Djokovic's chances at Wimbledon this year.

grafrules

grafrules

Banned
Especialy after his dissapointing French Open I know there wont be much talk about Djokovic going into Wimbledon. Everyone will be focusing on will Federer regain his title after probably winning this years French, and get record #15 to boot. Can Nadal come back from his dissapointing French and defend or even come close. Can Murray the home country hopeful give Britian their first title in a long time, how far has he come on grass since last year where he barely got past Gasquet before being spanked by Nadal in the quarters. American will of course focus on a rejuvenated Roddick, can he make a real run deep or not. Even the French players will have alot of attention on them, Tsonga and Monfils especialy.

Djokovic will really be under the radar, especialy compared to last year. This might be good for him, but he seems to be a very confidence based player. A tough loss seems to set him back. On one hand I think grass is probably his least strong surface. On the other hand he made the semis a couple years ago, and was in the Queens final last year. So what are his chances at Wimbledon this year.
 
I think his chances are as good as Murray's. I mean, if he plays 100% he can take out Nadal or Fed, but I doubt he can sustain this level for a long enough period of time.
 
Reaching semi final would be a good result for Djokovic. There are more guys who can take him out on grass than on clay. Djokovic is a good player on fast surfaces and I wouldn't be surprised if he beat any of the other top 4.
 
Nadal & Fed both play a different level of grass tennis, Murray nor Djokovic are close to competing against them.
 
wihamilton said:
Pretty close to zero percent.
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Agreed. The grass is Federer's home; if Djokovic faces a Fed hungry for this particular piece of history (assuming he wins the FO), nothing will stop him. There's really no chance for Djokovic to win there while Federer is still playing.

Even after the Fed era, if Djokovic is still playng (something tells me he will bail for not living up to the silly hype from his family's and his own mouth), others like a Tsonga (for one example) are more likely to become strong (and a Djokovic killer) on that surface.
 
djokovic12_wenn1399486.jpg
 
Considering grass is Djokovic's weakest surface, he has done well to reach the last 4 at Wimbledon in 2007 and the final at Queen's last year, beating some strong opponents and putting in some good performances.
That's pretty impressive considering he can't even move properly on grass.
I think that Federer would certainly rather have Djokovic in his half of the draw at Wimbledon than Murray, and possibly Nadal would as well.
Most players outside the top 4 will be hoping to be drawn inside Djokovic's quarter that's for sure.
 
Gizo said:
Considering grass is Djokovic's weakest surface, he has done well to reach the last 4 at Wimbledon in 2007 and the final at Queen's last year, beating some strong opponents and putting in some good performances.
That's pretty impressive considering he can't even move properly on grass.
I think that Federer would certainly rather have Djokovic in his half of the draw at Wimbledon than Murray, and possibly Nadal would as well.
Most players outside the top 4 will be hoping to be drawn inside Djokovic's quarter that's for sure.
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Djokovic > Murray on grass until proven otherwise.
 
Gizo said:
Considering grass is Djokovic's weakest surface, he has done well to reach the last 4 at Wimbledon in 2007 and the final at Queen's last year, beating some strong opponents and putting in some good performances.
That's pretty impressive considering he can't even move properly on grass.
I think that Federer would certainly rather have Djokovic in his half of the draw at Wimbledon than Murray, and possibly Nadal would as well.
Most players outside the top 4 will be hoping to be drawn inside Djokovic's quarter that's for sure.
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I think Federer would rather play Djokovic on grass than Murray. I think he would beat either but I dont see anyway Djokovic beating him on grass at this point, while Murray would have an outside shot. Nadal would rather have Murray I think, Djokovic has already given him some good matches on grass.
 
Cesc Fabregas said:
Grass is his worst surface so no more than a semi final.
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What have you based that assessment on? Last years performance at Wimbledon? Djokovic has only played two Wimbledon's since he began to peak in 2007, in that time he reached the Wimbledon semis in 07 and the finals at Queens last year. The grass season is practically non existent so its difficult to really judge how good Djokovic is on grass in his short time as a pro. We'll see how he goes in Halle and Wimbledon soon enough and then I think we'll have a better idea.
 
SikSerb said:
What have you based that assessment on? Last years performance at Wimbledon? Djokovic has only played two Wimbledon's since he began to peak in 2007, in that time he reached the Wimbledon semis in 07 and the finals at Queens last year. The grass season is practically non existent so its difficult to really judge how good Djokovic is on grass in his short time as a pro. We'll see how he goes in Halle and Wimbledon soon enough and then I think we'll have a better idea.
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He made the semis in 2007 but he took 5 sets to beat both a way past his prime Hewitt and Baghdatis.
 
Djokovic's chances should be better considering he has more time to practice on grass while the others are still playing on clay.
 
SikSerb said:
What have you based that assessment on? Last years performance at Wimbledon? Djokovic has only played two Wimbledon's since he began to peak in 2007, in that time he reached the Wimbledon semis in 07 and the finals at Queens last year. The grass season is practically non existent so its difficult to really judge how good Djokovic is on grass in his short time as a pro. We'll see how he goes in Halle and Wimbledon soon enough and then I think we'll have a better idea.
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Novak has won 74% of his hardcourt matches, 73% of his clay matches and 70% of his grass matches.
 
