Greater Grass Court Player? Murray vs. Nadal

Better on Grass? Murray or Nadal?

  • Andy Murray

    Votes: 53 41.4%
  • Rafael Nadal

    Votes: 68 53.1%
  • DRAW

    Votes: 7 5.5%

  • Total voters
    128

mike danny

Bionic Poster
That was the worst Djokovic played in a slam final though. Djokovic was playing a great tournament until the final, but he was probably dead after the semifinal he had and his level dropped dramatically. This final was in general very low quality. Murray's 2012 runs on grass were more impressive IMO, especially the one at the Olympics.
At the Olympics he faced the worst ever Roger in a BO5 grass fin
al though. His SF win over Novak was impressive though.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
No, Murray is counter-puncher, he made Djokovic play bad. That's what counter-punchers do, that's the point of their game, so everybody looks worse versus them. Dead, don't make me laugh even old Fed won AO 19 after 3 five setters and he was fresh as a daisy in AO19 final, don't say Djoko who is better athlete than Fed was tired.
Whatever it was, Djoko played his worst GS final at 2013 Wimb. Murray is good, but he is not "beat GOAT candidate in straights in a
slam final" good.
 

StrongRule

Talk Tennis Guru
At the Olympics he faced the worst ever Roger in a BO5 grass fin
al though. His SF win over Novak was impressive though.
He beat a pretty good Djokovic in the semifinals. Also, Murray played great in the final which is why I'm giving him some credit for that one. He would have never won 6-2 6-1 6-4 against a better Federer on grass but he would still be able to challenge him with that level. (though Federer from Wimbledon 2012 would have probably still won in 4 sets)

On the other hand, Wimbledon 2013 final was a very ugly match and both played on a low level. Murray would have probably lost in straight sets if he had to face the Djokovic from the semifinal.
 

BeatlesFan

Bionic Poster
The OP was asking who the greater player is, not who's better.
On grass, though. Not even Murray's wildest fan could ever argue he's a greater player than Rafa. And even on grass, Rafa is arguably the better player. He's beaten Murray three times at Wimbledon and in those three matches, Andy only managed to win one set. In some respects, Rafa overachieved on grass when playing Murray and Andy never really brought his best grass game against Nadal.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Nadal is greater at Wimb, IMO, while Murray has other grass credentials to his name.

I voted Draw:

Both have 2 Championship titles with Nadal making 3 other finals to Murray's 1.
Murray has an Olympic title at Wimbledon, Nadal has none on grass.
Murray has 5 titles at the 2nd most prestigious grasscourt event (Queen's) to Nadal's 1.
Nadal has 1 other grasscourt title (Stuttgart), Murray none.

Murray has 8 grasscourt titles (2nd only to Federer amongst current players), Nadal has 4.
Nadal ahead on finals made at The Championships but Murray's Olympic title evens them out IMO.
 

KINGROGER

G.O.A.T.
Nadal for the 3-0 h2h and 07-08 finals, 18 semi.

Murray has a great Cv on the surface but his best wins are over exhausted Federer and Djokovic in 12-13.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Both have 2 Championship titles with Nadal making 3 other finals to Murray's 1.
Murray has an Olympic title at Wimbledon, Nadal has none on grass.
Murray has 5 titles at the 2nd most prestigious grasscourt event (Queen's) to Nadal's 1.
Nadal has 1 other grasscourt title (Stuttgart), Murray none.

Murray has 8 grasscourt titles (2nd only to Federer amongst current players), Nadal has 4.
Nadal ahead on finals made at The Championships but Murray's Olympic title evens them out IMO.
It's just personal opinion really. Wimb for me above everything else.

I don't count their grass H2H that much since Nadal never played Murray at Wimb after 2011, when Murray clearly improved.

But, overall, Nadal has more finals, better wins and more iconic matches played at Wimb. The 2013 Wimb final was iconic for Murray due to him being a Brit, but by iconic I mostly mean the match itself being a classic, like Wimb 2007 final, Wimb 2008 final and Wimb 2018 SF. Nadal has been involved in all these classics, but unfortunately Murray hasn't been involved in any Wimb classics.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Nadal for the 3-0 h2h and 07-08 finals, 18 semi.

Murray has a great Cv on the surface but his best wins are over exhausted Federer and Djokovic in 12-13.

Never knew Djokovic was exhausted in their 2012 Olympic semi. Roddick has gone on record as saying Djokovic beat him like a drum when they met in an earlier round at a time when Roddick thought he was playing well. Djokovic still didn't win a set when he came up against Murray.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Fed’s injury was a leveller, but only to give Murray about 45-50% imo.
Nope. Fed would have needed to be at 2015 level to beat Murray, which he wasn't. Fed would have lost in 4 to Murray if they had met, IMO. Even without the aggravating injury from the Raonic match, Fed's form was just not up to par overall.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Never knew Djokovic was exhausted in their 2012 Olympic semi. Roddick has gone on record as saying he beat him like a drum when they met in an earlier round at a time when Roddick thought he was playing well. Djokovic still didn't win a set when he came up against Murray.
He meant 2013 Wimb, not 2012 Olympics.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
It's just personal opinion really. Wimb for me above everything else.

