion that his performance would drop in the future as he had no longer access to his drugs.

Obviously they were proven spectacularly wrong and Sinner is dominating the tour, breaking the 2300 Elo barrier as only the 12th man in the last decades. Unable to accept that their opinion was falsified they start insinuating continued drug use despite all the testing. Obviously while at the same time showing faith into the residual performance magic of minuscule traces many moons ago.

Just brilliant stuff.
 
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It's interesting that they both finished with a 70-6 W/L record given that Djokovic's 2011 seemed so much more spectacular at the time. Incredible season from Sinner all the same.
Djokovic's form in 2011 did largely collapse after the US Open had finished, at 6 wins and 4 losses in 10 matches played. It was Federer who dominated the last few months of 2011.

Djokovic was 64-2 in 2011 after winning the US Open. Sinner was 55-5 in 2024 after winning the US Open.
 
With today's victory Sinner equals the win/loss record of what many believe was the best season of Djokovic's career, excluding 2015 for statistics.
In fact, 70-6 seasonal record, a record that Sinner could even improve (or worsen) with the upcoming Davis Cup, we'll see.
I would like to point out straight away that this is not a thread to demonstrate which of the 2 is the best season, it is clearly Djokovic's 2011 season, where apart from the statistics I will list below, it is enough just to mention his almost immaculate record of 10- 1 against Fedal to close the contest.
However, it remains significant that after the big three, someone has arrived capable of compiling a season that is at least statistically comparable, something unthinkable until recently.

Record wins/losses
Djokovic 2011= 70-6
Sinner 2024= 70-6

Tournaments won
Djokovic 2011= 10
Sinner 2024= 8

Slam
Djokovic 2011= 3
Sinner 2024 = 2

Big title
Djokovic 2011= 8
Sinner 2024= 6

Masters 1000
Djokovic 2011= 5
Sinner 2024= 3

ATP Finals
Djokovic 2011= 0
Sinner 2024 = 1

Records vs top 10
Djokovic 2011= 21-4
Sinner 2024= 16-5

Records vs top 5
Djokovic 2011= 13-4
Sinner 2024 = 11-4

Records vs top 1
Djokovic 2011= 5-0
Sinner 2024= 1-0

Highest winning streak
Djokovic 2011= 41
Sinner 2024= 16

Maximum losing streak
Djokovic 2011= 2
Sinner 2024= 1

Obviously Sinner also has something in his favor compared to Djokovic 2011, namely having won at least one set in all the seasonal matches played.

Let's say that statistically the thing that tips the scales for Djokovic in 2011 is the Wimbledon tournament which he won while Sinner stopped in the quarter-finals.
Sinner is a great guy. Love him to bits. But Djokovic 2011 was on another planet!
 
Djokovic's form in 2011 did largely collapse after the US Open had finished, at 6 wins and 4 losses in 10 matches played. It was Federer who dominated the last few months of 2011.

Djokovic was 64-2 in 2011 after winning the US Open. Sinner was 55-5 in 2024 after winning the US Open.
Proof if ever it was needed that actually the great players who have a great year at slams couldnt give a toss about tennis post USO.
Djokovic in his peak years often performed less well than Nadal at the slams and he racked up alot of his milestones in the fall which i always felt was him trying to make a statement after perhaps underachieving at the slams by his expectations. He 'only' had 7 slams by end of 2014.
Rafa in his peak years always won at least one slam, often two slams. Post USO to Rafa was an irrelevance really, which he does actually infer in his book.
 
Sinner has a long ways to go to get to 2011 Djokovic. However, he's still improving. So I wouldn't count him out by any means. That said, Sinner had his hip injury during the clay season and he had some kind of illness at Wimbledon. A healthy Sinner with his new-and-improved serve could be incredibly dangerous in 2025. Let's see what happens.
 
An AO final between Sinner and Alcaraz is definitely what tennis needs. However, I wouldn't be surprised if #1 Sinner is pitted against #3 Alcaraz in the semis once again. That is why I really wanted Alcaraz to hold onto his #2 ranking.

Watch Alcaraz take out defending-champ Sinner in the semis, only to lose to Zverev in the final to whiff at his first chance of getting the career slam.
 
