Duel Match Stats/Reports - Djokovic vs Federer, Rome & French Open semi-finals 2012

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Novak Djokovic beat Roger Federer 6-2, 7-6(4) in the Rome semi-final, 2012 on clay

Djokovic was the defending champion but would go onto lose the final to Rafael Nadal

Djokovic won 71 points, Federer 60


Serve Stats
Djokovic....
- 1st serve percentage (38/66) 58%
- 1st serve points won (31/38) 82%
- 2nd serve points won (16/28) 57%
- Aces 1
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (15/66) 23%

Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (32/65) 49%
- 1st serve points won (25/32) 78%
- 2nd serve points won (16/33) 48%
- Aces 6
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (17/65) 26%


Serve Pattern
Djokovic served...
- to FH 29%
- to BH 71%

Federer served...
- to FH 34%
- to BH 66%


Return Stats
Djokovic made...
- 48 (14 FH, 34 BH), including 2 return-approaches
- 1 Winner (1 FH)
- 11 Errors, comprising...
- 3 Unforced (3 BH)
- 8 Forced (5 FH, 3 BH)
- Return Rate (48/65) 74%

Federer made...
- 50 (16 FH, 34 BH), including 1 runaround FH and 1 return-approach
- 14 Errors, comprising...
- 6 Unforced (6 BH)
- 8 Forced (3 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (50/65) 77%

Break Points
Djokovic 3/6 (4 games)
Federer 1/1

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Djokovic 12 (9 FH, 3 BH)
Federer 16 (10 FH, 2 BH, 3 FHV, 1 OH)

Djokovic's FHs - 3 cc, 1 dtl, 2 inside-out and 3 inside-in (1 return)
- BHs - 1 dtl and 2 dtl/inside-out

Federer's FHs - 3 cc, 6 inside-out and 1 dtl/inside-out
- BHs - 1 dtl and 1 inside-out

- the OH was off a return-approach point

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Djokovic 26
- 13 Unforced (5 FH, 7 BH, 1 BHV)
- 13 Forced (5 FH, 7 BH, 1 Tweener)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 48.5

Federer 44
- 35 Unforced (17 FH, 17 BH, 1 FHV)
- 9 Forced (6 FH, 3 BH)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 44.3

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Djokovic was...
- 2/4 at net, with...
- 0/2 return-approaching
- 0/1 forced back

Federer was...
- 7/8 (88%) at net, including...
- 1/2 serve-volleying, both first serves (1 delayed)
---
- 1/1 return-approaching

Match Report
Superb from Djokovic, poor from Federer. The keys are Federer's low first serve percentage and inconsistency off the ground

Serve percentage often doesn't matter much on clay, but here, it clearly does..... Djoko wins 82% first serve points to 57% second serve, while Federer wins 78% first serve points and 48% second.... The court looks quick for clay

And Federer only manages to serve at 49% (Djoko 58%)… this isn't good for Federer

The key to playing dynamics, as is usually the case on clay, is frequency of errors. Fed is poor in making 35 unforced errors (Djokovic just 13)

Djokovic is well nigh flawless in the first set. In neutral rallying situations, his regulation groundies are deep (and powerful), not placed particularly far away from Fed and very consistent. He barely misses a ball. Anything hit back not strongly (as opposed to weakly) by Federer, Djoko amps up the aggression, stepping up and hitting even more deeply and powerfully - without looking like he's attacking and while maintaining his low error rate. And Fed struggles with these

Federer typically looks to use finer angles to attack and open the court.... and here Djoko shines even more. Not only does he get these moderately attacking shots he has to run down back, but he gets them back almost as deeply and powerfully as his regulation shots. Most of these would have been marked forced error if Djoko missed.... and such balls usually come back at best, neutrally and usually weakly

And this puts Fed in the same position he finds himself in neutral situations. The only way he can maintain control is when he has a strong positional advantage... and even then, Djoko gets more balls back then one might expect and forces Fed to hit one or two more shots.

Fed's FH errors tend to be attacking shots (though he doesn't react to Djoko's great defence by going for too much on attacking shots), while his BH errors tend to be neutral shots

Second set is a bit more mundance. Djoko is 'just' very consistent, without the added layer of tremendous on defence. Fed though, starts making more and more regulation errors in neutral rallies, even off the FH. Djoko holds easily, Fed is pushed on serve. Inevitably, Djoko breaks and steps up to serve out the match. At that stage, he'd won 24/25 first serve points(!)

Fed however, wakes up and against the run of play, breaks back. For the next 3 games, he hangs even with Djoko from the baseline (not making errors wise) and the rallies are longer

Tiebreak though sees him return to normal. The first point is a gruelling 20+ shot rally, ending with a Federer FH error. And that's the only mini-break in the game. Fed does make 3 more errors in the game (all on Djoko's service points)

Summing up, good-to-great from Djoko (its hard to be great all out when the opponent is playing as badly as Fed does), poorly error strewn from Fed. All in all, I would still credit Djoko more than discredit Fed.... especially in the first set, the Serb is first class

I would think Fed would have looked to come to net more when they met again at the next tournament, the French Open as that's where he'd been most successful (7/8 points won) and how he'd been outmatched from the baseline. Instead...
 