SikSerb said:
What have you based that assessment on? Last years performance at Wimbledon? Djokovic has only played two Wimbledon's since he began to peak in 2007, in that time he reached the Wimbledon semis in 07 and the finals at Queens last year. The grass season is practically non existent so its difficult to really judge how good Djokovic is on grass in his short time as a pro. We'll see how he goes in Halle and Wimbledon soon enough and then I think we'll have a better idea.
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Sikserb,I also think Novak's worst surface is grass,here is Novak's surface breakdown the way I see it from best to worst:

1-Slow HC
2-Fast HC
3-Clay
4-Grass

But that certainly doesn't mean Novak can't go deep on grass,he has after all reached Wimbledon SF in 2007 and reached the Queens final last year.

I think that if Novak has a good showing at Halle it will do wonders for his confidence which will result in strong showing at Wimbledon.There's a chance that if Fed wins FO he'll skip Halle(as he did in 2007)as he has been pushed to the limits at the FO in quite a few matches so that would remove Novak's biggest obstacle in Halle(although there's Tsonga as well)and Novak would have a good shot at a title then IMO.

Apart from the obvious top guys(Nadal,Fed,Murray)I think Novak's biggest threats at Wimbledon will be Roddick and Tsonga,those 2 players have builded some confidence against Novak lately so Novak will have to be very careful if he runs into them.

I'm not asking Novak to win Wimbledon of course but would personally appreciate if he doesn't get upset in the early rounds again,that's all I ask(I was very pissed off at him for the match against Kohlschreiber).Given Novak's consistancy at going deep in slams since 2007 I think it's very unlikely that he has 2 poor showings at slams in a row but you never know with Novak as he seems to be a bit of a wildcard lately.

He can gain a lot of points at Wimbledon to make up for the very unexpected(atleast for me)poor showing at the FO so I'm hoping for the best.
 
IvanAndreevich said:
Djokovic > Murray on grass until proven otherwise.
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Sorry, but Murray lost to Nadal last year.... Djokovic lost to Safin

If he draws Tsonga or Roddick in his quarter, he wont make the semis.... if he can draw lets say:

Almagro for a 3rd round seed, Davydenko for a 4th round, and Simon for a QF, then he has a shot .... but if he draws:

Lopez, Gonzales, Roddick, he would have a hard time
 
grafrules said:
Especialy after his dissapointing French Open I know there wont be much talk about Djokovic going into Wimbledon. Everyone will be focusing on will Federer regain his title after probably winning this years French, and get record #15 to boot. Can Nadal come back from his dissapointing French and defend or even come close. Can Murray the home country hopeful give Britian their first title in a long time, how far has he come on grass since last year where he barely got past Gasquet before being spanked by Nadal in the quarters. American will of course focus on a rejuvenated Roddick, can he make a real run deep or not. Even the French players will have alot of attention on them, Tsonga and Monfils especialy.

Djokovic will really be under the radar, especialy compared to last year. This might be good for him, but he seems to be a very confidence based player. A tough loss seems to set him back. On one hand I think grass is probably his least strong surface. On the other hand he made the semis a couple years ago, and was in the Queens final last year. So what are his chances at Wimbledon this year.
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I hope you mean dissapointing for Djokovic and not in general. This FO has been anything but dissapointing. Upsets, great matches, new surprises, a chance for history making - we had it all.
 
I don't see why Djokovic can't adapt his game to grass. He rarely gets much preparation time for grass after playing a ton on clay. He lost earlier this year at RG so a week more should really help his grass preparation.
 
i can easily see djokovic making the semis at Wimbledon unless he gets tsonga or roddick in his quarter then he has about a 50/50 shot in my opinion
 
Great chances for SF...because he doesnt have points to defend(defeated in 2round last year)! He likes that....
 
Nadal_Freak said:
I don't see why Djokovic can't adapt his game to grass. He rarely gets much preparation time for grass after playing a ton on clay. He lost earlier this year at RG so a week more should really help his grass preparation.
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At least we can officialy say that the claims of a conspiracy with Djokovic lending on Rafa's half every time were nothing short of pathetic. Of the last 6 majors, Djokovic was on Federer's draw for 5 of them (!!!). In the 5 MS tournys so far of 2009, Djokovic was in Federer's side in 3 of them.
 
Maybe the age of Djokovic and Nadal has already peaked. Perhaps we can look forward now to the next two players who will dominate:
Federer and Murray
 
I think he will make 4th round or quarters. It really depends on his draw. If he gets 2 easy matches and gets in a groove then he will go deep, but if he plays someone like gulbis 1st or 2nd round i can see him losing early again.
 
I dont think he will do that well. If he plays Federer, Nadal, Murray, Roddick or Tsonga he will lose. There are others who could upset him too like Safin did last year. Grass really isnt his surface, he is good on it but not great.
 
Djokovic gets more credit than he deserves. Everyone always predicts him to be a top contender and he rarely lives up to it in slam events. I see no reason for him to be a threat to Nadal and Federer until he proves he can beat them in a slam (besides te AO 2008 against a sick Federer). I think if they lose, its more likely to be due to upset than be a loss to Novak jock-a-itch.
 
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