Duel Match Stats/Reports - Nadal vs Raonic & Nadal vs Isner, Canadian Open & Cincinnati finals, 2013


Hall of Fame
Rafael Nadal beat Milos Raonic 6-2, 6-2 in the Canadian Open final, 2013 on hard court in Montreal

It was Nadal's third title at the event. He would follow it up by winning the next Masters event at Cincinnati. Raonic was playing in his first Masters final

Nadal won 55 points, Raonic 31

Serve Stats
- 1st serve percentage (28/40) 70%
- 1st serve points won (22/28) 79%
- 2nd serve points won (11/12) 92%
- Aces 4
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (18/40) 45%

- 1st serve percentage (23/46) 50%
- 1st serve points won (14/23) 61%
- 2nd serve points won (10/23) 43%
- Aces 4, Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 3
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (14/46) 30%

Serve Pattern
Nadal served...
- to FH 23%
- to BH 53%
- to Body 25%

Raonic served...
- to FH 44%
- to BH 53%
- to Body 2%

Return Stats
Nadal made...
- 29 (8 FH, 21 BH)
- 1 Winner (1 FH)
- 9 Errors, comprising...
- 2 Unforced (1 FH, 1 BH)
- 7 Forced (6 FH, 1 BH)
- Return Rate (29/43) 67%

Raonic made...
- 22 (11 FH, 11 BH)
- 14 Errors, comprising...
- 10 Unforced (3 FH, 7 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 4 Forced (2 FH, 2 BH)
- Return Rate (22/40) 55%

Break Points
Nadal 4/4
Raonic 0/3 (1 game)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Nadal 12 (9 FH, 3 BH)
Raonic 3 (3 FH)

Nadal's FHs - 2 cc (1 pass), 3 dtl (1 return), 3 inside-out and 1 inside-in/cc
- BHs (all passes) - 2 cc and 1 dtl

Raonic's FHs - 1 dtl and 2 inside-out

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Nadal 14
- 7 Unforced (6 FH, 1 BHV)
- 7 Forced (4 FH, 3 BH)... with 1 FH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 50

Raonic 22
- 16 Unforced (10 FH, 6 BH)
- 6 Forced (3 FH, 2 FHV, 1 BHV)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.3

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Nadal was 0/2 at net

Raonic was...
- 4/11 (36%) at net, including...
- 0/2 serve-volleying, both 1st serves

Match Report
Terrible from Raonic - especially on the return, on his groundstroke consistency and movement - severely limiting how well Nadal has scope to play because there's little for him to do than put the ball in court to win points. Conditions are slow-ish

Solid serving from Nadal, getting 70% in. 45% unreturned rate is highly flattering to him and a product of Raonic returning very poorly

Note Nadal winning all but 1 second serve point - 11/12 or 92%. Raonic misses return on 7 of them. Just normal, Nadal second serves - but Raonic can't make the return. His movement is as much as fault as the shot itself. Good lot of body serves from Nadal (25% of them)... to see Raonic get jammed on them, you'd think he was facing his own pace serving. They're actually fairly routine serves - even the first serves - he just can't get out of way to play them properly. Not that that's a big difference against regulation serves in swing zone

Nadal starts looking to play solid from baseline, as is his wont. Raonic is so poor off the ground - it takes 2-3 shots for him to give up a UE, usually a neutral shot - that Nadal's has luxary of being a bit more attacking from the back. Goes for attacking FH dtl's more than usual

High 50 UEFI for Nadal reflects this and speaks both to his not missing neutral shots as well as being attacking. Figure 50 playing from baseline usually reflects high very aggressive play. Nadal occasionally has very high score in this area due to very low neutral errors. That's true in this match, but by far more due to Raonic giving up errors early than any outstanding consistency from Nadal. He doesn't have scope to be outstanding - rallies don't last long enough for it

Nadal's baseline aggression comes through in 9 FH winners too, while he has 0 BH UEs. Doesn't have to play many. Raonic plays BH cc's and FH inside-outs

Near 0 interest in coming forward by Nadal. He's at net twice - 1 is a forced approach, the other as he serves out the match - and loses both points

Raonic doesn't serve particularly well. Just 50% in and getting 30% unreturned on this court with a figure like that is decent. Good second serves too, but Nadal is typically sure in putting balls in play

He's very poor off the ground, giving up UEs quickly. Odd good FH inside-out, but not many (forces 4 errors from Nadal's FH). Coming to net isn't easy against Nadal's heavy groundstrokes. Raonic looks to do so to the BH - and keeps getting burnt by strong passes. More credit Nadal's passing than discredit Raonic here

