Djokovic and Berrettini stats overview heading into the final

[RF-18]

Novak Djokovic

Serve stats

- Aces 63
- 1st srv points won 279 of 327: (85%)
- 2nd srv points won 108 of 190: (57%)
- Service points won 387 of 517: (75%)
- Service games won 88 of 93 (95%)

Return stats

1st srv rec points won 111 of 335 (33%)
2nd srv rec points won 128 of 238 (54%)
Return points won 239 of 573 (42%)
Return games won 26 of 89 (29%)

Total points won in the tournament: 57.4% (credit to @Open Stance)

Winners/Unforced errors: 190-126 (+68)
-----‐-----------

Berrettini

Serve stats

- Aces: 101
- 1st Srv Pts Won 289 of 349 (82%)
- 2nd Srv Pts Won 141 of 230 (61%)
- Service points won 430 of 579 (74%)
- Service Games Won 95 of 100 (95%)

Return stats

1st srv rec points won 118 of 368 (32%)
2nd srv rec points won 121 of 249 (49%)
Return points won 239 of 617 (39%)
Return games won 28 of 101 (28%)

Total points won in the tournament: 55.6% (credit to @Open Stance)

Winners/Unforced errors: 285-167 (+118).

Djokovic has insane numbers on his serve. Staggering 85% of points won behind his 1st serve, that is the highest number in the tournament. He also has a hold percentage of 95%, same as Berrettini. Djokovic has been broken 5 times in total this tournament, wich is the least of any player along with Berrettini. His overall serving stats are marginally better than Berrettini's, who also has hit 101 aces by far the highest number out of any player. Djokovic has 63 aces, wich is 3rd best out of all players.

The return stats, Djokovic is as expected better than Berrettini there, but to also be better than Berre on serve, is unreal.

With these numbers, it's safe to say that we have two very deserving finalists here and by far the two best players of this tournament.

Potentially, we can have a big battle here.

 

[xFedal]

Novak Djokovic

Serve stats

- Aces 63
- 1st srv points won 279 of 327: (85%)
- 2nd srv points won 108 of 190: (57%)
- Service points won 387 of 517: (75%)
- Service games won 88 of 93 (95%)

Return stats

1st srv rec points won 111 of 335 (33%)
2nd srv rec points won 128 of 238 (54%)
Return points won 239 of 573 (42%)
Return games won 26 of 89 (29%)
-----‐-----------

Berrettini

Serve stats

- Aces: 101
- 1st Srv Pts Won 289 of 349 (82%)
- 2nd Srv Pts Won 141 of 230 (61%)
- Service points won 430 of 579 (74%)
- Service Games Won 95 of 100 (95%)

Return stats

1st srv rec points won 118 of 368 (32%)
2nd srv rec points won 121 of 249 (49%)
Return points won 239 of 617 (39%)
Return games won 28 of 101 (28%)

Djokovic has insane numbers on his serve. Staggering 85% of points won behind his 1st serve, that is the highest number in the tournament. He also has a hold percentage of 95%, same as Berrettini. Djokovic has been broken 5 times in total this tournament, wich is the least of any player along with Berrettini. His overall serving stats are marginally better than Berrettini's, who also has hit 101 aces by far the highest number out of any player. Djokovic has 63 aces, wich is 3rd best out of all players.

The return stats, Djokovic is as expected better than Berrettini there, but to also be better than Berre on serve, is unreal.

With these numbers, it's safe to say that we have two very deserving finalists here and by far the two best players of this tournament.

Berrettinis 2nd serve numbers show stability on the baseline. He will prove to be a very difficult opponent. I got Mateo in 4 in the final.

 

[RF-18]

Berrettinis 2nd serve numbers show stability on the baseline. He will prove to be a very difficult opponent. I got Mateo in 4 in the final.

He is in the form of his life here.

 

[xFedal]

He is in the form of his life here.