I don't count their grass H2H that much since Nadal never played Murray at Wimb after 2011, when Murray clearly improved.

But, overall, Nadal has more finals, better wins and more iconic matches played at Wimb. The 2013 Wimb final was iconic for Murray due to him being a Brit, but by iconic I mostly mean the match itself being a classic, like Wimb 2007 final, Wimb 2008 final and Wimb 2018 SF. Nadal has been involved in all these classics, but unfortunately Murray hasn't been involved in any Wimb classics.

Quality of finals and other matches is purely subjective, what counts are results because that's what the stats show. Murray has had plenty of classic matches at Wimbledon just not necessarily against the Big 3. In terms of what the stats say, I stand by my analysis.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Quality of finals and other matches is purely subjective, what counts are results because that's what the stats show. Murray has had plenty of classic matches at Wimbledon just not necessarily against the Big 3. In terms of what the stats say, I stand by my analysis.
Fair enough :)
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Quality of finals and other matches is purely subjective, what counts are results because that's what the stats show. Murray has had plenty of classic matches at Wimbledon just not necessarily against the Big 3. In terms of what the stats say, I stand by my analysis.
In terms of Murray classics at Wimb, I nominate Gasquet in 2008 and Wawrinka in 2009. Any others in mind?
 

KINGROGER

G.O.A.T.
Nope. Fed would have needed to be at 2015 level to beat Murray, which he wasn't. Fed would have lost in 4 to Murray if they had met, IMO. Even without the aggravating injury from the Raonic match, Fed's form was just not up to par overall.
Close 5 sets imo. He’s always had better of Murray in slams, despite his poor form that tournament. He was still clutch and serving very well. Yes meant the 2013 Wimbledon final.
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
I know what he meant and he implied, of course, that Murray could only beat them when 'exhausted' blah blah. I wanted to remind him why this was not necessarily the case.
Olympics SF against Djoko was a very good win. 2012 was the only season I felt Murray was actually a worthy rival against Novak. They played many matches that year and the H2H between them was close at 4-3 Djoko, I think, though Murray lead 3-2 after 2012 USO.

In 2013 they didn't play enough matches, unfortunately due to Murray's back issues. Anoter USO match in 2013 would have been interesting if Murray had been healthy. Heck, even the Stan match would have been interesting if Murray's health hadn't been impaired.
 

DSH

Talk Tennis Guru
On the grass, Murray is.
At Wimbledon, Nadal is thanks to having 2 more finals there.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
In terms of Murray classics at Wimb, I nominate Gasquet in 2008 and Wawrinka in 2009. Any others in mind?

Well I guess it depends on what you will define as classics but these are some of my favourite Murray matches at Wimbledon (other than finals):

2005 v Nalbandian
2008 v Gasquet
2009 v Wawrinka
2009 v Roddick
2010 v Tsonga
2011 v Ljubicic
2012 v Ferrer
2013 v Verdasco
2015 v Karlovic
2016 v Tsonga
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Well I guess it depends on what you will define as classics but these are some of my favourite Murray matches at Wimbledon (other than finals):

2005 v Nalbandian
2008 v Gasquet
2009 v Wawrinka
2009 v Roddick
2010 v Tsonga
2011 v Ljubicic

2012 v Ferrer
2013 v Verdasco
2015 v Karlovic
2016 v Tsonga
What makes the bolded ones classics?
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
What makes the bolded ones classics?

Maybe not necessarily 'classics' in your view but hard fought matches at least in the early part. The Ljubicic match went on until late at night under the roof and officials were threatening to suspend it until the next day. Murray was kind of pressured to get it finished on time and I recall he aced his way through the last game to finish it bang on time. Memorable! :cool:
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Maybe not necessarily 'classics' in your view but hard fought matches at least in the early part. The Ljubicic match went on until late at night under the roof and officials were threatening to suspend it until the next day. Murray was kind of pressured to get it finished on time and I recall he aced his way through the last game to finish it bang on time. Memorable! :cool:
One of Ljubicic's best slam matches and they were very few.
 

Turning Pro

Hall of Fame
Nadal is 3-0 vs Murray at Wimby and has 2 extra finals plus beat the GOAT on grass in 1 of his wins. Plus Nadal Grass peak is better than Murray grass peak. No brainer.
 

King No1e

G.O.A.T.
In a seminal paper in the Annals of Generalized Assessments of Goatology (A-GAG), a research team led by professors Ernest Fälschung and Ina Unecht (2017) tested this pressing question using the latest, most advanced form of quantum-based statistical forecasting models.


