Does Roddick stand a chance against Federer?

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by Free_Martha, Jul 3, 2004.

  1. Free_Martha

    Free_Martha Guest

    Last year, Federer beat Roddick in straight sets. With Roddick's improved game this year (and Federer being the tennis god), do you think he'll even manage to give Federer a match this year? Maybe take a set off of him or--egads--actually win the whole thing?

    I'm looking forward to this final--the first in a long while since the No. 1 and 2 seeds battled it out. Should be good stuff. 8)
  2. Pyro

    Pyro Rookie

    Feb 21, 2004
    Statistically wise: Roddick has a 50% chance of winning, I even asked my probability teacher =). As for reality wise, I would give him something like 10%, because even I have a 0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% chance of beating federer. But, my jaw will drop if I don't see the trophy in Federer's hands by the end of the match.
  3. TwistServe

    TwistServe Guest

    Anything can happen.. We saw Gaudio beat Coria and we just now saw young Sharapova pull the biggest upset in a few years of WTA tennis...

    So anything can happen.. I think Roddick has a 20% chance of winning.
  4. VamosRafa

    VamosRafa Hall of Fame

    May 3, 2004
    Andy's beaten him before, so there's "a chance."

    I'd give Fed the edge, but a lot comes down to the first set. Whoever wins that is going to have a lot of confidence, and the other one is going to feel pressure.

    I don't care who wins (although if Andy did, it would polarize discussion on this Board for a bit :lol:). I admire both players. I just hope it's a good match, especially given all the hype.

  5. BigboyDan

    BigboyDan Semi-Pro

    May 10, 2004
    And if Roddick does win - what does that say? What does it say that he's even in the final? IQ of 98, a fast serve with a Pure Drive - big whoop.
  6. Datacipher

    Datacipher Banned

    Apr 13, 2004
    Definitely a chance....but also a chance he'll get another tennis lesson and look like a hacker as he did last year!

    IF Fed plays his best or at least good, then Roddick MUST:

    1.Be untouchable on serve

    2.Have a bit of luck here or there

    I still don't know how mentally tough Fed is. Exactly how well he will play the big points in a tight match. Remember if you will the Sampras knew that even against the biggest servers in the game...there was every chance that Pete would win, because even if you served several great serve games in a row or even a few great sets(tiebreakers), when that one chance would come around...a double fault or 2....a great return or 2....the break point would come....and Sampras would be waiting to make that crucial return or pass when he needed it.

    Otherwise Roddick must hope that Federer just doesn't play that well...which could happen.
  7. NLBwell

    NLBwell Legend

    Jun 18, 2004
    If Federer plays from the baseline, which he has done much more of this year than last, Roddick has a 50% chance - he's playing to Roddick's strength. I think Federer needed to be playing SV against the other guys for practice. If Federer can bring his full SV/All Court game he will win just like last year.

    The wind is a major factor. It hurts the big server - look at Roddicks serve % against Ancic and Serena's loss to Sharapova (and especially Verkerk's miserable loss to Ferrero at last year's French after serving everyone else off the court). If it is really windy, Roddick's chances drop a lot.

    Both players are far better than they were last year. Let's hope for a great match.
  8. kupo

    kupo New User

    Feb 28, 2004
    You guys just hate Roddick dont you? I mean, preferring someone else is fine, but when you insult the IQ and talent of a person who managed to get to the Wimbledon final... isnt that kind of wrong? You dont have to cheer for him but you should at least give him some respect imo... Just to let you know, im a Federer fan, but federer dropped out of high school at 16 so hes not the most educated either... That shouldnt take away from either of these players credit.
  9. gmlasam

    gmlasam Hall of Fame

    Jun 3, 2004
    Yes anything can happen. It will certainly a great match to watch regardless. I have my VCR all ready to go.
  10. TripleThreatPlayer

    TripleThreatPlayer New User

    Feb 19, 2004
    This could be the next Sampras/Agassi rivalry if Roddick were to win this. Federer definatly has the obvious edge, but if hes on a off day like in the match against Grojean (fought a tie breaker), or the match at Indian Wells where he dropped a set against Agassi then Roddick has a good 40-50% of winning (with his huge serve). I'm rooting for the underdog, I'm getting sort of tired having one player dominate every final.
  11. alienhamster

    alienhamster Hall of Fame

    Mar 16, 2004
    Roddick has a good chance. Not a great one, mind you . . . a good one.

    In both the Hewitt and Grosjean matches Federer made strings of bad unforced errors, especially during some pressure moments. It's all going to depend on who most consistently digs himself out of those 0-30 games and break points. These two men are the absolute best at bringing out the big stuff when they're down, so I really hope this is a good one.
  12. mach1

    mach1 Rookie

    Feb 18, 2004
    yeah what alienhamster says about those strings of unforced errors could bite federer in his butt if he does this in the big points. IF that does happen, I won't be surprised if roddick won. andy has improved considerably over the last year or so. but i hope federer will win this match because he just has soo much game and alot of fun to watch.
  13. yee

    yee Rookie

    Feb 25, 2004
    Of course Andy has a chance. I think among all players, Andy is still the one who will pose the biggest threat to Roger on grass.

    Karlovic is the only player who brought Roger to 2 tb, that showed big servers are still more difficult to beat for Roger on grass. Besides Andy definitely has more game than Karlovic does. Having said that though, it was the first time Roger played Karlovic but he had played Andy many times and already knew what to expect from that serves.

    I don't think either of these two will crumble under pressures so hopefully it will be a good match with Roger coming out as the winner for me.

Share This Page