Expectations for Carlos Alcaraz in 2024

Aabye5

Aabye5

G.O.A.T.
This is the main question for tennis at the moment. Many seem to predict that Djokovic will maintain the status quo for the time being, or that Sinner will finally join the ranks of real challengers (by real I mean Slam contenders). Medvedev did well to reach the US Open final again, but few have picked him for further major glory.

That leaves Carlos Alcaraz as the linchpin between the future and present of tennis. What he accomplishes next year is critical to the GOAT debate and the state of tennis overall. Sinner won 2 out of 3 of there matches in 2023, and Medvedev prevented a third straight match up between Carlos and Nole at the majors. On the other hand, no one else has been able to consistently compete with Novak on the biggest stages in over a year really.

Three questions for tennis fans:
1. Does Carlitos win at least one major in 2024?
2. Will his rivalries against Medvedev and Sinner begin to play bigger roles at the majors?
3. How many M1000s will he win in 2024?
 
ryushen21

ryushen21

Legend
All solid questions. And I think it boils down to how much he's able to improve on his weaknesses and maintain his fitness.

1. I think he has at least one Slam in him for 2024. More than that if he's able to stay consistent and injury free.
2. Sinner will be a problem for him and likely others. Again, that is contingent on him maintaining his newfound level.
3. That's probably the hardest one to guess at.
 
BeatlesFan

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
Good thread, OP.

1. I think Carlos wins at least one slam in 2024, hopefully two. We have to see how Rafa's form is on the clay, but if he's not a factor, Carlos can win RG and then the USO. I doubt he'll defend his Wimbledon title.

2. Carlos should own Med on every surface, he's not going to be any obstacle for him in slams. Not sure about Sinner, let's see if he can carry his form into next year. I'd favor Carlos over Sinner in BO5, especially at RG.

3. How many Masters 1000's? Again, it depends on Nadal on clay. Carlos should win Madrid and Rome if Nadal is too old to get it into gear. IW and Miami are definitely possible too. Let's say three 1000 titles in 2024.

But he must remain injury-free, a big ask.
 
D

Dwell

Guest
NeutralFan said:
As an Alcaraz fan I have zero expectations from him , he will be lucky to win one slam. Imo , Sinner will dominate him and win more slams than him next year ..
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NaturesReflection-ABPF-EN-C-1E.jpg
 
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J

Jonesy

Legend
Dominate the tour except Sinner and Djokovic. Perhaps some trouble against Med if they face at a HC slam again.

No idea about Nadal, but if he is on then he could also be a factor against Alcaraz on clay.
 
nolefam_2024

nolefam_2024

G.O.A.T.
1. Does Carlitos win at least one major in 2024?
Yes. He played 1 QF in 2021. 1 QF and 1 title in 2022 and 2 SF and 1 title in 2023.
His win ratio went from 66% in 2021 to 84% in 2022 to 89.5% in 2023 in grand slams. This guy is going to dominate tennis next year. I think 1 or 2 slams for him if Nole wins at least 1, and maybe even 3 if Nole doesn't win anything. He is above the rest.

2. Will his rivalries against Medvedev and Sinner begin to play bigger roles at the majors?
I think he has already solved Medvedev. He is just so young that sometimes he had lack of focus like in the tiebreak vs Medvedev in USOpen because he looked great in before TB. Then things went south very fast. But looking at his performance in Wimbledon, he has figured out Medvedev completely. I think next year he will dominate Medvedev just like Novak dominates him. Novak has won 5 of the last 6 matches vs Medvedev.
Now vs Sinner, its different. Both are same age, and Alcaraz has some more time to be physically at his peak. But Sinner too. I think Next year he might trade wins vs Sinner but in important matches (finals) I think Alcaraz will prevail.

3. How many M1000s will he win in 2024?
This is not possible to accurately guess but I will give it a try. Alcaraz is having great chances at IW (slow hc), Madrid. I think in Miami too. But he is contender at each of the masters. The easiest of these for him might be Rome, MC, Rogers cup. I think he wins 3 masters next year, possibly 2 if he loses many close matches.

All of these only if he is physically fit for entire year. He skipped AO this year, so we know till now he has been fragile. So we have to keep that in mind too.
 
dking68

dking68

Legend
nachiket nolefam said:
1. Does Carlitos win at least one major in 2024?
Yes. He played 1 QF in 2021. 1 QF and 1 title in 2022 and 2 SF and 1 title in 2023.
His win ratio went from 66% in 2021 to 84% in 2022 to 89.5% in 2023 in grand slams. This guy is going to dominate tennis next year. I think 1 or 2 slams for him if Nole wins at least 1, and maybe even 3 if Nole doesn't win anything. He is above the rest.

