Duel Match Stats/Reports - Murray vs Federer, Canadian Open & Shanghai finals, 2010

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Andy Murray beat Roger Federer 7-5, 7-5 in the Canadian Open final, 2010 on hard court in Toronto

Murray was the defending champion. Earlier in the year, Federer had beaten Murray in the Australian Open final. The result took the head-to-head between the two to 7-5 in Murray's favour

Murray won 70 points, Federer 62

Serve Stats
Murray...
- 1st serve percentage (35/65) 54%
- 1st serve points won (26/35) 74%
- 2nd serve points won (15/30) 50%
- Aces 6 (1 second serve), Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 5
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (17/65) 26%

Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (42/67) 63%
- 1st serve points won (27/42) 64%
- 2nd serve points won (11/25) 44%
- Aces 4, Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (16/67) 23%

Serve Pattern
Murray served...
- to FH 27%
- to BH 67%
- to Body 7%

Federer served...
- to FH 38%
- to BH 52%
- to Body 11%

Return Stats
Murray made...
- 50 (22 FH, 28 BH)
- 2 Winners (1 FH, 1 BH)
- 11 Errors, comprising...
- 5 Unforced (2 FH, 3 BH)
- 6 Forced (1 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (50/66) 76%

Federer made...
- 43 (12 FH, 31 BH), including 2 return-approaches
- 10 Errors, comprising...
- 2 Unforced (1 FH, 1 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 8 Forced (2 FH, 6 BH)
- Return Rate (43/60) 72%

Break Points
Murray 5/10 (5 games)
Federer 3/4 (4 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Murray 16 (6 FH, 6 BH, 3 FHV, 1 BHV)
Federer 14 (7 FH, 2 BH, 1 FHV, 2 BHV, 1 OH, 1 BHOH)

Murray's FHs - 3 cc (1 return) and 3 inside-out
- BHs - 4 cc (3 passes - 1 return) and 2 dtl/inside-out (1 pass)

Federer's FHs - 3 cc, 1 dtl and 3 inside-out
- BHs - 1 dtl pass and 1 drop shot

- 1 from a return-approach point, a BHOH
- 1 FHV was a swinging shot from behind service line and has not been counted a net shot

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Murray 27
- 18 Unforced (13 FH, 4 BH, 1 BHV)
- 9 Forced (6 FH, 2 BH, 1 BHV)... with 3 FH running-down-drop-shots at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.2

Federer 36
- 26 Unforced (15 FH, 11 BH)
- 10 Forced (5 FH, 2 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV, 1 BH1/2V)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.9

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Murray was 6/12 (50%) at net

Federer was...
- 9/18 (50%) at net, including...
- 0/2 serve-volleying, both 1st serves
---
- 1/2 return-approaching
- 0/2 forced back

Match Report
Good match and excellent showing from Murray on the return, from the baseline and on the pass in particular. Federer plays decently but is starved of any rhythm on a quick-ish court

Slow start from Federer while Murray's on point from the get go, breaking twice to move ahead 3-0. 3 cc winners from Murray in his first two return games, while the second break in particular also features loose shots from Fed

Fed pulls a break back 1 of the breaks to love at once, finishing the game with a strong BH dtl and an OH. He breaks again as Murray serves for the set. Fed's first break starts with a Murray double fault and the second, ends with one

Tough game at 5-5 with very good solid returning from Murray and moving-around play, including net approaches (forced and otherwise). Murray wins the last 3 points to break - a strange Fed error where he seems to be trying to spin the cover of the ball or drop shot, a superb Murray FH running-down-drop-volley at net lob that forces a passing error and a Fed FH winner attempt miss. And holds to end the set - perfect BH dtl/inside-out pass to start the game and a BH cc - FHV combo ending with a winner highlighting the game

Wonderful set of tennis from Murray who has 12 winners and 10 UEs

Standard of play drops a bit in second set. Players trade breaks early off loose play by server. Murray gains the late break with a couple of great passes and on break point, a great wide BH return that allows him to take charge of point that he finishes with a BHV winner

Not an easy serve out. Fed with a very good BHOH winner after chip-charge returning moves to 15-30 and point after, misses an easy FH winner to open court. He manages to get a break point, only for Murray to respond with consecutive aces. And Murray goes on to finish strongly by forcing a pair of errors

Serve & Return
The key difference is the returns. Unreturned serve rates of 26% and 23% are small for a quick court. Why?