Finally, Raonic's movements leave much to be desired. He's slow in all areas - including moving for return. Its easy to imagine Nadal having a field day moving him around, but he doesn't need to and neutral groundies are enough to draw errors

Match Progression
Match starts as it doesn't continue. Raonic holds to 15 with 2 aces, a service winner and a FH dtl winner. The only point he loses is when Nadal passes him BH dtl for a winner - that part at least stays the same

Rest of match, Raonic has 2 aces, no more service winners and 2 more winners

Nadal first breaks to 30 in a game with 2 third ball UEs and a mild FE caused as much by slow movement as Nadal's shot. He gains the second break after being down 40-0. In between, Nadal loses just 1 service point

Raonic is broken to start the second set too, with 2 double faults sinking him. Few games later, he has his only break points through a sharp BH cc and a net point to go up 0-40. Nadal wins the next 5 points to hold - including sending down 2 aces. The key point is the 3rd break point, where Nadal finds a difficult BH cc passing winner

Nadal adds another break with Raonic missing a FH winner attempt on break point before serving it out

Summing up, very easy win for Nadal, who's solid. Story of match though is Raonic playing atrociously. I wouldn't draw any conclusions about Nadal's form from this match - its like a first round encounter against a qualifier

Stats for Nadal's semi with Novak Djokovic - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...jokovic-canadian-open-semi-final-2013.670318/
Last edited:


Hall of Fame
Nadal beat John Isner 7-6(8), 7-6(3) in the Cincinnati final, 2013 on hard court

Nadal became the first player since 2003 to win Canadian Open and Cincinnati in same year. He'd go onto win the upcoming US Open. The unseeded Isner had come through the draw beating Raonic, Novak Djokovic and Juan Martin del Potro among others

Nadal won 84 points, Isner 74

Serve Stats
- 1st serve percentage (56/77) 73%
- 1st serve points won (47/56) 84%
- 2nd serve points won (15/21) 71%
- Aces 6 (1 second serve)
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (23/77) 30%

- 1st serve percentage (62/81) 77%
- 1st serve points won (46/62) 74%
- 2nd serve points won (13/19) 68%
- Aces 11, Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (27/81) 33%

Serve Pattern
Nadal served...
- to FH 44%
- to BH 52%
- to Body 4%

Isner served...
- to FH 43%
- to BH 58%

Return Stats
Nadal made...
- 53 (16 FH, 37 BH)
- 15 Errors, comprising...
- 2 Unforced (2 FH, BH)
- 13 Forced (6 FH, 7 BH)
- Return Rate (53/80) 66%

Isner made...
- 52 (27 FH, 25 BH), including 4 runaround FHs
- 17 Errors, comprising...
- 10 Unforced (5 FH, 5 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 7 Forced (2 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (52/75) 69%

Break Points
Nadal 0
Isner 0/3 (2 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Nadal 18 (12 FH, 1 BH, 1 FHV, 3 BHV, 1 OH)
Isner 25 (21 FH, 2 FHV, 1 BHV, 1 OH)

Nadal's FHs - 2 cc, 2 dtl (1 pass), 6 inside-out, 1 inside-in and 1 drop shot
- BHs - 1 dtl pass

Isner's FHs - 2 cc, 7 dtl (1 pass), 9 inside-out (1 at net), 2 inside-in and 1 drop shot

- 1 FHV was a swinging shot
- the BHV was hit from no-man's land and has not been counted a net point

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Nadal 20
- 12 Unforced (7 FH, 4 BH, 1 BHV)
- 8 Forced (5 FH, 2 BH, 1 FHV)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.5

Isner 42
- 33 Unforced (18 FH, 10 BH, 3 FHV, 2 BHV)
- 9 Forced (3 FH, 5 BH, 1 BHV)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 48.5

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Nadal was 8/13 (62%) at net

Isner was...
- 10/18 (56%) at net, including...
- 3/3 (100%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 1/1 off 1st serve and...
- 2/2 off 2nd serve

Match Report
Very tight match. Nadal takes it in two tiebreaks, without having a single break point in the match, while Isner has them in 1 game each set. Its rare enough for a player to win without breaking serve. How often does a player win without seeing a break point?