Mateo only broken 5 times, his returning very good too, look how he beat Hurakaks who beat Med/Fed. This is why I have as the favorite to win his first Wimbledon title. He won Queens too.

 

[Tennis_Freak99]

To be fair even Berrettini hasn't faced top 10 players this Wimbledon, so the numbers might seem a bit skewed. Anyway I'm expecting to see a battle as well

 

[Jonesy]

Berrettini is peaking. He has the game, but it is not only about the game. It is his first slam final and he is facing a mental titan.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Mateo only broken 5 times, his returning very good too, look how he beat Hurakaks who beat Med/Fed. This is why I have as the favorite to win his first Wimbledon title. He won Queens too.

He has not played a great returner yet though. His ultimate test is Novak here. The other guys also didn’t exploit his BH enough or exploit his movement too. Again djoker will look to do both.

 

[Cortana]

They seem to be veeeery close.

 

[Waves]

There’s only one stat that will matter tomorrow. It’s not in the above list. Berretini hasn’t faced ND yet. It’s gonna be a bloodbath. Don’t let your kids watch.

 

[aldeayeah]

I find it hard to envision a scenario where Berr wins unless Djoko breaks a leg or something, but I can see him reaching a couple TBs.

 

[aldeayeah]

There’s only one stat that will matter tomorrow. It’s not in the above list. Berretini hasn’t faced ND yet. It’s gonna be a bloodbath. Don’t let your kids watch.

They played last month in RG?

 

[ND-13]

Not sure why the OP think it is "unreal".

Djoker is 10x the level of Berretini.

 

[ForehandCross]

Berrettinis 2nd serve numbers show stability on the baseline. He will prove to be a very difficult opponent. I got Mateo in 4 in the final.

Lol your jinxing form is outrageous this WB, 6 out of 6 till now.

 

[Milehigh5280]

It's pretty clear they're the two best players on grass this season

 

[Open Stance]

Total points won for the tournament:

Djokovic - 57.4%
Berrettini - 55.6%

 

[I Am Finnish]

Total points won for the tournament:

Djokovic - 57.4%
Berrettini - 55.6%

Do you have the winners and ue's stats?

 

[MeatTornado]

He has not played a great returner yet though. His ultimate test is Novak here.

It's such a different world facing Novak returning. I'll always think about 2015 where Federer absolutely dominated on serve against the 2nd best returner in the game but was completely neutralized the next round by Novak's return.

And as already stated, obviously Berrettini hasn't faced anyone near the returning quality of Murray, let along Novak.

 

[RF-18]

Do you have the winners and ue's stats?

These are including aces aswell:

Djokovic

Winners: 190
Unf errors: 126

Berrettini

Winners: 285
Unf errors: 167

 

[Spencer Gore]

No, no. You've got it all wrong. Berrettini was easily beaten at Wimbledon two years ago so his stats and play this year are irrelevant.

 

[Rafa4LifeEver]

Like 2021 AO Medvedev, no matter what numbers, he'll be exposed by djokovic.

 

[Mediterranean Might]

Stats show great form from both, thanks for laying them out. Matteo is red hot right now, but Novak has the game to crush him. Matteo will need to redline and find a strategy to mitigate the BH weakness

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

It's such a different world facing Novak returning. I'll always think about 2015 where Federer absolutely dominated on serve against the 2nd best returner in the game but was completely neutralized the next round by Novak's return.

And as already stated, obviously Berrettini hasn't faced anyone near the returning quality of Murray, let along Novak.

A very good point. Berra has a good chance but his serve and FH best weapons will be tested and neutralised more by djoko.

You are exactly right about Federer. Roger crushed all before him up until final as no player could harm his serve. However, Novak managed to get into Rogers surface games and he will look to do the same to berrettini too.

 

[mike danny]

It's such a different world facing Novak returning. I'll always think about 2015 where Federer absolutely dominated on serve against the 2nd best returner in the game but was completely neutralized the next round by Novak's return.

And as already stated, obviously Berrettini hasn't faced anyone near the returning quality of Murray, let along Novak.

