At the moment, Federer's career record is 825-188. Nadal's career record is 553-118. What do you think is more likely: Federer reaches 900 wins with 200 or less losses? Or Nadal reaches 900 wins with 200 or less losses. Federer would have to go at least 75-12 (86.2%). Nadal would have to go at least 347-82 (80.9%).