Despite that, its not a particularly fast court. groundstrokes regularly bounce shoulder high and kick serves rise very sharply - Nadal regularly returns them from about head high, and even the very tall Isner faces chest-to-shoulder high returns. Its also not an overly serve-bottish match, contrary to what one might expect. 33% unreturned serves is moderate for Isner

Keys to play would be Isner's serve, both players FHs (Isner's is less expected than Nadal's) and Nadal's large consistency advantage

Isner's serve
John Isner serving at 77% is likely to be a tall task for any returner to face. Pace isn't overwhelming, but bounce is. Shoulder and even head high returns are normal for Nadal to face

Wider first serves are the most dangerous and he has 11 aces. But when ball is in swing zone, its the seconds that are even tougher than the firsts because they bounce up still higher. And just 1 double fault

Very good returning from Nadal to get 66% back in play. Half way through second set, he takes to returning with racquet held vertically. Doesn't seem to occur to Isner to serve-volley and dispatch a few volleys against it. Not that he needs to - he holds 12 times without facing break point

Nadal's serve is decent too. In first set, Isner returns very consistently, enabling rallies, which Nadal commands. Nadal does have something in reserve though and when in a spot of trouble, sends down strong serves that don't come back. Second set, Isner's returning falls away and he makes plenty of errors, allowing for simpler holds for Nadal

FHs, Groundgame & Net
The two players combine for 33 FH winners to 25 UEs, Isner having the lions share in both categories

Tremendous FH hitting for Isner, who has 21 winners. He hits them with terrific power. Most aren't easy shots set up by the serve. And look at the variety - 9 inside-out, 7 dtl, a pair cc and inside-in each. And a drop shot. And he picks when to go for them. At other times, he rallies neutrally off the shot. His height helps with ball rising to what would be an awkward level for most people is a comfortable stomach/lower ribs for him to obliterate the ball

Nadal too regularly looks to step in and end points with the FH, and has 12 winners, 6 of them inside-out. Like Isner, his dtl does damage too and he looks for it fairly often.

FH fireworks aside, there's plenty of neutral play too. And Nadal typically outplays Isner in them. 12 UEs for Nadal, 33 for Isner. Isner is the one falling back from the baseline and counter-punching. With a consistency gap that large, he'd likely be better of blazing FHs. What does he have to lose? Despite the huge damage his FH does, he does play neutrally off that side, and its quite error prone.

No contest on the BH. Nadal largely locks down that side and gives up just 4 UEs. Isner has 10, no winners and shot is impotent

Part of Nadal's attacking game is coming to net to finish points, not always from overly advantageous position. When Isner comes in, he faces at least firmly hit passes that he isn't good enough to volley. 5 UEs on the volley to 4 winners is a very poor ratio for net shots

Match Progression
Comfortable holds throughout first set, but there are prospects for counter-play. Isner makes returns to get rallies going. After 29 service points, Nadal only has 4 unreturned serves (and 2 double faults) and Isner has 2 break and set points at 6-5.

Next 4 points are all unreturned serves - including a 2nd serve ace that surprises Isner who was anticipating another serve to his BH. Play for set is heavily weighed to FHs. Both players back away to hit FHs whenever possible and scarcely a BH to be seen

Players trade mini-breaks in tiebreak missing FH winner attempts. At 8-8 on serve, Isner approaches FH inside-in and misses a regulation FHV winner. Aggressive FH inside-out had served him well and was probably better shot choice. And Nadal converts his 3rd set point

Second set is less lively and has many more unreturned serves. First set had 88 points, the second just 70. Isner has the only break point in game 7 on which Nadal hits a very good, low BHV winner. Nadal's best chance of match comes in game 10 when he's up 0-30. Next 4 points see 2 unreturned serves and 2 third ball FH winners

In second tiebreak, Nadal's always in control after winning first point by forcing a BH error and Isner missing a regulation FH awhile late. 5-2 up, Nadal misses a BHV on his service point but ends match couple points later with a FH dtl passing winner

Summing up, very tight match. Monster serving from Isner and huge FH hitting to back it up, but his BH is weak, he fails at net and at times, struggles to return regulation balls. Nadal is solid with the serve, does very well to return heavy, head high balls as well as possible and plays a good combination of solid and attacking tennis from baseline

Next to nothing in the result, decided by a pair of tiebreaks where Nadal keeps a cool head to maintain his level, Isner faltering just enough to fall behind

Stats for Nadal's quarter-final with Roger Federer - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...federer-cincinnati-quarter-final-2013.670440/
Stats for '13 US Open final between Nadal and Novak Djokovic - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...-nadal-vs-djokovic-us-open-final-2013.633492/


@Waspsting would you mind analyzing Nadal-Isner '11 RG? I know it was just R1 but still quite notable as a very rare 5-set match of Nadal at RG, and Isner seemed to play well there.
  • Like
Reactions: RS


Hall of Fame
@Waspsting would you mind analyzing Nadal-Isner '11 RG? I know it was just R1 but still quite notable as a very rare 5-set match of Nadal at RG, and Isner seemed to play well there.
I'll keep an eye out for it

I seem to recall it being up on youtube previously (might be mistaken). its not there now
French Open tends to be protective, and has their full matches taken down more than other events