Murray returns Fed's serve with comfort. Not an exaggeration to even say 'ease'. Seemingly reading the shot, he's never caught out by direction or unduly stretched by Fed's wider serves. He's better still against second serves, which are strong, but Murray takes them from inside court and hits back firmly

Not just low 4 aces or 23% unreturned rate for Fed, but he doesn't even get much initiative on third ball. He tries a couple of serve-volleys - is passed once and forced into a BH1/2V error the second time. Fed serves about his norm of very good and at 63%... its the returning that accounts for difference in typical Fed showings, where there's plenty more unreturned and weakly returned shots

Fed takes to experimenting with direction, shifting from FH heavy pattern to more BH and mixing up pace of first serves. None of it affects Murray much. Great returning from Murray

On flip side, Murray has huge first serve that's at time overpowering, but only gets 54% in. Second serves are initially strong (by his standard) and not an invitation to attack as it can be. He even has an ace with it. As match wears on, he falls back on his regular second serve, which has no demons to it at all

Fed pushes and slices them back in play with no heat. Points start neutrally. With Murray having better of play, more was needed with the return. Murray wins 50% second serve points, which is 60% sans double faults (Fed wins 44% and has just 1 double)

Play - Baseline & Net
Excellent from Murray from the back, with his variety and constant change-ups the centerpiece. 16 winners, 18 UEs is good figure for him. Fed's 14 winners, 26 UEs isn't as bad as it looks... worst part of his showing is movement, which isn't bad but needs to be better to cope with what he's faced with

Virtually the only time Murray hits the same shot twice in a row is when hitting controlled BH cc's or more rarely, FH inside-outs to Federer's BH heavy enough that the rejoinder is at most neutral. Otherwise, he changes direction almost every shot. Longline shots of both sides are rarely out and out attacking but rather, strongly neutral change ups. He's as apt to to change up BH longline to go to Fed's FH as he is FH longline to the BH... its not about targetting a side, but keeping Fed on his toes

He draws an unforced FH error with a BH inside-out slice. Who plays that shot? And who would think to to a deadly FH/steady BH player like Federer?

Variety isn't limited to direction. spin, pace and depth of shots vary as well... especially the FH. On BH, Murray is more apt to standard, regulation cc'ng (occasionally switching it up to FH inside-out'ng) to break down Fed's BH... only then are his shots uniform. Occasionally, he'll whack a FH with point ending force from near regulation positions

All this leaves Federer without any rhythm, particularly since his initiative his serve gives him is minimized and he his returns leave Murray to dictate. 26 UEs is a poor figure, but not as bad as it looks. He's moved around a lot. Particularly early, he's a bit sluggish moving. UEs tend to be tricky or relatively hard.

On UEs, Fed has 15 on FH and 11 on BH. Generally, this is a good sign for him, indicating he has scope to also do damage (when its more BH UEs than FH, its usually more his simply being beat down or outlasted with less counter-play). Not so much here. Note moderate UEFI of 46.9 - about the same as Murray's 47.2. Breakdown of UEs -

- Neutral - Murray 9, Fed 13
- Attacking - Fed 5, Fed 8
- Winner Attempts - Murray 4, Fed 5

... with sizable amount of the neutral UEs being tough for both players (Fed for being moved around, Murray for dealing with hard hits and depth). To come out from the back, Fed would want more a higher lot of attacking errors to neutral ones

Very different reasons for equal (lack of) success at net, with both players winning just 50% in forecourt. Murray is forced to net by Fed's drop shots regularly and is on defensive up there (he has 3 running-down-drop-shot errors as well a flagrantly forced net-to-net BHV one). He actually does very well when he chooses to come into net to finish of points. Federer's low number is down to Murray passing superbly... no UEs for Fed at net, 3 FEs and Murray with 4 precise passing winners

Summing up, very good showing from Murray, with neutralizing returns against a strong serve, making what he can with strong first serves and controlling play with change-ups and moving his opponent around. Unduly passive 2nd serve returning from Fed and outplayed in a fluid, moderately attacking playing dynamic

Stats for pair's '10 Australian Open final - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...-vs-murray-australian-open-final-2010.634005/
Stats for semi between Federer and Novak Djokovic - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...okovic-canadadian-open-semifinal-2010.649811/
 

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Murray beat Federer 6-3, 6-2 in the Shanghai final, 2010 on hard court

Murray would go onto defend the title the following year

Murray won 70 points, Federer 52

Serve Stats
Murray...
- 1st serve percentage (28/53) 53%
- 1st serve points won (23/28) 82%
- 2nd serve points won (14/25) 56%
- Aces 6
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (14/53) 26%

Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (47/69) 68%
- 1st serve points won (30/47) 64%
- 2nd serve points won (6/22) 27%
- Aces 4 (1 not clean), Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (16/69) 23%

Serve Pattern
Murray served...
- to FH 25%
- to BH 71%
- to Body 4%

Federer served...
- to FH 40%
- to BH 55%
- to Body 4%

Return Stats
Murray made...
- 51 (19 FH, 32 BH)
- 11 Errors, comprising...
- 2 Unforced (1 FH, 1 BH)
- 9 Forced (4 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (51/67) 76%

Federer made...
- 38 (12 FH, 26 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 8 Errors, comprising...
- 3 Unforced (1 FH, 2 BH)
- 5 Forced (1 FH, 4 BH)
- Return Rate (38/52) 73%

Break Points
Murray 4/8 (6 games)
Federer 0/6 (4 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Murray 12 (7 FH, 4 BH, 1 BHV)
Federer 11 (7 FH, 2 BHV, 2 OH)

Murray's FHs - 3 cc (2 passes), 1 dtl pass, 1 inside-out at net and 1 drop shot
- BHs - 2 cc (1 pass), 2 dtl and 1 dtl/inside-out

Federer's FHs - 1 cc, 1 dtl/inside-out, 4 inside-out and 1 inside-in

- 1 from a serve-volley point, a first volley BHV

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Murray 24
- 14 Unforced (8 FH, 6 BH)
- 10 Forced (6 FH, 4 BH)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 42.9

Federer 42
- 34 Unforced (20 FH, 10 BH, 3 BHV, 1 OH)
- 8 Forced (2 FH, 4 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 48.2

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Murray was 4/4 (100%) at net

Federer was...
- 11/21 (52%) at net, including...
- 1/3 (33%) serve-volleying, all 1st serves

Match Report
Good from Murray and not bad from Federer on a fast court. Scoreline and stats are both deceptive

3 & 2 sounds routine. But Federer has his chances, with break points in a 4/8 Murray service games
Low unreturned rates (26% and 23%) suggest a slow court. Its actually quick and both players return well - Murray particularly so
Federer's 34 UEs looks horrendous. Its not as bad as it looks... rallies tend to be long, with varied direction changes and moving-opponent-around play (i.e. UEs tend to be on hard side)
Finally, the breakdown of Fed's UEs ends up reading 20 FHs and 10 BHs. Its actually his BH that stands out for being feeble
The biggest eye-catcher is Fed winning just 27% second serve points. That's down to Murray's return and superiority in play

Murray's first win over Federer was in '06 Cincinnati, which was a bona fida horror show from the Swiss. Here he plays short of well, but at least adequately

Serve & Return
Top notch returning from Murray. Fed serves at 68% on a quick court but Murray returns at 76%. Tough 1st serves are put in play and against good 2nd serving, he steps in and whacks returns hard and early. He makes Fed's serve look ordinary

Fed later goes in for wide placement over power. That's normal for him and it doesn't change the consistency or firmness of Murray's returning

On flip side, Murray bangs down his big 1st serve and Fed returns it regularly. The 2nd is normal (not the buffet ball it sometimes can be) and on this court, even that's potentially challenging. Fed isn't challenged to return it, but tends to just chip it back, leaving Murray in charge of third ball

Murray's return is the standout

Play - Baseline & Net
Action is similar to Canada match, but more tilted to Murray targeting Fed's BH

Murray's return is such that Fed doesn't get much initiative (and often, none at all) off third ball on first serves. On second serves, the return leaves Murray with initiative. That's a big step down from standard Federer serving situations, so some credit to Murray for that. Fed's below par attacking too while Murray is cagey of defence... running down balls and getting it to Fed's BH

That's usually enough to stop attacks. Fed is weak off the BH all match. 0 winners he barely hits a forceful shot all match (possibly 0). Solid BHs from Murray, with good depth. Fed falls back and swings hard against deep balls without hitting with authority. By his his standard, its inelegant as well as ineffective

Fed rarely slices neutrally. Few occasions he does, its more troublesome than the drives at least. Murray's able to runround to hit neutral FH inside-outs against it, but can't BH cc with authority

Another possibility for Fed is to hit more loopy BHs, focusing more on not giving up errors than hitting hard. Pete Sampras used to do this to reasonably good effect. Both generally and in this match, Fed doesn't. 1 point in which he hits loopy FH inside-outs hints at that trajectory being a useful alternative to driving BHs but he doesn't persevere with it. What does he have to lose? His drive BHs aren't damaging anyway, looks like they'll yield errors sooner or later and leaves him getting jammed on that side of the court