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Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Djokovic beat Federer 6-4, 7-5, 6-3 in the French Open semi-final, 2012 on clay

Djokovic won 101 points, Federer 76

(Note: I'm missing 1 Djokovic service point won by Djokovic)

Serve Stats
Djokovic....
- 1st serve percentage (61/90) 68%
- 1st serve points won (44/61) 72%
- 2nd serve points won (15/29) 52%
- Aces 6 (1 second serve)
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (21/90) 23%

Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (49/86) 57%
- 1st serve points won (28/49) 57%
- 2nd serve points won (16/37) 43%
- Aces 9 (1 second serve)
- Double Faults 3
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (21/86) 24%

Serve Pattern
Djokovic served...
- to FH 38%
- to BH 51%
- to Body 1%

Federer served...
- to FH 40%
- to BH 52%
- to Body 8%

Return Stats
Djokovic made...
- 62 (30 FH, 32 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 12 Errors, comprising...
- 4 Unforced (1 FH, 3 BH)
- 8 Forced (1 FH, 7 BH)
- Return Rate (62/83) 75%

Federer made...
- 67 (28 FH, 39 BH), including 3 runaround FHs
- 1 Winner (1 FH)
- 15 Errors, comprising...
- 3 Unforced (2 FH, 1 BH)
- 12 Forced (6 FH, 6 BH)
- Return Rate (67/88) 76%

Break Points
Djokovic 7/10 (7 games)
Federer 3/6 (4 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Djokovic 18 (10 FH, 4 BH, 2 FHV, 2 BHV)
Federer 24 (12 FH, 6 BH, 2 FHV, 1 BHV, 3 OH)

Djokovic's FHs - 6 cc, 3 inside-out and 1 running-down-a-drop-shot at net
- BHs - 1 cc and 3 dtl (1 return)
- 1 FHV was a swinging shot from behind the service line but has been counted a net point
- 1 BHV was played net-to-net

Federer's FHs - 4 cc, 1 longline/cc, 3 dtl (1 return), 2 inside-out and 2 running-down-drop-shots
- BHs - 2 cc (1 pass), 3 dtl (1 pass and 1 at net), 1 lob
- 1 FHV was a swinging shot
from behind the service line but has been counted a net point
- the BHV was very high and can reasonably be called a BHOH

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Djokovic 30
- 17 Unforced (6 FH, 10 BH, 1 BHV)
- 13 Forced (4 FH, 9 BH)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 42.3

Federer 57
- 47 Unforced (29 FH, 16 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)
- 10 Forced (4 FH, 6 BH)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 44.7

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)


Net Points & Serve-Volley

Djokovic was...
- 10/14 (71%) at net, including..
- 1/1 serve-volleying, a first serve
---
- 0/1 forced back

Federer was...
- 13/18 (72%) at net, including...
- 1/1 serve-volleying, a first serve...
---
- 1/1 forced back

Match Report
Another comprehensive win for Djokovic and another weak showing from Federer in a not dissimilar match to the Rome encounter, which I'll use as a frame of reference to describe play

Its a slower court than Rome, so the serve isn't as much of a factor and consistency of the ground is even more so. Federer serves better (57% to 49% in Rome) and is probably a bit better off the ground (makes errors at about the same high rate, but his winning offensive plays are better)

Djokovic for his part, is mostly very solid, with fine defence, excellent movement and a willingness to attack thrown in

First half of the first set is the highest quality of play in the two matches. Djokovic is typically solid while Federer's attacking shots all seem to land in... and he hits 6 winners in the first 5 games. These shots however, are 'just' great shots.... meaning he hits them from near out of nowhere without setting up the play or/and opening up the court first. Its rare for such a style of play to outdo solidity on clay over a long match.

And so it proves. Having broken to go up 3-2, Federer starts with the errors - and basically, doesn't stop. He'd made 7 in the first 5 games to go along with the 6 winners. In the next 5 games, he makes 12 with just 2 winners. Djoko breaks back immediately (6 point game, 4 FH errors from Fed) and breaks again to finish (5 point game, 3 FH errors from Fed)

Second set is topsy-turvy affair. Federer is ahead for most of the set... some combination of Djokovic clutching and Federer choking account for the final outcome

Down 0-3 and 2 breaks, Djokovic lashes out in game 4. 4 Federer first serve points - and he's broken to love in about 90 seconds, with Djoko swinging for the fences (1 low percentage BH dtl winner, 1 great return forcing an error and 2 Federer UEs). I wonder how often Federer has been broken so quickly, especially with all first serves in.

Federer has 3 chances to again go up 2 breaks, but Djoko commandingly wipes out 2 of them to hold for 3-4. 4 of the remaining 5 games are all breaks of serve, with Federer again making bucketloads of errors

The pressure of clutching/choking is all on the Swiss. In 'normal' times (i.e. - not break points or the server being close to being broken), Djoko is clearly the more consistent player. And he's able to maintain that level - not do anything spectacular or flashy - at critical times. So the onus is on Fed to do something special at these times. And... he can't. The key points are much like all the rest... baseline rallies, with Djoko being stronger and Fed looking more likely to and actually, making errors

Third set is more orthodox (just 1 break). Fed comes to net more, but not much and continues being a lot more error prone (Fed 12, Djoko 4)…. and that's the match.

Summing up, solid and consistent from Djokovic, with regulation groundstrokes that are deep and more powerful than most. Toe to toe against this, Federer is outmatched and loses most points by making unforced errors (47 of them, to Djokovic's 17)… and is neither able nor apparently looking to attack unduly (Note the low 44.7 UEFI. Djoko's is lower still - 42.3)
 
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