Federer - How many more slams can he win?

[eliars]

I'd say 1-3.

People have tend to overrate the chances of 'X-player-just-winning-a-slam', but I don't see who's going to challenge him on grass. Fed is not really suspect to the odd upset due to his grass proficiency and great serve.
So say he gets Wimby, that's 1. At USO, we'll have to see. But there's another AO lurking around the corner in a year with its neo surface and another Wimby to come next year. If he stays fit, he'll bring 1-3 of 'em home at nearly age 38.

 

[SinjinCooper]

All the slams.

 

[Jackuar]

Are you joking? He’s definitely slowed down. Thank God his serve is better than ever, and he now has a backhand.

He just doesn’t have that weapon of a FH anymore. All match long this one felt like it was on Cilic’s racquet.

Agree here. His FH was a pain to see today.

 

[FiReFTW]

Agree here. His FH was a pain to see today.

It was pretty great last year for most of the season, im sure he will get it back.

 

[shankster]

It'll take some divine intervention to win a HC major again as much as I want him to desperately get that 6th USO. At Wimbledon he should still be a contender for the next few years hopefully.

But on HC at this point he's vulnerable to any consistent hitter, and as bad as the tour is I don't expect him to be able to servebot and junkpush his way to victory again.

He has won back to back AOs, is the current holder of the Sunshine Double, Shanghai and Basel. The man lost a grand total of 4 matches on HC last year - two of those coming when he wasn't fully healthy (Canada and USO), one towards the end of the season when he was probably tired (WTF) and the other a rather irrelevant match in the early rounds of an ATP 500. And he just won a HC major losing a grand total of 2 sets along the way. What makes you think he'll need "divine intervention" to win another HC major? Of course the next HC slam is a long way away and lots of things could change between now and nothing is predictable for a guy due to turn 37 later this year but "divine intervention" is a bit too strong, don't you reckon?

 

[realplayer]

As long as Djokovic, Murray and Nadal are struggling with injuries he can win a three more. If they get back to their best without the physical problems he will win zero.
Federer is not nearly as good as he once was but the competition outside the big four is not good enough to stop "good old" Federer. He always would last longer than the other three who have a much more physical game. The talk about his bigger racket which should be the key is imo nonsense. The only reason he didn't play well with smaller head was because of a back injury.

 

[Sarzy]

Another Wimbledon doesn't seem too unrealistic. Not sure after that. Depends on what other players are healthy.

 

[a10best]

With the slam courts being faster (except RG obviously), getting night matches, and as long as he doesn't play early round five-setters 25 is within reach.

 

[fedfan39]

Still susprised people are writing off Fed at the USO.

This was his strongest slam at one point. In 2008, the USO was the only thing that kept Fed going.

Unfortunately, he ran into a monster Djokovic 3 times and Cilic once at the USO. He also threw one final away against Del Potro.

Federer has 1 more USO in him, and I feel this is the year. Fed will show up very motivated after what happened last year when a tremendously average Nadal won it and took YE #1. I don't think Fed will allow that as long as he's healthy.

It's almost a given he will again sit out the clay court season given the ****load of points Nadal has to defend there. All the pressure's on Nadal to keep winning at the FO. Yes, he's won 10, but at some point, he effort will rise exponentially.

We shall see. I feel this year, Fed takes both W and USO. Can't see beyond that. I will be very happy and content with 22, GS lead locked for good, and one more YE #1.

 

[Nadalgaenger]

It'll take some divine intervention to win a HC major again as much as I want him to desperately get that 6th USO. At Wimbledon he should still be a contender for the next few years hopefully.

But on HC at this point he's vulnerable to any consistent hitter, and as bad as the tour is I don't expect him to be able to servebot and junkpush his way to victory again.

This seems like the most logical/realistic assessment.

We’re basically playing with the house’s money. The guy’s back can go out at any point. I was worried in the 4th set against Cilic that his back was tight.

Only the emergence of a new great or the resurgence of Nole can slow him down in the next 1-2 years at Wimbledon.

 

[mightyrick]

If the vast majority top seeds are consistently injured for the next 12+ months... like what happened at this AO, then I think he can win four more. He can easily win Wimbledon, the USO, the 2019 AO. Definitely can with the WTF. He can also win at least four more Masters. And that is if he doesn't retire.

