Rafael Nadal beat Novak Djokovic 7-5, 6-4, 6-2 in the French Open semi-final, 2007 on clay
Nadal was the defending champion and would go onto beat Roger Federer in the final to win his third title at the event. He had beaten Djokovic the previous year in the quarters and would do so again the following year in the semis. Djokovic was playing his first Slam semi and would go onto reach the same stage at his next 4 in succession, including winning the next Australian Open
Nadal won 106 points, Djokovic 75
Serve Stats
Nadal...
- 1st serve percentage (61/86) 71%
- 1st serve points won (45/61) 74%
- 2nd serve points won (15/25) 60%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (21/86) 24%
Djokovic...
- 1st serve percentage (68/95) 72%
- 1st serve points won (39/68) 57%
- 2nd serve points won (10/27) 37%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (14/95) 15%
Serve Pattern
Nadal served...
- to FH 12%
- to BH 85%
- to Body 4%
Djokovic served...
- to FH 28%
- to BH 72%
Return Stats
Nadal made...
- 80 (29 FH, 51 BH), including 8 runaround FHs
- 11 Errors, comprising...
- 4 Unforced (2 FH, 2 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 7 Forced (2 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (80/94) 85%
Djokovic made...
- 64 (8 FH, 56 BH), including 4 runaround FHs
- 18 Errors, comprising...
- 9 Unforced (2 FH, 7 BH)
- 9 Forced (3 FH, 6 BH)
- Return Rate (64/85) 75%
Break Points
Nadal 6/9 (8 games)
Djokovic 2/6 (4 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Nadal 31 (23 FH, 6 BH, 2 OH)
Djokovic 23 (11 FH, 5 BH, 3 FHV, 2 BHV, 2 OH)
Nadal's FHs - 5 cc, 2 cc/inside-in, 2 dtl, 8 inside-out, 1 inside-out/dtl, 3 inside-in, 1 longline pass and 1 drop shot
- BHs - 5 cc (2 passes) and 1 dtl pass
- 1 OH was on the bounce and 1 other can reasonably be called a FHV but was a smash
Djokovic's FHs - 2 cc, 1 dtl, 5 inside-out, 2 inside-in and 1 longline
- BHs - 3 cc (1 pass) and 2 drop shots
- 1 FHV was played net-to-net
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Nadal 37
- 15 Unforced (10 FH, 5 BH)… with 1 FH at net
- 22 Forced (12 FH, 9 BH, 1 BHV)… with 1 FH at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.7
Djokovic 53
- 41 Unforced (16 FH, 25 BH)
- 12 Forced (4 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)… with 1 FH at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.1
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Nadal was...
- 5/12 (42%) at net, with...
- 0/1 forced/back retreated
Djokovic was...
- 14/21 (67%) at net, including...
- 0/1 serve-volleying, a 1st serve
Match Report
Two tough sets of gruelling baseline rallies, while the last is Djokovic capitulating. Tough as the first two sets are, Nadal remains significantly the better player in them. It being 'tough' is more a reflection of the surface and the two men's playing styles than of the contest itself. Djokovic though plays well, despite the stats
The overall stats look deceptive even to the one who took them - and requires some explanation
The standout stat is Djokovic with 41 unforced errors in play (Nadal has 15). Djoko's unforced errors (including return errors and double faults) amount to 51 points... nearly half of the 106 points Nadal won. That looks like a terrible showing
First, rallies are typically long, with heavy regulation shots and good defence from both players. Clay being what it is, points turn into who-blinks-first dynamic... whoever wins, the point is likely to end with an unforced error
- heaviness of regulation shots that both players 'unforced errors' tend to be on the hard side of being unforced
- long rallies means for every error made, many shots were successfully made preceding it. normal clay stuff in short
- good defence means forced errors are kept down because balls that would force an error, don't. making it more likely points will ultimately end with unforced ones. Credit to the defence of the players here, not discredit to the attack. this is also normal for good clay court tennis
Serve & Return
Djokovic serves significantly better but Nadal's advantage on the return is greater than Djoko's on the serve. On whole, Nadal comes out ahead on serve-return complex due to Djoko's comparative not-good returning
('not-good' relative to Nadal and by the standard of what he needed to do to have chances to win. By a normal standard, its fine)
There are no demons to Nadal's serve. Average power, safe placement, very predictably to BH (he serves 85% there). The one weapon he has is the high concentration to Djoko's BH means that odd serves to the FH tend to catch the Serb out. Note Djoko with 3 FH FEs, to 6 BHs... given the BH was copping 7 times the number of serves, that looks disproportionately high for FH. Its actually not due to any FH return weakness, just being caught out by odd serves there.