Pretty much. Nailed it with this post. Abd 2015 Fed was still a much better player than Berrettini.

 

[MeatTornado]

Pretty much. Nailed it with this post. Abd 2015 Fed was still a much better player than Berrettini.

By a million miles, of course. But 2015 Novak was also playing better than 2021 Novak.

 

[mike danny]

By a million miles, of course. But 2015 Novak was also playing better than 2021 Novak.

Won't need 2015 form to beat Berrettini anyway. I actually don't think he'll lose a set.

 

[MeatTornado]

A very good point. Berra has a good chance but his serve and FH best weapons will be tested and neutralised more by djoko.

You are exactly right about Federer. Roger crushed all before him up until final as no player could harm his serve. However, Novak managed to get into Rogers surface games and he will look to do the same to berrettini too.

It's going to be all about the mental pressure. Even if Novak's not breaking him, consistently getting to 30 or 40 in Matteo's service games early on is going to mess with his head, especially when trying to handle the pressure of his first career slam final. That's basically what he was able to do to Federer in that 2015 final. Fed held his ground on serve, getting to tiebreaks in the first 2 sets iirc, but having to labor through each game can wear you down physically and mentally, feeling like you have to hit a perfect serve every time, giving you way less confidence when you really need to hold serve at 4-5 or 5-6.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

It's going to be all about the mental pressure. Even if Novak's not breaking him, consistently getting to 30 or 40 in Matteo's service games early on is going to mess with his head, especially when trying to handle the pressure of his first career slam final. That's basically what he was able to do to Federer in that 2015 final. Fed held his ground on serve, getting to tiebreaks in the first 2 sets iirc, but having to labor through each game can wear you down physically and mentally, feeling like you have to hit a perfect serve every time, giving you way less confidence when you really need to hold serve at 4-5 or 5-6.

You are correct. For Novak it’s about forcing his will on berrettini. Constantly trying to chip away until he can crack the code. Berra will want easy holds but Novak will look to stick more and more into the Italians service games as the match progresses. Then hope the mental pressure will take its toll.

Djoko will also need to be rock solid more on his own serve. As against a great server like Berra with a massive FH, it’s vital Novak is sharp on serve and doesn’t give up a cheap early break. He has to try be on it from the start and get more first serves in.

The rest of Novak’s game is in good order but he will want to be more consistent in serve for the final. He also needs his BH as rock solid as normal in order to try break down the Italians BH side. Drop shots could be key too in order to try get the Italian moving more and out his comfort hitting zone.

I feel it will be close and I think it’s the best final we could get. They easily the 2 inform grass players this year and overall in 2021 too. May the best player win. Hope Novak creates more history but respect and like berrettini too. It will be a fun contest.

 

[maupp]

It's going to be all about the mental pressure. Even if Novak's not breaking him, consistently getting to 30 or 40 in Matteo's service games early on is going to mess with his head, especially when trying to handle the pressure of his first career slam final. That's basically what he was able to do to Federer in that 2015 final. Fed held his ground on serve, getting to tiebreaks in the first 2 sets iirc, but having to labor through each game can wear you down physically and mentally, feeling like you have to hit a perfect serve every time, giving you way less confidence when you really need to hold serve at 4-5 or 5-6.

Pretty much this.

Matteo would need to start with a couple of love or to 15 games to ride it till the TB and win the first TB that comes his way.

If Djokovic early on already starts taking games to 30 and 40 then it'll only just be a matter of time before he breaks him since in such case this means Nole will get into Matteo's head as the game continues.

And if Berrettini manages to take the first set to a TB he needs to take it because as the match continues Djokovic will start reading his serve better and get into more of his service games.

 

[I Am Finnish]

These are including aces aswell:

Djokovic

Winners: 190
Unf errors: 126

Berrettini

Winners: 285
Unf errors: 167

Thank you cupcake

 

[mwym]

Stats and tactical options are fine. However, he plays against Djokovic and that involves more skills than these document.