Initially, Murray leads with the same duel-winged, regular change ups and mix of paces display as in Canada match. Fed's FH starts loose, but tightens up after a few games. Continuing to explore, Murray finds the BH to be particular vulnerable and for most of match, directs balls there

Still, its the Fed FH that falters with 20 UEs - double the number on the BH. Some of this is the initial bad phase, some his moving around to take FHs that his BH looks uncomfortable against... and the rest, just normal error rate. And the FH does its share of damage - 7 winners, forcing about half of Murray's 10 FEs, directing play and setting up approaches. Not a good FH day, but not too bad either... he's had many worse. By the end, he's lost confidence in the shot and plays mild inside-outs to Murray's BH... you don't usually see a series of FH inside-outs by Roger Federer because he finishes points with it too soon

Murray remains solid, while working Federer around. As in Canada, much of Fed's 30 groundstroke UEs are on the move or against longline change up shots, including BHs to his FH. On a fast court, these can be tricky to handle

Out manuvered and outlasted from the back, Fed looks to come in to finish points. Its not an inviting prospect because Murray hits firmly all match. And as it turns out, passes superbly. Just 52% net points won by Fed. Murray has enough control from the back that coming in to finish points would be a good ploy for him too but ends up not bothering as he's winning with regularity from the back via Fed's errors. Just 4 trips forward for Murray - and he wins them all

UEFI breakdown maybe best describes nature of play. Murray's is very low at 42.9, Fed a high 48.2. UE breakdown -
- Neutral - Murray 11, Fed 14
- Attacking - Murray 2, Fed 12
- Winner Attempts - Murray 1, Fed 8

Neutrally, they're about equal, while Murray's 'neutral' shots are typically more varied and at least disarming, while good lot of Fed's are on the move or to deep balls
Great attacking efficiency for Murray. Just 3 errors attacking or more while he has ended 20 points by forcing errors or hitting winners
Fed's the opposite. 20 attacking/winner attempts errors to 21 winners/errors forced.... Murray's defence has a small hand, but largely discredit Fed here

Match Progression
Match starts with an excellent, sharply angled Fed FH cc winner to end a good rally, but his FH is off at start of match and gives up 5 UEs in first 3 games, after which he's down a break

Murray brings up his first break point with FH cc passing winner and next game, bops a BH cc winner from regulation position

Fed's under the gun again awhile later in a 16 point game where he has to save 3 break points. On his first game point, he misses a putaway OH but ends up holding by coming to net
Murray also has to save break points in 2 games as Fed steps up serve down 3-5

Murray breaks again to seal the set. Two fantastic winners to wrap up - a FH dtl pass from a very defensive position followed by a full scale running across and forward FH cc pass to an intentional short volley

Murray saves 4 break points in his first 2 service games of second set. Bad game from Fed to give up the break, missing regulation BH and third ball FH to give Murray break point. That point has to be replayed due to a bad line call with Fed set to putaway an OH and on the replay, Fed misses a third ball FH winner attempt

Fed's not been in the best of moods and the call doesn't help any. He plays more distractedly thereon and seemingly frustrated. Match ends with Murray's 4th break, a game Fed comes to net regularly in but both good passing from Murray and failure to handle makeable volleys from Fed sees him lose it

Summing up, another solid + varied showing from Murray with even better returning. Fed has his chances but his serve is neutralized, his returns leave him on back foot and is outplayed from the baseline

Stats for semi between Federer and Djokovic - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...okovic-shanghai-semi-finals-2010-2014.672651/
Stats for pair's '06 Cincinnati second round match - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...-federer-cincinnati-second-round-2006.666958/
 

Third Serve

G.O.A.T.
That Shanghai final was one of the best matches I’ve ever seen Murray play. Might be missing some more, of course, but that one sticks out.
 

ForehandRF

Hall of Fame
After that Shanghai final, Fed finally turned it around in the BO3 matches.I can't understand why Andy gave him so many problems in 2008-2010.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
After that Shanghai final, Fed finally turned it around in the BO3 matches.
When they next met in Shanghai (2012 semi-final) Murray straight setted him again.

I can't understand why Andy gave him so many problems in 2008-2010.
Fed used to be famously sniffy about Andy's game style despite his frequent early losses to him. I think it took him a while to realise that he had to respect it a bit more and adapt his own game style to counter it.
 
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