Down 0-2 in Sets in Grand Slams - Federer and Nadal

I believe one of Nadal's comebacks was against Youzhny at 2007 Wimbledon? Rnd 3 maybe? Can someone verify and/or post the other one?
 
This just reflects the consistency of Nadal throughout a match. Nadal is the least streaky of the 3 and Federer has the most high variance in his level. I think this is especially clear when you consider style of play. Fed is the most aggressive Djokovic 2nd Nadal 3rd.
 
I disagree with that interpretation. It only indicates he is less able to come back when he is specifically 2 sets down than Federer in Slams. I am not surprised. Federer is a big fighter as well.

I posted that six years ago! Holding someone's old words against them must be some kind of logical fallacy, as I might have changed my mind in the years since I wrote it. ;)

On a serious note, you may well be right that my interpretation - claiming that the OP was insufficiently parsimonious in his/her interpretation was itself insufficiently parsimonious. Certainly, your interpretation is more parsimonious, although perhaps a fully parsimonious account would go even further and say it only indicates that he has less often come back from 0-2 than Federer, as he might be perfectly capable of doing so were he 0-2 behind more often.

I think I had in mind that Nadal usually wins Roland Garros without going to five sets and, indeed, that at that time he had never gone to five sets at the US Open in his title winning runs. In fact, only in this year's US Open final did he finally get pushed to five sets in a title winning run.

As for Federer: he definitely digs in when behind, but, as this year's Wimbledon showed, he can get nervous when ahead.
 
That is an interesting analysis. But I think it is a combination of both factors: Federer's huge serve AND his fighting spirit. It is time to recognize Federer's fighting capabilities.
He is a fighter, he is just not that great of a finisher.
 
Nadal doesn’t have the random lapses in concentration that Fed and others tend to have. He’s full energy 99% of the time. Meaning, that when you have Nadal down 2-0, you usually have him beat. You’ve beaten his best level on that day.
Muller FTW.
 
Well, to be fair to Nadal, he isn't often 0-2 down on surfaces that suit him, so on most of the occasions that he is 0-2 down, he is battling the elements as well as his opponent.
What does this even mean? Why not be "fair" to every other tennis player who is down 0-2 in sets and use the same "rationale" (heavy quotations). How about Novak at the USO in 2011 when he was down 0-2 in sets to Roger and was surely battling a brutally pro-Fed crowd and still came back to win the match, being down MP's.

Every single player who comes back from 0-2 in sets is battling the elements and their opponent. It's not something exclusive to Rafa.
 
This is the total I have them at in Slams, when down 2 sets to love:

Federer / 9-28 = 24.3%
Djokovic / 4-22 = 15.4%
Nadal / 2-20 = 9.1%

Federer has never retired from a match so this is reflected in these totals. He is the least likely to throw in the towel so he is tougher than he gets credit for. Nadal gets more credit for being the tough one and fighter, but the least likely to come back when down.

Adding to Novak's losses I think he retired in at least some of those scenarios, like Wawrinka at the USO this year.

It's nice Fed leads in this stat but his MPs lost really counter.
 
Adding to Novak's losses I think he retired in at least some of those scenarios, like Wawrinka at the USO this year.

It's nice Fed leads in this stat but his MPs lost really counter.

Two of those losses were retirements. Djokovic will retire but he almost never gives a walkover, only once in his career, and is the least likely to do. Federer is the least likely to retire.

Yea Federer has come back in matches from 2 sets to love down the most often and then at the same time, relinquished leads from 2 sets up the most.
 
2 out of 22 is pretty pathetic for someone regarded as the greatest fighter ever. I guess the nadal likes to apply his fighting qualities selectively.
 
Last edited:
That match was awesome to watch and also so infuriating.

Didn’t help that Muller lost the next round same as almost everyone else that’s upset Nadal at Wimbledon since 2011.

Anyway OT: Nadal goes down 0-2 in sets when he’s being outplayed comprehensively. He’s very consistent (outside of Wimbledon) especially in his intensity, which results in his rarely dropping sets to players he shouldn’t.

Fed and Djokovic are less clinical in this regard and will have lapses in concentration (or in Fed’s case, stretches of bewildering f*ckups) while in autopilot mode and will bleed a set or even two even when they’re in good form. It’s only when their backs are against the wall or when they feel some kind of pressure that they seem to display some clarity in thought again and sort things out again.
I think it's the other way round. Federer and Djokovic rarely get pushed to 5 sets by noobs like Nadal does. I mean how many times has it happened to Nadal at Wimbledon that some no name pushed him to 5 sets?
 