Let's be clear... Roger Federer in any slam or WTF with the following draw and at least one of the players in that draw retiring... will absolutely win. It is 100%. Even if he is playing at a sub-par level.

Federer's Draw
Bedene, Struff, Gasquet, Fucsovics, Berdych, Chung, Cilic.

Aggregate Draw Statistics
# Total slams : 1 (Cilic)
# Total slam finals : 4 (3 - Cilic, 1 - Berdych)
# Opponent Retirements : 1 (Chung)
# Top-10 seeds faced : 1 (Cilic - Seeded at #4)

That must be the most anemic draw for any slam in the Open Era (although the 2017 USO was really close). Federer was playing sub-par for a LOT of the tournament and still only dropped two sets (in the final). That is TRAGIC. And I'm not blaming Federer for that. He can only play the people in front of him. But it is horrible for tennis. The up-and-coming generation is simply terrible. Even the commentators during the final were talking about how badly the young generation needs to step up.

The only possible solution I can see at this point is for the elder generation to retire. Either that, or turn all of the slams into round-robin so that the situation with all of the walkovers, retirements, injuries, and choke-artistry can be somewhat alleviated.

 

[smoledman]

5 more if gets Mugrin in the finals!

 

[smoledman]

I think he can win max. 2 more. This year's Wimbledon and either this year's US Open or next year's AO or Wimbledon.

Given the physical nature of the USO, this year is the last chance for him to add a 6th title in New York.

Anything more than that it's unfathomable.

People said 20 was unfathomable.

 

[Ray Mercer]

As long as Djokovic, Murray and Nadal are struggling with injuries he can win a three more. If they get back to their best without the physical problems he will win zero.
Federer is not nearly as good as he once was but the competition outside the big four is not good enough to stop "good old" Federer. He always would last longer than the other three who have a much more physical game. The talk about his bigger racket which should be the key is imo nonsense. The only reason he didn't play well with smaller head was because of a back injury.

Nadal and Murray are not beating Federer on faster hardcourt regardless of how healthy they are. Federer is only benefiting right now from the lack of a peak djokovic. Federer was so unlucky to run into a peak djokovic from 2014-2016. Federer would likely be at 25 slams if not for him.

 

[augustobt]

We’re basically playing with the house’s money. The guy’s back can go out at any point. I was worried in the 4th set against Cilic that his back was tight.

He was serving 120km/h serves! Definitely something was going on there.

 

[realplayer]

Nadal and Murray are not beating Federer on faster hardcourt regardless of how healthy they are. Federer is only benefiting right now from the lack of a peak djokovic. Federer was so unlucky to run into a peak djokovic from 2014-2016. Federer would likely be at 25 slams if not for him.

Nadal and Murray will never be as healthy as they were and because they have a more physical game based on running a lot they will decline much more even when they are younger than Federer. Chances they will beat him are a lot slimmer even if they get healthy because they are still a step slower than before. I place Djokovic in the same category as Nadal. Too physical for years at the top. Federer survives them all because of his style of play not based on power but smoothness. I always knew he would have more longevity than any other player. I wouldn't call Federer unlucky that he ran into a peak Djokovic. You might call him even lucky it only lasted two years. He doesn't have to deal with him anymore because of an elbow injury that doesn't seem to heal. Luck evens itself out.

 

[Jackuar]

It was pretty great last year for most of the season, im sure he will get it back.

I too think he will get it back but today definitely augmented his age factor contributing to his inability to cope with the heat. I think we'll see more that in slams to come and obviously as we know, he's going to trim his calendar more and ever more to stay relevant and competitive. Which is fine by me, but just saying.

 

[Deleted member 756486]

I think he’s got 1-2 left in him.

But you never know with Fed.

 

[maruzo]

I think Roger's at a place where none of us can fathom. His needs in tennis is very different now. He's playing without care, without trepidation, without agenda, and certainly without any misgivings.

Best guess, he'll play simply for his love of the sport and the spirit of competition.

The greatest ever needs no reason to justify why he plays nor where he plays.

We're just lucky to have him in this sport and have the privilege of watching him.

To ask how many more slams he'll win is to miss the point of the Icon that is Federer entirely.