Djoko makes just 8 FH returns and makes 5 errors (he's also aced on break there once). Just a minority play and not too significant issue. But trailing in play as he does, every little bit is significant for him - and he'd need to not give away points by being surprised by change up serves in this way
Not good returning from Djoko. 24% unreturned serves is flattering to quality of Nadal's serve. A good returner like Djoko was quite capable of cutting that figure by half. Its as high as it is partially because Djoko enters match-is-gone-who-cares mode in third set... but a bit too many unnecessary missed returns. I've probably been generous in marking 18 of the return errors as forced. Most are against first serves, but regulation Nadal ones... on clay in particular, they don't necessarily warrant being marked forced (most of the 9 unforced ones are also first serves)
You could say Djoko's returning is like his ground game in play... misses a few on a natural error rate, but its higher than he can afford. Some good deep returns, but Nadal's too solid to be troubled. Even whacks away a winner of a sharply angled return that would likely have won the point against most players
By contrast, Djoko serves particularly well. For one things, his serve is a lot bigger than Rafa's. He doesn't go big on all first serves, but quite regularly - and even the ones he holds back on are decent. To serve at 72% in that style is very impressive
Nadal's too good returning though. Strong serves or otherwise are put back in play . Just 15% unreturned rate for Djoko. And as the huge first serve points and second serve points won (20%) along with the outright poor second serve points won (just 37%), he needs the serve to give him initiative he can nurse to winning points
Some powerful, court opening serves from Djoko (Nadal doesn't do this) that leaves him open court to hit winners into or force flagrant errors. Even then, Nadal manages to thwart a few or extend the rally with ridiculous 4th ball gets. Negligible attacking third ball errors from Djoko - he does well here. Nadal also hits a bunch of third ball winners, but that's more about the quality of the shot then serve that preceded it
Key to serve-return complex is Nadal's return. He misses very little, minimizing Djoko's potential advantage
Nadal was the defending champion and would go onto beat Roger Federer in the final to win his third title at the event. He had beaten Djokovic the previous year in the quarters and would do so again the following year in the semis. Djokovic was playing his first Slam semi and would go onto reach the same stage at his next 4 in succession, including winning the next Australian Open
Nadal won 106 points, Djokovic 75
Serve Stats
Nadal...
- 1st serve percentage (61/86) 71%
- 1st serve points won (45/61) 74%
- 2nd serve points won (15/25) 60%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (21/86) 24%
Djokovic...
- 1st serve percentage (68/95) 72%
- 1st serve points won (39/68) 57%
- 2nd serve points won (10/27) 37%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (14/95) 15%
Serve Pattern
Nadal served...
- to FH 12%
- to BH 85%
- to Body 4%
Djokovic served...
- to FH 28%
- to BH 72%
Return Stats
Nadal made...
- 80 (29 FH, 51 BH), including 8 runaround FHs
- 11 Errors, comprising...
- 4 Unforced (2 FH, 2 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 7 Forced (2 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (80/94) 85%
Djokovic made...
- 64 (8 FH, 56 BH), including 4 runaround FHs
- 18 Errors, comprising...
- 9 Unforced (2 FH, 7 BH)
- 9 Forced (3 FH, 6 BH)
- Return Rate (64/85) 75%
Break Points
Nadal 6/9 (8 games)
Djokovic 2/6 (4 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Nadal 31 (23 FH, 6 BH, 2 OH)
Djokovic 23 (11 FH, 5 BH, 3 FHV, 2 BHV, 2 OH)
Nadal's FHs - 5 cc, 2 cc/inside-in, 2 dtl, 8 inside-out, 1 inside-out/dtl, 3 inside-in, 1 longline pass and 1 drop shot
- BHs - 5 cc (2 passes) and 1 dtl pass
- 1 OH was on the bounce and 1 other can reasonably be called a FHV but was a smash
Djokovic's FHs - 2 cc, 1 dtl, 5 inside-out, 2 inside-in and 1 longline
- BHs - 3 cc (1 pass) and 2 drop shots
- 1 FHV was played net-to-net
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Nadal 37
- 15 Unforced (10 FH, 5 BH)… with 1 FH at net
- 22 Forced (12 FH, 9 BH, 1 BHV)… with 1 FH at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.7
Djokovic 53
- 41 Unforced (16 FH, 25 BH)
- 12 Forced (4 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)… with 1 FH at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.1
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Nadal was...