I think Novak 2011 wins because his successes were against Federer and Nadal who were in their prime. Sinner didn't have Federer and Nadal in 2024 to battle constantly while Djokovic wasn't competitive because of very old age. Sinner is very good though. Everyone expects him to dominate in 2025 and even win CYGS unless he is is banned for dopping. Hope the first happens though and tennis is saved once again.
 
A long way short of Federer's 81-4 from 2005 and 92-5 from 2006.

I think what makes Djokovic's 2011 more impressive is that he won 4 straight sets against Nadal on clay. It almost seemed he found Nadal on clay easier than Federer on hardcourts, which is very strange to be honest.

2006 was not a great field, imo the only reason Federer made the FO final is because Bandy was injured. Do you think Nalbandian wins that match if he doesn't get injured (i've turned troll mode off for the night now)? I do.
 
2006 was not a great field, imo the only reason Federer made the FO final is because Bandy was injured. Do you think Nalbandian wins that match if he doesn't get injured (i've turned troll mode off for the night now)? I do.
Maybe, but I'd still go for Federer. They also had a close 2006 Rome semi final. Federer won 6-3, 3-6, 7-6.
 
I think what makes Djokovic's 2011 more impressive is that he won 4 straight sets against Nadal on clay. It almost seemed he found Nadal on clay easier than Federer on hardcourts, which is very strange to be honest.

2006 was not a great field, imo the only reason Federer made the FO final is because Bandy was injured. Do you think Nalbandian wins that match if he doesn't get injured (i've turned troll mode off for the night now)? I do.
2006 was a deep field. Courts used to play decently fast unlike the slow rubbish in 2010-2015.
 
2006 was a deep field. Courts used to play decently fast unlike the slow rubbish in 2010-2015.

mate the field was so weak, that Blake, Davydenko, Robredo, Nalbandian and Ljubicic were battling it out for #3, and only one of them had won a masters title that season, and none of them made a slam final.

So 2006 wins the weakest ever year - 5 of the guys competing for a top 4 position and they only have 1 masters title between them and nothing else. I won the same amount of masters titles as most of these guys lmao
 
This isn't a contest, it is clearly Djokovic 2011. That is one of the greatest seasons of all time.
If Sinner can repeat his 2024 and add a Wimbledon title and another masters or so, he can be regarded close to 2011. For now, hes not. And hes overdue for a clay court masters title.
 
If Sinner can repeat his 2024 and add a Wimbledon title and another masters or so, he can be regarded close to 2011. For now, hes not. And hes overdue for a clay court masters title.
In order for Siner's future season to be compared to Novak 2011, he must:

To beat Alcaraz in 5-6 finals (masters and slams)
To beat another multiple slam winner 3-4 times (masters, slams)
To dominate on hard, clay and grass
 
In order for Siner's future season to be compared to Novak 2011, he must:

To beat Alcaraz in 5-6 finals (masters and slams)
To beat another multiple slam winner 3-4 times (masters, slams)
To dominate on hard, clay and grass
Agreed. He gotta turn that head to head around against Raz. I think he wins 3 slams next year though. But he needs to dominate the spaniard next year.
 
Im a sinner fan but he needs to add a clay court masters, a Wimbledon/RG title to compete with Djokovic 2011. Oh and a RG/WB F
If you read my comments in this thread I have never questioned in the slightest that Djokovic 2011 is better than Sinner 2024.
That said, it's still impressive to think that he will most likely close out this season;

1) With a win/loss record higher than Djokovic's 2011.

2) With a winning percentage higher than any single season of Nadal's career.

I created this thread for a statistical parallel and not to question Djokovic 2011>Sinner 2024.
 
I am big Djokovic disapprover, however, I know deep inside that 2011 was something else. No way Sinner gets a set.

It's interesting that they both finished with a 70-6 W/L record given that Djokovic's 2011 seemed so much more spectacular at the time. Incredible season from Sinner all the same.
Itw was more incredible. Opposition matters. Competition in the top10 back in 2011 was much tougher than de Minaur, Zverev, Medvedev, Ruud, Grigor, Rublos, or 2024 Djokovic
 
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