Frequency of scores in a set, ranking

Tennisfan339

Semi-Pro
I don't have specific stats, but if you had to rank the 7 possible scores for a "normal" set (6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3, 6-4, 7-5, 7-6) what would it be? In singles matches only, and official tournaments (250, 500, 1000, Slams)

IMO,
1) 6-4
2) 6-3
3) 6-2
4) 7-6
5) 6-1
6) 7-5
7) 6-0

I think 1 break/set is the most frequent situation but 6-4 wins. 7-5 and 6-0 at the bottom. 6-1 is a lot more frequent than 6-0 but still a bit less than 7-6. I strongly hesitate between 3) and 4) for 6-2 and 7-6.
You can separate ATP and WTA if you think the rankings are very different.

Thoughts? Make your own ranking. :)
 

Jason Swerve

Professional
7-5 or 7-6 at the top. And 6-1, 6-0.

I loved when Martinka '97 took some hopeful up the tiebreak rollercoaster, then suddenly blew them out with 1s and bagels.
 

Tennisfan339

Semi-Pro
7-5 has to be more often than 6-1, and I'd put 7-6 above 6-2 too

6-4 and 6-3 are 50/50
7-5 must be at the bottom. This score requires specific conditions. There MUST be 5-5 at some point, and then one of the players must win the last 2 games. I think it's a very uncommon score especially for the ATP. In most situations, 5-5 leads to7-6. I honestly think 6-1 is more frequent, but it's just MO.

I kind of agree about 6-2 and 7-6. Without stats, it's impossible to be sure, though.

I also agree it's a tie between 6-4 and 6-3.
 

tudwell

Legend
6-3 and 6-4 as single-break scores are surely 50-50 (just a coin-flip who serves first) but 6-3 can also be a double-break score if the person serving second breaks a second time at 5-3*. Not the most common occurrence, but I would assume it bumps the frequency of 6-3 above 6-4, which I also assume means 6-3 is the most frequent set score.
 
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