- 5/12 (42%) at net, with...
- 0/1 forced/back retreated
Djokovic was...
- 14/21 (67%) at net, including...
- 0/1 serve-volleying, a 1st serve
Match Report
Two tough sets of gruelling baseline rallies, while the last is Djokovic capitulating. Tough as the first two sets are, Nadal remains significantly the better player in them. It being 'tough' is more a reflection of the surface and the two men's playing styles than of the contest itself. Djokovic though plays well, despite the stats
The overall stats look deceptive even to the one who took them - and requires some explanation
The standout stat is Djokovic with 41 unforced errors in play (Nadal has 15). Djoko's unforced errors (including return errors and double faults) amount to 51 points... nearly half of the 106 points Nadal won. That looks like a terrible showing
First, rallies are typically long, with heavy regulation shots and good defence from both players. Clay being what it is, points turn into who-blinks-first dynamic... whoever wins, the point is likely to end with an unforced error
- heaviness of regulation shots that both players 'unforced errors' tend to be on the hard side of being unforced
- long rallies means for every error made, many shots were successfully made preceding it. normal clay stuff in short
- good defence means forced errors are kept down because balls that would force an error, don't. making it more likely points will ultimately end with unforced ones. Credit to the defence of the players here, not discredit to the attack. this is also normal for good clay court tennis
Serve & Return
Djokovic serves significantly better but Nadal's advantage on the return is greater than Djoko's on the serve. On whole, Nadal comes out ahead on serve-return complex due to Djoko's comparative not-good returning
('not-good' relative to Nadal and by the standard of what he needed to do to have chances to win. By a normal standard, its fine)
There are no demons to Nadal's serve. Average power, safe placement, very predictably to BH (he serves 85% there). The one weapon he has is the high concentration to Djoko's BH means that odd serves to the FH tend to catch the Serb out. Note Djoko with 3 FH FEs, to 6 BHs... given the BH was copping 7 times the number of serves, that looks disproportionately high for FH. Its actually not due to any FH return weakness, just being caught out by odd serves there.
Djoko makes just 8 FH returns and makes 5 errors (he's also aced on break there once). Just a minority play and not too significant issue. But trailing in play as he does, every little bit is significant for him - and he'd need to not give away points by being surprised by change up serves in this way
Not good returning from Djoko. 24% unreturned serves is flattering to quality of Nadal's serve. A good returner like Djoko was quite capable of cutting that figure by half. Its as high as it is partially because Djoko enters match-is-gone-who-cares mode in third set... but a bit too many unnecessary missed returns. I've probably been generous in marking 18 of the return errors as forced. Most are against first serves, but regulation Nadal ones... on clay in particular, they don't necessarily warrant being marked forced (most of the 9 unforced ones are also first serves)
You could say Djoko's returning is like his ground game in play... misses a few on a natural error rate, but its higher than he can afford. Some good deep returns, but Nadal's too solid to be troubled. Even whacks away a winner of a sharply angled return that would likely have won the point against most players
By contrast, Djoko serves particularly well. For one things, his serve is a lot bigger than Rafa's. He doesn't go big on all first serves, but quite regularly - and even the ones he holds back on are decent. To serve at 72% in that style is very impressive
Nadal's too good returning though. Strong serves or otherwise are put back in play . Just 15% unreturned rate for Djoko. And as the huge first serve points and second serve points won (20%) along with the outright poor second serve points won (just 37%), he needs the serve to give him initiative he can nurse to winning points
Some powerful, court opening serves from Djoko (Nadal doesn't do this) that leaves him open court to hit winners into or force flagrant errors. Even then, Nadal manages to thwart a few or extend the rally with ridiculous 4th ball gets. Negligible attacking third ball errors from Djoko - he does well here. Nadal also hits a bunch of third ball winners, but that's more about the quality of the shot then serve that preceded it
Key to serve-return complex is Nadal's return. He misses very little, minimizing Djoko's potential advantage
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