Matteo seems like a nice person. Maybe too nice to survive the pressure of BO5 match against Djokovic with highest possible stake, let alone Djokovic in any Slam final, let alone Djokovic fighting for his 20th Slam, let alone Wimbledon crushing Matteo with increased expectations if he wins a set...

The only real problem Matteo needs to solve is not winning a set, or even 2. The problem Matteo has is winning 3 sets before Djokovic does it. Short of Djokovic having a food issue or de facto injury ... it is plausible but not likely. Hence, Djokovic in 4 or 5 seems the most likely outcome.

Surely, this is sport not a scripted nonsense, anything can happen. Lets enjoy a match worth watching, whoever prevails.

 

[Deleted member 771911]

Stats are interesting but don't mean much as they don't play in exactly the same conditions. But there you go.

 

[PrinceMoron]

the roof will slow things down a bit but maybe Berrettini has the power to hit through that.

He might be a very different proposition than Federer at match points down or in tie breaks.

 

[paolo2143]

Won't need 2015 form to beat Berrettini anyway. I actually don't think he'll lose a set.

I sincerely hope you are right but i have my doubts

 

[paolo2143]

Dennis showed the way to take Novak on. He wasn't worried about what Novak was going to do he simply played his own high risk strategy and he was really unlucky not to be at least 1-1 in sets . Yes he made some mistakes but that is the right approach.

That is how Stan beat him. He just played his own game and went for some spectacular winners at times. Now Stan is unusual in that he is the only player out with the big 3 who ahs an A game that can literally match up with theirs. The problem is Stan can only find that game a fraction of the times that Rafa, Roger or Novak can.

However that is how to play and tomorrow Matteo has to serve big and consistently, hit hard on the groundstrokes and go for broke in some of the rallies. It will be tough for him to keep that level up for 4 or 5 sets and he may not manage it, but that is how he can win though.

 

[jm1980]

the roof will slow things down a bit but maybe Berrettini has the power to hit through that.

There's no rain expected tomorrow until late in the day

 

[Poisoned Slice]

Looking forward to the match.

 

[daggerman]

Dennis showed the way to take Novak on. He wasn't worried about what Novak was going to do he simply played his own high risk strategy and he was really unlucky not to be at least 1-1 in sets . Yes he made some mistakes but that is the right approach.

That is how Stan beat him. He just played his own game and went for some spectacular winners at times. Now Stan is unusual in that he is the only player out with the big 3 who ahs an A game that can literally match up with theirs. The problem is Stan can only find that game a fraction of the times that Rafa, Roger or Novak can.

However that is how to play and tomorrow Matteo has to serve big and consistently, hit hard on the groundstrokes and go for broke in some of the rallies. It will be tough for him to keep that level up for 4 or 5 sets and he may not manage it, but that is how he can win though.

The big difference between Shapo/Stan and Berrettini is that the former are dangerous from both wings; Berrettini is only dangerous on his forehand. Giving Novak no safe place on the court to hit neutral balls and get into a rhythm that way is absolutely critical to beating him. Berrettini obviously has a chance to win, but Novak will feel like he can hit to Berrettini's backhand side at any time and not be punished for it. You couldn't have said that about his match against Denis.

The other issue with the Denis match is that Novak isn't executing his DTL backhand at the moment, so he was giving Denis a lot of short-ish, central-ish balls that Denis could hammer cross court. Ideally he'd have gotten more depth, forcing Denis to go more neutral with his one-hander. But that's an issue mostly caused by Denis' leftiness. I think Novak will still need to hit the DTL backhand well tomorrow to keep Matteo honest and discourage running around his own backhand, but hitting CC backhands into Matteo's backhand is a much better and safer option than hitting CC backhands into Shapo's forehand...

 

[-NN-]

Berra is just a little bit off Djokovic. Close enough to make it tight and make the match about who delivers on the big points. Let's hope so, for a cracking match.