What does this even mean? Why not be "fair" to every other tennis player who is down 0-2 in sets and use the same "rationale" (heavy quotations). How about Novak at the USO in 2011 when he was down 0-2 in sets to Roger and was surely battling a brutally pro-Fed crowd and still came back to win the match, being down MP's.

Every single player who comes back from 0-2 in sets is battling the elements and their opponent. It's not something exclusive to Rafa.

You join @Sport as being the second person this week to ask me about comments I made six years ago! As he will tell you, I am not a fan of Nadal. What I meant was that Nadal has rarely (never, I think, unless I am forgetting some early Davis cup match or MS 1000 final) been down 2-0 on clay so all the times he has been 2-0 down, it was on a surface not his favorite. Whether that makes a difference or not, I am not now sure. But Novak was on his favorite surface at the 2011 US Open.
 
2 things to consider:
1. 'comeback' means that you didn't play at your best at first.
2. 'fight' is not the main reason for combacks. you need to improve technically.


Nadal doesn’t have the random lapses in concentration that Fed and others tend to have. He’s full energy 99% of the time. Meaning, that when you have Nadal down 2-0, you usually have him beat. You’ve beaten his best level on that day.
very true, but his playstyle is not as complex and dependent on accuracy as that of Feder or DJ, which makes it (not easy but) easier for him to be close to 100% from the start.


...he indeed always seems to be very focused from the first point, but i assume that's just his demeanor. i mean, what would it mean otherwise? that veteran ATGs like Feder or DJ could actually be better if they raised their adrenalin release on court?
or Borg :laughing:
 
It depends on who you are playing :)
Being down 2 sets vs. weak players or being down 2 sets vs. strong players, completely different.
 
You join @Sport as being the second person this week to ask me about comments I made six years ago! As he will tell you, I am not a fan of Nadal. What I meant was that Nadal has rarely (never, I think, unless I am forgetting some early Davis cup match or MS 1000 final) been down 2-0 on clay so all the times he has been 2-0 down, it was on a surface not his favorite. Whether that makes a difference or not, I am not now sure. But Novak was on his favorite surface at the 2011 US Open.
Plus 2011 was the year when Rafa's confidence (vs. Djokovic) was shot, and Rafa was mostly going crosscourt and that led to the insanely long rallies which made it impossible for Rafa to come back without being dead tired.
When Rafa is confident at the US Open he goes down-the-line regularly, and Djokovic has no chance of beating that (2010 and 2013) version of Rafa at the US Open :)
 
Nadal has never lost a grand slam match when up 2-0. In fact, Nadal has only ever lost 3 grand slam matches when up 1-0. Now that is a mind-boggling stat.

His 3 losses after winning the first set of a grand slam match:

2007 USO 4R vs Ferrer: 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 6-2

2012 AO F vs Djokovic: 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-7, 7-5

2012 Wim 2R vs Rosol: 6-7, 6-4, 6-4, 2-6, 6-4
Then he lost to Fognini from 2 sets up.
The clutch factor really declined after 2013 which is why he's lost so often to Fedovic.
 
I think it's the other way round. Federer and Djokovic rarely get pushed to 5 sets by noobs like Nadal does. I mean how many times has it happened to Nadal at Wimbledon that some no name pushed him to 5 sets?
Federer / 9-28 = 24.3%
Djokovic / 4-22 = 15.4%
Nadal / 2-20 = 9.1%

Federer = total 37 times
Djokovic = total 26 times
Nadal = total 22 times

Working off the stats given by other posters earlier on the thread, it's kinda difficult to say that Federer and Djokovic rarely get pushed to 5 sets when they've been pushed to 5 more times than Nadal has, noobs or not. You can narrow it down to just Wimbledon if you like, but I don't think it's as significant as you think besides that Nadal has sucked on grass from 2012-2017, which we all know. But to Nadal's credit, he hasn't been in that situation at all on clay, whereas Federer and Djokovic have been in similar situations on all three surfaces.

The way I see it, Djokovic and Federer's bread and butter game in autopilot mode don't have a tendency to groove their opponents in a way Nadal's does. With Nadal his bread and butter game while in autopilot mode, together with his more conservative style of play when things aren't working, ends up grooving his opponent who then finds the ability to hit winners left right and centre.

Plus, Federer has his serve and slice, and Djokovic has his ROS, and as sabotaging shots neither of these are particularly conducive to helping an opponent get into a rhythm (to put it mildly). Nadal OTOH has the forehand, which is both a huge weapon and a sabotage shot (with the way it pulls people off the court and keeps the ball out of the strike zone the same way Federer's slice does, just with spin going the opposite direction). So if it's off it becomes a huge problem because it becomes a free drilling session. All the usual aspects of Nadal's counterpunching and offensive baselining won't work if that forehand isn't clicking.
 
Back
Top