2. Will his rivalries against Medvedev and Sinner begin to play bigger roles at the majors?
I think he has already solved Medvedev. He is just so young that sometimes he had lack of focus like in the tiebreak vs Medvedev in USOpen because he looked great in before TB. Then things went south very fast. But looking at his performance in Wimbledon, he has figured out Medvedev completely. I think next year he will dominate Medvedev just like Novak dominates him. Novak has won 5 of the last 6 matches vs Medvedev.
Now vs Sinner, its different. Both are same age, and Alcaraz has some more time to be physically at his peak. But Sinner too. I think Next year he might trade wins vs Sinner but in important matches (finals) I think Alcaraz will prevail.

3. How many M1000s will he win in 2024?
This is not possible to accurately guess but I will give it a try. Alcaraz is having great chances at IW (slow hc), Madrid. I think in Miami too. But he is contender at each of the masters. The easiest of these for him might be Rome, MC, Rogers cup. I think he wins 3 masters next year, possibly 2 if he loses many close matches.

All of these only if he is physically fit for entire year. He skipped AO this year, so we know till now he has been fragile. So we have to keep that in mind too.
Click to expand...
Sinner is the best out of the new gen on hard. Probably wins - Miami, Toronto/Cincy and Shanghai
 
dking68

dking68

Legend
nachiket nolefam said:
That will be settled on court next year. Alcaraz has won 2 masters and a slam on HC. Sinner has won 1 masters.
Click to expand...
But Sinner is stronger on a hard court and his qualities are stronger than Alcaraz - Sinner has a better serve, backhand, return of serve and equal forehand. 48-9 on hard vs 28-9

Sinner will dominate in the 0-7 shot rally length on a hard court over Alcaraz and im picking him over Alcaraz at all hard court events - indoor and outdoor
 
J

Jonas78

Legend
1. I expect him to win a slam, but that said, i feel i have been failed by every new player for the last 15 years.

2. I dont expect rivalries vs Sinner/Med. Djokovic and Alcaraz will probably and hopefully be pretty consistent, the rest of the field is a mess. Im happy to be proved wrong.

3. Lets say 2 Masters.
 
dking68

dking68

Legend
Federer and Del Potro said:
3-4 if @Kralingen doesn't hype him
0-1 if @Kralingen does hype him

Alcaraz fans should direct paypal payments to Kral if they want a 3-4 slam season.

Regards,

Fedpo
Click to expand...
@Kralingen will soon come to his senses. Sinner is a bigger investment than Alcaraz. Talent can take you so far, but he doesn’t have the size to dominate on fast surfaces/hardcourt and win easy points off his serve like Sinner does. Year end #3 for Alcaraz no doubt.
 
NeutralFan

NeutralFan

G.O.A.T.
dking68 said:
Join the Sinner train now bud. Alcaraz is the same, Sinner is going up up and away
Click to expand...

Are you stupid or what?son! You're asking him to join Sinner Train ? He has seriously jinxed every players he hyped. Keep him away from Sinner and let him hype the Teeth
 
M

Midaso240

Legend
I'll take him to win RG, can't predict anything more than that at this stage. But he should win RG unless Rafa is somehow back to 75%+
 
DSH

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
In addition to everything you have said, he and Nadal will form a golden doubles to give eternal glory to Spain in Paris 2024.
:cool:
 
L

Lauren_Girl'

Hall of Fame
Aabye5 said:
This is the main question for tennis at the moment. Many seem to predict that Djokovic will maintain the status quo for the time being, or that Sinner will finally join the ranks of real challengers (by real I mean Slam contenders). Medvedev did well to reach the US Open final again, but few have picked him for further major glory.

That leaves Carlos Alcaraz as the linchpin between the future and present of tennis. What he accomplishes next year is critical to the GOAT debate and the state of tennis overall. Sinner won 2 out of 3 of there matches in 2023, and Medvedev prevented a third straight match up between Carlos and Nole at the majors. On the other hand, no one else has been able to consistently compete with Novak on the biggest stages in over a year really.

Three questions for tennis fans:
1. Does Carlitos win at least one major in 2024?
2. Will his rivalries against Medvedev and Sinner begin to play bigger roles at the majors?
3. How many M1000s will he win in 2024?
Click to expand...

