Terry Tibbs
Hall of Fame
Who would be the easier opponent?
Wawrinka. He actually looks more dangerous than Tsitsipas but Federer knows his game so well.
Tsits, I think Fed want revenge and he is usually pretty good at getting it. I also believe Tsits looks pretty banged up and exhausted.
Plus, if Fed does lose, Tsits will be gaining massive confidence going forward and has a better chance at beating Nadal.
Mate he's not exhausted, he's only 20!
Wawrinka even though I think Stan would be the tougher opponent in Tuesday's conditions. If he can't beat Stan from the baseline, he can't challenge Nadal.
But also, who do you want after a 5 setter: A 20 year old or a 34 year old?
The 34 y/o is a stud built like a truck.
The 20 y/o still doesn't have a "tennis body" required for numerous marathon matches.
Kaun ???Rafa ...
I don't think anybody is expecting him to challenge Nadal are they?
Dude, the 34 year old body doesn't recover at anywhere near the rate of the 20 year old body. It's just science. Most of these 30 something athletes have to ice bath, take inflamatories etc as a pre/post game ritual just to get their bodies right to play. The 20 year olds can just roll out of bed. This is an incredible turn of events for Fed to get a nearly as old guy he knows inside out fresh off a 5 hour 9 minute torture fest he was ground down in. Wrawinka didn't look like nearly the fresher in that match either. He's probably going to be stiff and sluggish for several days after that. It would be incredible if he beat Fed after that.
I wanted Stan to win for a number of reasons:
1. I like Stan more.
2. Stan is less of a threat to Fed than Tsitsipas.
3. Stan’s recovery time from a grinding match is much longer than the much younger Tsitsipas.
I would have given Tsitsipas a 65% chance to beat Fed. I think that a gassed Stan has maybe a 40% chance to beat Fed. I think a fresh Stan would be a coin flip with Fed.
I am picking Fed in 5 sets over Stan. As far as I am concerned, Fed is already playing with house money. I didn’t think that he’d make the QF. If somebody would have told me a year ago that Fed would go as far at the 2019 FO as he would at 2018 Wimbledon, I would have told him to check himself into a lunatic asylum.
No 20 y/o can roll out of bed and keep grinding match after match. Ask yourself why players peak later and later. At 20, their bodies are simply not ready to endure the physical rigors of modern tennis, day in, day out. Zverev still has that issue. It took Murray years to get his body ready for the grind it takes to win a slam.
That said, this is one long match, so yeah the kid probably recovers faster, but if the next match goes over say... 3 hours, then the 20 y/o is at a disadvantage. Especially against Fed, who will use all his skills to "kill his legs".
I didn't say this match, this was one of the most grueling ever, I just ment in general. These 30 something year old athletes have so much more things they have to do just to get ready to play like ice baths, anti inflamitory drugs even when they were legal etc. The 30 somethings have to take measures just to play your average match that the 20 year old doesn't because the 35 year old body simply do not recover like they did at 20 years old. That's just the fact. Are players different from a genetic standpoint and some more reseliant sure, but even for that same guy his 35 years old his body does not function or heal it self like it did when he was 20 years old or like most if not nearly all other 20 year olds.
I don't think Fed can trouble the current Nadal from the baseline, Nads is looking pretty good.Wawrinka even though I think Stan would be the tougher opponent in Tuesday's conditions. If he can't beat Stan from the baseline, he can't challenge Nadal.
This would only make sense if recovery was only based on age, and it's not, that's my point. Strength/endurance/stamina is built after years of training and enduring the physical toll of playing on the pro tour. So, for the last time, a 20 y/o's body is not physically ready to endure that. That's the advantage older players have.
And it's the same in every sport. When college/junior athletes get to the top level, it always takes them a couple of years of strength and conditioning for their body to be in peak condition for the rigors of playing in the pros.
So yeah, Tsitsipas might feel a little fresher tomorrow morning because he's younger, but I guarantee you that Wawrinka will still be able to go 5 the next match and that Tsitsipas would be dead tired after 3 because he doesn't have the leg strength/endurance/stamina Wawrinka has.
This would only make sense if recovery was only based on age, and it's not, that's my point. Strength/endurance/stamina is built after years of training and enduring the physical toll of playing on the pro tour. So, for the last time, a 20 y/o's body is not physically ready to endure that. That's the advantage older players have.
And it's the same in every sport. When college/junior athletes get to the top level, it always takes them a couple of years of strength and conditioning for their body to be in peak condition for the rigors of playing in the pros.
So yeah, Tsitsipas might feel a little fresher tomorrow morning because he's younger, but I guarantee you that Wawrinka will still be able to go 5 the next match and that Tsitsipas would be dead tired after 3 because he doesn't have the leg strength/endurance/stamina Wawrinka has.
If all things like training regimens, diet, sleep, sports recovery science etc were equal, your body will never recover at 35 the same like you did at 20.
Tsitsipas' girlfriend is older than Stan's.Wawrinka but only because he played a 5 set match today against someone young enough to be his son. Hopefully it took it's toll.
Stan. He's a known quantity for Fed. It's clay though so who knows. I'm happy if Fed loses to Stan anyway
And? I don’t see how that is a non-losing situation. Losing against Wawrinka is a worse loss than losing to Nadal. Also I want to see another Fedal battle on clay badly, no matter who wins in the end, just because of the tension and for finally having another chance after so many years.Honestly I think this is a no-lose situation for Fed fans. Great if he wins - if he doesn't we can just assume he would have lost to Rafa anyway.
ExactlyHonestly I think this is a no-lose situation for Fed fans. Great if he wins - if he doesn't we can just assume he would have lost to Rafa anyway.
There have been 34 Tour de France winners aged 30+, the average winner's age is 28.5 and there has never been a winner under 22 (well 21 and 344 days). I mean, according to your theory, surely when you have to ride hundreds of kilometers every day and recovery is of the utmost importance, a 20 y/o should have the advantage no? Well he doesn't. And that's true in every sport where strength/endurance/stamina are at a premium.
Tennis, in the past 15 years, has become an increasingly physical sport. The tennis schedule is grueling, and a slam is like a marathon, not a sprint. You can't compare what's required to play college tennis to the demands of the pro tour. The problem isn't recovering from one match, it's recovering from the accumulation of hours and hours spent on court. And you can't say "all else being equal" because they are not equal. You can't just dismiss years of training in the pros for the sake of an "age only" argument, when your 20 y/o has barely grown into his body. There's a reason the days of teenagers having success on the pro tour are long gone, and why you see more older players having success.
But if you argument is "if we're just talking about recovering from one long match and ignoring everything else, then the 20 y/o has the advantage!", then I'd ask what's the point in even making that argument? That's meaningless in real (tennis) life.
Losing against Wawrinka is a worse loss than losing to Nadal.
Mate he's not exhausted, he's only 20!