Goatology Forecasting Method Using Artificial Neural Network Based on Quantum-behaved Particle Swarm Optimization

Abstract: Statistical Predictions of Retrospective Tennis (SPORT) is of great significance for the optimal operation and power predication of Greatness-Ontology Assessments in Tennis (GOAT) debates. However, SPORT is very complex to handle due to the random and nonlinear characteristics of hypothetical tennis matches under changeable weather conditions and the stochastic nature of tennis players' form and health status. Artificial Neural Tennis Integrative Calculation (ANTIC) is suitable for SPORT modeling and many research works on this topic are presented. After discussing the relation between weather variations and Nadal injury status, the characteristics of the statistical feature parameters of Hypothetical Tennis under different weather conditions are figured out. A novel ANTIC model using statistical feature parameters (ANTIC-SFP) for SPORT is proposed in this paper. The input vector is reconstructed with several statistical feature parameters of Nadal injury status and ambient temperature. Thus sufficient information can be effectively extracted from relatively few inputs and the model complexity is reduced. The Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm Output (LMAO) is used for the network training. Simulations are carried out to validate and compare the proposed model with the conventional ANTIC model using Historical Analysis of Hypothetical Assessment (HAHA), and the results indicated that Andy Murray would definitively defeat Rafael Nadal at Wimbledon 2015.

Based on the demonstrated evidence in the results of our analysis, we conclude that mury goat.


Figure 1.
Lots-of-math.jpg

= mury goat
 

Pheasant

Legend
Nadal's peak was definitely higher for sure. Nadal had a ridiculously high peak during his 2007-2010 peak years on that surface. But Murray played very well for a longer period of time. This reminds me of the Djoker vs Federer argument at the AO when they were tied at 6 titles each. I chose Federer, simply because his resume at the AO was so ridiculous outside of his 6 titles(mind-blowing 21 wins vs the top 10 and 14 AO semis in 15 years). However, Djoker had a longer peak. Djoker did more in a shorter period of time. This was a tough call. But at 6 titles each, I gave it to Federer at that time.

This is a similar scenario, IMHO.

Let's take a look at their grass court resumes, since it's not just about Wimbledon

Nadal:
71-20, .780 overall
4 grass court titles
9-4, .692 vs top 10 players

Murray:
110-23, .827
8 grass court titles
13-7, .650 vs top 10 players

Here's the kicker. Let's look at terrible losses, which I'll define as being ranked in the top 10, yet losing to players ranked outside of the top 100(massive upsets)
Nadal: 5
Murray: 0

Murray has a much better resume. Nadal peaked a lot higher. But he had a very condensed peak and Murray's resume is simply much better.

I'll pick Murray here.
 

TennisLurker

Professional
I don't want to be mean, but both 2013 wimbledon Djokovic and Olympics Federer had been drained by their semifinals against Del Potro. 5 sets for Novak, and a 19-17 third set for Federer.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
I don't want to be mean, but both 2013 wimbledon Djokovic and Olympics Federer had been drained by their semifinals against Del Potro. 5 sets for Novak, and a 19-17 third set for Federer.

Given that Del Potro never won anything on grass (or even made a final) it seems odd that both Djokovic and Federer would allow him to detain them for so long on a surface and at a venue they were both all too familiar with.
 

Rebel-I.N.S

Hall of Fame
I don't want to be mean, but both 2013 wimbledon Djokovic and Olympics Federer had been drained by their semifinals against Del Potro. 5 sets for Novak, and a 19-17 third set for Federer.

Djokovic’s issues in 2013 weren’t physical. I haven’t combed the stats but I’d wager Murray spent more time on court (overall) coming into that final.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Djokovic’s issues in 2013 weren’t physical. I haven’t combed the stats but I’d wager Murray spent more time on court (overall) coming into that final.

He certainly had a tough quarter-final against Verdasco (5 sets) and a tough semi of his own against Janowicz (then at the height of his meteoric rise to fame).
 

TMF

Talk Tennis Guru
Given that Del Potro never won anything on grass (or even made a final) it seems odd that both Djokovic and Federer would allow him to detain them for so long on a surface and at a venue they were both all too familiar with.
Federer did beat Murray in 2012 Wimbledon so I'm sure he's capable of beating him again at the Olympic. It's just that he has nothing left in the tank after a gruesome match against Del Potro in the semifinal. Federer was unlucky with a tough draw.
 

RS

Bionic Poster
Very close but based on the strength of beating 2008 Federer going to give the edge to Nadal :)
 

martinezownsclay

Hall of Fame
I have to go with Nadal for his extra Wimbledon finals and 3-0 head to head vs Murray at Wimbledon when 2 of those were in fact prime-ish Murray and he fell relatively easily. That plus beating a prime-ish Federer in a Wimbledon final, and coming very close a 2nd time. It is close though. You could make valid arguments for Murray as well.
 
Top