1. I'd say yes. RG or USO. He's also 2nd fav at Wimbledon. If someone upsets Djokovic, he immediately becomes the favorite. For me he wins 1. Djokovic wins 2, Sinner wins 1.

2. I see him continuing to trash Medvedev. I won't say USO2023 was a fluke but it's not representative of the matchup. Medvedev will be one of Alcaraz's favorite pigeon for many many years.
Alcaraz-Sinner is way more interesting so far. Very close H2H, they played on every surfaces. Will be interesting to see how this rivalry evolves, I think one of them will prevail in the future. But still too hard to predict at this point.

3. Assuming Djokovic skips most of them (no way he plays Miami, Canada, Cincinnati and Shanghaï... probably skips IW and Madrid too)... who is going to stop Alcaraz and Sinner in M1000? I think Djokovic wins Paris as usual... Medvedev takes one (Cincinnati or Canada). Maybe an upset in Monaco... Alcaraz wins 3 minimum. IW, Madrid, Shanghaï. Possibly Rome and Canada as well.

Who ends up #1 will depend a lot on Djokovic's calendar. If he skips most Masters and doesn't win at least 2 or 3 Slams, I think Alcaraz will get back to number #1 next year. But top-3 minimum, that's a safe bet.
 
dr325i

dr325i

G.O.A.T.
NeutralFan said:
As an Alcaraz fan I have zero expectations from him , he will be lucky to win one slam. Imo , Sinner will dominate him and win more slams than him next year ..
Click to expand...
I would be surprised if that the case. Alcaraz is solid, and will be even better in 2024. I can see him going for the AO and USO. He will have to give W back to Novak
 
darthrafa

darthrafa

Hall of Fame
it looks carlos is undefeatable only when he is on song, which means he may not have the calmness to come back from behind (Wimbledon being a fluke)
if he wishes to win more, he needs to have better game plan to deploy his box of tricks
 
NeutralFan

NeutralFan

G.O.A.T.
dr325i said:
I would be surprised if that the case. Alcaraz is solid, and will be even better in 2024. I can see him going for the AO and USO. He will have to give W back to Novak
Click to expand...

I think his chances at Wimbledon are great since he sailed through the draw easily and he spends very little energy there. on hC his game he needs to learn point construction, on clay it requires the same , can't go all out on all shots and hit through opponents in every matches.
 
dking68

dking68

Legend
NeutralFan said:
I think his chances at Wimbledon are great since he sailed through the draw easily and he spends very little energy there. on hC his game he needs to learn point construction, on clay it requires the same , can't go all out on all shots and hit through opponents in every matches.
Click to expand...
Either way he’s losing to Sinner at Wimbledon. Monster Sinner will power through him with big serves and backhand in straights
 
NeutralFan

NeutralFan

G.O.A.T.
dking68 said:
Either way he’s losing to Sinner at Wimbledon. Monster Sinner will power through him with big serves and backhand in straights
Click to expand...

It's the matter of one slam. If Sinner wins AO then he will be set to dominate the tour, kid has so much of fire power in his game that new generation can't handle it. Good thing is both Sinner and Carlos are attacking players so it's a treat to watch for tennis fans.
 
dking68

dking68

Legend
NeutralFan said:
It's the matter of one slam. If Sinner wins AO then he will be set to dominate the tour, kid has so much of fire power in his game that new generation can't handle it. Good thing is both Sinner and Carlos are attacking players so it's a treat to watch for tennis fans.
Click to expand...
Carlos will lose to Sinner at every slam except RG. Sinner needs to strengthen legs so he can beat the tiny one at RG
 
Subway Tennis

Subway Tennis

Legend
NeutralFan said:
It's the matter of one slam. If Sinner wins AO then he will be set to dominate the tour, kid has so much of fire power in his game that new generation can't handle it. Good thing is both Sinner and Carlos are attacking players so it's a treat to watch for tennis fans.
Click to expand...
Sinner and Alcaraz is such a good matchup at the moment. I feel like Sinner has turned a bit of a corner in terms of efficiency and serve, though. I hope the balance stays in the matchup but it seems like Sinner will start to get the upper hand if he becomes serve dominant enough.

It’s going to be fun watching these two guys go to war that’s for sure. Such likeable players on and off court. Sinner’s firepower is insane and it’s awesome to see Alcaraz keep the Spanish Armada continuing.
 
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